HAWKES LEARNING SYSTEMS math courseware specialists Copyright © 2008 by Hawkes Learning Systems/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Section 5.2 Binomial Distribution HAWKES LEARNING SYSTEMS Probability Distribution math courseware specialists 5.2 Binomial Distribution Definitions: • Binomial distribution – a special discrete probability function for problems with a fixed number of trials, where each trial has only two possible outcomes, and one of these outcomes is counted. x = the number of successes n = the number of trials p = the probability of getting a success on any trial • Success – the outcome that is counted. When calculating the binomial distribution, round your answers to three decimal places. HAWKES LEARNING SYSTEMS Probability Distribution math courseware specialists 5.2 Binomial Distribution Binomial Distribution Guidelines: 1. The experiment consists of a fixed number of identical trials, n. 2. Each trial is independent of the others. 3. For each trial, there are only two possible outcomes. For counting purposes, one outcome is labeled a success, the other a failure. 4. For every trial, the probability of getting a success is called p. The probability of getting a failure is then 1 – p. 5. The binomial random variable, X, is the number of successes in n trials. HAWKES LEARNING SYSTEMS Probability Distribution math courseware specialists 5.2 Binomial Distribution Determine the probability: What is the probability of getting exactly 7 tails in 18 coin tosses? Solution: n = 18, p = 0.5, x = 7 HAWKES LEARNING SYSTEMS Probability Distribution math courseware specialists 5.2 Binomial Distribution TI-84 Plus Instructions: 1. Press 2nd, then VARS 2. Choose 0: binompdf( 3. The format for entering the statistics is binompdf(n,p,x) In the previous example we could have entered binompdf(18,0.5,7). HAWKES LEARNING SYSTEMS Probability Distribution math courseware specialists 5.2 Binomial Distribution Determine the probability: A quality control expert at a large factory estimates that 10% of all batteries produced are defective. If a sample of 20 batteries are taken, what is the probability that no more than 3 are defective? Solution: n = 20, p = 0.1, x = 3, but this time we need to look at the probability that no more than three are defective, which is P(X ≤ 3). P(X ≤ 3) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) + P(X = 3) = 20C0(0.1)0(0.9)20 + 20C1(0.1)1(0.9)19 + 20C2(0.1) 0.867 2(0.9)18 + 20C3(0.1)3(0.9)17 HAWKES LEARNING SYSTEMS Probability Distribution math courseware specialists 5.2 Binomial Distribution TI-84 Plus Instructions: 1. Press 2nd, then VARS 2. Choose A: binomcdf( 3. The format for entering the statistics is binomcdf(n,p,x) In the previous example we could have entered binomcdf(20,0.1,3). HAWKES LEARNING SYSTEMS Probability Distribution math courseware specialists 5.2 Binomial Distribution Determine the probability: A quality control expert at a large factory estimates that 20% of all batteries produced are defective. If a sample of 10 batteries are taken, what is the probability that more than 1 are defective? Solution: n = 10, p = 0.2, x = 1, but this time we need to look at the probability that more than one are defective, which is P(X > 1). P(X > 1) = 1 - P(X ≤ 1) = 1 - 10C0(0.2)0(0.8)10 + 10C1(0.2)1(0.8) 9 0.624