Demand, Revenue, Cost, and Profit Functions Math 174, Spring 2004 Demand Function D(q) is the unit price at which q units of a product can be sold Experience suggest a quadratic demand function For your data, you will need to come up with a function based on test market data How should you do this? Units of Demand Function Will use two variables (not used in text)– qu is the quantity in single units qk is the quantity in thousand units Test market data must be scaled up to the national level At national level, demand is presented as the unit price at which qk thousand drives can be sold Units of Demand Function We have the following proportion: Test Market Sales National Sales (in K's) Size of Test Market Size of National Market (in K's) Note: The size of your national market (in your data) is given in millions. You will have to rewrite this number in thousands so the units are correct. You can then solve the proportion for the national sales (in K’s) Round answers to nearest whole unit Demand Curve Once you have the national sales (in K’s) for each test market - Plot the points (qk vs. unit price) Fit a trend line to the data Show equation (make sure all coefficients go out to 8 decimal places) Use equation to determine points for demand curve – need a lot of points Use points to plot a smooth demand curve Revenue Function Revenue, R(qk), is given in millions of dollars for selling qk thousand units So, R(qk) = D(qk)*qk *1000 This answer is in millions For example, if D(qk)=$119.95 and qk = 893, then R(qk)=$107,115,350 We want the unit to be millions and also the answer to be a smaller number (so we can work with it easier) – • We can divide our answer by 1,000,000 to get about 107 million dollars So, our formula should be R(qk)=(D(qk)*qk)/1000 Revenue Curve You need to use the data you generated for your demand curve and determine what the corresponding values are for your revenue function Use R(qk) function determined on previous slide When you graph your revenue data, you will have quantity (in K’s) along x-axis and total revenue (in M’s) along y-axis Cost Function If your total revenue is in millions of dollars, then your total cost must be also Total cost is the fixed cost plus the variable cost Fixed cost is in millions of dollars – need to rewrite it so the unit is millions • Example: 21,600,000 is rewritten as 21.6 million You need to determine the variable cost for each amount of product you are producing We are going to define Marginal Cost to be the price, in dollars per item, for production at a given number of items Variable Cost To determine the variable cost, you will need to use the marginal cost of production For example, if you produce 1,200 drives: • The first 500 thousand cost $115 per drive • (500*1000*115)/1,000,000 = (500*115)/1000=$57.5 million • The next 600 thousand cost $100 per drive • (600*100)/1000 = $60 million • The rest cost $90 per drive • (100*90)/1000 = $9 million The sum of the results give the final variable cost of $126.5 million COST function To determine the total cost, you can add the fixed cost and the variable cost To do this for every quantity, it would be tedious to determine a formula Can use COST function located under USER DEFINED – formulas built in If you are generating your data and graphs in a new Excel workbook, you will need to copy the COST module over from Marketing Focus.xls • Follow directions in slides #58-60 in Notebook or on CD Total Cost Regardless of how you calculate the total cost, you will need to understand each step Using the COST function – make sure you understand why you are entering what you are for each of the arguments in the dialog box You should have a column that has the total cost for each particular quantity Once you have the data, you should create a graph that illustrates the cost – display both the revenue and cost on one set of axes Why should you graph both curves together? Cost graph is quantity (K’s) vs. Total Cost (M’s) Profit Since the total cost and the total revenue is in millions, profit will also be in millions Profit Curve will be quantity (K’s) vs. total profit (M’s) Create a curve for profit by subtracting total revenue and total cost What should you do? Start a new Excel file, generate the data for your information Do not forget to copy the COST module Create each one of the curves talked about – demand, revenue, cost, and profit Work with the same units and coefficient precision as is in the Class Project I will be solving each of your projects and will assume the same accuracy as the on-line text • Your information should match mine at the end of the project • Do not put this off! Your work will pile up if you leave too long • It will also be a part of the next homework assignment