Appendix for: The Institutional Effects of Executive Scandal Search String for State-Level Scandals State-level scandals: “governor and corrupt! or indicte! or investigat! or scandal or brib! or conflict or affair or illegal or ethic! and adviser or staff or nominee or cabinet or chief or director or head or commission! Or manager or administrator or agency or aide AND COUNTRY(UNITED STATES) AND GEOGRAPHIC(UNITED STATES) and not president!” Hearings Search String (ProQuest Congressional) President Hearings: “president” Scandal Hearings: “executive or president and (fraud OR interest OR corrupt! OR brib! OR conflict OR illegal OR ethic! OR espionage OR self-incrimination OR alleg! OR influence OR loyalty OR sabotage OR impropriety OR favoritism OR affair OR abuses OR impeach OR scandal) “ 1 APPENDIX TABLE 1 List of Presidential Scandals Year 1972 1972 1972 1972 1972 1972 1972 Description Shakedowns Shakedowns Watergate Watergate Watergate Watergate Watergate President Nixon Nixon Nixon Nixon Nixon Nixon Nixon Type Political Political Political Political Political Political Political Level Cabinet Cabinet President President President President President Target Mitchell, John Kleindienst, Richard Nixon, Richard Colson, Charles Dean, John Kleindienst, Richard Mitchell, John 1972 1972 1972 1972 1972 1973 1974 Watergate Watergate Shakedowns Watergate Watergate Agnew Nixon Jewelry Nixon Nixon Nixon Nixon Nixon Nixon Nixon Political Political Political Political Political Financial Financial Erlichman, John Haldeman, Bob Stans, Maurice Stans, Maurice Mardian, Robert Agnew, Spiro Nixon, Pat 1974 Colby Ford Political Colby, William CIA Director 1976 1977 1976 1978 1978 Ford Carter Ford Carter Carter Financial Financial Financial Personal Financial Kelley, Clarence Lance, Thomas Ford, Gerald Bourne, Peter Carter, Jimmy FBI Director Director of OMB President of the United States Drug Czar President of the United States 1979 1979 1980 1981 1981 Kelley Lance Ford Bourne Carter (Taxes) Carter (Peanut Warehouse Loan) Jordan Kraft Donovan, nominee Casey, I President President Cabinet President President Cabinet Affiliated SubCabinet SubCabinet Cabinet President Cabinet President Position former Attorney General Attorney General President of the United States Special Counsel to the President White House Counsel Attorney General former Attorney General White House Domestic Policy Coordinator White House Chief of Staff former Secretary of Commerce former Secretary of Commerce Assistant Attorney General Vice President First Lady Carter Carter Carter Reagan Reagan Political Personal Personal Financial Financial Carter, Jimmy Jordan, Hamilton Kraft, Timothy Donovan, Raymond Casey, William 1982 1981 1982 Nimmo Allen Donovan, I Reagan Reagan Reagan Financial Financial Financial President Cabinet Affiliated Affiliated Cabinet SubCabinet Cabinet Cabinet President of the United States White House Chief of Staff Campaign Director Secretary of Labor Nominee CIA Director Head of the Veterans Administration National Security Adviser Secretary of Labor 1982 Smith, I Reagan Financial Cabinet 1982 1982 Smith, II Donovan, II Reagan Reagan Financial Financial Cabinet Cabinet 1982 Burford Reagan Political 1982 Bogard Reagan Financial 1982 Lehman Reagan Financial 1983 Lavelle Reagan Financial 1983 Savas Reagan Financial 1983 Olson Reagan Political 1983 Perle Reagan Financial 1983 1983 Hayes Fiske Reagan Reagan Financial Financial Cabinet SubCabinet SubCabinet SubCabinet SubCabinet SubCabinet SubCabinet SubCabinet Sub- 2 Nimmo, Robert Allen, Richard Donovan, Raymond Smith, William French Smith, William French Donovan, Raymond Burford, Anne Gorsuch Bogard, Donald Lehman, John Attorney General Attorney General Secretary of Labor EPA Administrator President of the Legal Services Corporation Lavelle, Rita Secretary of Navy Assistant Administrator? (Superfund) Savas, Emanuel Assistant Secretary of HUD Olson, Theodore Assistant Attorney General Perle, Richard Assistant Secretary of Defense Hayes, Arthur Fiske, Guy FDA Commissioner Deputy Secretary of Commerce Cabinet 1983 1983 1983 Casey, II Debategate Debategate Reagan Reagan Reagan Financial Political Political Casey, William Casey, William Baker, James CIA Director CIA Director White House Chief of Staff Thayer, Paul Wick, Charles Meese, Edwin Donovan, Raymond Deputy Secretary of Defense Chief of the Federal Aviation Administration Director of the U.S. Information Agency Attorney General nominee Secretary of Labor Giuffrida, Louis FEMA Director Deaver, Michael Deputy Chief of Staff Beggs, James NASA Chief Administrator Financial Financial Cabinet Cabinet Cabinet SubCabinet SubCabinet SubCabinet Affiliated Cabinet SubCabinet SubCabinet SubCabinet SubCabinet Affiliated 1983 Thayer Reagan Financial 1983 Helms Reagan Financial 1983 1984 1984 Wick Meese Donovan, III Reagan Reagan Reagan Political Financial Financial 1984 Giuffrida Reagan Financial 1985 Deaver Reagan Financial 1985 Beggs Reagan Financial 1987 1986 Deaver, lobbying Whittlesey Reagan Reagan Deaver, Michael Whittlesey, Faith Reagan Reagan Bush 41 Reagan International International International International President President President President Iranian Arms Sales Reagan International President Bush, George H.W. Casey, William Weinberger, Caspar McFarlane, Robert Reagan, Ronald Wilson Deputy Chief of Staff Ambassador to Switzerland Vice-President of the United States CIA Director Reagan's Secretary of Defense National Security Advisor 1986 1986 1986 1986 Iranian Arms Sales Iranian Arms Sales Iranian Arms Sales Iranian Arms Sales 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 Nicaraguan Contra aid Nicaraguan Contra aid Nicaraguan Contra aid Iranian Arms Sales Iranian Arms Sales Iranian Arms Sales Iranian Arms Sales Reagan Reagan Reagan Reagan Reagan Reagan Reagan International International International International International International International 1986 1987 1987 1988 1991 1991 Wallace Meese, Wedtech Ginsburg Tower Sununu Thomas Reagan Reagan Reagan Bush 41 Bush 41 Bush 41 Financial Financial Personal Personal Financial Personal Cabinet Cabinet Cabinet President President President President SubCabinet Cabinet Affiliated Affiliated Cabinet Affiliated 1994 1994 1994 1992 1992 1992 1993 1993 Whitewater Whitewater Whitewater Bush, BNL Passportgate Passportgate Baird, Nannygate 1 Wood, Nannygate 2 Clinton Clinton Clinton Bush 41 Bush 41 Bush 41 Clinton Clinton Financial Financial Political International Political Political Personal Personal President President Affiliated President Cabinet Cabinet Affiliated Affiliated 1993 1995 1993 HIllary, Travelgate Brown Inman Clinton Clinton Clinton Personal Financial Personal Affiliated Cabinet Affiliated 1993 Vince Foster Papers Clinton Personal Affiliated 3 Helms, J. Lynn Bush, George H.W. Casey, William Poindexter, John Meese, Edwin Poindexter, John Shultz, George Regan, Donald Wallace, W. Lawrence Meese, Edwin Ginsburg, Douglas Tower, John Sununu, John Thomas, Clarence Clinton, Hillary Rodham Clinton, Bill Nussbaum, Bernard Bush, George H.W. Tamposi, Elizabeth Baker, James Baird, Zoe Wood, Kimba Clinton, Hillary Rodham Brown, Ronald Inman, Bobby Ray Clinton, Hillary Rodham - Maggie Williams President of the United States Vice-President of the United States CIA Director National Security Advisor Attorney General National Security Advisor Secretary of State White House Chief of Staff Assistant Attorney General Attorney General Associate Justice Secretary of Defense Chief of Staff Associate Justice First Lady President White House Counsel President of the United States Assistant Secretary of State White House Chief of Staff Attorney General Attorney General First Lady Secretary of Commerce Secretary of Defense nominee First Lady 1993 1994 1994 1994 Vince Foster Papers Clinton, Paula Jones Whitewater Hillary, Commodities Clinton Clinton Clinton Clinton Personal Personal Financial Financial Bernard Nussbaum Clinton, Bill Altman, Roger Clinton, Hillary White House Counsel President of the United States Deputy Treasury Secretary First Lady Financial Financial Personal Financial Political Political Political Political Affiliated President President Affiliated SubCabinet Cabinet Cabinet Cabinet Affiliated President President President 1994 1994 1994 1995 1996 1996 1996 1996 Clinton Clinton Clinton Clinton Clinton Clinton Clinton Clinton 1996 1996 Hubbell Espy Cisneros Pena Filegate Chinagate Chinagate Chinagate Clinton, Lincoln Bedroom Clinton, WH Coffees Hubbell, Webster Espy, Michael Cisneros, Henry Pena, Federico Clinton, Hillary Clinton, Bill Lindsey, Bruce Ickes, Harold Associate Attorney General Secretary of Agriculture Secretary of HUD Secretary of Transportation First Lady President of the United States Presidential Adviser Deputy Chief of Staff Clinton Clinton Political Political President President Clinton, Bill Clinton, Bill Chinagate Herman Clinton Clinton Political Financial President Cabinet Gore, Albert Herman, Alexis 1996 1997 1997 Gore, Campaign Calls Clinton, Campaign Calls Babbitt Clinton Clinton Clinton Political Political Political Gore, Albert Clinton, Bill Babbitt, Bruce 1996 1998 1999 2001 2003 2003 2004 2004 Segal Clinton, Lewinsky Clinton, Broaddrick Chavez, Nannygate 3 Plame Plame Bush, National Guard Kerik Clinton Clinton Clinton Bush 43 Bush 43 Bush 43 Bush 43 Bush 43 Financial Personal Personal Personal Political Political Personal Personal 2005 2003 Bush 43 Bush 43 Financial Political Griles, Steven Armitage, Richard Director, AmeriCorps President of the United States President of the United States Secretary of Labor Political Advisor to President Vice President President Secretary of Homeland Security former Deputy Secretary of Interior Deputy Secretary of State Bush 43 Political President Bush, George W. President Bush 43 Political President Cheney, Richard Vice President Bush 43 Political President Gonzales, Albert Attorney General 2005 Griles (Abramoff) Plame NSA Warrantless wiretaps NSA Warrantless wiretaps NSA Warrantless wiretaps NSA Warrantless wiretaps Cabinet President Cabinet SubCabinet President President Affiliated Cabinet Cabinet President Affiliated SubCabinet Cabinet President of the United States President of the United States Vice President of the United States Secretary of Labor Vice President of the United States President of the United States Secretary of Interior 1996 1998 Bush 43 Political Hayden, Michael 2006 2006 2006 2007 2007 2007 Allen Jackson, I Bremer US Attorneys US Attorneys US Attorneys Bush 43 Bush 43 Bush 43 Bush 43 Bush 43 Bush 43 Financial Financial Financial Political Political Political 2007 Doan Bush 43 Political Doan, Lurita NSA Director former White House Domestic Policy Aide HUD Secretary U.S. Envoy to Iraq Special Assistant to the President Attorney General White House Counsel Chair of the General Services Administration 2007 2008 2011 Tobias Jackson, II Fast & Furious Bush 43 Bush 43 Obama Personal Financial Political Tobias, Randall Jackson, Alphonso Holder, Eric AIDS Czar Secretary of HUD Attorney General 2011 2011 Goolsbee Solyndra Obama Obama Financial Financial President SubCabinet Cabinet Cabinet Cabinet Cabinet Cabinet SubCabinet SubCabinet Cabinet Cabinet SubCabinet President Goolsbee, Austan Obama, Barack Economic Aid President 2005 2005 2005 4 Segal, Eli Clinton, Bill Clinton, Bill Chavez, Linda Rove, Karl Cheney, Richard Bush, George W. Kerik, Bernard Allen, Claude Jackson, Alphonso Bremer, L. Paul Rove, Karl Gonzales, Albert Miers, Harriett 2011 Babbitt FAA Obama Personal 2012 GSA Obama Financial 2012 2012 Flynn Commerce Hit and Run Obama Obama Political Personal 2012 Fast & Furious Obama Political 2012 Petraeus Obama Personal Cabinet SubCabinet SubCabinet Cabinet SubCabinet SubCabinet Babbitt, Randolph FAA Administrator Johnson, Martha Administrator of GSA Flynn, Terence Bryson, John NLRB Board Member Commerce Secretary Melson, Kenneth ATF Director Petraeus, David CIA Director APPENDIX TABLE 2 List of Gubernatorial Scandals Year Description Governor Type State Position Political Financial Financial Target Barron, William Wallace Smith, Preston Barnes, Ben 1972 1972 1972 bribery evade banking regulations;stock fraud evade banking regulations;stock fraud Barron Smith Smith West Virginia Texas Texas Governor Governor Smith, lt. governor 1973 1973 1974 accused of scheme to have donors write off donations as tax deductible phony company set up to skim state funds tax fraud Cahill Wallace Hall Financial Financial Financial McCrain, JM Wallace, Gerald Hall, David New Jersey Alabama Oklahoma perjury allegedly used influence to help brother get deal extortion extortion extortion mail fraud;racketeering Reinecke Carey Moore Moore Moore Mandel Personal Financial Political Political Political Political Reinecke, Edwin (Ed) Carey, Hugh Moore, Arch Alfred Jr Jordan, George Loy, William Mandel, Marvin California New York West Virginia West Virginia West Virginia Maryland Chief fundraiser Governor's brother Governor lieutenant governor-19691974 Governor Governor 1974 1975 1975 1975 1975 1975 1976 1977 1977 1978 allegations that New Hampshire Gov. Meldrin Thomson has used employees paid with federal funds to perform political chores fundraising irregularities during campaign mail fraud; racketeering bribery Thompson Shapp Mandel Blanton Political Financial Financial Financial Thompson, Meldrin Shapp, Milton Mandel, Marvin Blanton, Leonard Ray New Hampshire Pennsylvania Maryland Tennessee 1978 conspiracy; mail fraud; tax evasion Blanton Political Sisk, T. Edward Tennessee 1979 1979 bribery accused of lying to grand jury Brown Finch Financial Financial Diedrich, Ralph Perry, Bob California Mississippi 1979 1979 1980 providing false documents department director Casino Control Commission Finch Thompson Byrne Financial Financial Financial Blalock, Chester Tsoumas, A.T. MacDonald, Kenneth Mississippi Illinois New Jersey 1980 1980 1980 he failed to list a $15,000 contribution from an FBI Brilab informant laundering campaign funds miszue of addresses for political purposes Treen Byrne Brown Financial Financial Political Roemer, Charles Lee, George Brown, Edmund Louisiana New Jersey California 1980 1980 conspiracy; mail fraud; tax evasion misuse of addresses for political purposes Blanton Brown Political Political Hood, Clyde Edd Brown, Edmund Tennessee California 5 Governor Governor Governor Governor Governor special assistant to governor Orange County Board of Supervisors Aide Head of Highway Safety Program department director Assistant Secretary of State State Commissioner of Administration Assistant Secretary of State Governor special assistant to governor Governor State Commissioner of Transportation 1981 corruption O'Neill Financial Powers, Arthur Connecticut 1981 kickbacks King Financial Locke, Barry Massachusetts 1981 1981 accused of pay for play influence peddling;sale of pardons Carey Blanton Financial Political Frucher, Meyer Blanton, Leonard Ray New York Tennessee 1982 traded bribes for jobs Thompson Financial Toolen, Vincent A. Illinois 1982 1982 bribery refused to turn over files related to bribery case King King Financial Financial Coady, John Hampers, Joyce Massachusetts Massachusetts 1982 fraud and extortion Harris Financial Caldwell, Sam Georgia 1982 obstructed investigation into use of federal funds King Political Grace, Herman New Mexico 1982 irregularities in travel Graham Political Beach, Eldridge Florida 1982 1982 1983 accused of plagiarism using campaign money for personal use multiple charges Kean Thompson Graham Personal Personal Personal Lewis, Ronald H. Thompson, James Bennett, Daniel New Jersey Illinois Florida 1983 1983 1983 1984 1985 1985 1985 falsifying documents homosexuality charge misuse of travel falsifying documents to obtain a loan impeachment charge for handling state contract harvesting hay from set aside farm Kean Allain Sheffield Clinton DiPrete Sheffield Branstad Personal Personal Personal Personal Financial Financial Financial Palley, Reese Allain, Bill Sheffield, Bill Clinton, Roger Murray, Robert Sheffield, Bill Branstad, Monty New Jersey Mississippi Alaska Arkansas Rhode Island Alaska Iowa nominee for state education commissioner Governor Flager County Sherriff State Lotto Commission Chair Governor Governor Governor' brother COS Governor brother 1985 1985 1985 1986 1986 1986 Manipulated lease requirements so company could win state contracts misuse of office for political purposes conspiracy accepting bribes to issue parole bugging Karl Rove, former strategist to Clements use state employees in campaign Sheffield Orr Edwards Edwards White O'Neill Political Political Political Financial Political Political Shively, John Krohne, Paul Edwards, Edwin Marsellus, Howard White, Mark O'Neill Alaska Indiana Louisiana Louisiana Texas Connecticut Chief of Staff aide to governor Governor Chair of State parole Board Governor Governor 1987 established company to funnel business to Cuomo Financial Levine, Alexander New York Executive Director of NY State Thruway Authority Edwards Moore Mecham Financial Political Financial Ray, Wayne Faerber, Kenneth Mecham, Evan Louisiana West Virginia Arizona 1987 1987 1988 private deals while in governor's office; extortion from companies with business before state funneling money illegally to Moore's campaign Massachusetts Transportation Secretary Director of Employee Relations Governor Department of Administrative Services Director Deputy Revenue Commissioner Revenue Commissioner Georgia Labor Commissioner Director Governor's Office of Community Affairs Director Florida Highway Patrol 1988 cocaine and bribery Campbell Personal Greer, Dick South Carolina 1989 1989 awarding lucrative state contracts to friends campaign finance irregularities Martinez Deukmejian Financial Financial Coler, Greg Deukmjian, George Florida California top aide State Energy Commissioner Governor State Development Board Chair Health and Rehabilitative Secretary Governor 1989 violation of ethics laws involving working for industry group Deukmejian Financial Kilgore, Wendell California scientific adviser 1989 recorded conversations between lawyers and suspects O'Neill Political Forst, Lester Connecticut 1989 1989 1989 personal phone calls affair. Harassment divorce, Martinez Bayh Caperton Personal Personal Personal Coler, Greg Crawford, Jack Caperton, Gaston Florida Indiana West Virginia State police commander Health and Rehabilitative Secretary Lottery Director Governor 6 1990 1990 irregular travel expenses tried to avoid conflict of interest Gardner Martinez Financial Financial Turner, Isaiah DeFoor, J. Allison Washington Florida State Employment Security Commissioner running mate 1990 initiated investigation of political enemy Martinez Political Tucker, Katie Florida Director State Department of Revenue 1990 1990 1991 didn't really work for the agency but was paid by them reckless driving violation of ethics laws, keeping stock in company Martinez Cuomo Hickel Political Personal Financial West, B.J. Cuomo, Madeline Hickel, Walter Florida New York Alaska 1991 1991 1991 misappropriating funds, laundering money breach of responsibility pay for play (maybe) Richards Wilkinson Walters Financial Financial Financial Taylor, Bill Wilkinson, Wallace Walters, David Texas Kentucky Oklahoma 1991 taped the governor's conversations Hickel Political Kendall, Bruce Alaska 1991 1991 1991 1991 taped the governor's conversations improper influence travel for preaching DUI Hickel Wilson Hunt Miller Political Political Personal Personal Tanner, Dan Hannigan, Maurice Hunt, Guy Miller, Matthew 1992 illegal transfer of funds from campaigns Gregg Financial Gregg, Judd Alaska California Alabama Georgia New Hampshire 1992 1992 extortion Gennifer Flowers Wilkinson Clinton Financial Political Wilkinson, Bruce Clinton, Bill Kentucky Arkansas Appointment Secretary (and Gov's nephew) Governor 1992 pay for promotion of national guard members, following fundraiser Jones Political DeZarn Kentucky Adjutant General of the Kentucky National Guard 1992 1992 1993 1993 illegal travel harassment benefited from state bond deals violate state election laws Wilson Weicker Florio Walters Personal Personal Financial Financial Covitz, Carl Herndon, John Salema, Joseph Walters, David California Connecticut New Jersey Oklahoma head of states transportation agencies Deputy Chief of Staff COS Governor 1993 1993 1993 bribery & extortion; pleas out, pledges to not do it again delivered money to director violating state ethics law Walters Folsom Hunt Financial Financial Financial Walters, David Lee Folsom, Jim Hunt, Harold Guy Oklahoma Alabama Alabama Governor Governor Governor 1993 1993 felony counts of misconduct possible problem contract Chiles Wilson Financial Political Hardy, Viann Sharp, Sharon Florida California 1993 1993 1993 abusing employees money to suppress black vote funneling money to campaign Thompson Whitman Walters Political Political Political Thompson, Robert Rollins, Ed Brawner, Larry Wisconsin New Jersey Oklahoma Deputy Secretary of Management Systems State Lotto Director Emergency Government Director Campaign Manager Adviser 1993 1993 1993 1993 1994 tainted money affair / paternity test affair conflict of interest Florio Wilson Sundlun Fordice Engler Political Political Personal Personal Financial Levine, Peter Wilson, Pete Sundlun, Bruce Fordace, Kirk Engler, John New Jersey California Rhode Island Mississippi Michigan Chairman of Sports and Exposition Authority Governor Governor Governor Financial Adviser 1994 1994 receiving pay for not working kickbacks Voinovich Voinovich Financial Financial Tall, Booker Mifsud, Paul Ohio Ohio administrator of the state's Equal Opportunity Center COS 1994 accused of intervening on behalf of contributor in immigration problem Wilson Political Wilson, Pete California Governor 1994 accused by opponent of intervening for a favorable loan Thompson Political Thompson, Tommy Wisconsin Governor 7 Aide Governors daughter Governor executive director of the Texas Department of Commerce Governor Governor Director Boards and Commissions Director Boards and Commissions CHP Commissioner Governor Governors son Governor 1994 1994 1994 1994 Caperton Branstad Chiles Richards Political Political Political Political Giambrone, Anthony Gross, Douglas Singleton, Harry Barrientos, Juan West Virginia Iowa Florida Texas State Lotto Director COS Corrections Secretary Campaign Office Manager 1994 1994 1994 1995 fabricating testimony violating lobbying laws firing underling for supporting opponent shredding documents flight to Cayman on jet owned by gambling magnate accused of getting free lumber for lake home harassment strong-armed campaign contribution Folsom Folsom Chiles Hunt Personal Personal Personal Political Folsom, Jim Folsom, Jim Latham, Gary Wilkins, R.W. Alabama Alabama Florida Alabama 1995 1995 inaccurate testimony conspiracy; mail fraud Wilson Tucker Political Political Mayfield, John Tucker, James Guy California Arkansas Governor Governor Parole Commissioner Ag Adviser Nominee for North Coast Water board Governor Nelson Personal Foster, Sonny Nebraska Aide Whitman Nelson Lowrey Personal Personal Personal Karpinski, Drew Myers, Lawrence Lowrey, Mike New Jersey Nebraska Washington Financial Financial Political Political Political Piraccini, John A. Levey, Allan Linares, Nora Glendening, Parris Edgar, Jim Indiana Maryland Texas Maryland Illinois Insurance Commissioner State EOC Director Governor Head of East West Toll Road Racing Commission Head Exec Director of State Lotto Governor Governor nominee to North Central Florida Regional planning council Governor Chief Inspector General Governor Governor Bacon County Commission Chair Governor Texas Lotto Exec Director State Lands Director Public Aid Director Dodge County Commissioner Governor Commerce Commissioner Governor 1995 1995 1995 1995 improperly obtained welfare beneifts for his mother reactivated personal insurance license to help wife personal relationship with subordinate sexual harassment 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 investigations into operations awarded contracts to friends illegal funneling contributions to campaign MSI Bayh Glendening Bush Glendening Edgar 1996 1996 1997 1997 1997 DUI in 1975 illegal acceptance of gift borrowed $ from attorney and secured contract campaign finance irregularities travel costs Chiles Edgar Chiles Locke Chiles Personal Personal Financial Financial Financial Estes, Charles Edgar, Jim Lewis, Harold Locke, Gary Chiles, Lawton Florida Illinois Florida Washington Florida 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 using government money for personal use expunging phone records violating ban on contributions illegal rules changes MSI Miller Carlson Bush Geringer Edgar Financial Political Political Political Political Taylor, Virgil Carlson, Arne Littwin, Lawrence Magagna, Jim Wright, Robert Georgia Minnesota Texas Wyoming Illinois 1997 1997 1997 1997 vote buying Accepting tickets illegally sexual advances in the past defrauding 3 banks; wire fraud Miller Rowland Whitman Symington Political Personal Personal Personal McCranie, Don Rowland, John G Medina, Gualberto Symington, J. Fife III Georgia Connecticut New Jersey Arizona 1998 1998 illegal fund raising by guardsman funneling campaign money to personal account Cellucci Ridge Financial Financial Vezina, Raymond Simmons, Laurie Massachusetts Pennsylvania 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 violating anti-fraud provisions campaign finance irregularities illegal campaign contributions campaign finance irregularities campaign finance irregularities Olympics shenanigans parole for cash illegal campaign contributions pocketing money and hiding income Hunt Locke Pataki Patton Patton Leavitt Pataki Pataki Huckabee Financial Financial Financial Financial Financial Financial Financial Financial Financial Boyd III, Daniel Marcus Locke, Gary Yoo, Yung Soo Ross, Danny Leavitt, Mike Travis, Brion Pataki, George Huckabee, Mike North Carolina Washington New York Kentucky Kentucky Utah New York New York Arkansas Adjutant General of the Mass National Guard Campaign Aide NC Banking Commission Member Governor Fundraiser Chief of Staff labor Liaison Governor Parole board Chairman Governor Governor 1998 some minor issues with staff Huckabee Political Dalton, Tom Arkansas Director Department of Human Services 8 1998 1998 1998 conflict of interest perjury, lying to investigators racketeering ;conspiracy Hunt Pataki Edwards Political Political Political Goode, Larry McSherry, Sean Edwards, Edwin North Carolina New York Louisiana 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 conflict of interest shoplifting domestic batter affair with staffer sex scandal Bush Hunt Hunt Underwood Romer Keating Political Political Personal Personal Personal Personal Griffin, Florita Tolson, Norris Mills, Michael McBride, Jon Romer, Roy Fallin, Mary Texas North Carolina North Carolina West Virginia Colorado Oklahoma 1999 conflict of interest Bush (Jeb) Financial 1999 accepting illegal gifts Barnes Financial Roach, Dotty Georgia 1999 giving contract to connected firm Cellucci Political Mazareas, Peter Massachusetts 1999 environmental mishaps Gilmore Political Gehr, David Virginia State Highway Administrator Parole Board Member Governor State Housing Department Official Transportation Secretary SBOT Member Washington Liaison Governor Lt. Governor Florida State Athletic Commission Department of Administrative Services Director Director of Mass Educational Financing Authority Head of VA Dept of Transportation 1999 traffic ticket fixing; ordered investigation immediately Siegelman Political Rose, Sheron Alabama Siegelman legislative liaison 1999 1999 1999 traffic ticket fixing; ordered investigation immediately returns donations booze cruise! Siegelman Siegelman Cellucci Political Personal Personal Pitts, Chris Sigelman, Don Blute, Peter Alabama Alabama Massachusetts 1999 misuse of office Cellucci Personal Boviard, Carolyn Massachusetts 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 illegal plane trip DUI national guard drug use Johanns Fordice Glendening Bush Bush Personal Personal Personal Personal Personal Crowley, Jack Fordice, Kirk Glendening, Raymond Bush, George W Bush, George W Nebraska Mississippi Maryland Texas Texas 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 resigned after an internal rebuke about possible mismanagement conflict of interest conflict of interest parole for cash using office for personal gain Ryan Guinn Guinn Pataki Underwood Financial Financial Financial Financial Financial Vickrey, Robert Wyett, Richard Bass, Tami Donohue, Patrick Underwood, Cecil Illinois Nevada Nevada New York West Virginia 2000 2000 using the office for personal gain ethics rules violated with travel Underwood Keating Financial Financial Snider, John Keating, Frank West Virginia Oklahoma 2000 2000 contracts for contributions under investigation for links to mob Pataki Whitman Political Political Gargano, Charles Consovoy, Andrew New York New Jersey 2000 2000 2000 2000 let prisoners have sex in governor’s house covering up in drivers license scandal accused of playing politics with investigations encouraging employees of the state to contribute Hodges Ryan Pataki Ryan Political Political Political Political Bauer, Dean Mauskopf, Roslynn Ryan, George H. South Carolina Illinois New York Illinois Chair of Empire State Development Corporation Parole Board Chief Head of Corrections Department Inspector General Inspector General Governor 2001 2001 2001 2001 2001 reaped illegal gambling profits from video poker machines donation given back to financier no bid contract funds from oracle tainted accepting (but not disclosing) gifts Hunt Keating Davis Davis Ryan Financial Financial Financial Financial Financial Garrett, Garland Keating, Frank Baheti, Arun Davis, Gray Ryan, George H. North Carolina Oklahoma California California Illinois Transportation Adviser Governor Director of E-Government Governor Governor 9 Florida Siegelman community relations director Governor Massport Director Economic Development Director Nebfraska Liquor Control Commission Governor Governor's son Governor Governor Head of IL Gaming Board Parole board Chairman Parole Board Member Aide Governor Director of Development Office Governor 2001 2001 bought stock in energy company, looks bad shredding documents Olympics Davis Leavitt Financial Financial 2001 2001 2001 2002 illegal withholding of child-support payments state contracts illegally given to friend firearms charge conflict of interest Taft Pataki Bush (Jeb) Davis Political Political Personal Financial 2002 2002 2002 2002 2002 2002 ethics violations; accepting gifts from companies paid for flights contract given to friend defrauding state pension system hiring irregularities contract given to friend Taft McCallum McGreevey Glendening Leavitt McGreevey 2002 2002 2002 2002 2002 2002 Medicare/Medicaid fraud Racketeering & fraud Federal charges of racketeering & fraud lobbying illegally lobbying illegally made political calls from office 2002 2002 2002 2002 2002 California Utah cos State Budget Director Patel, Vin Ohio New York Florida California Director Ohio Department of Job and Family Services Governor Governor's daughter Head of E-Gov Financial Financial Financial Financial Financial Financial Zomparelli, Gino McCallum, Scott Levinsohn, Paul Chaptman, Nathan Windley, Phillip Taffet, Gary Ohio Wisconsin New Jersey Maryland Utah New Jersey Patton Ryan Ryan Barnes Barnes Martz Financial Financial Political Political Political Political Henry, Steve Ryan, George H. Fawell, Scott Ray, Walter Whitworth, Bobby Martz, Judy harassment prescription illegal fight club cocaine affair; abusing patronage powers Shaheen Bush (Jeb) Leavitt Bush (Jeb) Patton Political Personal Personal Personal Personal Vetter, Wayne Bush, Noelle Leavitt, Chase Bush, Noelle Patton, Paul 2003 funneled money to insider Benson Financial D'Alessandro, Joe Kentucky Illinois Illinois Georgia Georgia Montana New Hampshire Florida Utah Florida Kentucky New Hampshire 2003 2003 2003 sexual harassment bribery scheme hired niece, which violated law (sort of) Johanns Rowland Carcieri Political Political Political McPhearson, Pat Ellef, Peter N Carcieri, Donald Nebraska Connecticut Rhode Island Douglas County Election Commissioner Rowland co-chief of staff Governor 2003 2003 2003 2003 using state police charity fund to bankroll romantic liaison arrested on drug charge general accusations affair with state employee Erlich Rowland Pawlenty Wise Personal Personal Personal Personal Maryland Connecticut Minnesota West Virginia State Police Chief Governor's step son Governor Governor 2003 2004 2004 groping scandal funneled state money to businesses he owns using nonprofit illegally Schwarzenegger McGreevey Erlich Personal Financial Financial Norris, Edward T. Largay, Ryan Andreotti, Eugene Wise, Bob Jr. Schwarzenegger, Arnold Watley, William Ehrlich, Robert California New Jersey Maryland Governor Commerce Secretary Governor 2004 2004 conflict of interest - wife owns lobbying firm while he is COS sexual harassment & assault Granholm McGreevey Political Personal Weiner, Rick McGreevey, James E. Michigan New Jersey 2004 2004 had sex with babysitter 40 yars prior ethics & graft charges Kulongoski Rowland Personal Personal Goldschmidt, Neil Rowland, John G Oregon Connecticut Chief of Staff Governor Chair of State Board of Higher Ed Governor 2004 2005 ethics complaint alleges spent political contributions on personal expenses coingate Perry Taft Personal Financial Perry, Rick Conrad, Jim Texas Ohio 2005 2005 2005 awarding questionable contract to brother in law illegal contracts for canal convicted ethics violating Blago Pataki Taft Financial Financial Financial Millette, Robert Pataki, George Taft II, Robert A. Illinois New York Ohio 10 Maviglio, Steve Ward, Lynne Romer-Sensky, Jacqueline Pataki, George Ohio Turnpike Commission Executive Director Governor Aide Appointee Chief Information Officer Aide lieutenant governor-12/9512/03 Governor Ryan ex-chief of staff Paroles Board Paroles Board Governor Head of Fish and Game Department Governor's daughter Governor's son Governor's daughter Governor State Personnel Director Governor Governor Director of Finance and Administration for Illinois Department of Transportation Governor Governor 2005 2005 2005 fined by state ethics commission grand theft investigation coingate Perdue Bush (Jeb) Taft Financial Financial Financial Perdue, Sonny Crosby, James Taft, Bob Georgia Florida Ohio 2005 Fletcher Political Murgatroyd, Richard Kentucky 2005 improper hiring breaking ethical rules for using RV from contributor Daniels Political Daniels, Mitch Indiana 2005 2005 2005 2005 2005 criminal conspiracy; political discrimination conflict of interest illegal use of state vehicles illegal fundraising missed deadline for campaign filing Fletcher Rell Pawlenty Doyle Carcieri Political Political Political Political Political Groves, Daniel Moody, M Lisa Pawlenty, Tim Anthony, Ruben Carcieri, Donald Kentucky Connecticut Minnesota Wisconsin Rhode Island 2005 2005 2005 2005 2005 2005 investigated for his part in criminal conspiracy sent subordinates direct mail scandalous past, working for Gov . Rowland used state funds for family travel charged with domestic battery harassment Fletcher Carcieri Rell Rounds Sanford Bush (Jeb) Political Political Political Personal Personal Personal Cave,Stan Carcieri, Donald Garber, Ross Rounds, Mike Folks, Will White, Terry Kentucky Rhode Island Connecticut South Dakota South Carolina Florida 2005 allegedly illegally ordered county employees to do campaign work Minner Personal Sharp, Thomas B Delaware 2005 drunk driving conviction Minner Personal Cordrey, Richard Delaware 2005 executive editor position of magazine thought to distract terminator Schwarzenegger Personal Schwarzenegger, Arnold California 2006 2006 irregular travel reimbursement campaign finance irregularities Daniels Richardson Financial Financial Bolejack, Heather Richardson, Bill Indiana New Mexico 2006 delay in report to Gov about lavish salaries Vilsack Financial Running, Richard Iowa 2006 2006 delay in report to Gov about lavish salaries accused of steering business to fiancé’s firm Vilsack Blunt Financial Financial Barto, Jane Harris, James Iowa Missouri 2006 2006 funneling contracts to campaign contributor Abramoff contribution Doyle Erlich Financial Political Thompson, Georgia Ehrlich, Robert Wisconsin Maryland Workforce Development Director Deputy Appointments Director Purchasing official in Department of Administration Governor 2006 2006 2006 2006 2006 returned 10,000 in campaign donations to Manitowoc company after given grant Abramoff contribution campaigned on state time when working for leg illegally solicited contributions from lobbyists contracting services before committee assembled Doyle Doyle Doyle Sebelius Napolitano Political Political Political Political Political Doyle, Jim Doyle, Jim Judge, Rich Sebelius, Kathleen Napolitano, Janet Wisconsin Wisconsin Wisconsin Kansas Arizona Governor Governor/ candidate Campaign manager candidate Governor 2006 2006 misappropriation of funds and fraud in awarding state contract donations from utility interests Doyle Doyle Political Political Thompson, Georgia Doyle, Jim Wisconsin Wisconsin Administrative aide Governor 2006 2006 2006 2006 improper relationship between gov and Maryland Public Service Commission improper hiring conspiracy ethics issues Erlich Fletcher Murkowski Gibbons Political Political Political Political Erlich, Bob Fletcher, Ernie Clark, Jim Gibbons, Jim Maryland Kentucky Alaska Nevada Governor Governor Murkowski COS Governor 2006 claims in lawsuit that he was fired for not taking part in political hiring Blago Political Blago, Rod Illinois Director Illinois Historical Institute 2006 used computer for personal uses Pataki Personal King, Glen New York 2006 sexual harassment Blunt Personal Ferrell, Fred Missouri 11 Governor Corrections Secretary Governor Fletcher deputy chief of staff Governor Fletcher deputy chief of staff COS Governor DOT Deputy Secretary Governor Fletcher deputy chief of staff Governor Attorney Governor Spokesman Elder Affairs Secretary Nominee for Finance Secretary Nominee for Finance Secretary Governor ED of Indiana Crim Justice Institute Governor Workforce Development Director Director of Governor's Office for Small Cities Director of Department of Agriculture 2007 corruption and blackmail Lingle Financial Hawaii Financial Financial Financial Financial Political Political Awana, Bob Chorpenning, Patrick F. Corzine, Jon Troha, Dennis Gibbons, Jim Eckersley, Scott Carcieri, Donald Bush (Jeb) Political Aaronson, Burt Florida COS Arizona Department of Vets Services Governor Fundraiser Governor Deputy General Counsel Governor Palm Beach County Commissioner 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 investigations into allegations o nepotism gifts / influence from Carla Katz; partial disclosure trucking magnate illegal contributions allegations he accepted gifts from CEO non compliance of provisions for public records sent subordinates direct mail Napolitano Corzine Doyle Gibbons Blunt Carcieri 2007 fundraising irregularities 2007 Riley Personal Bowen, Mark Alabama Commanding General of National Guard 2007 2007 2007 2007 2008 2008 2008 improper relationship with female officer In December 2007 allegations surfaced that Morrison had an affair with an office administrator, Linda Carter, in the district attorney's office, that continued after he was elected Attorney General investigated by game warden car wreck x2-not wearing seat belt alleged employment of illegal immigrant did not disclose vacation property possible conflict of interest on tuition problem travel costs Sebelius Rounds Corzine Gibbons Perdue Manchin Easley Personal Personal Personal Personal Financial Financial Financial Morrison, Paul Rounds, Mike Brother Corzine, Jon Gibbons, Jim Perdue, Sonny Manchin, Nathanial Easley, Mike Kansas South Dakota New Jersey Nevada Georgia West Virginia North Carolina 2008 2008 2008 conviction of corruption violating campaign law plotting to sell Senate seat Henry Easley Blago Financial Financial Political McMahan, Jeff Easley, Mike Blago, Rod Oklahoma North Carolina Illinois 2008 2008 2008 2008 2008 2008 2008 2008 2008 2008 Strickland Blago Palin Blunt Blunt Blago Blago Blago Spitzer Gibbons Political Political Political Political Political Political Political Political Personal Personal Jones-Kelley, Helen Cellini, William Palin, Sarah Blunt, Matt Blunt, Matt Rezko, Antoin Harris, John Harris, John Spitzer, Eliot Gibbons, Jim Ohio Illinois Alaska Missouri Missouri Illinois Illinois Illinois New York Nevada 2008 2008 2008 2008 illegally using citizen data to help Obama influence peddling abuse of power deleting emails, violating sunshine laws wrongful termination influence peddling selling vacant Senate seat mail fraud involved with prostitution ring-call girl used state funds to text with mistress awarded MA degree under unusual circumstances use of state vehicles for personal travel affairs & cover-up divorce, Manchin Blunt Paterson Gibbons Personal Personal Personal Personal Bresch, Heather Blunt, Matt Paterson,David Gibbons, Jim West Virginia Missouri New York Nevada 2009 took money for no bid contract Rendell Financial Rubin, Mitchell Pennsylvania 2009 pressure to push financial deals that would enrich political heavyweights in NM Richardson Financial Meyer, Saul New Mexico 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 pay to play pay to play pay to play pay to play pay to play illegal use of funds campaigned illegally for Osborne Richardson Richardson Richardson Richardson Richardson Granholm Heineman Financial Financial Financial Financial Financial Financial Political Bland, Gary Correra, Anthony Correra, Marx Malott, Bruce Richardson, Bill Blackwell, II Arthur Stitt, Carol New Mexico New Mexico New Mexico New Mexico New Mexico Michigan Nebraska 12 Arizona New Jersey Wisconsin Nevada Missouri Rhode Island Attorney Gen Governor' brother Governor Governor Governor Governor's cousin Governor State Auditor and Inspector Governor Governor Director of the Ohio Department of Job and Family Services fundraiser Governor Governor Governor fundraiser Blagojevich chief of staff Blagojevich chief of staff Governor Governor Governor's daughter Governor Governor Governor Penn Turnpike Commissioner Investment Manager Member of State Investment Office and Educational Retirement Board adviser head of PAC Chair of ERB Governor Emergency Manager State Auditor and Inspector 2009 used political office to raise political money Schweitzer Political Schweitzer, Walt Montana Governor's brother 2009 Monk pleaded guilty in 2009 to one count of wire fraud for helping Blagojevich try to squeeze a racetrack owner for a $100,000 campaign donation. Blago Political Monk, Alonzo Illinois Chief of Staff 2009 violate campaign finance laws using Uconn pollster to help craft message Rell Political Rell, Jodi Connecticut Governor 2009 flew to Argentina for affair; using office for personal gain Sanford Personal Sanford,Mark South Carolina 2010 steering business to company owned by friend Kulongoski Financial Long, Mark Oregon Governor Director of Department of Consumer and Business Services 2010 accused of lying under oath about soliciting Yankees tickets Paterson Financial Paterson,David New York Governor 2010 used taxpayer email account to communicate with consultant Quinn Political Stermer, Jerry Illinois COS 2010 2010 travel expenses cover-up of aide Crist Paterson Political Political Peterman, Frank Paterson,David 2010 2010 fundraising irregularities behavior complaints (not specific) Lynch Rell Political Personal Bodi, Mark Marie, Joe 2010 DUI Lynch Personal Simard, Richard Florida New York New Hampshire Connecticut New Hampshire 2010 boating under the influence Crist Personal Carlson, Jeff Florida State Liquor Commissioner Highlands County Commissioner 2011 2011 facing legal actions misuse of airplane (giving rides to others) Nixon Martinez Financial Financial Lineberry, Margaret Martinez, Susana Missouri New Mexico Chair of MO Housing Development Agency Governor 2011 2011 Haley Perry Financial Financial Haley, Nikki Perry, Rick South Carolina Texas Governor Governor 2011 Haley's Campaign to repay state thousands of dollars for use of state-funded security for fundraisers out of state failing to report rental income from house in CS Christie's son took helicopter to high school baseball game Christie Financial Christie, Chris New Jersey Governor 2011 failed to disclose trip on statement of financial interests Corbett Financial Corbett Rhode Island Governor 2011 campaign finance irregularities Haley Financial Ard, Ken South Carolina lt governor of SC under Haley 1/12/11-3/9-12 2011 2011 laws may have been broken on consulting; ethics compliant filed Ethics Compliant about financial disclosures Haley Deal Financial Financial Haley, Nikki Deal, Nathan South Carolina Georgia 2011 2011 2011 intervening in tax cases using state email address for politics campaign finance irregularities Otter Snyder Perdue Political Political Political Chigbrow, Royce Andrews, Greg Reichard, Peter Idaho Michigan North Carolina 2011 2011 2011 Herbert Perdue Scott Political Political Political Kellen, Dennis Sitton, Juleigh Scott, Rick Utah North Carolina Florida 2011 violations of state procurement laws campaign finance irregularities emails deleted before became governror In March 2011, White was indicted on seven felony counts including voter fraud, perjury and theft; indicated it was true but he had a good reason Daniels Political White, Charlie Indiana 2011 violation of law to appoint Nixon Political Nixon, Jay Missouri 13 Department of Juvenile Justice Secretary Governor State Liquor Commission Chair DOT Commissioner Governor Governor Idaho Tax Commission Chairman Staff Campaign Finance Director ED of Alcoholic Beverage Control Campaign Finance Director Governor Secretary of State Board Members of the Board of Directors of Missouri Employers Mutual Insurance Co 2011 2011 Jindal Foundation may be on the take using state equipment for side business Jindal Haley Political Personal Jindal, Bobby Sandifer Louisiana South Carolina Governor Governor's Chef 2012 Haley to repay state thousands of dollars for use of state-funded plane Haley Financial Haley, Nikki South Carolina Governor 2012 2012 convicted of embezzlement in the past; some improprieties illegal contributions to LT Gov McDonnell Patrick Financial Financial Schneider, Todd Murray, Timothy Virginia Massachusetts 2012 embezzling from vets groups Walker Financial Kavanaugh, Kevin Wisconsin 2012 embezzling from vets groups Walker Financial Russell, Tim Wisconsin Executive mansion chef Lt. Governor Treasurer, Milwaukee Veterans group Treasurer, Milwaukee Veterans group 2012 hiding surplus funds Brown Political Coleman, Ruth California 2012 working for campaign and state Schweitzer Political Gallik, David Montana 2012 2012 2012 2012 mishandling of firing working for campaign on county time handling of contracts working for campaign on county time Herbert Walker Scott Walker Political Political Political Political Njord, John Wink, Darlene MacNamara, Steve RindFleisch, Kelly Utah Wisconsin Florida Wisconsin Director of CA Parks and Rec Department Commissioner of Political Practices Head of Utah Transportation Department Aide Chief of Staff Aide 2012 CPRIT grants investigated for awarding of contracts to campaign committees Perry Political Perry, Rick Texas Governor 2012 2012 2012 political advisor using state resources for political purposes quid pro quo on hiring speeding and asleep at the wheel Martinez Kasich Patrick Political Political Personal McCleskey, Jay Arshinkoff, Alex Murray, Timothy New Mexico Ohio Massachusetts Governor Summit County Lt. Governor 2012 2012 past accusations of assault of teen boy party at house renting from governor Patrick Chafee Personal Personal McGee, Stan Hourahan, Stephen Massachusetts Rhode Island State Director of MA Gaming Commission Senior Adviser 2012 accused of inappropriate sexual act in office with staff member Scott Personal Carroll, Jennifer Florida Lt. Governor 14 Cox-Snell Goodness of Fit The models display two models of goodness of fit: Harrell’s C and Somer’s D. The graphs below model the fit of the model of the Cox-Snell residuals against a straight 45 degree line and verifies the fit of the model by estimating the empirical Nelson-Aalen cumulative hazard function with the Cox-Snell residuals (Cleeves, et al. 2010). The Cox-Snell residual for the jth observation is defined as: CSresidualj =H0(tj) exp(xjβx). The graphs below (Figures 1 and 2) are not exhaustive of all of the variables employed but sample a few of the key covariates. In each case, the residuals appear to fit the model well. These findings, along with those from Tables 1 and 2 in the text, suggest that there is consistent goodness of fit for the models. 15 APPENDIX FIGURE 1 Cumulative Hazard of Cox-Snell Residuals (Table 1): Personal Scandals 0 .5 1 1.5 2 (A) Governor Scandals 0 .5 1 Cox-Snell residual 1.5 Nelson-Aalen cumulative hazard 2 Cox-Snell residual 0 .5 1 1.5 2 (B) Presidential Scandals 0 .5 1 Cox-Snell residual 1.5 Nelson-Aalen cumulative hazard 2 Cox-Snell residual 16 APPENDIX FIGURE 2 Cumulative Hazard of Cox-Snell Residuals (Table 1): Personal Income Change 0 .5 1 1.5 2 2.5 (A) Governor Scandals 0 .5 1 1.5 Cox-Snell residual Nelson-Aalen cumulative hazard 2 2.5 Cox-Snell residual 0 .5 1 1.5 2 (B) Presidential Scandals 0 .5 1 Cox-Snell residual 1.5 Nelson-Aalen cumulative hazard 2 Cox-Snell residual 17 Alternative Parameterized Models The data presented in the tables in the text employ a Cox model which is appropriate as a fit for the data. However, if we made other assumptions about the shape of the hazard function, we might want to employ a parameter function. The data demonstrate that the findings with respect to the key variables is virtually identical in sign and statistical significance. Thus, although the data in the text are appropriate, it appears to matter little which specific models are used. 18 APPENDIX TABLE 3 Weibull Parameterized Governor Scandals Duration Models Model 1‡ Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5 Governor .343 ** (.177) .211 ** (.177) .399 ** (.209) .286 * (.192) .291 ** (.189) Personal Scandal 3.65 * (2.99) 3.42 (2.79) 2.13 (1.60) 2.84 (2.19) 1.78 (1.46) Financial Scandal 1.25 (.746) 1.37 (.859) 1.45 (.897) 1.46 (.880) .841 (.810) Second Term 1.50 (.835) 2.42 (1.24) 1.96 (.969) 2.39 * (1.22) 2.17 (1.26) Term Limited Term .801 (.482) .912 (.436) .800 (.480) .756 (.381) 1.19 (.580) Recall .887 (.499) .990 (.652) 1.09 (.692) 1.03 (.650) .912 (.852) GSP Change .868 (.089) .832 (.103) .825 (.118) .837 (.107) .844 (.126) 1.37 *** (.170) 1.47 * (.296) 1.37 * (.237) 1.41 * (.261) 1.46 (.463) .980 (.022) __ __ __ __ Governor’s Partisans Senate __ 45.6 (142.0) __ __ __ Governor’s Partisans House __ __ 2.85 (5.78) __ __ Opponent Average in Legislature __ __ __ __ Divided __ __ __ .134 (.243) __ 30 20 -49.44 15.49 * 7,914 32 21 -52.39 13.37 10,445 32 21 -53.66 13.13 10,445 32 21 -52.92 12.98 10,445 State Personal Income Change Approval N (Observations) Number Failures Log Pseudo Likelihood Wald χ2 Time at Risk .381 (.348) 32 29 -52.46 16.99 ** 10,445 NOTE: ‡ Truncated from 1993-2009 because of availability of approval data. Coefficients are exponentiated coefficients of the hazard ratio using the Weibull distribution. Dependent variable: total time (in days) from when the story broke to when the scandal ended. Failure means the resolution to the scandal ended in resignation, firing or removal from office. The standard errors are robust standard errors, clustered by each scandal. *** indicates statistical significance at p<.01. ** p<.05. * p<.10. Robust standard errors in parentheses. 19 APPENDIX TABLE 4 Weibull Parameterized Governor Scandals Duration Models Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5 President .114 ** (.110) .112 ** (.101) .122 *** (.108) .122 *** (.108) .122 ** (.110) Personal Scandal 2.11 * (.966) 2.73 ** (1.14) 3.67 *** (1.60) 3.67 *** (1.60) 3.19 ** (1.37) Financial Scandal 1.57 * (.408) 1.94 ** (.538) 1.78 ** (.490) 1.78 ** (.490) 1.76 ** (.491) Second Term 1.77 ** (.467) 1.56 (.378) 1.58 (.442) 1.58 * (.442) 1.63 * (.451) GDP Change 1.05 (.100) 1.01 (.098) 1.00 (.094) 1.00 (.094) 1.03 (.095) Personal Income Change 1.09 (.080) 1.11 * (.100) 1.14 ** (.087) 1.14 ** (.087) 1.10 (.086) Approval .995 (.011) __ __ __ __ President’s Partisans Senate __ .936 *** (.022) __ __ __ President’s Partisans House __ __ .989 ** (.004) __ __ Opponent Average in Congress __ __ __ 1.09 *** (.039) __ Divided __ __ __ __ 1.86 ** (.525) 119 67 -179.0 22.01 *** 93,187 119 67 -176.1 35.97 *** 93,187 119 67 -176.0 33.20 *** 93,187 119 67 -176.0 33.20 *** 93,187 119 67 -177.3 27.17 *** 93,187 N (Observations) Number Failures Log Pseudo Likelihood Wald χ2 Time at Risk NOTE: Coefficients are exponentiated coefficients of the hazard ratio. Dependent variable: total time (in days) from when the story broke to when the scandal ended (parameterized with Weibull distrubtion). Failure means the resolution to the scandal ended in resignation, firing or removal from office. The standard errors are robust standard errors, clustered by each scandal. *** indicates statistical significance at p<.01. ** p<.05. * p<.10. Robust standard errors in parentheses. 20 APPENDIX TABLE 5 Significance Scandals President (NYT) Governor (NYT) President (Serious) Governor (Serious) President / Governor .123 ** (.104) .360 ** (.166) .129 ** (.110) .120 *** (.079) Personal Scandal 1.86 (.916) 2.21 (1.78) 1.65 * (.830) 4.21 ** (3.91) Financial Scandal 1.62 ** (.446) 1.41 (.957) 1.45 (.396) 3.15 ** (2.29) Second Term 1.67 ** (.471) 1.06 (.614) 1.87 ** (.547) 1.15 (.515) GDP Change 1.06 (.096) .807 (.119) 1.08 (.101) .668 (.139) New York Times Stories 1.00 (.001) 1.00 (.010) __ __ __ __ .729 (.275) 4.56 (2.44) 118 67 -251.8 22.46 *** 66.6 .651 .302 30 21 -52.83 57.62 *** 10,362 .683 .367 119 67 -255.7 19.82 *** 67.0 .696 .393 30 21 -49.85 50.42 *** 10,445 .724 .448 Serious Charges N (Observations) Number Failures Log Pseudo Likelihood Wald χ2 Time at Risk Harrell’s C Somers’ D NOTE: Coefficients are exponentiated coefficients of the hazard ratio. Dependent variable: total time (in days) from when the story broke to when the scandal ended. Failure means the resolution to the scandal ended in resignation, firing or removal from office. The standard errors are robust standard errors, clustered by each scandal. *** indicates statistical significance at p<.01. ** p<.05. * p<.10. Robust standard errors in parentheses. 21 Duration Selection Models As noted in the text, there may be a selection effect at work in our data. Using the duration model with selection developed by Boehmke (2005), we examine whether or not there is a significant selection effect at work in the selection models in the text. This estimator allows the user to estimate Weibull duration models accounting for potential non-ignorable selectivity using maximum likelihood techniques. These models are analogous to Heckman models for OLS regression. Specifically, this model uses the era of cable news (Cable) as the variable that records whether an observation selects into the duration sample and whether the number of news media stories from the Associated Press (Media Concern) was greater than its average number of stories for all stories in the database (more than 160). The assumption underlying this model is that scandals are more likely to emerge in the era of cable television, driven by specific attention the media pays to a specific scandal in which they are more involved. As the results in the following table (Appendix Table 6) reveal, the selection effects do not improve the models from the text. The Wald χ2 suggests that the coefficients are not distinct from zero. The selection variables are not significant in any of the models. Likewise, the coefficients themselves for the selected variables (president involved, president’s partisans in the House and Senate) are generally similar in sign and significance to those in the text but the significance is lower (House, Senate) or lost (president). Finally, ρ is not significant in two of the three models, demonstrating low correlations between the error terms (Boehmke, et al. 2006). This mirrors Entman’s findings that the media are not found to be effective at maintaining or ending scandal (Entman 2012). 22 APPENDIX TABLE 6 Duration Selection Models Model 1 (President) Selection Model 2 (Senate) Selection Model 2 (House) Selection Duration President .048 (.341) Senate Partisans -.089 *** (.029) House Partisans -.014 *** (.004) Constant Media Concern N (Observations) Log Pseudo Likelihood Wald χ2 ρ .116 (.272) 125 -508.3 .100 (.268) 125 -504.0 .18 .14 -.174 *** -.107 .097 (.267) 125 -503.6 .13 -.097 NOTE: Coefficients are exponentiated coefficients of the hazard ratio using Bohemke (2005) Stata utility dersel. Dependent variable: total time (in days) from when the story broke to when the scandal ended. The standard errors are robust standard errors, clustered by each scandal. *** indicates statistical significance at p<.01. ** p<.05. * p<.10. Robust standard errors in parentheses. 23 -0.40 -0.20 0.00 0.20 0.40 APPENDIX FIGURE 3 ACF: Major Speeches 0 5 10 Lag Bartlett's formula for MA(q) 95% confidence bands 24 15 -0.50 0.00 0.50 APPENDIX FIGURE 4 ACF: Minor Speeches 0 5 10 Lag Bartlett's formula for MA(q) 95% confidence bands 25 15 -0.40 -0.20 0.00 0.20 0.40 APPENDIX FIGURE 5 ACF: SOTU Policy Requests 0 5 10 Lag Bartlett's formula for MA(q) 95% confidence bands 26 15 -0.50 0.00 0.50 APPENDIX FIGURE 5 ACF: Vetoes 0 5 10 Lag Bartlett's formula for MA(q) 95% confidence bands 27 15 -0.50 0.00 0.50 1.00 APPENDIX FIGURE 6 ACF: Press Conferences 0 5 10 Lag Bartlett's formula for MA(q) 95% confidence bands 28 15 -0.50 0.00 0.50 APPENDIX FIGURE 7 ACF: Political Appearances 0 5 10 Lag Bartlett's formula for MA(q) 95% confidence bands 29 15 -0.50 0.00 0.50 APPENDIX FIGURE 8 ACF: Determinations 0 5 10 Lag Bartlett's formula for MA(q) 95% confidence bands 30 15 -1.00 -0.50 0.00 0.50 1.00 APPENDIX FIGURE 9 ACF: Total Unilateral Orders 0 5 10 Lag Bartlett's formula for MA(q) 95% confidence bands 31 15 Trust in Government Scale From the ANES website: “The Trust in Government Index is constructed as follows: Variable 604 (Table 5A.1) is recoded: None of the Time=0, Some of the Time=33, Most of the Time=67, Just About Always=100. Variable V605 (Table 5A.2) is recoded: Few Big Interests=0, Benefit of All=100. Variable 606 (Table 5A.3) is recoded: A Lot=0, Some=50, Not Much=100. Variable 608 (Table 5A.4) is recoded: Quite a Lot=0, Not Many=50, Hardly Any=100. These new scores are then totaled (Don't Know is not scored) and the sum is divided by the number of valid responses. The result is then rounded to the nearest integer. "People have (1958, 1964: I'd like to talk about some of the) different ideas about the government in Washington. These ideas don't refer to democrats or republicans in particular, but just to government in general. We want to see how you feel about these ideas. V604: "How much of the time do you think you can trust the government in Washington to do what is right-- just about always, most of the time or only some of the time?" V605: "Would you say the government is pretty much run by a few big interests looking out for themselves or that it is run for the benefit of all the people?" V606: "Do you think that people in the government waste a lot of money we pay in taxes, waste some of it, or don't waste very much of it?" V608: "Do you think that quite a few of the people running the government are (1958-1972: a little) crooked, not very many are, or do you think hardly any of them are crooked (1958-1972: at all)?"” 32 APPEN DIX TABLE 10 ―Locations of Governor Executive Orders State Website Alabama http://www.archives.alabama.gov/executiveorders/search_Vsearchform.cfm Colorado http://www.colorado.gov/cs/Satellite/GovHickenlooper/CBON/1249674959203 Delaware Idaho Illinois http://governor.delaware.gov/orders/index.shtml http://gov.idaho.gov/mediacenter/execorders/ http://www2.illinois.gov/gov/pages/execorders.aspx Indiana Iowa Maine Maryland Mississippi Missouri Montana http://www.in.gov/gov/2400.htm http://www.statelibraryofiowa.org/services/collections/law-library/govexecorders http://www.maine.gov/governor/lepage/issues/executive_orders-baldacci.shtml http://www.governor.maryland.gov/documents.asp http://www.sos.mo.gov/library/reference/orders/ http://governor.mt.gov/eo/2005.asp Nebraska North Dakota Ohio (Need password to access) http://nlc1.nlc.state.ne.us/docs/pilot/pubs/EOIndex.html http://governor.nd.gov/media-center/executive-orders Pennsylvania Rhode Island South Carolina Tennessee Virginia Washington West Virginia http://www.portal.state.pa.us/portal/server.pt/community/executive_orders/ Wisconsin Wyoming http://proxy.ulib.csuohio.edu:2050/login?url=http://www.rotundacollection.com/DesktopDefault.a spx http://www.scstatehouse.gov/reports/executiveorders/execrpts.htm http://www.tn.gov/sos/pub/execorders/index.htm http://www.lva.virginia.gov/public/EO/ http://www.governor.wa.gov/execorders/archive.asp http://apps.sos.wv.gov/adlaw/executivejournal/searchexecutiveorders.aspx http://docs.legis.wisconsin.gov/code/executive_orders http://www-wsl.state.wy.us/sis/wydocs/execorders.html 33 Name Alabama Department of Archives and History Colorado State Archives Delaware Public Archives Office of the Governor Office of the Governor Office of the Indiana Secretary of State State Library of Iowa Office of the Governor Secretary of State Secretary of State Secretary of State Nebraska Library Commission Office of the Governor Office of the Governor Office of Administration Office of the Governor Division of Publications Library of Virginia Office of the Governor Secretary of State Wisonsin Legislative Documents Wyoming State Library APPENDIX TABLE 11 Governor Executive Action (Agenda), 1991-1999 _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Education Welfare & Children Health Infrastructure Tourism Education Welfare & Children Health Infrastructure Tourism -.124 ** (.067) -.086 ** (.044) .096 (.095) .032 (.129) .357 * (.205) __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ -.095 (.125) -.122 (087) .124 (.196) .128 (.246) .624 ** (.321) Divided Government .063 (.088) .050 (.057) -.024 (.144) .017 (.170) .104 (.328) .065 (.089) .046 (.057) -.020 (.145) .021 (.170) .104 (.330) Governor’s Institutional Power -.185 (.121) .174 (.086) .288 (205) .176 (.218) .141 (.431) -.167 (.123) .183 ** (.086) .279 (.204) .182 (.218) .104 (.431) Election Year .175 ** (.081) -.043 (.055) -.102 (.144) -.114 (.184) -.075 (.345) .165 (.081) -.053 (.055) -.082 (.143) -.107 (.183) -.047 (.347) Governor’s Past Win Percentage .008 (.005) .002 (.003) .018 (.009) -.004 (.010) .032 (.021) .009 (.005) .002 (.003) .017 ** (.009) -.005 (.010) .028 (.021) After First Term -.137 (.093) -.056 (.061) .074 (.154) .379 ** (.184) -.545 (.362) -.150 (.093) -.065 (.061) .086 (.153) .381 (.184) .028 (.021) State Revenue -5.81 (5.77) -1.48 (3.98) 1.38 (.909) -1.73 (1.14) -5.07 ** (2.69) -5.98 (5.93) -2.02 (4.06) 1.44 (.909) 7.10 (1.15) -4.25 * (2.70) State Employees 1.99 (1.81) 2.44 (.126) -3.91 (2.97) -1.20 (3.49) 9.90 (6.85) 1.87 (1.83) 2.95 (1.28) -3.98 (2.98) -1.38 (3.51) 7.78 (6.96) -.015 *** (.005) -.005 (.003) -.007 (.009) -.015 * (.009) -.043 * (.018) -.015 (.005) -.005 (.003) -.007 (.008) -.015 (.009) -.043 * (.017) Governors’ Staff Count .000 (.001) -.000 (.001) .001 (.001) .000 (.002) .002 (.003) .000 (.001) -.003 (.009) .001 (.001) .000 (.002) .002 (.003) N (years) Groups Wald χ2 Log Likelihood 309 46 31.18 *** -629.7 309 46 12.3 * -704.6 309 46 16.57 * -370.9 309 46 10.4 -315.7 309 46 17.2 ** -132.0 309 46 27.43 *** -631.2 309 46 10.31 -705.6 309 46 16.12 * -371.2 309 46 10.64 -315.6 309 46 19.71 ** -131.7 Total Scandals Governor Scandals Governors’ Cabinet Count _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ NOTE: Dependent variable: counts of mentions of various topics in State of the State Addresses, 1991 to 1999 (see DiLeo 2001). *** indicates statistical significance at p<.01 ** p<.05. * p<.10. These series are count data set by year and by state. 34 APPENDIX TABLE 12 Governor Post-Scandal Executive Agenda, 2001-2005 _____________________________________________________________________________________ Law & Order Law & Order Morals Morals -.001 (.003) __ -.002 (.002) __ __ .009 * (.007) __ -.008 * (.005) Divided Government .013 (.006) .012 ** (.005) -.004 (.004) -.003 (.004) Governor’s Institutional Power .018 (.009) .017 ** (.009) .002 (.007) .003 (.007) Election Year -.001 (.004) -.001 (.004) -.005 (.040) -.008 (.030) Governor’s Past Win Percentage -.000 (.000) -.000 (.000) -.007 (.030) -.001 (.003) After First Term -.012 (.005) -.012 ** (.005) .008 ** (.004) .008 (.004) State Revenue -4.01 (2.33) -4.47 ** (2.34) 3.68 ** (1.89) 3.92 (1.90) State Employees 1.78 (2.46) 2.08 (2.45) -3.78 ** (1.99) -3.91 (1.99) Governors’ Cabinet Count -.003 (.002) .004 (.027) .007 (.020) .006 (.020) Governors’ Staff Count .000 (.000) .006 (.007) .008 (.006) .008 (.006) N (years) Groups R2 (within / between) F (Prob > F) ρ 244 49 .10 / .02 2.75 *** .736 244 49 .10 / .03 2.70 *** .736 244 49 .09 / .001 2.99 *** .631 244 49 .10 / .001 3.06 *** .632 Scandals Governor Scandals _____________________________________________________________________________________________ NOTE: Dependent variable: counts of mentions of various topics in State of the State Addresses, 2001 to 2005 (see Coffey 2005). *** indicates statistical significance at p<.01 ** p<.05. * p<.10. These series are count data set by year and by state. 35 APPENDIX TABLE 13 Hearings _____________________________________________________________________________________ All Executive Hearings All Executive Hearings All Executive Hearings Investigatory Hearings Investigatory Hearings Investigatory Hearings -.006 (.005) __ __ .055 *** (.020) __ __ President Scandals (lagged) __ -.026 (.028) __ __ .319 ** (.133) __ Lower Executive Scandals (lagged) __ __ -.004 (.006) __ __ .055 *** (.022) -.052 (.074) -.012 (.081) -.053 (.076) -.491 (.427) -1.00 (.483) -.399 (.433) President’s Party (House) -.001 ** (.000) -.001 (.001) -.001 * (.000) -.003 (.004) -.012 (.005) -.002 (.004) President’s Party Unity (House) -1.63 *** (.271) -1.54 *** (.275) -1.63 *** (.280) -13.3 *** (1.37) -14.9 *** (1.56) -12.8 *** (1.39) Second Half -.045 (.039) -.049 (.040) -.043 (.040) -.267 (.174) -.239 (.170) -.264 (.175) Election Year -.231 *** (.038) -.234 *** (.039) -.223 *** (.037) -.274 * (.157) -.185 (.169) -.320 * (.155) Honeymoon Year .007 (.061) .002 (.063) .016 (.061) -.554 * (.276) -.427 (.275) -.574 * (.277) Average Popularity -.004 (.001) -.003 (.001) -.003 (.001) -.002 (.009) -.010 (.009) -.002 (.009) 36 48.11 *** -211.6 .102 211.6 *** 36 47.48 *** -211.9 .100 204.6 *** 36 47.11 *** -212.1 .100 206.9 *** 36 151.3 *** -70.5 .517 .000 36 149.9 *** -71.2 .517 .001 36 150.0 *** -71.1 .513 .000 Total Scandals (lagged) Divided N (years) LR χ2 Log Likelihood Psuedo R2 Likelihood-Ratio test _____________________________________________________________________________________________ NOTE: Dependent variable: count model (by year) of hearings. Model is a negative binomial count model for all executive hearings. Investigatory hearings used from Kriner and Schickler (2014). *** indicates statistical significance at p<.01 ** p<.05. * p<.10. 36