WITSA Public Policy Working Group Marilyn Cade Director, AT&T Policy and Advocacy Internet and E-Commerce October 15, 2000 International Internet Governance Changes The Internet is Shrinking the Globe International Internet Governance Changes One Global Economy International Internet Governance Changes Internet Growth 1969 4 HOST COMPUTERS HOST COMPUTERS 100 90 80 70 Hosts in 60 DNS 50 (milions) 40 30 20 10 0 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 First 4 hosts: University of California Los Angeles (UCLA) University of California Santa Barbara (UCSB) University of Utah Stanford Research Institute (SRI) Source: Internet Software Consortium (http://www.isc.org/) July data International Internet Governance Changes Number of Internet hosts per 1000 population International Internet Governance Changes Internet Host Distribution by Region 0.3% 2.3% 22.4% 67.2% Americas Africa Oceana Europe Asia 7.8% Source: ITU Internet for Development, 1999 International Internet Governance Changes Worldwide Internet Users source: ETForecasts (in millions) 250 200 150 100 2000 2005 source: Computer Industry Almanac E. Europe S./C. America 0 Asia-Pacific 50 W. Europe NATION Internet Users (millions) United States 135.7 Japan 26.9 Germany 19.1 UK 17.9 China 15.8 Canada 15.2 South Korea 14.8 Italy 11.6 Brazil 10.6 France 9.0 Australia 8.1 Russia 6.6 Taiwan 6.5 Netherlands 5.4 Spain 5.2 Internet Users by Region N. America Top 15 Nations (YE00) International Internet Governance Changes Average Price for 20 hours of Internet Access International Internet Governance Changes Consumer Internet Activities U.S. GLOBAL % of US On-line Households Using E-Mail E-Mail Research Education Education News General Surfing News Shopping Products/services Product Information Health Info Government Information Investment Info Games Shopping 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Source: Odyssey, L.P. 10/99 80% 90% 100% International Internet Governance Changes Internet Commerce Revenue By Region Re gion North America Western Europe $ Billions 1998 2003 CAGR 37.25 707.92 5.61 430.37 80% 138% Japan 1.98 44.94 87% Asia- Pacific 0.69 27.51 109% Rest of World 1.41 53.02 107% CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate Source: International Data Corp. 1999 International Internet Governance Changes World Headline News 10/00 Study Expects Latin American E-Commerce to Quadruple 10/00 Hong Kong's government plans to offer four third-generation mobile-phone licenses in a special auction 10/00 NTT DoCoMo, giving cell-phone users access to the Net, now boasts nearly 13 million subscribers in Japan. 9/00 Huawei Technologies Co. , primary supplier of routers and switches in China, contracts with IBM for chips 9/00 Leading Austrailian bank, Westpac, says that 30,000 customers register for Internet banking every month 9/00 B2B e-commerce in vogue in Russia. Big projects unveiled in oil, gas and steel sectors, and agriculture. 9/00 European Markets: Deutsche Banc Introduces Site to Provide One-Stop Trading. International Internet Governance Changes E-Business-Readiness Rankings Rank/ Country/ Bus. Environ. Ranking 2000-2004/ Connectivity Rating/ E-Bus. Readiness Ranking 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 US Sweden Finland Norway Netherlands UK Canada Singapore Hong Kong Switzerland Ireland Denmark Germany France Belgium Australia New Zealand Austria Italy Israel 8.69 8.26 8.21 8 8.84 8.8 8.66 8.55 8.52 8.42 8.42 8.41 8.32 8.17 8.17 8.14 8.1 7.96 7.68 7.61 9 9 9 9 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 Japan Spain Chile South Korea Portugal Argentina Taiwan Thailand Poland Hungary Czech Republic Malaysia Greece Mexico Brazil South Africa Slovakia Indonesia Turkey Saudi Arabia 7.43 8.01 7.85 7.3 7.59 7.22 8.13 7.27 7.15 7.09 7.07 6.91 6.9 6.78 6.37 6.25 6.19 6.16 6.06 6.02 8 7 7 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Bulgaria Venezuela Romania Russia Ukraine Philippines Peru Colombia Egypt India China Sri Lanka Ecuador Vietnam Pakistan Kazakhstan Algeria Iran Nigeria Iraq 5.61 5.51 5.45 5.16 4.79 6.72 6.36 6.13 6.1 5.97 5.88 5.87 5.32 5.3 4.94 5.07 4.9 3.6 4.54 2.07 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 3 2 2 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 2 Column 2: Out of 10: more than 8 = very good; 6.5-8.0 = good; 5.5-6.4 = moderate; 5.0-5.4 = poor; less than 5 = very poor Column 3: from Pyramid Research, out of 10 Column 4: Average business-environment rating and connectivity rating, out of 10 Source: EIU ebusiness forum International Internet Governance Changes Total Registered Domain Names 30,918,466 as of 10/13/00 18.73M ccTLDs 6.52M .COM 5.67M Other GTLDs (.net, .org, .mil, .edu. .gov) International Internet Governance Changes Country Level Domains Last Updated - Friday October 13, 2000 05:04:15 AM ISO and other country level domains .de (Germany) 2,032,197 .za (South Africa) 83,159 .uk (United Kingdom) 2,228,560 .nz (New Zealand) 76,166 .au (Australia) 151,275 .fr (France) 97,934 .dk (Denmark) 224,493 .no (Norway) 54,184 .ar (Argentina) 356,630 .tw (Taiwan) 36,542 .nl (Netherlands) 449,960 .cn (China) 32,076 .ch (Switzerland) 112,912 .pl (Poland) 73,124 .jp (Japan) 190,709 .be (Belgium) 36,432 .br (Brazil) 312,115 .mx (Mexico) 31,884 .it (Italy) 345,864 .es (Spain) 26,188 .kr (Korea) 339,929 .fi (Finland) 25,294 .ca (Canada) 93,330 .ie (Ireland) 17,130 .at (Austria) 136,258 .pt (Portugal) 13,060 .se (Sweden) 53,023 .lu (Luxembourg) 4,794 .nu (Niue) 61,314 .is (Iceland) 4,978 Total ISO Domains 6,515,598 Source: http://www.domainstats.com/ International Internet Governance Changes “Local” is Key Local identity and brand awareness still matter in the global Internet. International Internet Governance Changes The Internet is Big…REALLY BIG • The Internet has become a critical global information and communication infrastructure for: consumers business government non-profits • A frequent question: Who should regulate the Internet? International Internet Governance Changes The Right Question How should technical management of the Internet be done? ICANN BOARD PSO S.S. ICANN Intellectual Property Country Codes Registrars Non-Commercial Commercial ISPs Registry Names Council ASO General Assembly Cybersquatters At Large Membership Governments WITSA Public Policy Working Group Marilyn Cade