Inferential tests

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Quantitative Analysis:
Supporting Concepts
EDTEC 690 – Methods of Inquiry
Minjuan Wang (based on previous slides)
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Agenda
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Quick review of data
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Why analysis is necessary – beyond descriptive statistics

The Culture data posted on BB
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Descriptive analysis vs. inferential analysis
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Review Key Concepts of Descriptive Statistics
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Inferential analysis concepts
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Types of tests – parametric and non-parametric
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What test should I use when?
Next steps for your studies
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We will help you with inferential analysis using SPSS or other
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Our Special Guests:
Types of Analysis
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Descriptive statistics
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Correlation
 Measuring a relationship
between studied variables
Inferential statistics
 Inferences from a studied
sample to a population
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Parametric analyses

Nonparametric analyses
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What is measurement?
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Measurement: process of
assigning numbers, according
to rules defined by the
researcher.

The numbers are assigned
to events or objects, such as
responses to items, or to
certain observed behaviors
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Correspondence between
event/objective/behavior
and number is defined by
the researcher
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Types of Measurement Scales
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Nominal
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Ordinal
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Involves order of the scores/ratings on some basis (e.g., attitude
toward the government)
Interval
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Categorization, no implied order (e.g., sex, eye color)
Unit interval is the same across the scale, doesn’t necessarily
begin at zero (e.g., time, test score)
Ratio
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Equal unit with a true zero point (e.g., the government
expenditures; birth weight in pounds)
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Inferential statistics

Making inferences from samples to populations
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
Making inferences, then conclusions, from the statistics of a
sample – that’s inferential statistics
In practical terms, this means testing your hypothesis
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Inferential statistics
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Inferential tests produce a level of significance
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Significance level or level of significance (α- level) is a
probability (for example, 0.05) used in making a decision
about the hypothesis (i.e., rejecting the null hypothesis); it is
called the alpha level
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Significance level is set
prior to commencing the study
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In education, typically .05
Compare the P value with a.
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P is probability of chance
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Assumptions of parametric analyses
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Scale: Dependent variable is measured on an interval scale
(or ratio) – not nominal or ordinal
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Sample: random sampling & normal distribution
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Normal distribution is required only if sample size is less than 30.
More than 30, the sample is large enough to have a normal
distribution.
Distribution: When two or more populations are being
studied, they have homogeneous variance.
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This means that the populations have about the same dispersion (SD)
in their distributions. Mean can differ.
When you cannot meet these assumptions (i.e., you have
categorical data)…
look to non-parametric analyses…
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Inferential statistics - parametric
 t-test
(difference between two means)
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testing the statistical significance of the difference between
means from two independent samples, or two sets of scores from
the same sample (pre to post)
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Types: T for 1 (paired samples); and T for 2 (unpaired samples)
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Concepts behind
Inferential Statistics
Drawing conclusions from your data
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Let’s work on the assumption that we’re
measuring knowledge.
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For EDTEC folks – think Kirkpatrick’s
Level II – in other words, mastery of
objectives
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Let’s make our audience diesel
technicians who work for dealers of a
major auto manufacturer
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Finally, let’s say we have two treatments:
1.
Traditional classroom instruction,
with limited exercises
2.
Fully hands-on curriculum involving
“bugged” trucks and problem
solving throughout
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Diesel Technician Scores
Course objectives-based Test of Mastery (percent mastery)
Pretest
Mean
Posttest
Mean
Gain
(difference in
means)
Traditional
55.55
94.65
+39.1
Hands-on
53.45
97.76
+44.31
Are there any statistically significant differences?
T test will tell. Compare P with a.
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Inferential statistics - parametric
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But what happens when you have more than two independent
variables? For example, what if there were three types of
classes for the diesel technicians?
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Analysis of variance (ANOVA)
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Tests the statistical significance when 2 or more independent
variables are present
Consider: A study on student learning with the presence of:
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no music
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slow music
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fast music
Does Culture Make a Difference in learner
perceptions?
The survey:
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Perceptions about being equal with their instructor
Chinese, American, Korean students
Tests conducted
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Kruskal-Wallis Analysis of Variance
 Non-parametric version of ANOVA
Results and Interpretation
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P=0.02 comparing with a=0.05
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O. Perceptions about Being Equal with
Instructors (the higher the mean, the
lower the equality, 1(SA)-5(D))
n
Rank Mean
su
ra
m
nk
American
31 950.0 30.65
Chinese
15 682.5 45.50
1217.
29
5 41.98
Korean
Kruskal-Wallis statistic
7.15
p 0.028
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Parametric versus Nonparametric
Parametric –
 Characteristic is normally
distributed in the population;
sample was randomly selected;
data is interval or ratio
Nonparametric
 Use when you have a specialized population, you’ve not
randomly selected, or data is ranked or nominal
“Cooking” Analogy
 steamed versus fried
 Streamed broccoli versus baked pumpkin pie
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 Scale: Can
be used with
ordinal and nominal
scale data
 Sample/Distribution:
Inferential statistics
- nonparametric
Require few if any
assumptions about the
population under study
 Nonparametric
tests do
not emphasize means;
they use frequencies
and other statistics to
investigate significance
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 Recognize
there are
many, many statistical
tests…
 And
What test should I
use?
that ED 690 is not
intended as a statistics
course.
 Still, you
should be
conceptually familiar
with these statistical tests
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Choosing the appropriate test
Relationship
between
variables
About means, and
parametric
assumptions are met
Magnitude
of
Relationship
Parametric
analyses
t-tests
Correlation
Coefficient
Chi-square
About frequencies,
etc., and parametric
assumptions are met
Nonparametric
analyses
ANOVA
Chi-square
Inferential: Parametric tests
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T-Test for means
 T for 1 (pre- post- tests of 1 group)
 T for 2 (compare the mean of 2 groups)
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Analysis of Variance
 ANOVA
 Compare differences between 2 or more
groups
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Analysis of Covariance
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Inferential: Non-parametric
Nonparametric Techniques for Quantitative
Data
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Wilcoxon Signed Rank Test –Tea for one (Paired
Samples T test, Dependent samples T)
The Mann-Whitney U Test—for T(ea) for two
(Unpaired Samples T Test, Independent Samples
T)
The Kruskal-Wallis One Way Analysis of
Variance—for ANOVA
 1 independent variable
The Friedman Two-Way Analysis of Variance—for
ANOVA
 2 or more independent variables
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Inferential statistics - nonparametric
 The
Chi-Square (X2) test and
distribution
 Unlike
t-distribution, the X2 distribution
does not require symmetrical distributions
 It tests hypotheses about how well a sample
distribution fits some theoretical or
hypothesized distribution
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Is there a relationship between eye and hair color?
Tails of A Test
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Two-tailed test (non-directional/both)
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There is no difference in content acquisition between
"discovery learning" and "direct instruction.“
One-tailed test (directional/upper/lower)
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difference will be in one direction only
Students who use "discovery learning" exhibit greater
gains in content acquisition than students who use "direct
instruction"
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Type I and Type II errors
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What if we observe a difference – but none exists in the
population?
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What if we do not find a difference – but it does exist in the
population?
These situations are called Type I and II errors
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These errors cannot be eliminated; they can be minimized,
but unfortunately, minimizing one type of error will increase
the probability of committing the other error
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Type I and Type II errors
Conclusion about null hypothesis
from statistical test
Truth about
null
hypothesis in
population
True
Accept Null
Reject Null
Correct
Type I error
Observe difference
when none exists
False
Type II error
Fail to observe
difference when one
exists
Correct
Mini-Data Activity (time to embark on
it?)
Salary Data
Culture Data
When you are
not heavily
cognitively
overloaded…..
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