Chapter 8--- MASS MEDIA & PUBLIC OPINION Section 1- The Formation of Public Opinion Public Opinion: a complex collection of the opinions of many different people “ Attitudes held by a significant number of people on matters of government and politics” To be a public opinion --- an issue must be something of general concern to most Americans Examples: Taxes, War, Employment, National Debt Public Opinion: the attitudes held by a significant number of people on matters of government and politics. • there must be an expressed view and it is therefore made up of expressed group attitudes • Expressed opinions can be • written • oral • electronic (email) • demonstration • film • billboard • voting Thoughts are expressed PUBLICLY A point of view must be expressed in order to be an opinion in the public sense. We can see Public Opinion in many forms: 1. 2. 3. 4. Protests Films Billboards Election results 5. Advertisements in TV or newspapers 1. The Family: • Children first see politics from inside the family • they listen to parents opinions, formed by values • watch TV with family • Listen t the stories and ideas of older siblings • In the family, most get FUNDAMENTAL attitudes which influence future opinions • rules of behavior • property • neighbors • race • religion • These basic influences mold their later view of politics • If one is raised by Democrats… they too will likely become Democrats. If Republicans, they will likely be Republicans. Who helps shape your Opinions? # 1--- FAMILY others: School, Mass Media, Peer Groups, Historic Events Opinion Leaders—Glenn Beck 2. The Schools: • One of the purposes of school is to indoctrinate • Basic American values are taught • Pledge of Allegiance • Loyalty to the USA • Patriotic songs • National heroes (G. Washington, A. Lincoln, ML King, etc.) • Requirement to take Civics and Government classes • Children often have profound learning experiences in school • They just don’t hear from parents, but they witness new ideas, relationships, belief systems, etc. Other factors: occupation, race, socioeconomic class 3. Mass Media: Known as the “new Parent” of socialization. TV, radio, the internet, newspapers, magazines, etc… all influence public opinion. There is at least 1 television in 98% of all homes in the US… most are on for 7 hours per day! 4. Peer Groups: Includes our friends, classmates, coworkers, neighbors, etc. • Most peer groups reinforce beliefs • We trust views of peers • Birds of a feather… (we often share experiences and values • Most want to be liked, and do not stray far from what peers think and how they behave 5. Opinion Leaders: These are people who have an unusually strong influence on the views of others (minority of people) • Reporters • Editors • Celebrities • Business and Professional leaders • Members of the clergy • heads of state • Local political leaders • Radio talk show hosts 6. Historical Events: Events we experience mold us greatly! • Great Depression • World War II • Vietnam War • Women’s Lib (Sexual Revolution) • Civil Rights Movement • Watergate • September 11, 2001 Public opinion can be found in a variety of venues: books, letters to the editor, editorials, articles, radio and television, etc. But, the things above tell us little about the size of the group that hold those opinions. Therefore, we have made efforts to measure public opinion. Section 2 – Measuring Public Opinion How is Public Opinion Measured? 1. Election Results —votes cast are evidence of “the people” speaking sometimes seen as Mandates by politicians—to carry out campaign promises Elections: • Democracies express opinions through ballot box • They are taken as approval of stands of candidates and parties • Parties claim to have received a “mandate” to carry out ideas. • These claims usually go overboard-votes often have little to do with party or candidate positions (which are often vague anyway) • Elections are useful indicators of public opinion…. Should not be taken as clear desire of national feeling. The Incredible Shrinking Sound Bite How is Public Opinion Measured? 2. Interest Groupsprivate organizations whose members share certain views and objectives “Pressure Groups” NRA- National Rifle Association AARP-American Association of Retired Persons ACLU-American Civil Liberties Union NEA-National Education Association UAW- United Auto Workers How is Public Opinion Measured? 3. The Media-- TV, Newspapers, Radio, Magazines, Internet 4. Personal Contactsthe people back home in a representative’s district The Media: The media can be a gauge in assessing public opinion • described as “mirrors” and “molders” of opinion • expressed through newspaper editorials. Columns, news magazines, TV commentaries. • but generally, they are not mirrors of opinion… just reflect views of a vocal minority. •Personal Contacts: Public officials try to be the “voice of the people”. • Members of Congress get hundreds of letters, emails, and phone calls each day • many go back to their district to speak about their concerns and listen to their constituents • Governors, State Legislators, mayors, etc. listen to people in their offices, during public meetings, and social gatherings • Often politicians only hear what they want to hear POLLS— The Best Measure of Public Opinion Public Opinion is best measured by public opinion polls (particularly when they are based on scientific polling techniques: Most famous example: • Literary Digest 1936, sent postcard ballots to 10 million homes and got back 2,376,000 • Confidently predict Alfred Landon would beat FDR… • Roosevelt got 60% of vote and won all but 2 states • Literary Digest relied on auto registration and phone directories • This left out LOTS of people in 1936 Straw Votes— polls of large groups of people— highly unreliable! Straw Votes: * not scientific * asking the same question of large numbers of people * still common (newspapers run mail-in polls, TV and radio show hosts ask viewers to vote on their website or phone * nothing ensures those that are asked will represent cross-section of total population (quantity, not quality is emphasized). Example --Internet polls ----CNN and Fox News • Scientific Polling- since mid 1930’s— Gallup and Roper • Today there are more than 1,000 national and regional polling organizations Most deal with commercial work… about 200 also poll political preferences. • POLLS try to measure people's attitudes. • Most of the national polls today are relatively reliable. Two of the best known are the Gallup Organization and Harris and Associates • Polls have a tough time measuring Intensity, stability and relevance of an issue to a person. • Polls do stimulate discussion which is needed in a Democracy. Evaluating Polls: • The Majority of national polls are reliable, but not perfect • Efforts still continue to refine the polling process • Pollsters have always had difficulty measuring 3 things: 1. Intensity: the strength of feeling which opinion is held 2. Stability (fluidity): permanence and changeableness of opinion 3. Relevance: how important is the opinion to the person • Critics suggest polls can themselves influence opinion through “bandwagon” effect • If polls show someone ahead, some people will side with candidate to be part of the “winning side” • Regardless of criticism, scientific polls are the best way to gear public opinion Strong Dem (44) Weak Dem (4) Barely Dem (2) Exactly tied (1) Barely GOP (1) Weak GOP (0) Strong GOP (48) No Senate race The Polling Process• Random Samples-- where each person contacted has the same mathematical chance of being included in the poll 1,500 is really all you need in order to have an accurate poll within +3 or -3 points • Valid Questions--- wording can affect the validity of a poll • Interviewing—can also produce unreliable poll outcomes DOES THE MEDIA INFLUENCE YOU???? Section 3 – Mass Media • Medium= transmits some kind of information • Media is the plural of Medium • MASS MEDIA -- includes those means of communication that can reach a large widely dispersed audience. • Ranked in terms of Impact on Americans: 1. Television 2. Newspapers 3. Radio 4. Magazines Newspapers in America: • First regularly published newspaper began in 1704 (Boston News-Letter) •The first daily paper was the Pennsylvania Evening Post and daily Advertiser (1783) • They became carriers of important police information, and many published the text of the Declaration of Independence •Today there are 10,000 • 1500 dailies, 7200 weeklies, 550 semi-weeklies) • Numbers of newspapers have declined (2000 in 1920- 1745 in 1980- less than 1500 today) • Radio, internet, and TV have caused downfall • There are also fewer competing newspapers in cities with less than 50 • Newspapers give greater detail than TV and provide opinions • Most papers are local • Many papers like the NY Times, Washington Post, USA Today are available on day of print around the US Radio in America: • Existed since 1920 when KDKA in Pittsburg, PA gave presidential election returns … then became popular • By 1927, there were 733 commercial stations and Americans owned 7 million radio sets • NBC (1926) and CBS (1927) were founded along with others and ran advertisements and programming • By the 1930’s, people planned days around their favorite programs and national events were learned about immediately • FDR was the first president to use the radio with his fireside chats • Radio has survived despite TV due to its convenience • Most radio programming is local, but often affiliate with networks • There are 700 public radio stations (NPR) Magazines in America: • Several magazines published in colonial days including Ben Franklins General Magazine in 1741 • Up to the 1900’s most were literary or discussed social graces • Harper’s Weekly and Atlantic Monthly were political appearing in mid-1800’s • The progressive reform period in the early 1900’s spawned journals of opinion •Highest sellers are Modern Maturity, TV Guide, and Readers Digest. • Time, Newsweek, and US News & World Report are top news magazines • Vehicles of opinion are The Nation, The National Review, The New Republic, and the Weekly Standard • Besides providing Entertainment, Mass Media provides political information. • Check out your books charts on pages 212, 225 and 226 The Media and Politics • The Media play a significant role in American Politics • CNN, Fox, Rush Limbaugh, Glenn Beck, Cobert Report, Daily Show, US News & World, Time, Newsweek, USA Today, CBS, NBC, ABC, MSNBC, Wall St. Journal, Washington Post, NY Times • The Media shapes the public agenda by reporting on issues that they believe are worthy of attention • people talk about what they see and hear… and if it is important enough to them, public policy makers hear about it • They emphasize some things, and downplay others • The big TV, newspaper, and magazines all form an “inner ring” in Washington, DC • Presidents receives daily dose of news reports each day • Television has made candidates far less reliant on political parties • The media is so important, politicians spend a great deal of time working on their public “image” • They plan event that will attract media attention and even consider technical issues such as timing, location, lighting, & camera angles Good campaign managers know (1) take no more than 2 minutes of air time (2) show people something interesting and exciting Newscasts are usually short and focus on “sound bites” (30-40 second reports). • Candidates for political office try to get as much FREE Press as possible. =NAME RECOGNITION • Sound Bites of 30 to 45 seconds rule on TV. • Can you really learn about a candidate from a commercial or a news sound bite???? Many studies show most Americans who vote are not well informed about the candidates. Only about 10-15% are well informed. We tend to be SELECTIVE about what we watch or read. Mrs. Smith watches CNN more than any other news program. Mr. Smith watches Fox more than any other news program. • Radio and Television mostly "skim" the news. They report only on the most interesting stories of the day. • In contrast NEWSPAPERS and Magazines give more in depth stories.