ELEMENTARY Section 3-6 STATISTICS Counting MARIO F. TRIOLA Copyright © 1998, Triola, Elementary Statistics Addison Wesley Longman EIGHTH EDITION 1 Assume a quiz consists of two questions. A true/false and a multiple choice with 5 possible answers. How many different ways can they occur together. Copyright © 1998, Triola, Elementary Statistics Addison Wesley Longman 2 Tree Diagram of the events Assume a quiz consists of two questions. A true/false and a multiple choice with 5 possible answers. How many different ways can they occur together. a T&a b T&b c T&c T d T&d e T&e a F&a b F&b c F F&c d F&d e F&e Copyright © 1998, Triola, Elementary Statistics Addison Wesley Longman 3 Tree Diagram of the events Let m represent the number of ways the first event can occur. Let n represent the number of ways the second event can occur. a T&a b T&b c T&c T d T&d e T&e a F&a b F&b c F F&c d F&d e F&e m=2 n=5 Copyright © 1998, Triola, Elementary Statistics Addison Wesley Longman m*n = 10 4 Fundamental Counting Rule For a sequence of two events in which the first event can occur m ways and the second event can occur n ways, together the events can occur a total of m • n ways. Copyright © 1998, Triola, Elementary Statistics Addison Wesley Longman 5 Example An ATM pin number is a 4 digit number. How many possible pin numbers are there, if you allow repeats in each position? Digit: # of Choices: 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 10 10 10 10 By the FCR, the total number of possible outcomes are: 10 * 10 * 10 * 10 = 10,000 Copyright © 1998, Triola, Elementary Statistics Addison Wesley Longman 6 Example An ATM pin number is made up of 4 digit number. How many possible outcomes are there, if no repeats are allowed? Digit: # of Choices: 1st 10 2nd 3rd 4th 9 8 7 By the FCR, the total number of possible outcomes are: 10 * 9 * 8 * 7 = 5040 Copyright © 1998, Triola, Elementary Statistics Addison Wesley Longman 7 Example Rank three players (A, B, C). How many possible outcomes are there? Ranking: First Number of Choices: Second Third 2 1 3 By FCR, the total number of possible outcomes are: 3*2*1=6 ( Notation: 3! = 3*2*1 ) Copyright © 1998, Triola, Elementary Statistics Addison Wesley Longman 8 Notation The factorial symbol ! denotes the product of decreasing positive whole numbers. n! = n (n – 1) (n – 2) (n – 3) • • • • • (3) (2) (1) Special Definition: 0! = 1 The ! key on your TI-8x calculator is found by pressing MATH and selecting PRB and selecting choice #4 ! Copyright © 1998, Triola, Elementary Statistics Addison Wesley Longman 9 Factorial Rule An entire collection of n different items can be arranged in order n! different ways. Example: How many different seating charts could be made for a class of 13? 13! = 6,227,020,800 Copyright © 1998, Triola, Elementary Statistics Addison Wesley Longman 10 Example Eight players are in a competition, three of them will win prizes (gold/silver/bronze). How many possible outcomes are there? Prizes: Number of Choices: gold silver bronze 8 7 6 By FCR, the total number of possible outcomes are: 8 * 7 * 6 = 336 = 8! / 5! = 8!/(8-3)! Copyright © 1998, Triola, Elementary Statistics Addison Wesley Longman 11 Permutations Rule n is the number of available items (none identical to each other) r is the number of items to be selected the number of permutations (or sequences) is P n r = n! (n – r)! Order is taken into account Copyright © 1998, Triola, Elementary Statistics Addison Wesley Longman 12 Permutations Rule when some items are identical to others If there are n items with n1 alike, n2 alike, . . . nk alike, the number of permutations is n! n1! . n2! .. . . . . . . nk! Copyright © 1998, Triola, Elementary Statistics Addison Wesley Longman 13 Permutations Rule How many ways can the letters in MISSISSIPPI be arranged? I occurs 4 times S occurs 4 times P occurs 2 times 11! =34,650 4 !4 !2 ! Copyright © 1998, Triola, Elementary Statistics Addison Wesley Longman 14 Example Eight players are in a competition, top three will be selected for the next round (order does not matter). How many possible choices are there? By the Permutations Rule, the number of choices of Top 3 with order are 8!/(8-3)! = 336 For each chosen top three, if we rank/order them, there are 3! possibilities. ==> the number of choices of Top 3 without order 8! are {8!/(8-3)!}/(3!) = = 56 (8-3)! 3! Combinations rule Copyright © 1998, Triola, Elementary Statistics Addison Wesley Longman 15 Combinations Rule the number of combinations is n! nCr = (n – r )! r! n different items r items to be selected different orders of the same items are not counted Copyright © 1998, Triola, Elementary Statistics Addison Wesley Longman 16 Permutation –Order Matters Combination - Order does not matter TI-83/4 Press MATH choose PRB choose 2: nPr or 3: nCr to compute the # of outcomes. Example: 10P5 = 10 nPr 5 = 30240 10C5 = 10 nCr 5 = 252 Copyright © 1998, Triola, Elementary Statistics Addison Wesley Longman 17 Counting Devices Summary Is there a sequence of events in which the first can occur m ways, the second can occur n ways, and so on? If so use the fundamental counting rule and multiply m, n, and so on. Copyright © 1998, Triola, Elementary Statistics Addison Wesley Longman 18 Counting Devices Summary Are there n different items with all of them to be used in different arrangements? If so, use the factorial rule and find n!. Copyright © 1998, Triola, Elementary Statistics Addison Wesley Longman 19 Counting Devices Summary Are there n different items with some of them to be used in different arrangements? If so, evaluate n! n Pr = (n – r )! Copyright © 1998, Triola, Elementary Statistics Addison Wesley Longman 20 Counting Devices Summary Are there n items with some of them identical to each other, and there is a need to find the total number of different arrangements of all of those n items? If so, use the following expression, in which n1 of the items are alike, n2 are alike and so on n! n1! n2!. . . . . . nk! Copyright © 1998, Triola, Elementary Statistics Addison Wesley Longman 21 Counting Devices Summary Are there n different items with some of them to be selected, and is there a need to find the total number of combinations (that is, is the order irrelevant)? If so, evaluate n! nCr = (n – r )! r! 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