January History Great Flood of 1937 • • • • 70% of Louisville was submerged 3.3 billion in damages Crest - 85.4 ft. (Flood Stage – 55 ft.) 15 inches of rain in 12 days Chapter 1: Monitoring the Weather (Basics) One of the Deepest Extratropical Cyclones Ever Recorded Difference between Weather and Climate • Weather is the state of the atmosphere at some place and time – Described with quantitative variables • Temperature, humidity, cloudiness, precipitation, wind speed, wind direction – Meteorology is the study of the atmosphere and the processes that cause weather • Climate is weather conditions at some locality averaged over a specified time period – Climate is an average of the weather, figured over the last 30years and updated every decade – A locale’s climate also includes weather extremes Look at Climatological Information Sources of Weather Information • Television – The Weather Channel and local newscasts • Radio – NOAA Weather Radio • Continuous broadcasts repeated every 4 - 6 minutes • Interrupted with warnings and watches • The Internet (Ag Weather) • What about now? Primary Source of Weather Information Survey of Farmers at the 2013 National Farm Machinery Show Television Smart Phone Multi 3% 29% 18% Personal Computer 24% 26% Radio Retrieving Weather Information & Maps • Weather info received via TV, radio, or the Internet includes – Weather maps • National • Regional – Satellite/radar images – Data on current/past conditions – Weather forecasts • Short-term – 24 – 48 hours • Long-term – Up to 7 days or longer Two Types of Pressure Systems High Pressure Systems, or “Anticyclones” Low Pressure Systems, or “Cyclones” Pressure Systems Cont. • High and low refer to air pressure – High pressure area is relatively high compared to surrounding air – Low pressure area is relatively low compared to surrounding air • Highs – Fair weather – Clockwise rotation of sinking air (in Northern Hemisphere) – Generally track toward the east and southeast • Lows – – – – Stormy weather Counterclockwise rotation of rising air (in Northern Hemisphere) Generally track toward the east and northeast Lows tracking across the northern U.S. or southern Canada produce less moisture than lows tracking across the southern U.S. – Weather to the west and north – usually cold – Weather to the south and east – usually warm Pressure Systems Cont. (High and Low Pressure Centers) Arrows indicate surface horizontal winds Pressure Systems Cont. (What’s the weather like?) 1. Tallahassee, FL 2. Greenville, NC 3. Duluth, MN 4. Scranton, PA • Wind Direction? • Cloudy/Wet, Clear/Dry? Air Masses • Huge volume of air covering thousands of square kilometers • Horizontally relatively uniform in characteristics – Temperature – Humidity • Gathers characteristics from its source region – Cold, dry air masses form at higher latitudes over continents – Cold, humid air masses form at higher latitudes over maritime surfaces – Warm, dry air masses form over continents in subtropical regions – Warm, humid air masses form near the equator or in the subtropics over maritime surfaces Air Masses Across North America Old Saying in the Ohio Valley: “Don’t like the weather today? It will change tomorrow!” Fronts “Transition Zones between Air Masses” Warm Front Warm Air Rising Cold Front Fronts – Boundary Between Air Masses 1. Cold Front a. Generally, a narrow band of precipitation along or just ahead of the surface front, where precipitation is brief (couple of minutes to a few hours) b. Precipitation can be severe c. Boundary between advancing cold air and retreating warm air d. Plotted on a map as a blue line with triangles pointed in the direction of motion e. Sharp Temperature Change Fronts – Boundary Between Air Masses 2. Warm Front a. Generally, a wide band of precipitation along or just ahead of the surface warm front, where precipitation can be persistent (12-24 hours) b. Precipitation is generally light to moderate c. Boundary between advancing warm air and retreating cold air d. Plotted on a map as a red line with semi-circles pointed in the direction of motion Fronts – Boundary Between Air Masses Right - A cyclone with the warm and cold fronts extending outward from the low pressure center. Showers generally form along the warm front, while more severe weather can occur along the cold front. Left - Shows how the warm and cold fronts act as boundaries between different air masses. Notice how the wind directions are different on either side of the fronts, and that the flow is counterclockwise and convergent. Ways to Locate a Front on a Surface Weather Map 1. Precipitation 2. Cloud Cover 3. Wind Shift 4. Temperature Difference 5. Dew Point Difference Other Types of Frontal Boundaries 1. Stationary – a non-moving front where winds on either side blow in opposite directions. Can become a cold or warm front based on advection. 2. Occluded – when the air behind the cold front overtakes the air ahead of the warm front Characteristics of Air Masses & Fronts • • Wind directions are different on the two sides of a front Some fronts have no clouds or precipitation. • • In summer, temperature can be nearly the same on both sides of a cold front • • Difference will be humidity Fronts are anchored to lows on a weather map. • • Passage indicated by wind shift, and temperature/humidity changes Counterclockwise flow brings contrasting air masses together to form fronts Thunderstorms/severe weather often occur in the warm, humid air mass located between the cold and warm front Describing the State of the Atmosphere What do Forecasters Tell Us? • Maximum Temperature – Usually occurs in early to mid-afternoon • Minimum temperature – Usually occurs around sunrise • Dewpoint (frost point) – The temperature at which air must be cooled at constant pressure to become saturated with water vapor and for dew (or frost) to form • Relative humidity – A percentage; the ratio of the actual concentration of the water vapor component of air compared to the concentration the air would have if saturated with water vapor • Relative humidity will change throughout the day as the temperature varies • Generally highest around sunrise and lowest when warmest • Precipitation amounts – General rule – 10” of snow = 1” of precipitation Example: What do forecasters tell us? Dew Point Temp F Human Perception R. Humidity 75 + Extremely uncomfortable, oppressive 62% 70-74 Very Humid, quite uncomfortable 52-60% 65-69 Somewhat uncomfortable for most people 44-52% 60-64 OK for most 37-46% 55-59 Comfortable 31-41% 50-54 Very comfortable 31-37% 49 or lower Feels like the western US 30% Livestock Cold Stress? None Danger Emergency Describing the State of the Atmosphere Cont. What do Forecasters Tell Us? • Air Pressure – And its tendency (rising or falling) – Falling may indicate approaching cold front • Wind direction and speed – Wind direction is the direction wind is blowing from • Example; a west wind is blowing from the west, toward the east • Sky cover – Fraction of the sky covered in clouds • NWS Weather watch – issued when hazardous weather is considered possible • NWS Weather warning – issued when hazardous weather is imminent or actually taking place Weather Satellite Imagery • Two major types of satellite orbits – Geostationary • High orbits – 36,000 km (22,300 miles) high • Orbits planet at same rate as Earth’s rotation and in same eastward direction • Currently 2 of these provide a complete view of much of N. America and adjacent oceans to latitudes of about 60 degrees – Positioned over equator at 750 W longitude, 1350 W longitude – Low angle in polar regions – Polar orbiting • Low orbits – 800-1000 km (~500-600 miles) high (Much more detailed info) • Provides overlapping north-south strips of images • Passes over the same point twice every 24 hours Orbits of Each Type of Satellite Geostationary Satellite Polar Orbiting Satellite Weather Satellite Imagery • Visible • • • Black and white photograph of the planet Only available during daylight hours Highly reflective surfaces appear bright white and less reflective surfaces are darker Weather Satellite Imagery • Infrared • Available anytime, not just during daylight • Provides temperature comparison of features within image • Whiter = colder • Higher cloud tops appear whiter, because they are colder Weather Satellite Imagery • Water vapor imagery • Enables tracking of plumes of moisture • Shades of white = increasing moisture • Upper-level clouds appear milky to bright white Weather Radar • • Complements satellite surveillance Doppler radar detects movement • Excellent tool to forecast tornadoes Sky Watching • You can determine much about the weather by watching the sky • Clouds are aggregates of tiny water droplets, ice crystals, or some combination of both – A cloud in contact with the ground is fog – Cloud forms: • Stratiform clouds are sheet-like clouds formed in horizontal layers – Form where air ascends gradually over a broad region • Cumuliform clouds are puffy, like cotton balls – More vigorous ascent of air over a smaller area – Under the right conditions can build vertically into a cumulonimbus (thunderstorm) cloud • The appearance of high, wispy, feather-like clouds (composed of ice) in the western sky is often the first sign of an approaching warm front Cloud Forms • These high thin cirrus clouds appear fibrous because they are composed of mostly tiny ice crystals Cloud Forms • These relatively low clouds are composed of tiny water droplets and have more sharply defined edges than ice-crystal clouds Clouds Forms Fog, stratus clouds in contact with the ground, reduces visibility Cloud Forms • Fair weather cumulus clouds are most common during the warmest time of day and then vaporize after sunset Cloud Forms • Clouds of vertical development – Merging and vertically-growing cumulus clouds • Can become Cumulonimbus clouds – Nimbo, nimbus prefix or suffix = rain producing – These clouds always produce lightning and sometimes heavy rain, hail, or strong and gusty surface winds Cloud Forms • Clouds may move in different directions at different altitudes – Indicates horizontal wind shifts with altitude Understanding UTC Time • Weather observations are taken across the world based on a standard time. • In doing so, a 24 hour clock is used, similar to military time. • UTC (Coordinated Universal Time or Universal Time Coordinated) • Also called “Z Time” • To get local time in the United States, you have to subtract a certain number of hours based on time zone. • Daylight Savings Time does make a difference Understanding UTC Time UTC Time = 1200 UTC Daylight Savings Time? (Not until March 8th) No -5 Hours for EST = 7 AM • • • 18 UTC = 18Z = ? 00 UTC = 0Z = ? 06 UTC = 6Z = ?