Air Pollution in Los Angeles: History & Overview Prof. Suzanne Paulson Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences & Institute of Environment and Sustainability Director, UCLA Center for Clean Air Air Pollution has a Long History Earliest written records of air pollution begin in at least 65 BC. Mention of air pollution increased steadily as society developed. The first air pollution regulation was probably issued in 1273, when King Edward I forbid coal burning near the White Castle. Air Pollution Has Been Around for a Long Time Mid 1600s John Evelyn: “It is evident … that near half of the children that are born and bred in London die under two years of age (a child born in a country village has an even chance of living near forty years) ...the constant and unremitting poison is communicated by the foul air, which, as the town grows still larger has made regular and steady advances in its fatal influence.” Air Pollution Directly from Sources Becomes Hard to Ignore 1930: Meuse Valley, Belgium, 63 dead, 600 injured. The 15-mile valley trapped pollutants released by coke ovens, steel mills, blast furnaces, zinc smelters, glass factories, and sulfuric acid plants. 1948 Donora, Pennsylvania, USA – This industrial valley experienced a four-day air pollution episode that resulted in 20 deaths, 600 ill, and 1400 seeking medical attention. Out of a population of 14,000. These happened in Winter Time 1952 London, five-day winter episode resulted in 12,000 excess deaths + many illnesses. What is an excess death? Who died? Between the Early 1950’s and Now, Many More ‘Air Pollution Disasters’ have Happened, but Most Have Been Milder. London, 1956, Similar winter meteorology leads to “only” 700 deaths. New regulations were already helping. New York City Thanksgiving 1966: 168 people died during a strong temperature inversion. We’ll discuss temperature inversions later Los Angeles Smog: a Whole New Story It happens in summer, not winter. Began in the 1940s. Low visibility from summer time smog is blamed for 2000 car accidents in one day 1954. Los Angeles had lots of agriculture, and crop yields were dropping fast. Los Angeles smog is similar to winter smogs, but it is whiter, and contains high levels of ozone. Particles: Size Matters PM10 = All particles smaller than 10 microns in Diameter. Mostly from stuff being ground up. PM2.5 = All particles smaller than 2.5 microns in Diameter. Mostly from combustion. TSP: Total Suspended Particulate = Everything you can catch on a filter Where Particles Deposit Depends on Their Size Movememt of ultrafine particles along sensory neurons (neurodegeneration) Coarse Particles, > 2.5 microns Deposit in upper airways, where they are removed by cilia but likely exacerbate Asthma Transfer of ultrafines to circulatory system 0.1 micron < Fine particles < 2.5 microns Penetrate into Alveoli. Body cannot remove them. Small Particles are visible! Old Federal Standard: PM 10 below 150 g/m3 for 24 hrs and 50 g/m3 annual average. Newest Federal Standard: PM 2.5 below 65 g/m3 for 24 hrs and 12 g/m3 annual average. PM2.5 particles scatter light very efficiently, especially particles that are between 0.2 and 1 microns Air Pollutant Types and Sources { Wintertime vs. Summertime Smog Types of Air Pollution Primary pollutants are emitted directly from sources. Particulate Matter (PM), Carbon monoxide, Lead, sulfur dioxide, nitrogen dioxide, many “air toxics” London, Beijing, California’s central valley, New Delhi Secondary pollutants form in the atmosphere from chemical transformations of the primary pollutants. Ozone, particulate matter, some nitrogen dioxide, some air toxics Los Angeles, Mexico City, Santiago Chile Criteria Pollutants -Pollutants for which there are national ambient air quality standards (NAAQS) In the US the criteria pollutants are: Carbon monoxide CO Lead Pb Oxides of nitrogen NOx Ozone O3 Sulfur dioxide SO2 Particulate matter PM10/PM2.5 Combustion makes more than just CO2 and water fuel + Air Carbon dioxide + water + VOCs + NOx + particulate matter (PM), Carbon Monoxide (CO), SO2, Pb, toxic organics as benzene, polyaromatic hydrocarbons, acrolein etc. Pollutant Sources: NOx from Combustion, VOCs from Everything NOx: All combustion sources NOx Vehicles, Industry, Biomass Burning NOx is essentially all from human activities Hydrocarbons (HCs or VOCs or ROGs) come from many sources: Vehicles (both the engine and leaking unburned fuel) Industrial and Residential: solvents, paints & coatings, cleaners Trees Small particles (PM2.5 and PM0.1) are from combustion or smog chemistry, large particles (PM10) are from mechanical grinding. Particles: All combustion sources fine and ultrafine particles Vehicles, Industry, Biomass Burning Industrial processes dust and fumes Roadways, agriculture, deserts and desertification dust Formation of Los Angeles Style Smog The “Air Quality Index” (AQI) is defined as the percent of the Ambient Air Quality Standard (Usually National or World Health Organization’s) { Formation of Smog- LA Style VOCs + NOx + sunlight photochemical smog (= O3 , more particles and other nasty compounds) The Daily Smog Cycle VOCs VOC reaction products Ozone CO is emitted directly from sources—no photochemistry, so it shows where most of the pollution sources are. http://www.epa. gov/airnow/ mapselect.html http://www.airn ow.gov/index.cf m?action=airno Days Exceeding Standard Stage 1 Smog Alert Old Fed. Standard 1-hr, 120 ppb 2008 8 hr std 75 ppb 250 200 150 100 50 0 197619801984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 Year OZONE IN LOS ANGELES 1976-2014 (There is a new ozone standard 12/2014: 70 ppb over 8 hrs) PM 2.5 2002 2013 Air Pollution Then and Now 1950’s Now Population 4.8 Million 16 Million Vehicles 2.3 Million 11 Million Peak Ozone Levels 680 ppb 160 ppb Peak CO Levels 33 ppm 4.7 ppm Peak NO2 Levels 690 ppb 110 ppb Peak PM10 Levels 649 g/m3 84 g/m3 Peak PM2.5 Levels unknown 65 g/m3 75+ % Reduction of most pollutants! Emissions have been reduced by more than 90%. Schedule for meeting Federal Air Quality Standards Pollutant Target Attainment Status Schedule CO: 2000 Actually met in 2003 PM10: 2006 Actually met in 2010. Ozone-1-hr: was 2010 Current target: 2022 PM2.5: 2018 Maybe. 8-Hr Ozone: 2040? Why some places have good air quality and others have bad air quality { Ingredients for poor air quality Large amounts of pollution emissions. Cars, industry, trucks, dust, agricultural burning, wildfires…. Summer time smog requires sunlight Low winds, temperature inversions. “the solution to pollution is dilution” Temperature Inversions Wind flow in Los Angeles on typical (smoggy) days Daily smog cycle in Los Angeles Daytime mixing height limitations in Los Angeles Temperature profile of the lower atmosphere When it is well mixed The atmosphere cools with increasing altitude, at an average of 6.5 degrees C per km. Pretend an air parcel is a contained in a weightless, elastic balloon containing a fixed amount of air. As the balloon’s altitude increases, the balloon will expand, and its air temperature will cool. If the local temperature profile matches the normal rate of cooling for air parcels, there is no reason for parcels to prefer one height or location over another. The parcels can move around freely. Temperature profile of the lower atmosphere When when mixing is poor An inversion is a temperature profile that is constant or increasing with increasing height. This puts warm air over cool air, and stops upward mixing completely. Causes of Inversions 1. Radiation Inversions: These are common almost everywhere The average atmosphere is warmest near the surface, but locally the temperature profile can be different. After sunset, the earth's surface cools and radiates energy, so the air closest to the surface cools before air higher up. An inversion forms - air near surface cooler and denser than the air above it. These inversions are most common and strongest on winter mornings. Diurnal evolution of the nocturnal surface inversion and daytime mixed layer. Unlike the daytime “mixed layer”, the nighttime surface layer is very poorly mixed. Pollutants stay at the level where they were emitted, and move laterally bad pollution Radiation Inversions in Valleys In the evening and night, the ground surface cools. If the ground is not flat, the cooled air will flow down hill, and accumulate in the valley. The air will be trapped there until the sun comes out and warms up the ground. Sometimes the cold weather persists for days, and pollution accumulates day after day. This is usually the reason extreme pollution events (London, Beijing, Denora) happen when they do. Measuring plumes from freeways in the early morning: Weak winds from the north of the freeway dominate in the early AM. (They reverse during the day) _________________________________________________ The Imprint of the Freeway is Many Times Larger During Just Before Sunrise Compared to Daytime _________________________________________________ 1 Pre-Sunrise: Winter Pre-Sunrise: Summer Daytime (Zhu et al 2002b) Relative UFP Concentration Kansas 0.8 Pico 0.6 Pearl Ocean Park Donald Douglas 0.4 Olympic Palms 0.2 Freeway Upwind 0 -1500 -1000 -500 Downwind 0 500 1000 1500 Distance from Freeway (m) 2000 2500 3000 2. The Trouble with Beautiful Weather: Subsidence Inversions High pressure systems produce large areas of subsiding air. As the air descends, it is compressed and heats up. Subsidence inversions are large enough to cover entire regions, and persist for days to weeks. They are common in many places, especially Los Angeles. When the weather is fair, there is almost always an upper level inversion 3. Marine Inversions On sunny days, the land surface heats and causes air to rise. Marine air is pulled in to fill the void, and the marine air is cooler, resulting in cold air under air warm air. Inversion Types – Los Angeles has Four! 1) Radiation inversions. 2) Subsidence inversions. 3) Cool marine air undercuts warm air over land, resulting in a marine inversion. 4) Flow of air from a high plateau descends and warms by compression, creating a cap above a cooler air mass in a basin below the highlands. The mixing height changes with season; it is lowest in the winter Cleaning up the air Regulatory Authority South California Air Quality Management District (SCAQMD): Local industrial and commercial sources. California Air Resources Board (CARB): passenger vehicles, consumer products, local diesel vehicles & construction equipment. Federal: Interstate sources; planes, trains, interstate trucks & busses International: Large marine vessels and international airliners Major Steps to Cleaning up Air in LA State Actions: Mobile Sources Because California has such a large economy, if it requires lower emissions from cars than the USEPA, automakers cannot ignore it. In the end, California has almost always succeeded in setting the regulations it wants. 1961 The first automotive emissions control technology in the nation, Positive Crankcase Ventilation, is mandated. 1978 Mandate 3-way catalysts control hydrocarbons, nitrogen oxides, and carbon monoxide. State Actions: Mobile Sources 1984 first smog check program; this will be updated repeatedly. 1990-current Mandated improvements to the durability of emissions control 1990-current Mandate low and Zero Emission Vehicles. Vehicles on the road today are 100 to 400 times cleaner than vehicles in the 1960s. And some vehicles have zero emissions. State Actions: Gasoline Clean fuels are probably the closest we can get to a “silver bullet”. Clean the gasoline, and all of the cars use it right away. 1976, 1992 CARB limits then removes lead. 1992 & 1996 Phase I & Phase II California Cleaner Burning Gasoline introduced. Reduces volatility, reactivity and toxicity of gasoline, and made major improvements to 1 hr ozone concentrations. Winter 1992, ARB requires addition of oxygenates to cut CO emissions by 10%. (MTBE was added, to be replaced later by ethanol). State Actions: Fuel Delivery & Diesel fuel 1972, 1976, 1991 Vapor recovery at gas stations in San Diego, Polluted areas, and then the whole state 1993 First California Diesel Fuel comes to market. Lowers diesel particulate emissions by 14 tons/day, sulfur dioxide by 80 tons/day and nitrogen oxides by 70 tons/day emissions. 2006 Ultra-low sulfur diesel is introduced State & Local Actions: Consumer Products, Small Engines California has many reformulated products. These include household cleaners, insect sprays, bbq lighter fluid, and paints. CARB and SCAQMD have implemented multiple programs for small engines such as gardening equipment and small boats. CARB and SCAQMD worked with other stakeholders to clean up the ports: clean trucks, port and dock electrification Federal (National) Actions 1963 First Federal Clean Air Act. The act has been amended many times, often tightening National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) 1967 New federal Clean Air Act gives California special authority to set its own emissions standards for new vehicles. 1970 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (U.S. EPA) created. 2000’s USEPA works with CARB to create clean trucks program, finally addressing this major source of pollution. Socio-Political Climate 1940’s, 1950’s, 1960’s there were many protests related to air quality in Los Angeles Rachel Carson writes Silent Spring 1940s-1980s Candidates for Governor all went to visit the Universities to discuss air pollution control. 1970 First Earth Day. Earth Day is still observed every April. 1973 OPEC Oil Embargo raises the price of oil. Market forces result in more fuel efficient automobiles and industry, and corresponding lower air emissions. Local: SCAQMD Control of stationary sources, monitoring, planning, education 1993 adopts Regional Clean Air Incentives Market (RECLAIM) program for NOx and SOx. VOCs were considered, but VOCs are far more complicated. Runs the extensive air quality monitoring network; handles permitting for point and area sources .Holds public hearings, ~150 educational events each year Agencies (especially SCAQMD) perform special studies for communities when needed. California’s Regulatory Approach: Industry California agencies (CARB and SCAQMD) expect best available control technologies at a minimum. CARB often works to set policies that are technology forcing. Policies are developed with input from stakeholders, including the industry to be regulated, but also representatives of NGOs, the public and other interested parties. California has been sued repeatedly for its policies. This typically delays implementation. New Policies in the mid ‘10s Most of the low hanging fruit has been picked. Also emphasis on climate – air quality co-benefits More improvements in engine design and emissions control durability. Tighter requirements for consumer products Require new glass in autos to keep them cooler Cash for clunkers, trade in programs for gardening equipment “Mode shifting” to encourage use of transit/walking/cycling Further improvements in the ports and goods shipment Emphasis on growing the zero emissions market, including Hydrogen, electric vehicles, fuel cell vehicles Los Angeles still has a very long way to go With existing to control ozone controls Thank you