CLASS PROJECT REPORT SUSTAINABLE AIR QUALITY, EECE 449/549, SPRING 2010 WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY, ST. LOUIS, MO INSTRUCTORS: PROFESSOR RUDOLF B. HUSAR, ERIN M. ROBINSON THE ENERGY ANALYSIS AND CARBON FOOTPRINT OF WASHINGTON UNIVERITY AND BEYOND Project List Global and Regional Carbon Causality Analysis Electricity Use by Space and Application: Danforth Campus Lindsay Aronson, Alan Pinkert, Will Fischer WUSTL Transportation Carbon Footprint Update Sarah Canniff, Dan Zernickow, Elliot Rosenthal, T.J. Pepping, Brittany Huhmann Electricity Use by Space and Application: DUC, Seigle Matt Mitchel, Jacob Cohen DUC Energy Consumption Nick Thornburg, Will Hannon, Will Ferriby, Chris Valach Michal Hyrc, Ryan Henderson, Billy Koury, Eric Tidquist University Carbon Footprint Comparison Shamus Keohane, Chris Holt, Kristen Schlott, Sonny Ruffino Project List Global and Regional Carbon Causality Analysis Nick Thornburg, Will Hannon, Will Ferriby, Chris Valach Global/Regional Trend Objectives • • • • National causality trend analysis of carbon emissions of specific world countries Comparison of the causal commonalities within and among different world regions and the United States Comprehension of global and regional patterns of carbon dioxide emissions over time for insight into the driving forces of climate change Quantified causality model of data from 60 world countries and US for future project use Approach and Methodology CO2 Emissions = Population x GDP/Person x Energy/GDP x CO2/Energy • • • • Population: The total number of people living in a country at a certain point in time. GDP/Person: Total GDP in a country divided by its population. Indicates the national economic development and prosperity. Energy/GDP: Total kg oil consumed per unit GDP. Indicator of the energy intensity of a country’s economy. CO2/Energy: Metric tons of CO2 emitted per kg oil consumed. Measure of the carbon intensity and content of energy consumption. Causality Factors for Saudi Arabia Increases in Population and Energy/GDP Decrease in GDP/Person and CO2/Energy The Population and Energy/GDP both drive Carbon Emissions up while GDP/Person and CO2/Energy drive it down. Increase in Population and GDP/Person Decrease in Energy/GDP and CO2/Energy Now the forces driving CO2 up are GDP/Person and Population while Energy/GDP and CO2/Energy drove it down. Causality Factors for South Africa Transition from population as the driving force to GDP as the driving force CO2 emissions have decreased because of lowering of population and a lowering of energy per GDP. Regional Causality: Europe Convergence to two points of CO2 emissions per capita Eastern European Countries: decreasing their emissions to get to these points. Western European countries: remaining relatively the same in their Carbon/Capita emissions. Regional Causality: South America Principal Causality Factor: GDP/Person: Economy is responsible for footprint. GDP/Person: skyrocketing trend from 19602005. Shift in economic nature. Energy/GDP: net decrease over 35 year time period. CO2/Energy: relative stability,near-zero trend evolution changing fuel type is responsible. Note the uncanny relativity between causal factor magnitudes in countries. Slight convergence over time: Evolution from 14-fold to only 3-fold difference! 975% increase! Regional Causality: Southeast Asia 1732% increase! 1663% Increase! Regional Causality: United States 838% C02/Energy CO2 Emiss -10% -7% C02/Energy CO2 Emiss -42% -88% Energy/GDP 708% -74% Energy/GDP 900% 800% 700% 600% 500% 400% 300% 200% 100% 0% -100% GDP/Pers Much more than north Due to increase in Population South also had a larger drop in Carbon per Energy, less significant than the population change Pop 182% 98% Penn. 1960-2005 5% Pop Southern and experienced a emissions Georgia 1960-2005 GDP/Pers 900% 800% 700% 600% 500% 400% 300% Western states 200% 100% 0% significant -100% Overall US Emissions were driven up by GDP increases, moderated by decreases in Energy/GDP Summary and Conclusions • Regional causality frameworks and case studies of countries prove strong socioeconomic and historical dependence of causal factors • • • • Parallel of trends and driving factors in the US • • No such “master formula” for causality analysis Intrinsic relationship with economic development Significance of geographical placement Economic development mostly responsible, dampened by lowered energy intensity Establishment of framework for sustainable future Project List Electricity Use by Space and Application: Danforth Campus Matt Mitchel, Jacob Cohen Approach/Methodology: Danforth Campus Obtained space breakdown data from the Department of Space Utilization Eliminated and grouped together specific spaces Electricity Breakdown: Danforth Campus • • • Electricity consumption= ΣAreai * (cons/sq.ft.)i Final Analysis: 23,000,000 kWh/y consumed on Danforth Campus. Compared to previous observed value of 68,500,000 kWh/y. (33.5% accounted for) Electricity Breakdown by Space (kWh) Research Labs 2% Class Labs 2% Knight Center 11% Support Facilities 6% Circulation Area 28% General Use 5% DUC 5% Seigle Hall 5% Elevators 1% Toilets 3% Offices 10% Study Areas 17% Classroom 4% Custodial Area 1% Project List DUC Energy Consumption Sarah Canniff, Dan Zernickow, Elliot Rosenthal, T.J. Pepping, Brittany Huhmann DUC Energy Consumption Objectives • • • • Find total energy use, CO2 emissions, and cost for natural gas, electricity, hot water, and chilled water in the DUC for one year Identify the portion of the DUC’s total energy use that goes to individual components of the HVAC system and the portion that goes to non-HVAC uses Identify daily, weekly, and seasonal trends in the above parameters Begin to understand the influence of outdoor temperatures and student use of the DUC on these daily, weekly, and seasonal trends Approach and Methodology • Data from Metasys for 5:00 PM April 16, 2009 to 5:00 PM April 16, 2010 electricity, natural gas, hot water, chilled water supply fans, relief fans, and heat recovery fans for the 3 AHUs pumps for hot and chilled water outdoor air temperature • All energy data converted to MMBTUs for comparative purposes Natural Gas Electricity Hot Water Chilled Water Natural Gas, Electricity, Hot and Chilled Water Summary and Conclusions • • • • Annual energy use: 17,300 MMBTU Annual CO2 emissions: 2,140,000 kg Annual Cost: $126,000 Electricity is biggest source of all three metrics • • • • • HVAC electricity is 29% of total electricity consumption Energy reduction strategies should focus on non-HVAC electricity Two peaks in daily energy consumption corresponding to lunch and dinner rush Lower energy consumption on weekends vs. weekdays & during academic-year breaks Seasonal patterns based on outdoor temperatures Project List Electricity Use by Space and Application: DUC, Seigle Lindsay Aronson, Alan Pinkert, Will Fischer Electricity Use Objectives We aimed to : Examine lighting and appliances for the Danforth University Center and Seigle Hall Look at energy consumption by appliance and by space Show trends and suggest improvements to reduce the carbon footprint of Washington University Approach and Methodology Started by identifying how to breakdown spaces within each given area Researched appliances found in the different kind of spaces identified and determined their wattage Determined hours of use for appliances/lighting To confirm, took metered energy data, subtracted HVAC consumption, and compared calculations Hourly Average Consumption Hourly Average Consumption Hourly Average Consumption Results for the DUC (excluding kitchen) Total By Category (kWh/week) TVs 1% Printers/Cop Other Total 1% iers Projector 3% Total Break Rooms 11% 0% Weekly Total By Space (kWh) Student Media Formal 1% Visitors Lounge Elevators 2% 0% Mechanical Orchid Center Room 2% Custodial 1% 1% 0% North Commons 2% Corridors 28% Dining Area 2% Fun Room Event 3% Services Bathroom 3% 4% Commons 4% Meeting Rooms 4% Lighting Total 13% Computers 71% Grad Center 4% Career Center 12% Stairway 6% SU Floor 2 9% StudLife 7% SU Floor 1 6% Results for DUC Food Service Weekday Usage Energy Use (Weekday) 100 90 Café 80 Consumption (kWh) 70 60 Beverage Prep Café Misc. Lighting Misc. 50 Waste 40 30 Post-Prep Post-Prep Prep Lighting Beverage 20 10 0 Waste Energy Breakdown: Seigle Seigle Trends Summary and Conclusions Circulation area is the largest energy consumer Recommend installing motion sensor lights Computers are another major energy drain Stand-by should be used during the day, but at night computers should be shut down completely Other recommendations: Install motion sensors in bathrooms and classrooms Use “Night mode” lighting setting in hallways without motion at night Schedule night classes and meetings on first and second floors so that other floors’ lights can be turned off Project List WUSTL Transportation Carbon Footprint Update Michal Hyrc, Ryan Henderson, Billy Koury, Eric Tidquist Transportation Objectives To better understand the carbon footprint of transportation at Washington University by: Ground Transportation: Improving Past Estimates Air Travel: Novel Estimates Parking: What happens when we go underground? Approach & Methodology Flying Extracted student locations and numbers from home zip code data Found total passenger miles flown by students Commuting Estimated carbon footprint from total number of passenger miles Parking Used approximate appliance data to estimate daily carbon emissions Used approximate size data to estimate initial carbon emission due to pouring concrete Used school zip code data from a similar project conducted in 2009 Calculated commuting distances by mode of transportation Walk/Bike MetroLink MetroBus Drive Alone Carpool Estimated carbon footprint Upper bound Lower bound Best guess Driving Forces for CO2 Emissions Student Aviation Carbon Footprint Ground Transportation Faculty Addresses Student Addresses Comparison of Bounds Modes of Transportation and Total Carbon The two leftmost charts represent the number of students (left) and faculty (center) that commute to school in each mode of transportation taken into consideration. The chart to the right represents the total carbon emissions from students and faculty. Best guess total: 5627 metric tons of CO2 Emissions Due to a Parking Spot Summary & Conclusions Our best estimates for annual transportation footprints are ~23,000 metric tons of CO2 from student air commute ~5,500 metric tons of CO2 from faculty and student regional ground commute ~527 metric tons of CO2 from lighting and ventilation of parking on campus This is an underestimation of the actual total footprint The transportation footprint has been and will continue to increase To reduce the transportation footprint, we recommend the University Merge fall and thanksgiving break to reduce flight emissions Try to reduce the number of people that drive to work by themselves Project List University Carbon Footprint Comparison Shamus Keohane, Chris Holt, Kristen Schlott, Sonny Ruffino University Carbon Footprint Objectives • • The primary objective of this project was to compile GHG data from other Universities to make comparative analysis with respect to Washington University’s place among other schools when it comes to sustainability. An additional goal of the data analysis is a qualitative subject investigation to see which areas of a GHG inventory Wash U can improve upon or is already succeeding in. Approach and Methodology • • • • • This project began with a review of the previous class’ report, where size data was only available for 12 schools, and transportation data was only available for 19. Their analysis only really compared these two subjects. We expanded to include net GHG emissions, total campus area, purchased electricity and student population. Tufts, Smith, Lewis and Clark, Wellesley, College of Charleston, Cal St. Polytech, College of William & Mary, and Occidental College were removed due to lack of data. Arizona State University, Cornell, and Bates were added as they are known to be sustainable schools Data for most of the schools was available either on their sustainability websites or through the ACUPCC website. The latter providing a nice and unified way of reporting and measuring GHG emissions The data was tabulated into a Google Doc. work space along with general statistics for each school (area, pop., etc). From this common source of data, we began to analyze the information for trends Fig. 1 Overall GHG Emissions Time Comparison Fig.1 This is a time comparison of total GHG emissions, from the 2008 group data to current data. Note that Wash U ranks 3rd amongst the analyzed schools in terms of gross emissions of CO2, despite Wash U’s size compared to other schools. Also noteworthy is the fact that schools are generally trending to emit more GHG than previously evaluated, this is most likely due to many schools expanding their GHG inventories to account for transportation effects. The large disparity between transportation reporting from the 2008 report to this report is likely the cause of the overall increase in emissions seen in this time period. More information on transportation data reporting can be seen in figures 4a and 5b. • Immediately attention grabbing in this figure is Harvard’s dramatic decline since the time of the previous inventory. More information on this is included in figure 5a. Fig. 2 Per Capita Comparison INCLUDING MED SCHOOL Without Med School Fig. 2 Per Capita Emissions: Gross emissions per number of students. This graph includes results from the most recent GHG Index results from Wash U, including the medical school. Also, there is no 2008 data for Wash U, but rather there is data for Wash U including only the Danforth Campus (not med school). We included both values to show the dramatic impact medical schools can have on overall emissions. For Gross GHG Emissions, all other indices studied included medical schools. Additionally, the student population counts are a total count, including graduate and medical students. We think this graph (including Wash U + med school) is the most accurate indication of per capita emissions, because of the all inclusiveness of using graduate school campuses + graduate and medical school students, where applicable. Fig. 3 Gross Emissions & Population Trends Time Comparison (W/ Med School) Student Populations Fig. 3 This is a time comparison of the gross emissions normalized by population. Total 2010 Transportation Emissions per Capita Fig. 4b ***for schools that report all categories Fig. 4a 2010 Transportation Data Reported 4b) Not all schools had the same information available, so we felt that a comparison of the 2010 transportation emissions by school should be normalized. This graph compares only schools that reported data in all three 4a) This chart shows the breakdown of transportation data that was available in transportation categories: university fleets, each school’s GHG Emissions Index. Most schools had a good log of student and faculty commuting, and air travel. transportations emissions data, but not all. As mentioned above, This graph represents the total combined transportation can have a huge impact on overall emissions, when included in emissions for those three categories, controlled emissions reports. For example, as seen from the report by the transportation by university population. It is the only graph that group, international student travel can have a major impact on Transportation is not also a time comparison to the 2008 group GHG emissions. Yale currently has 8% international students while Duke has data. This is because we could not be sure 13%. The 2008 group mentioned great inconsistency and difficulty tracking which transportation data the 2008 group data, so we are doing an isolated study of 2010 data only. included in their graphs, though they did include mention of their raw data’s inconsistencies. Fig. 5a Emissions Resulting from Purchased Electricity Time Comparison Fig. 5b Index Data Reporting Time Comparison Abbrev. Data Category PE Purchased Electricity RE Renewable Energy ST Stationary Sources Tr-UF Transp: University Fleet Tr-CST Transp: Commuting, Students Tr-CSF Transp: Commuting, Faculty Tr-A Transp: Air Ag Agricultural Waste SW Solid Waste Figure 5 Analysis 5a)This graph shows a comparison over time of the total emissions resulting from electricity purchased. As mentioned above, Harvard in particular shows a dramatic decrease in their EP emissions. This is because of the installation of a new on-campus power plant since the previous inventory, drastically reducing their GHG emissions from purchased power. 5b) This graph is a time comparison of available data in each school’s GHG index. The 2008 group included this bar graph in their data to demonstrate the inconsistencies in reporting, as well as the dramatic differences in reporting methods from school to school. We decided this was a pertinent graph for comparison. Considering that a) we studied fewer schools b) that emissions from student vs. teacher commuting have been combined and in 2010 is simply referred to as overall "commuting," and c) considering that agricultural waste no longer seems to be included in most GHG inventories, a general trend shows increased reporting for all data categories. Air travel and renewable energy reporting has increased the most. It should also be noted that data reporting seems to be much more standardized (most schools were included in the comprehensive ACUPCC GHG Emissions Index) in 2010 than in 2008. We didn't have to resort to any "alternative methods" for GHG inventories, and another recent trend is that significantly more inventories were available as a university sponsored report (including Harvard and Wash U), indicating 54 increased interest and university involvement in GHG inventories. Summary and Conclusions • • • It is clear from the previous data that Wash U has reported drastically more CO2 emissions from the last group’s report in 2008. Wash U currently still does not include transportation, so the current estimates for Wash U emissions are lower than they are in reality. Wash U’s poor rank among other Universities in GHG emissions can primarily be attributed to the amount of electricity Wash U purchases and the source of that Electricity. If Wash U were to contract with utility companies to purchase electricity produced from renewable resources, Wash U could greatly improve its standing in the academic community. In conclusion, while Wash U may take an open and active stance toward it’s sustainability goals, the University need to look to new areas that can have greater impacts in reducing the University’s Carbon Footprint. Questions? References (Global) 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. 21. 22. 23. 24. http://www.google.com/publicdata/overview?ds=d5bncppjof8f9_ https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/ve.html http://inflationdata.com/inflation/inflation_Rate/Historical_Oil_Prices_Table.asp http://web.archive.org/web/20080226202420/http://www.jica.go.jp/english/global/pov/profiles/pdf/sau_eng.pdf http://www.state.gov/r/pa/ei/bgn/35639.htm http://www2.census.gov/prod2/statcomp/documents/1980-02.pdf https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/br.html https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/ar.html http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/France#Economy http://www.bea.gov/regional/index.htm#gsp http://www.census.gov/compendia/statab/ http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_Thailand http://web.worldbank.org/WBSITE/EXTERNAL/COUNTRIES/LACEXT/HONDURASEXTN/0,,contentMDK:21035522~pageP K:141137~piPK:141127~theSitePK:295071,00.html http://www40.statcan.gc.ca/l01/cst01/econ40-eng.htm http://www.statcan.gc.ca/pub/88-221-x/2008002/part-partie1-eng.htm http://capitawiki.wustl.edu/ME449-07/index.php/Image:All_State_Energy_BTU_EmissionR.xls http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/states/_seds.html http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/emissions/state_energyco2inv.html http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/1605/state/state_emissions.html http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/1605/ggrpt/carbon.html http://open.worldbank.org/countries/AFG/indicators/EN.ATM.CO2E.KT?per_page=100&api_key=4kzbhfty3mz6v293vr q5uphw&date=1960:2005 http://datafedwiki.wustl.edu/index.php/2010-02-15:_World_Bank_Coutry_Data http://capitawiki.wustl.edu/EECE449/index.php/Global-Regional_Trends_of_Carbon_Emissions http://capita.wustl.edu/me449%2D00/ References (University) Duke University (2007) http://acupcc.aashe.org/ghg-report.php?id=225 Penn State University Park (2009) http://www.ghg.psu.edu/campus_inv/default.asp Washington University in St. Louis (2009) http://www.wustl.edu/sustain/GHGEmissions.pdf U of Pennsylvania (2008) http://acupcc.aashe.org/ghg-report.php?id=258 Cornell (2008) http://acupcc.aashe.org/ghg-report.php?id=237 Yale (2008) http://sustainability.yale.edu/sites/default/files/GHG2008.pdf Arizona State University (2008) 2008: http://acupcc.aashe.org/ghg-report.php?id=628 2007: http://acupcc.aashe.org/ghg-report.php?id=386 U of Illinois at Chicago (2008) http://acupcc.aashe.org/ghg-report.php?id=102 UT Knoxville (2009) http://acupcc.aashe.org/ghg-report.php?id=1018 Colorado State University (2009) http://acupcc.aashe.org/ghg-report.php?id=932 UC Berkeley(2008) http://acupcc.aashe.org/ghg-report.php?id=142 U of Connecticut (2007) http://acupcc.aashe.org/ghg-report.php?id=587 Harvard(2007) http://www.provost.harvard.edu/institutional_research/FACTBOOK_2007-08_FULL.pdf Tulane University (2008) http://green.tulane.edu/PDFs/Inventory_Complete_2008_FINAL.pdf University of Central Florida (2008) http://acupcc.aashe.org/ghg-report.php?id=1108 Utah State University (2008) http://acupcc.aashe.org/ghg-report.php?id=971 Rice (2009) http://acupcc.aashe.org/ghg-report.php?id=843 UC Santa Barbara (2009) http://acupcc.aashe.org/ghg-report.php?id=963 University of New Hampshire (2007) http://www.sustainableunh.unh.edu/climate_ed/greenhouse_gas_inventory.html Oberlin College(2007) http://acupcc.aashe.org/ghg-report.php?id=367 Middlebury College (2007) http://acupcc.aashe.org/ghg-report.php?id=441 Carleton College (2007) http://acupcc.aashe.org/ghg-report.php?id=236 Colby College (2008) http://acupcc.aashe.org/ghg-report.php?id=801 Bates College (2008) 2008: http://www.bates.edu/Prebuilt/GHGInventory.pdf 2007: http://acupcc.aashe.org/ghg-report.php?id=329 Connecticut College (2009) http://www.conncoll.edu/green/greenliving/GreenlivingDocs/CC_greenhouse_gas_emissions_inventory_0809.pdf References (Application) Tom Dixon, DUC General Manager DUC Electrical Binder: http://capita.wustl.edu/me44909/Elect%20Binder.pdf Leslie Heusted, Director, Danforth University Center Kellie Briggs, Assistant Director, Facilities, Danforth University Center Jessica Stanko, Career Center Assistant; Lauren Botteron, Hatchet Yearbook; Alan Liu, StudLife staff member Frank Freeman Larry Downey and Kevin Watkins in Facilities Seigle Construction Plans http://capitawiki.wustl.edu/EECE449/images/0/0c/Seigle_Hall_Constructi on_Plans.pdf Excel files with the data for graphs shown in this presentation can be found on our wiki report page. References (Transportation) 1. http://hypertextbook.com/facts/1999/KatrinaJones.shtml 2. http://apps.olin.wustl.edu/mba/casecompetition/PDF/oscc_case2.pdf 3. http://www.engineeringtoolbox.com/garage-ventilation-d_1017.html 4. http://www.docstoc.com/docs/2392070/Overview-of-Existing-Regulations-for-VentilationRequirements-of/ 5. http://www.epa.gov/ttnchie1/conference/ei13/ghg/hanle.pdf 6. http://capitawiki.wustl.edu/EECE449/index.php/Commuting 7. http://capitawiki.wustl.edu/EECE449/index.php/Shuttles 8. http://capitawiki.wustl.edu/EECE449/index.php/Transportation 9. http://www.bts.gov/xml/air_traffic/src/index.xml#CustomizeTable 10. http://www.ghgprotocol.org/ 11. http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/1605/coefficients.html 12. http://www.whatsmycarbonfootprint.com/faq.htm 13. http://www.carbonfund.org/site/pages/carbon_calculators/category/Assumptions 14. http://www.epa.gov/oms/climate/420f05001.htm 15. http://capitawiki.wustl.edu/EECE449/index.php/Transportation