Use of DNA information in Genetic Programs. Outline 1. DNA Information in Genetic Evaluation: • DNA Tests • Inclusion in Genetic Evaluations 2. Commercial Ranch Genetic Evaluations • Sorting Bulls on DNA Genotyping • DNA Parent identification DNA Test Terminology Discovery, Validation, Assessment and Application Discovery: Process of identifying QTL Validation: Process of replicating results in independent data through blind testing Assessment: Process of evaluating the effect of the QTL in a broader context (other traits and environments) Application: Process of using the DNA information in genetic decisions DNA Tests for Carcass Merit Traits •Thyroglobulin •Calpain (MARC Discovery) •Calpistatin •Leptin •Three QTL from NCBA Carcass Merit Project (genes unknown) •DGAT1 Marker Assisted EPD’s • EPD – Expected Haplotype Effect given sire genotype – Polygenic effect Progeny Genotype vs. Sire Genotype Sire Genotype Dam Haplotype Sire Haplotype Progeny Genotype Progeny Genotype Progeny Phenotype Progeny Phenotype Observed Sire Genotype Effects (Constructed from Haplotype Effects) 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 -0.1 -0.2 -0.3 -0.4 blank CG AA CG AG CG GG GG AA GG AG GG GG Four Gametes WBSF: EPD vs MA-EPD unit slope CG AA CG AG CG GG GG AA GG AG GG GG 0.8 0.6 Marker Assisted EPD 0.4 0.2 0.0 -0.2 0.2 -0.4 0.0 -0.6 -0.8 -0.2 -1.0 -1.2 -1.0 -0.4 -0.8 -0.6 -0.4 -0.2 0.0 EPD (without marker) 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 Commercial Ranch Project and the need for using DNA in sire assignments. Bull Sorting Create genetically diverse groups. Objective: is to maximize the probability of uniquely identifying one sire to a calf. Outline 1. DNA Information in Genetic Evaluation: • DNA Tests • Inclusion in Genetic Evaluations 2. Commercial Ranch Genetic Evaluations • Sorting Bulls on DNA Genotyping • DNA Parent identification Verification Verification: Verifying that the putative parent is the real parent. In the seedstock industry, pedigree integrity is the primary reason for DNA testing for parent verification AI sires, ET cows and calves, random checks. Identification Identification: Identifying a parent from a group of potential parents (e.g., multiple-sire breeding pastures). Practical Application We are currently developing a program for genetic evaluation for the commercial sector. A problem is that the large commercial ranches use multiple-sire pastures so DNA testing for identification becomes necessary. Perfect World Begin by assuming that genotypes are scored without error. Process of excluding bulls. A mismatch between the genotype of the putative sire and the calf in question. Sire = 110/110 Calf = 112/114 Panel Exclusion Rate Measure of the effectiveness of a DNA panel to exclude an animal as a parent. Probability of excluding as the parent any animal drawn at random from the population. Sire Identification The probability of uniquely identifying the sire in a group of “N” bulls is: ( Exclusion rate ) N Bulls 0.90 0.95 0.98 2 3 4 0.81 0.73 0.66 0.90 0.86 0.81 0.96 0.94 0.92 5 6 7 8 0.59 0.53 0.48 0.43 0.77 0.74 0.70 0.66 0.90 0.89 0.87 0.85 9 10 0.39 0.35 0.63 0.60 0.83 0.82 Two or more qualify 18% of the time Multiple Qualifying Sires Could run more markers (a second panel). If this was a seedstock problem probably would. In the commercial program however this is not cost effective, so we compute the probability that each qualifying sire is the true sire. Commercial Genetic Evaluation Using probabilities then requires a system for genetic evaluation that “models” sire uncertainty. Under a sire uncertainty model do not need to uniquely identify the sire. We will use the probability associated with each bull of being the sire. Probabilities Competing sires Bull 1 = 110/110 Bull 2 = 110/112 Calf = 110/114 If Bull 1: P(110) =1 If Bull 2: P(110) =0.5 Probabilities Competing sires Bull 1 = 220/222 Dam genotype 224/224 Bull 1: P(220)=0.5 Bull 2 = 224/228 Calf = 220/224 Bull 1: P(224)=0.5 Two Qualifying Bulls Bull 1: P(locus one) = 1.0 P(locus two) = 0.5 0.5 of his calves will have the calf genotype in question. Locus 1: 110/114 Locus 2: 220/224 Two Qualifying Bulls Bull 2: P(locus one) = 0.5 P(locus two) = 0.5 0.25 of his calves will have the calf genotype in question. Locus 1: 110/114 Locus 2: 220/224 Two Qualifying Bulls Bull 1 = 0.50 Bull 2 = 0.25 Bull 1 is twice as likely as bull 2 to be the sire so the probability of each bull is then: Bull 1 = 2/3 Bull 2 = 1/3 Example: Bell Ranch Data AID Sire Prob Excl Sire Prob Excl 3077 106/6 99 0 3167 A0053 81 0 106/6 11 1 3077 2099J 46 0 106/6 24 0 3074 106/6 87 0 A8035 12 0 3057 8101J 70 0 A0053 19 0 3170 8101J 70 0 A0053 19 0 Real World Scoring genotypes is NOT a process without error. A mismatch between the genotype of the sire and calf in question does not exclude the bull. Sire = 110/110 Calf = 112/114 Types of Scoring Errors Independent of genotype (2-base pair repeats): Base pair mis-reads (usually two bases off) More likely in large DNA repeat segments Dependent of genotype (2-base pair repeats): Heterozygotes for alleles differing by two bases are read as a homozygote for the smaller allele: genotype 110/112 => scored as 110/110 Real World A mismatch between the genotype of the sire and calf in question does not exclude the bull. Sire = 110/110 Calf = 112/114 Experience 10 - 15% chance he still qualifies The Phenotypic Representation of a Sire Identification Problem Animal Genotype Animal Scored Genotype Will use a four allele locus as an example. The Phenotypic Representation of a Sire Identification Problem Animal Genotype Animal Scored Genotype Bull 1: A1/A2 P(A1) = 0.5-E P(A2) = 0.5-E P(A3) = E P(A4) = E E = simple independent error rate Population Frequencies Possible Alleles 108 (.4) 110 (.3) 112 (.2) 114 (.1) Genotyping Errors Sire Scored Genotype = 108/110 Assume 4% error Sire Possible Alleles 108 (0.48) 110 (0.48) 112 (0.02) 114 (0.02) Progeny Probabilities Dam Sire 108 0.48 110 0.48 112 0.02 114 0.02 108 110 112 114 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 Progeny Probabilities Dam Sire 108 110 112 114 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 108 0.48 0.192 0.144 0.096 0.048 110 0.48 0.192 0.144 0.096 0.048 112 0.02 0.008 0.006 0.004 0.002 114 0.02 0.008 0.006 0.004 0.002 The Phenotypic Representation of a Sire Identification Problem Animal Genotype Animal Scored Genotype Calf: A1/A4 P(A1) = 0.5-E P(A2) = E P(A3) = E P(A4) = 0.5-E E = simple independent error rate Progeny Probabilities Calf 108 0.005 110 0.005 112 0.005 114 0.985 108 110 112 114 0.985 0.005 0.005 0.005 Progeny Probabilities Calf 108 110 112 114 0.985 0.005 0.005 0.005 108 0.005 0.004925 0.000025 0.000025 0.000025 110 0.005 0.004925 0.000025 0.000025 0.000025 112 0.005 0.004925 0.000025 0.000025 0.000025 114 0.985 0.970225 0.004925 0.004925 0.004925 Bell Ranch Progeny Exclusions X0135 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 A1017 X1095 6 7 0 6 5 0 7 5 0 0 1 5 1 5 8 6 3 7 6 0 6 2 0 6 7 1 7 X0135 A1017 X1095 X0135 A1017 X1095 9999 1 6 0 5 0 100 0 0 2 7 6 0 0 0 100 0 3 7 1 8 0 0 0 100 4 5 5 6 0 0 0 100 5 0 1 3 100 0 0 0 6 0 5 7 100 0 0 0 7 6 2 7 0 0 0 100 8 0 0 1 67 33 0 0 9 6 6 7 0 0 0 100 X0135 A1017 X1095 X0135 A1017 X1095 9999 1 6 0 5 0 100 0 0 2 7 6 0 0 0 100 0 3 7 1 8 0 96 0 4 4 5 5 6 0 1 0 99 5 0 1 3 100 0 0 0 6 0 5 7 100 0 0 0 7 6 2 7 0 74 0 26 8 0 0 1 65 33 2 0 9 6 6 7 0 0 0 100