SALT LAKE COMMUNITY COLLEGE Math 1040 – Term Project Correlation Study| Microwave Cook Time’s & Number of Kernels Popped In A Bag of Popcorn. Anthony Hakala 11/16/2012 Math 1040 – Term Project Anthony Hakala 11/16/12 Purpose of the Study As a group we tried to think of populations that could be studied in which we would have more control over the variables in play, we decided the best course of action would be to study the number of kernels that pop in a bag of popcorn. We wanted to know is the number of popped kernels related time spent cooking. Study Design To collect our data we used a simple random sample to 1. Determine which brand of popcorn to use and 2. To determine which boxes of popcorn to select off of the shelf. To do this we went into Smiths, taking note off all the different popcorn brands available. We recorded and numbered each brand of popcorn that was available for purchase. Using a random number generator we selected the Brand “Act II butter lover’s” popcorn. Taking note of how many boxes were on the shelf we then numbered them 1-k. using the random number generator we selected our boxes. Each box contained 6 bags of popcorn, leaving us with 36 bags of popcorn. We only needed to collect a sample size of 30 bags, so we numbered each bag and randomly selected 30 from the 36 total bags. From this point each group member took 10 bags and popped them, we recorded the number of popped kernels and time spent in the microwave. The Data, Statistics & Graphs Data Organized into a table Time Spent in Microwave 0.20 0.24 0.28 0.32 0.36 0.40 0.44 0.48 0.52 0.56 1.00 1.04 1.08 1.12 1.16 # of Kernels Popped 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 3 25 40 20 23 81 83 85 Time Spent in Microwave 1.20 1.24 1.28 1.32 1.36 1.40 1.44 1.48 1.52 1.56 2.00 2.04 2.08 2.12 2.16 # of Kernels Popped 127 163 179 233 244 381 389 390 416 393 435 405 415 421 421 Statistics for the First Quantitative Variable: Mean = 1.1133333 Standard Deviation = 0.6176336 Five Number Summary: Min = 0.2 | Q1 = 0.48 |Median = 1.18 | Q3 = 1.48 | Max = 2.16 Range = 1.96 Mode = None Outliers = None Statistics for the Second Quantitative Variable: Mean = 179.53334 Standard Deviation = 176.32997 Five Number Summary: Min = 0 | Q1 = 14 |Median = 106 | Q3 = 390 | Max = 435 Range = 435 Mode = 421 Outliers = None Simple linear regression results: Dependent Variable: # of Kernels Popped Independent Variable: Time Spent in Microwave # of Kernels Popped = -109.302666 + 259.43353 Time Spent in Microwave Sample size: 30 R (correlation coefficient) = 0.9087 Difficulties/Surprises Encountered Analysis –To be sure of this before starting the experiment I predetermined an alpha level. My Alpha level was .05. (Meaning I was willing to except being wrong only 5% of the time) Determining the Degrees of freedom (df) I found that our sample size of n=30 had a (df) of 28. Using the critical value table found at http://www.gifted.uconn.edu/siegle/research/correlation/alphaleve.htm I was able to find the intersection between df = 28 and Alpha = .05 which was .361. This intersection of .361 represents the minimum correlation coefficient r you need to confidently state 95% of the time a relationship will be found with the 30 bags of popcorn (n) in the population from which they were drawn. If | r | > .361 you would reject the null hypothesis (There is no relationship) and accept the alternative hypothesis, a statistically significant relation between time spent cooking in the microwave and number of kernels popped. In our research we found r = 0.9087 | 0.9087 | > .3610? =True. Interpretation & Conclusions - From the data collected we can say that we are 95% confident there is a correlation between time spent in cooking and the number of kernels popped in a bag of popcorn. By interoperating r= | 0.9087 | > .3610 =True. We see that our correlation coefficient is greater than the minimum value by .5477, well above what was set as a minimum expectable value; we can also see a positive regression line in the scatter plot. This combined with a positive r value leads me to believe we have successfully answered our original question. Reflective Writing 1. Is the time spent cooking Related to the number of kernels that will pop in a bag of popcorn? 2. The Correlation Coefficient for my groups data = 0.9087 3. The Critical Value of the groups correlation coefficient = .3610 4. From the data collected we can say that we are 95% confident there is a correlation between time spent in cooking and the number of kernels popped in a bag of popcorn. 5. What Challenges did you face in completing the assignment? How did you address them? a. When asked what challenges I faced in completing this assignment, I could spend two pages listing them out. For the sake of conversation I will keep this brief. The assignment itself did not present me with too many problems; we chose subject matter to study that seemed fairly straight forward, popping popcorn. The challenges I faced in completing this task was time. For me time seems to be a constant constraint. Between work, class, homework (both in stats and other classes) two children, and my wife, I seemed to always be limited in the amount of time I had to dedicate myself to this project and homework in general. I over came these limitations by partitioning myself from the things that took me away from homework and this project, namely my family. By sacrificing the amount of time I spent with my family and decreasing the amount of sleep I received I was able to collect my portion of the data, this leads me to my second challenge, communication. Communicating with my group was also an issue; we never had time before or after class to talk about the project. We overcame this by electronic communication between text messaging and email. Once we got into a rhythm it was easier to stay on track with project goals. Through a collaborative supportive environment my team and I were able to efficiently and accurately collect data and support each other on the interpretation of said data.