University of Central Florida Targeted Programs Computer Science, Information Technology, Electronic Media, and Simulation John C. Hitt President Board of Governors, September 15, 2005 Computer Era Anything that can be automated will be. Frank Levy, MIT, co-author, The New Division of Labor: How Computers are Creating the Next Job Market. 2004. Source: Matthew Benjamin, “Career Guide 2005,” US News. 2 Emerging Technologies CS & IT Computer Science Digital Media Information Systems Technology Information Sciences CS & IT Information Technology Modeling and Simulation Computer Engineering 3 Management Information Systems Previous Presentations to BOG Student Demand & Supply University Capacity State Need Insufficient Critical Some Excess Critical At Capacity Targeted Nursing High Education Low Engineering Low 4 Today’s Presentation Student Demand & Supply University Capacity State Need Modeling and Simulation, Digital Media, Information Technology, and Information Systems Technology Increasing Insufficient Targeted Computer Science, Information Sciences, Management Information Systems, and Computer Engineering Decreasing 5 Some Excess Targeted The Job Market in CS and IT false perception that job opportunities are scarce since dot.com collapse 91% increase in BS degrees from 1997-2002 BUT 60% decline in enrollment in last 4 years federal job forecasts indicate increasing demand fewer US graduates > more reliance on employees from overseas 6 National Need in CS & IT graduates work in wide range of jobs over 979,000 jobs in 2002, including 89,000 self-employed employment projections higher than the average of all occupations 14% annual employment growth for IT security experts Sources: U.S. Dept of Labor Statistics, Network World Fusion, and Urban Institute 7 Average B.S. Starting Salaries computer scientist $40,000-$52,000 wireless network administrators $48,000-$70,000 (with experience or certification) hardware design & development software design & development information systems $45,900 $45,600 $41,600 Sources: collegegrad.com; Kim Clark, “Fast Rack Careers,” US News. 8 Modeling and Simulation in Florida Central Florida’s simulation industry has largest concentration of simulation business in the world 304 companies 16,000 employees with average salary over $72,000 47,500 related jobs over $1.06 billion direct payroll Source: 2004 report of National Center for Simulation 9 Modeling and Simulation Graduate Degree Programs currently offered only at UCF in Florida very rapid enrollment growth with minimal formal advertisement and recruitment backlog of students from military simulation agencies and companies multiple requests to deliver the program off-site and by distance education 10 Management Information Systems high demand for MIS graduates 10.5 million information technology workers nationwide 200,000 MIS professionals in Florida 30,000 in the Orlando Metropolitan Region enrollment drop in last three years stricter admission requirements perception of off-shore outsourcing sluggish economy 11 Digital Media programs offered at UCF and UF 28 gaming companies in Orlando 42,000 jobs in film and digital media in Central Florida 5,000 new jobs expected in video gaming 12 SUS Enrollments in Targeted Group Declining Overall Fall Headcount Enrollment Emerging Technologies: Computer Science and Information Technology 13 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 SUS Enrollments Increasing in Specialized Disciplines Increasing Enrollments 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 14 Information Technology 20 04 20 03 20 02 20 01 20 00 19 99 19 98 19 97 Information Systems Technology Modeling and Simulation 19 96 19 95 Fall Headcount Enrollment Digital Media SUS Enrollments Declining in More Traditional Programs 10,000 8,000 15 Computer Science 6,000 Computer Engineering 4,000 MIS 2,000 0 19 95 19 96 19 97 19 98 19 99 20 00 20 01 20 02 20 03 20 04 Fall Headcount Enrollment Declining Enrollments Information Sciences 16 2003-04 2002-03 2001-02 2000-01 1999-00 1998-99 1997-98 1996-97 1995-96 1994-95 1993-94 1992-93 1991-92 1990-91 Degree Production IT and CS Degree Production 4000 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 Challenges declining enrollments: computer science, information sciences, computer engineering, and management information systems negative perception about job market problem of attracting and retaining qualified students very rapid enrollment growth in digital media, information technology, information systems technology, and modeling and simulation insufficient number of qualified faculty insufficient facilities and resources 17 Potential Solutions declining programs provide accurate information about job outlook improve computer science preparation in K-12 develop recruitment programs for qualified students institute special retention programs growing programs increase enrollment growth funds increase targeted growth funds 18 Summary Student Demand & Supply University Capacity State Need Modeling and Simulation, Digital Media, Information Technology, and Information Systems Technology Increasing Insufficient Targeted Computer Science, Information Sciences, Management Information Systems, and Computer Engineering Insufficient 19 Some Excess Targeted