Principles of Economics 2nd edition by Fred M Gottheil Chapter 18 Income Distribution & Poverty PowerPoint Slides prepared by Ken Long ©1999 South-Western College Publishing 1 What are the different ways of making income? • Wages • Interest • Rent • Profit ©1999 South-Western College Publishing 2 What makes rich people rich? Interest, rent, and profit ©1999 South-Western College Publishing 3 What are some techniques used to measure income distribution? Quintiles The Lorenz Curve ©1999 South-Western College Publishing 4 The Distribution of Money Income of U.S. Families by Quintiles HH Bottom 5th Second 5th Third 5th Fourth 5th Top 5th Top 5% 1929 3.9 8.6 13.8 23.1 54.5 1947 5.0 11.8 17.0 23.1 43.0 17.2 15.9 1980 4.3 10.3 16.9 24.9 43.7 15.8 1990 3.9 9.6 15.9 24.0 46.7 18.6 (Percentages) 1995 3.7 9.1 15.2 23.3 48.7 21.0 Changes in the income distribution Distribution got somewhat more equal during the depression, stayed pretty much the same from the 40’s to the 80’s, and has gotten more unequal since then 6 What is the Lorenz Curve? Shows the percentage of total income received by a given percentage of recipients whose incomes are arranged from smallest to largest ©1999 South-Western College Publishing 7 The Lorenz Curve Cumulative % of Income 100 Line of Perfect Equality 0 100 Cumulative % of families 8 Cumulative Percent of Income Lorenz Curve Cumulative % of families ©1999 South-Western College Publishing 9 The Bureau of the Census provides income & poverty information http://www.census.gov ©1999 South-Western College Publishing 10 What is the Gini Coefficient? A numerical measure of the degree on income inequality in an economy ©1999 South-Western College Publishing 11 What does the Gini Coefficient have to do with the Lorenze Curve? The coefficient transforms the Lorenze Curve into a numerical value ©1999 South-Western College Publishing 12 Cumulative Percent of Income Areas produced by the Lorenze Curve G = A/(A+ B) A B Cumulative % of families ©1999 South-Western College Publishing 13 With the Gini Coefficient, what do the #’s mean? A number of 0 is perfect income equality A number of 1 is perfect income inequality ©1999 South-Western College Publishing 14 Gini Coefficients, US 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 .394 .397 .403 .419 .428 .450 15 How unequal is the income distribution in the U.S.? It is more uneven than in some countries and less uneven than others ©1999 South-Western College Publishing 16 What is Wealth? The accumulated assets owned by individuals ©1999 South-Western College Publishing 17 What is Life Cycle Wealth? Wealth in the form of nonmonetary assets, such as a house, automobiles, and clothing ©1999 South-Western College Publishing 18 Some problems in measuring income distribution Life cycle income Family size and effort Underground economy Taxes and in-kind income 19 Income Distribution at One Point & Over Time Year John's Age John's Income Stephanie's Age Stephanie's Income 1998 2008 2018 2028 2038 Total 18 yrs 28 38 48 58 $ 10,000 35,000 52,000 64,000 75,000 $236,000 28 yrs 38 48 58 68 $ 30,000 45,000 60,000 75,000 26,000 $236,000 Point here is that people can have the same lifetime income yet at any moment in time, there will be income differences. What are some reasons to justify Income Equality? • The randomness of personal misfortune is a misfortune • Rawls’s Theory of Justice • There’s nothing random about inequality • Equality and maximum utility ©1999 South-Western College Publishing 21 What does the “Randomness Theory” have to say about Income Inequality? Good fortune is distributed randomly so income inequality has no justification ©1999 South-Western College Publishing 22 What is “Rawl’s Theory of Justice” argument? Because income is meted out randomly, income equality is justified ©1999 South-Western College Publishing 23 What is the “There’s nothing Random about Inequality” argument? Because people own property from theft, and property determines income, incomes should be equal ©1999 South-Western College Publishing 24 What is the “Equality and Maximum Utility” argument? Because equality produces the greatest welfare for the greatest number of people, it should be equalized ©1999 South-Western College Publishing 25 For more information about income equality: http://www.umsl.edu/services/gov docs/erp/1997 http://www.stack.nl/~cas/fil/philos /rawls.html http://www.swcollege.com/bef/eco n_debate.html ©1999 South-Western College Publishing 26 What are the cases for Income Inequality? Efficiency Economic Growth ©1999 South-Western College Publishing 27 What is the “Efficiency” argument? There has to be inequality so that people will have an incentive to be productive ©1999 South-Western College Publishing 28 What is the “Economic Growth” argument? Because the wealthy can afford to save, a high savings rate makes possible money for investments ©1999 South-Western College Publishing 29 Factors Contributing to Income Inequality Innate abilities and attributes Work and leisure preferences Education and other training (human capital) Risk taking Luck Wage discrimination Labor market discrimination Employer discrimination Employee discrimination Customer discrimination 31 Male-female wage gap: median salary of women about 75% that of men Part-time work more common among women At one time, less human capital accumulation by women Job choice and mobility issues Career interruptions Role differentiation, sexual division of labor 32 Issue of Comparable Worth Comparable worth--jobs that are judged comparable in terms of skills needed, etc, should be paid the same Very controversial, can different jobs in different industries be judged comparable? 33 Measuring poverty: relative or absolute measures? Problem with relative measures: there will always be a bottom 10 or 20%, or whatever % is chosen—that does not mean all those people are poor 34 What is the Poverty threshold? The level of income below which families are considered to be poor ©1999 South-Western College Publishing 35 How do we define Poverty? Different approaches • As a % of median income • Meeting basic needs standard ©1999 South-Western College Publishing 36 Basic needs standard of Poverty threshold Developed in the 1960’s based on findings by department of agriculture For a family of 4, current poverty line is around $16,000 of income 37 Poverty in Different Groups, 1994 Group % of Group in Poverty TOTAL POPULATION BY RACE/ETHNIC GROUP White African American Hispanic 11.7 30.6 30.7 BY REGION OF COUNTRY Northeast Midwest South West 12.9 13.0 16.1 15.3 Poverty in Different Groups, 1994 Group % of Group in Poverty BY AGE Under 18 years old 18-24 years old 25-34 years old 35-44 years old 45-54 years old 55-59 years old 60-64 years old 65 years old and older 21.8 18.0 13.2 10.6 7.8 10.4 11.4 11.7 BY EDUCATION No high school diploma High school diploma, no college Some college, but less than bachelor’s degree Bachelor’s degree or more 24.8 10.9 7.8 2.6 Our welfare “system” Combination of federal and state programs AFDC, food stamps, public housing, supplemental income programs, medicaid, etc. Criticized for high implicit tax rates 40 What is the Negative Income Tax? Based on a sliding scale, below a certain income level the government pays money to people ©1999 South-Western College Publishing 41 Negative income tax proposal, alternative to current welfare system Let IG = Guaranteed income t = negative income tax rate W= cash payment under NIT EI= family’s eared income W = IG - t (EI) 42 Example Let IG = 5,000 t = .5 (50%) Then if EI = 0, W = 5,000 - .5(0) or W = 5,000 Continue in this manner for other income levels 43 • For EI = 1,000, W = 5,000 .5(1000) = 4500 • EI = 2,000, W = 5,000 - .5(2000) = 4000 • At EI = 10,000, W = 5,000 .5(10,000) = 0 • Thus EI equals the break-even (B) level of income, no more welfare payment • Note that B = IG/t 44 Hypothetical Negative Income Tax (1) Earned Income (2) Negative Income Tax Payment (Cash Grant) (3) Total Income = Earned Income + Negative Income Tax Payment $ $5,000 4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 $ 5,000 5,500 6,000 6,500 7,000 7,500 8,000 8,500 9,000 9,500 10,000 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 What is Median Income? The midpoint of a society’s income distribution ©1999 South-Western College Publishing 46 How many people in the U.S. live in poverty? Poor families make up a little more than 10% of the population ©1999 South-Western College Publishing 47 How does the Government help the Poor? Cash assistance In-kind assistance ©1999 South-Western College Publishing 48 • What is the Lorenze Curve? • What is the Gini Coefficient? • What are some reasons to justify Income Equality? • What are the cases for Income Inequality? • What is Median Income? • How do we define Poverty? • What is a Negative Income Tax? 49 END ©1999 South-Western College Publishing 50