AGRICULTURAL POLICIES IN OECD COUNTRIES Václav VojtÄ•ch Department of Economic and Social Policies Prague University of Economics 7 October 2013 Outline • • • • • • • • Introduction Analysis of agricultural policies by the OECD Secretariat Measurement of support to agriculture Main characteristics of agricultural policies and related support in OECD countries Focus on EU Common agricultural policy (CAP) Work on emerging economies Is there a difference between agricultural policies in OECD countries and emerging economies? Concluding remarks – where to go? OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate 2 1. Introduction • What we mean by agricultural policies • What are their objectives • The contextual framework – Agriculture in the economy – Agriculture and environment • The policy framework – Internal issues (food security, social issues, rural development, environment) – International issues (trade conflicts, WTO, URAA) • Importance of the international policy debate on agricultural policies – countries with comparative advantage vs. countries with comparative disadvantage OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate 3 2. Agricultural policies in OECD • WHY the OECD secretariat monitors and evaluates agricultural policies? • HOW is the OECD secretariat doing this? – Agricultural policy developments – Measurement of support to agriculture – Publishing annual reports – Which are basis for discussion among OECD countries (pear reviewing, pear pressure) OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate 4 History and country coverage • Started in the mid 1980s with an OECD mandate to monitor agricultural policies and measure support to agriculture on annual basis • Focused on OECD countries; • EU covered in the report as a single entity (but detailed information on member countries) • 1990s focus extended to countries from Central and Eastern Europe (most of these countries became at a later stage OECD or EU members) • 2000s – Going global (Brazil, India, China, South Africa) • 2010s – More global players added (Indonesia, Kazakhstan) OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate 5 Estimation of Support to Agriculture • A method developed by the OECD secretariat and approved by member countries – Producer Support Estimate (PSE) • The secretariat guarantees the consistency of the methodology as applied to countries • Various nominal and relative indicators use in the analysis of development of agricultural policies • Relative indicators enable comparability across countries and in time • Detailed information on the results and the methodology used to estimate support is available on the public website www.oecd.org/agriculture/PSE OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate 6 3. How OECD measures support to agriculture What policies are considered in the calculations? – Policies that generate transfers to agricultural producers. • Direct budgetary payments • Market price support (opportunity cost to consumers) Several conventions: – only those policies that are specific to agriculture are considered; general policies not considered; – policy objectives are not considered; – policy implementation criteria determines classification. OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate 7 Measuring support to agriculture: Building blocks MPS: Market Price Support BT: Budgetary Transfers Taxpayers BT BT incl. revenue foregone TSE Agricultural sector MPS MPS Consumers MPS Agricultural producers OECD Trade & Agriculture Directorate PSE 8 Key support indicators • Market Price Support (MPS): transfers from (primary) consumers to producers: MPS = QP*(PP-BP) • Producer Support Estimate (PSE): transfers from consumers and taxpayers to producers: PSE = MPS + B. payments + B. revenue foregone • Consumer Support Estimate (CSE): transfers from (to) consumers: CSE = QC*(PP-BP) + consumer subsidies; • General Services Support Estimate (GSSE): budgetary transfers to general services for the farming sector • Total support Estimate (TSE): transfers to agriculture TSE = PSE + GSSE + consumer subsidies OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate 9 Market Price Support – the concept Exported commodity From Consumers to Producers From Taxpayers to Producers PP D S MPD BP D1 PP: producer price S0 D0 S1 BP: Border price MPD: market price differential OECD Trade & Agriculture Directorate 10 Relative indicators Percentage PSE (%PSE): Nominal PSE as a share of gross farm receipts. Percentage CSE (%CSE): Nominal CSE as a share of consumption expenditure. Nominal Protection Coefficient (NPC): ratio between producer price and border price. Nominal Assistance Coefficient (NAC): ratio between gross farm receipts incl. support and gross farm receipts valued at border prices (without any support). Share of most distorting support: support based on output and variable input use without constraint as a share of PSE. Percentage GSSE (%GSSE): Nominal GSSE as a share of Total Support Estimate. Percentage TSE (%TSE): Nominal TSE as a share of GDP. OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate 11 Structure of support: decoupling from production Output A. Support based on commodity output Inputs B. Payments based on input use Factors and income C. Payments based on A/An/R/I Area (A) Animals (An) Receipts (R) Income (I) Noncommodity criteria Production: required Current A/An/R/I D. Payments based on A/An/R/I required Non-current A/An/R/I E. Payments based on A/An/R/I not-required Non-current A/An/R/I F. Payments based on non-commodity criteria G. Miscellaneous payments OECD Trade & Agriculture Directorate 12 4. Main characteristics of agricultural policies in OECD countries • • • • • OECD area North America (US, Canada, Mexico) Asia (Japan, Korea) Oceania (Australia, New Zealand) Europe (EU, Norway, Iceland, Switzerland) • Also covered: Chile, Israel, Turkey OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate 13 Support in OECD area – Downward trend of the level and change in the structure of support OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate 14 OECD average hides large variations of support among countries Producer support as % of farm receipts % 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 -10 2012 2011 North America (US, Canada, Mexico) • Relatively low levels of support • US, Canada large agro-food exporters • Support to some commodities still distort the markets and resource allocation and tax consumers – Canada (Milk, Poultry) – US (Sugar) • US, Canada – programmes stabilising income in agriculture (countercyclical payments) • US – important agro-environmental programmes • Mexico – less developed agriculture, still handling issues of a developing country in agriculture OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate 16 Canada: Level and structure of support OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate 17 United States: Level and structure of support OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate 18 Mexico: Level and structure of support OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate 19 Asia: Japan, Korea • Developed countries and net food importers • High levels of support despite some reduction • No important changes in the structure of support • Most of support is price support • More transfers to farmers from consumers than from taxpayers OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate 20 Japan: Level and structure of support OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate 21 Korea: Level and structure of support OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate 22 Oceania: Australia, New Zealand Countries with comparative advantages Large agro-food exporters (AUS 15%, NZL 56%) Important policy reforms reducing support to farms Lowest levels of support in OECD area Little direct budgetary payments to farms Most of the public expenditure goes to policies providing general services to the sector (R&D, Inspection & control) • In Australia disaster payments were in some years important element of transfers to farms • • • • • • OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate 23 Australia: Level and structure of support OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate 24 New Zealand: Level and structure of support OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate 25 Europe: EU (27), Norway, Switzerland, Iceland • EU treated as a single entity in the OECD reporting due to the single market and Common Agricultural policy (CAP) – a more detailed discussion of CAP reforms in the next part EU level of support close to OECD average Reduction and change of structure in the EU support Level of support in NOR, SWI, ISL at much higher level These countries are net food importers and have no comparative advantages • Trends in the reduction of support and change in the structure (mainly in Switzerland) • • • • OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate 26 European Union: Level and structure of support OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate 27 Norway: Level and structure of support OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate 28 Switzerland: Level and structure of support OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate 29 Iceland: Level and structure of support OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate 30 5. EU Common Agricultural Policy (1) • 1960s – creation of CAP, main objective stimulate production – heavy intervention mechanisms • 1980s – mounting surplus problems, export subsidies resulting in trade disputes, introduction of quota systems (milk, sugar) • 1990s – agricultural policies and their interference with world markets disciplined under the WTO (Uruguay Round Agreement on Agriculture) • Mid 1990 – CAP reform (Mc Sharry reform) – Reduction of price support – Compensated with product specific area and headage payments OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate 31 EU Common Agricultural Policy (2) • 2000s – Another CAP reform (Fischler) – Commodity specific payments replaced with flat area payments (Single Area Payments) – Introduction of Pillar 2 payments (agri-environment, rural development) • Current negotiations of the new CAP budget (20142020) is not a reform – More complex and likely to deliver more distortive payments – Unclear whether expected benefits will be achieved (greening of the CAP) – End of milk and subsequently sugar quota regimes are steps in right direction – The flexibility given to states to introduce product specific payments are not. OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate 32 European Union: Level and structure of support OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate 33 6. OECD work on emerging economies • OECD also monitors and evaluates agricultural policy development in some emerging economies • This year M&E report covered 47 countries that account nearly for 80% of global value added in agriculture • Emerging economies included in the report: Brazil, China, Indonesia, Kazakhstan, Russia, South Africa and Ukraine. • In general these countries have lower level of support than OECD average, but the trend is different – Some countries are increasing their support: China, Indonesia, Kazakhstan; – While other maintained low levels of support (Brazil, SA) • In Ukraine and Russia, relatively low levels of support are hiding an uneven distribution of support (taxation of crop producers and subsidising of the livestock sector) OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate 34 Brazil: Level and structure of support OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate 35 China: Level and structure of support OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate 36 Indonesia: Level and structure of support OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate 37 Kazakhstan: Level and structure of support OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate 38 Russia: Level and structure of support OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate 39 Ukraine: Level and structure of support OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate 40 South Africa: Level and structure of support OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate 41 Conclusion: Main OECD policy messages • Reduce price- and output-linked policies • Remove border policies that contribute to international price volatility, by trying to isolate domestic markets • Improve investments in public goods with long-term benefits: innovation, sustainable use of ressources • Develop risk management tools for farmers that do not interfere with normal business risk and marketable risk tools. Production linked countercyclical payments have low transfer-efficiency • Improve policy coherence: agriculture, trade, (rural) development, macro-policies For more information Visit our websites: www.oecd.org/tad/agricultural-policies/ www.oecd.org/agriculture/PSE Contact us: tad.contact@oecd.org Follow us on Twitter: @OECDagriculture Trade and Agriculture Directorate 44