CHRIS BOWEN MP SHADOW TREASUER MEMBER FOR MCMAHON E&OE TRANSCRIPT DOORSTOP MELBOURNE THURSDAY, 5 NOVEMBER 2015 SUBJECT/S: Malcolm Turnbull’s plan for a GST slug on low and middle income families; Government refusing to release its Tax Green paper; Scott Morrison simultaneously argues there’s “no revenue problem” and there needs to be a GST increase. CHRIS BOWEN, SHADOW TREASURER: Thanks everybody. More evidence today that when Malcolm Turnbull talks about tax reform, he's talking about an increase in low and middle income earners being hit particularly hard. For months now the Labor Party has been pointing out that an increase in the GST or a broadening of the base of the GST would hit low and middle income earners the hardest. More evidence today with modelling released by ACOSS showing that those who would be in a bottom 20 per cent of income earners would pay 7 per cent whereas in the top 10 per cent of income earners, 20 per cent of income earners would pay just 1.7 per cent through an increase in the GST. 7 per cent versus 1.7 per cent. Malcolm Turnbull's plan would be to make Australia's tax system more regressive. To hit low income earners in particular harder than is currently the case under our tax system. That is the opposite of good tax reform. Malcolm Turnbull's been doing a lot of talking lately, he gave a speech today, couldn't bring himself to utter the letters G-S-T but what we are seeing is more and more evidence that the Turnbull-Morrison plan is simply to hit low income earners the hardest. It's time for Malcolm Turnbull to start making some decisions, to stop talking and to start laying out his plans. The Labor Party has been outlining tax plans for months. We have our multinational tax plan, we've got our high income superannuation tax plans on the table. We have dragged the Liberal Party kicking and screaming to accept and admit that something has to be done about high income superannuation tax concessions. Well, if Mr Turnbull wants to debate about the GST, we're up for it. But he has to outline his plans. When he outlines his plans in detail, it will be shown that those plans are flawed, that they will hit low and middle income earners particularly hard as ACOSS modelling shows today. As ACOSS has said, GST should not be the first option, it should be the last. Mr Turnbull and Mr Morrison, are all too quick to have the first option being one which hits those who can least afford it the most. Happy to take some questions. JOURNALIST: Mr Turnbull, sorry Mr Bowen. BOWEN: Bad start, Jim JOURNALIST: Mr Bowen, Mr Turnbull also said that any tax change not only had to be fair but be seen to be fair. In those circumstances, isn't that something, a view that Labor will share and a discussion to which you could contribute and clearly it also means that whatever Mr Turnbull is going to propose, whatever it is in terms of tax changes, will have adequate compensation for those who are worse off? BOWEN: Let's see the colour of his money. Let's see that compensation. One of his most senior backbenchers, Mr Taylor out there on radio this morning saying he will only support an increase in the GST if it doesn't see the total tax take go up. That means no increase in the pension, no increase in carer’s benefits as compensation. That means the only change would be through the tax system. Now that would see pensioners worse off and carers worse off. So you are getting all these messages from the Government, all completely contradictory. If Mr Turnbull has a so called fair plan, show us, show us. We're told his Green Paper on tax is ready to go. It's sitting in Mr Morrison's office somewhere. We’re up for the debate, we’re ready to go, we’re ready. We’ve got our tax plans on the table and we’ve got plenty more to come when it comes to policy announcements in coming weeks and months. We are ready for this debate but Mr Turnbull is giving us a whole lot of words, a whole lot of platitudes but what we are not seeing is his detailed plan. JOURNALIST: You say you are ready for a debate but how can you be ready for a debate if you are clearly ruling out a GST? The Prime Minister this morning didn't utter the letters GST but he did foreshadow a scare campaign so how can you guarantee here and now that this won't just descend into a farce? BOWEN: We want to debate a concrete plan. We've got particular plans on the table. We have got more tax policy on the table than the Government does. The Government has been doing a whole lot of talking now for two years, two wasted years of the Abbott-Turnbull years. Now a debate means having plans on the table and we will point out, of course we will, the impact of an increase in GST on low income earners. We will point out the impact of broadening the base to health, to education, to fresh food, the impacts on our health system, the impacts on things likes our diabetes epidemic in Australia. But if Mr Turnbull wants to have a debate, give us the plans and we are happy to debate our plans and his plans but we have our plans on the table and Mr Turnbull does not. JOURNALIST: Aren't you taking a risk Mr Bowen by relying on modelling which is designed to discredit the GST. We know the position of ACOSS, at other times former Labor Governments have been be at logger heads and daggers drawn with ACOSS? Don’t you risk painting yourself into a corner when there is clearly a debate to be had? BOWEN: I think, with due respect I think that is unfair to ACOSS. Now I don’t agree with everything ACOSS says about all things, but they have a legitimate role to play and I don't question the efficacy of their modelling. NATSEM is a respected modeller, it’s been respected and used by both sides of politics. I think it's a big call to question their modelling. JOURNALIST: They have a bottom quintile which spends more than it earns, presumably in perpetuity, that doesn’t seem like a very stable basis for comparison. BOWEN: You can question NATSEM modelling, you have a right to but I have seen no basis to question models that have been used by both sides of politics in the past. They are willing to explore all things but when ACOSS has said GST should be one of the last options that should be respected. They are a voice in the debate. There are things I agree with ACOSS about, things I disagree. But their modelling has today been released which I think is an important contribution to the debate. JOURNALIST: Is the call for a discussion around tax reform a reflection of the time the Prime Minister and the Treasurer have been in power? And If they were coming out with policies so soon after taking this position, you would you accuse them of policy on the run, wouldn’t you? BOWEN: No, this is one Government has been in office for two years. Mr Turnbull and Mr Morrison have been senior members in the Government for two years. Yes, they now have different roles, but we’ve heard a lot of talk. We were told the Green Paper is ready to go, we have had a Tax White Paper. We said we are happy to participate in the Tax White Paper process. We outlined our high income superannuation policy. Mr Abbott and Mr Hockey rejected any action on high income superannuation tax concessions. Mr Turnbull and Mr Morrison have said that that’s on the table, well we’ve dragged them there kicking and screaming. We are happy to debate the other elements of tax plans - theirs an ours. We're not taking the approach that the Liberal Party took in the last election saying just vote for us, there will be an adrenaline surge to confidence, the economy will wiz back, and everything will be okay. That is quite the contrary to the approach we will be taking as I will be outlining in my speech to this Conference in a few minutes time, quite the contrary to the approach we will be taking. But what we are hearing at the moment is a whole lot of platitudes, a whole lot of soothing words from Turnbull. There comes a time when being Prime Minister involves making decisions. It’s a pretty key part of being Australian Prime Minister is making decisions and laying out plans and we are yet to see anything of that from Mr Turnbull after two months. JOURNALIST: So Mr Bowen, is it the case then that if and when this Government does allow plans for tax reform, including increasing the GST with compensation for the lower paid that Labor then will be prepared to contemplate supporting a package of that kind? BOWEN: We’ve yet to see a package, but our position is clear. We don't support increasing the GST, Jim. We don't support broadening the base. If the Government has other things they want to put on the table and they’ve got a fair plan, let's see it and then we will have the debate. At the moment we're debating platitudes from Mr Turnbull, thought bubbles from members of his Government. Backbenchers, frontbenchers all with a different plans out there, the one consistent element is they involve increasing the GST, but they're spending it on all different things, some members of the Government want to spend it on personal income tax cuts, other members of the Liberal Party want to spend it on health. You can only spend a dollar once. Once Mr Morrison and Mr Turnbull outline their plans and what they are spending the money on, we can have a proper debate around those issues. JOURNALIST: Are you saying that there's no plan that includes a GST increase can be fair at all, full stop? BOWEN: I am saying our position is to oppose an increase on the GST, it is a clear position. If there are other elements to their plan, let's see them. We always said if the Government – the Abbott Government or the Turnbull Government - comes up with something fair we are prepared to back it. We don't see an increase in the GST as being fair or reasonable or necessary. JOURNALIST: Mr Turnbull has challenged everyone - not just the opposition - to engage in a debate and a mature debate that doesn't rule things in or out that tries to get to the bottom of a serious Budget problem the nation has. Is Labor up to engaging in this debate that it was in the 1980s and 1990s or is that a bridge too far? BOWEN: Of course Labor is up to engaging in a debate. We will be based on our values, with already have more plans on the table than the Government does as we speak, like on multinational tax and high income superannuation, things the Government has been dragged kicking and screaming to deal with we've been leading that debate for a long time now. We've had our plans on the table. It's about time the Government came to the table with their own plans and then we can have a proper discussion, Hopefully they could adopt some elements of our plans. They can adopt our high income superannuation plan tomorrow with our support, bipartisan basis through the Parliament. They have shown no willingness to do that. JOURNALIST: Do you support the Labor States who say we should increase the Medicare Levy to pay for health BOWEN: There's an example. Mr Turnbull says he wants everything on the table, Mr Morrison says he won't increase the Medicare Levy, so he has taken that off the table. The Labor Premiers have made a contribution in term of the debate. Mr Turnbull and Mr Morrison seem at odds about that. We are happy to see that debate continue, obviously, because it's part of this discussion that the nation is having and where to raise the revenue for these issues. The difference between Mr Morrison and I is I say Australia has a revenue problem. Mr Morrison denies Australia has a revenue problem in the face of all the evidence, yet he is a member of the Government promoting the increase in the GST. Last time I checked, increasing the GST increases revenue. So Mr Morrison needs to explain, if he doesn't think there is a revenue problem, why is he promoting an increase in the GST? I had better go and make my speech, thanks, guys. ENDS