RBI Intro & some activities at DNV Fatigue Workshop Jan Mathisen 24 February 2010 Contents - tentative Risk-based inspection planning intro, with emphasis on use of stress processes --- RBI Flow-induced vibration --- FIV Low and high cycle fatigue in ships --- LC+HC RBI Intro & some activities at DNV 24 February 2010 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved. 2 RBI - principle Plan inspection such that, either 0 B. the expected, combined cost of inspections and repairs is minimised. -1 -2 Log(Prob. failure) A. the probability of fatigue failure is kept below a target level, or No insp. Insp.at 4.5 -3 Insp.at 9.2 Insp.at 13.4 Target -4 -5 -6 0.0 5.0 10.0 Service time (yr) RBI Intro & some activities at DNV 24 February 2010 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved. 3 15.0 20.0 RBI - Quantitative • Non-destructive testing inspection results typically, either No crack was detected (with a certain probability of detection PoD), or A crack was detected with an estimated, uncertain size. Requires fracture mechanics to handle information about crack sizes - S-N approach is not detailed enough Probabilistic modelling is important to handle uncertainties in - Inspection method, load model, crack growth model, crack initiation or initial size Reference - Sigurdsson, G., Lotsberg, I. & Landet, E., (2000), “Risk Based Inspection of FPSOs”, Int. Conf. on Offshore Mechanics and Arctic Engineering, OMAE'2000, New Orleans. RBI Intro & some activities at DNV 24 February 2010 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved. 4 Probabilistic crack growth Time of failure Specified time Critical crack depth Crack depth at time t P T f t Pacr A(t ) 0 PT0 TG (acr ) t 0 Time for crack initiation Time for crack growth to critical depth RBI Intro & some activities at DNV 24 February 2010 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved. 5 From API RP 579: Crack depth increment per cycle as a function of log stress intensity factor range RBI Intro & some activities at DNV 24 February 2010 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved. 6 RBI – fracture mechanics Lacks convenient model for crack initiation or initial crack size - S-N data includes crack initiation - Calibrate probabilistic FM model against probabilistic S-N model - Fatigue design standards can be used to imply a target probability of failure from the probabilistic S-N model Paris equation models crack growth - From initial to critical crack size Failure assessment diagram models rupture in the presence of a crack - Can give a critical crack size as a function of rupture load References - BSI, “Guide to methods for assessing the acceptability of flaws in metallic structures,” BS7910:2005. - API 579-1/ASME FFS-1 2007 Fitness-For-Service RBI Intro & some activities at DNV 24 February 2010 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved. 7 RBI - Deterministic crack growth – 2-D Paris law Intercept parameter for growth in depth Increments in crack depth a & half-length c per stress cycle Stress intensity factor range at deepest point da c A (k A ) m ; k A k Th ; a (n0 ) a 0 dn dc cC (k C ) m ; k C k Th ; c(n0 ) c0 dn Intercept parameter for growth in length Stress intensity factor range at crack tip on surface RBI Intro & some activities at DNV 24 February 2010 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved. Slope parameter for crack growth 8 Stress intensity factor threshold for crack growth Initial depth Initial length/2 RBI - Stress intensity factor range Newman-Raju geometry factor for bending stress Newman-Raju geometry factor for membrane stress Stress intensity factor range -Separate geom. factors at the deepest point & the surface tip k yM (a, c) mKM M y B (a, c) mKB B a Bending stress range Membrane stress range Stress magnification factor for membrane stress Stress magnification factor for bending stress Dependent on crack size, can be determined from FEM RBI Intro & some activities at DNV 24 February 2010 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved. 9 Point location and stress components y Axial stress mY B T M 0 r q w mZ z w r a 2c Cross-section through hot-spot Definition of stress components: - membrane stress - bending stress - outer fibre stress RBI Intro & some activities at DNV 24 February 2010 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved. 10 RBI – handling load process Assume load-sequence effects negligible Good if crack growth rate is slow compared to load variability Then expected crack increment can be expressed in terms of distribution of stress cycles - rM and rB are dependent on crack size but independent of stress processes da m E E rM M rB B dn As written, assumes threshold stress intensity factor range = 0 RBI Intro & some activities at DNV 24 February 2010 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved. 11 RBI –If membrane and bending stresses are linearly dependent B M da m m E rM rB E M dn Familiar expectation from S-N analysis A detail --- If the threshold stress intensity factor range is non-zero - then use conditional expectation - with a corresponding stress threshold - but this stress threshold will be dependent on crack size - and will introduce numerical noise if an empirical stress distribution is used - hence a smooth stress distribution function is desirable to ensure convergence in the reliability analysis RBI Intro & some activities at DNV 24 February 2010 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved. 12 RBI – Not linearly dependent membrane & bending stresses 120 80 Stress 40 Membrane Bending 0 Outer fibre Peak Trough -40 Suggest to: - Identify range in outer fibre stress by RFC - Pick off membrane & bending stress ranges from peak & trough - Develop a 2-D histogram for use in crack growth Maybe a problem worth pursuing! -80 -120 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 Time Outer fibre Membrane Bending Double amplitude 200.0 20.0 Value at peak 93.1 93.4 -0.3 Value at trough -105.3 -97.5 -7.8 Range 198.4 190.9 7.5 RBI Intro & some activities at DNV 24 February 2010 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved. 13 Flow-induced vibration (FIV) – physical context Well fluid: •Flow rate •Pressure Sub-sea Processing: •Bends •chokes •Flow-meters •MEG injection Vibration of (flexible) piping system Unsteady pressure distribution Oscillatory stresses Fatigue RBI Intro & some activities at DNV 24 February 2010 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved. 14 FIV – sample stress time history (A) RBI Intro & some activities at DNV 24 February 2010 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved. 15 FIV – sample stress time history (B) RBI Intro & some activities at DNV 24 February 2010 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved. 16 FIV – sample spectrum (A) RBI Intro & some activities at DNV 24 February 2010 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved. 17 FIV – sample spectrum (B) RBI Intro & some activities at DNV 24 February 2010 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved. 18 FIV – sample probability density – (A) RBI Intro & some activities at DNV 24 February 2010 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved. 19 FIV – sample probability density – (B) RBI Intro & some activities at DNV 24 February 2010 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved. 20 FIV - Comments Novel application, combining computational fluid dynamics (CFD) and dynamic finite element stress analysis - CFD part is CPU-intensive, only short time series practicable at present - Is the response stationary? - Needs verification Stochastic stress response - Dominated by some of the many natural frequencies of piping system Damping is light and uncertain in magnitude Might tend towards harmonic response, might tend towards Gaussian response Frequencies around 8 Hz, period of 1/8 s Fatigue assessment - Rainflow counting applied High cycle Low stress ranges Validity of S-N curves? RBI Intro & some activities at DNV 24 February 2010 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved. 21 Low and high cycle fatigue in ships From presentation by Inge Lotsberg - Fatigue Methodology of Offshore Ships - Part 15 Combination of low cycle and high cycle fatigue - 17 July 2009 Some discussion to be given by Inge Lotsberg in - “Background for new revision of DNV-RP-C203 fatigue design of offshore steel structures,” OMAE2010-20649. See also: - “Fatigue Assessment of Ship Structures,” DNV Classification Notes, No. 30.7, Oct. 2008. - Joo-Ho Heo, Joong-Kyoo Kang, Yooil Kim, In-Sang Yoo, Kyung-Su Kim, Hang-Sub Urm: “A Study on the Design Guidance for Low Cycle Fatigue in Ship Structure.” - Urm, H. S., Yoo, I. S., Heo, J. H., Kim, S. C. and Lotsberg, I.: “Low Cycle Fatigue Strength Assessment for Ship Structures.” PRADS 2004. - Hang.Sub.Urm@dnv.com RBI Intro & some activities at DNV 24 February 2010 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved. 22 LC+HC - Vessel with one longitudinal bulkhead RBI Intro & some activities at DNV 24 February 2010 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved. 23 LC+HC - Operation: Ballast – Full last RBI Intro & some activities at DNV 24 February 2010 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved. 24 LC+HC - Operation: Alternating Half cycles RBI Intro & some activities at DNV 24 February 2010 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved. 25 LC+HC - Non-linear analysis 400 300 Stresses [MPa] 200 100 0 -0.006 -0.004 -0.002 0 0.002 0.004 0.006 -100 -200 -300 -400 RBI Intro & some activities at DNV Strain 24 February 2010 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved. 26 Transverse frame in double bottom LC+HC - Stress range from wave loading log nLCF w 0 1 log n0 1/ h 300 Weibull dstn. Stress range (MPa) 250 nLCF number of loading/unloading cycles during lifetime 200 150 100 50 0 1 10 100 1000 10000 Log n 100000 1000000 1000000 0 RBI Intro & some activities at DNV 24 February 2010 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved. 27 1E+08 LC+HC - Low cycle fatigue loading/unloading log n LCF w 0 1 log n0 1/ h e LCF w k e e ke 1.0 0.4 1 2 y ke 1.0 D DLCF DHCF RBI Intro & some activities at DNV 24 February 2010 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved. 28 for for 2 y 2 y Eurocode plasticity correction EN 13445-3 -2002 Safeguarding life, property and the environment www.dnv.com RBI Intro & some activities at DNV 24 February 2010 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved. 29