Internet in the 21st Century ISOC Luxembourg Vint Cerf SVP Architecture & Technology WorldCom July 4, 2002 What is the Internet? The largest network of networks in the world. Uses TCP/IP protocols and packet switching . Runs on any communications substrate. Some Key Dates 1966 – MERIT Founded Sept 1, 1969 – 1st ARPANET node installed at UCLA Sept 10, 1973 – First paper on Internet design (Vint Cerf, Bob Kahn) Nov 22, 1977 – First 3 network demonstration (PRNET, SATNET, ARPANET)… MATNET Spring 1981 - Strategic C3 Demonstration/CSNET Jan 1, 1983 – Internet Roll Out More Key Dates 1986 – NSFNET (MCI, IBM, MERIT => Advanced Network & Services) Summer 1989 – First Commercial Link (MCI Mail/Internet); UUNET, PSINET, CERFNET; WWW – Tim Berners-Lee 1990 – ARPANET retired 1992 – MOSAIC; Internet Society Founded 1994 – Netscape Communications Navigator 1995 – NSFNET retired; vBNS (MCI); Microsoft release of Internet Explorer Open Access Architecture (the geeks will inherit the earth) Roberts 1969: Telcos ignore ARPANET Kahn 1972: Open Protocol Architecture Cerf/Kahn 1974: layered access (starting at IP layer!) FCC: Computer I, II, III 1983: NCP -> TCP/IP conversion Cerf 1988: commercial access Comm Act 1996: open access to UNE Internet - Global Statistics 22.5 Million Hosts (Bellcore June 1997) 190+ IP countries (VC est. June 1997) 50 Million Users (NUA Jul 1997) 115 Million Servers (NW/TC Jan 2001) 218/246 IP countries (NW Jan 2000) 513 Million Users (NUA Aug 2001) (approx. 1.3 Billion Telephone Terminations) Users on the Internet – Aug 2001 CAN/US - 180.68M Europe 154.63M Asia/Pac - 143.99M Latin Am - 25.33M Africa 4.15M Mid-east 4.65M -------------------------- Total 513.41 M (Source www.nua.ie) CAN/US Europe Asia/Pac Latin Am Africa Mid East Internet User Trends 2000 1500 1000 500 09 20 07 20 05 20 03 20 01 20 99 19 97 19 95 0 19 Users (Millions) 2500 Year Source: Nua Internet Surveys + vgc projections Global Internet Hosts (000s) 1989-2006 1600000 1400000 1200000 1000000 513 Million users 800000 600000 400000 200000 hosts mobiles? 0 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 Source: Cerf, based on www.nw.com, Jun 2000 + LM Ericsson Internet and MultiMedia Internet multicast “video” (MPEG, RN...), telephony and “radio” (MP3, RN, …) Transport of Internet traffic on cable, direct broadcast satellite, radio and broadcast TV DSL, Cable modems, Gigabit Ethernet, MMDS, … (isdn)… Real-time quality of service support, VOIP, Internet-enabled Call Centers Handwriting and voice recognition. Net-based Speech Recognition Any speech-carrying medium (telephone, Internet, VPN) can carry commands to a speech “processor” on the net. Speech recognizer can “command” any device on the net Or deliver commands to any online service UMASS Web server on a chip born 10 AM, 14 July 1999 TCP/IP code itself fits in about 256 bytes (12-bit) PIC 12C509A, running at 4MHz 24LC256 i2c EEPROM HTTP 1.0 and RFC 1122 compliant eternity.cs.umass.edu: 9080/index0.html Internet Enabled Appliances Electrolux ScreenFridge Previewed, Feb. 99 Domotechnica Trade Show, Cologne, Germany FEATURES Email & video mail Surf the Web TV/radio receiver Digital cookbook Product information & tips Surveillance camera IP Enabled Picture Frame Ceiva Digital Picture Frame Features Plug & Play 640 x 480 VGA JPEG Image Format Storage: 20 photos/250 on-line WWW.CEIVA.COM SIP Telephony Session Initiation Protocol Telephones Cisco Systems, Pingtel, etc. “email” addressing ENUM: 1.1.9.3.0.6.5.3.0.7.1.e164.arpa = sip:vinton.g.cerf@wcom.com Internet-enabled Devices – Java, Python, etc. Information appliances WebTV, Palm-Pilot, Nokia 9000,Sony, Nintendo, Sega games (video conf) Refrigerator (and the bathroom scales) Automobiles (Japan, [Netherlands]) Internet-enabled wine corks Internet-enabled socks Programmable Next Generation Internet IPv6 - 128 bits of addressing Theoretically 10 38 hosts IPSEC Significant transition effort needed IANA officially announced IPv6 allocations on July 14, 1999 Internet Society Chapters A critical resource for our motto: “Internet is for Everyone” Social and cultural opportunities on the Net (cf. Luxembourg art gallery visit) Policy development and information exchange Fostering business interests and the general public’s use of Internet including education. Policy Issues Privacy/Security (EC, US, other…) Cryptography and export Trademarks, Domain Names, Copyright Regulatory Framework and convergence (TV, Radio, Telephony) Taxation, Liability and Dispute Resolution Censorship/Voluntary Filtering Digital Signatures/Certificate issuance Future look . . Interplanetary Internet: “InterPlaNet” Planetary internets Interplanetary Gateways Interplanetary Channel Protocol “bundles” encapsulated in CCSDS link .earth.sol.int, .mars.sol.int Functional Layers of Protocol Interplanetary Network and Information Systems Directorate (old DSN) Project supports Mars mission plans Cerf’s slides and other Internet information can be found at: www.wcom.com/cerfsup www.isoc.org/internet livinginternet.com www.gip.org www.ipnsig.org www.ipv6forum.com