Detect and Simulate Vegetation, Surface Temperature, Rainfall and Aerosol Changes: From Global to Local Menglin Jin Department of Meteorology, Univ. of Maryland, College Park • Examples from EOS MODIS remote sensing . Project 1: Global Skin Temperature variation • Project 2: Urbanization impacts • Project 3: Simulate urbanization in GCM NASA EOS Terra Launched December 18, 1999 MODIS MOPITT ASTER MISR CERES MODerate-resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) • NASA, Terra & Aqua – launches 1999, 2002 – 705 km polar orbits, descending (10:30 a.m.) & ascending (1:30 p.m.) • Sensor Characteristics – 36 spectral bands ranging from 0.41 to 14.385 µm – cross-track scan mirror with 2330 km swath width – Spatial resolutions: 250 m (bands 1 - 2) 500 m (bands 3 - 7) 1000 m (bands 8 - 36) – 2% reflectance calibration accuracy – onboard solar diffuser & solar diffuser stability monitor Terra/MODIS Aerosol Optical Thickness (Y. J. Kaufman, D. Tanré, D. A. Chu, L. A. Remer et al. – NASA GSFC, University of Lille) Fine mode Level-3 Monthly September 2000 ta (0.55 µm) 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 Terra/MODIS Aerosol Optical Thickness May 4, 2001 1535 UTC 0.8 sunglint 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 King et al. (2003) Aerosol Optical Thickness 1.0 Terra/MODIS Cloud Optical Thickness (M. D. King, S. Platnick et al. – NASA GSFC) Level-3 Monthly August 2001 tc 70 10 1 King et al. (2003) MODIS Land Cover Classification 0 Water 6 Closed Shrublands 12 Croplands 1 Evergreen Needleleaf Forest 7 Open Shrublands 13 Urban and Built-Up 2 Evergreen Broadleaf Forest 8 Woody Savannas 14 Cropland/Natural Veg. Mosaic 3 Deciduous Needleleaf Forest 9 Savannas 15 Snow and Ice 4 Deciduous Broadleaf Forest 10 Grasslands 5 Mixed Forests 11 Permanent Wetlands 16 Barren or Sparsely Vegetated 17 Tundra Project1: Urbanization impact on globe and regional Climate Jin and Zhang 2003, submitted to JGR A Development of Population Density Copied from web A Development of Population Density 1800 Wielicki et al. (2002) A Development of Population Density 1990 Wielicki et al. (2002) A Development of Population Density 1998 Wielicki et al. (2002) Urbanization impacts •Urbanization is one extreme example of human-induced land cover/land use change. Studying urban climate answers how and how much human affects climate and how the nature responds Globally, urban population is expected to be 60% in 2030, compared to 47% in 2000 and 30% in 1950. Goal: to better simulate urban in land surface model •Need to better understand urban from new observations Urban heat Island •Use skin temperature instead of 2m surface air temperature (Jin et al. 1997, Jin 1999 Jin and Dickinson 2000, 2002) •Combine land cover, albedo, skin temperature to identify urban heat island New York Urban heat Island –Urban Index Urban heat Island –Global Zonal Average, night time Urban regions modify Surface Albedo and Emissivity Albedo Emissivity Consequently, urban changes surface energy budget Urban Regions Modify Air Conditions MODIS Aerosol Optical Depth Urban Regions Modifies Air Conditions AERONET GISS site observed aerosol weekly cycle Urban Regions Modifies Air Conditions Weekly Cycle of Urban Cloud Optical Depth Urban Regions Modifies Air Conditions Weekly cycle of cloud Water Path Urban Regions Modifies Air Conditions Weekly cycle of clouds particle size November 2002 Urban Regions Modifies Air Conditions Weekly cycle of clouds particle size November 2002 Project1: Urbanization impact on globe and regional Climate Jin and Zhang 2003, submitted to JGR Urbanization Impact of Maryland Maryland Population Change from 1980-1990 Maryland Population (1980-1999) Estimated 47 81 46 8 51 71 63 4 5500000 4500000 42 16 97 5 5000000 4000000 3500000 3000000 1980 1983 1986 1989 Ye ar 1992 1995 1998 Maryland Population, 1960-2000 Total Change Percent Change 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 3,100,689 3,923,897 4,216,975 4,781,468 5,296,486 823,208 293,078 564,493 515,018 26.5% 7.5% 13.4% 10.8% Historical Resident Population (1860-2000) Population Density People per square mile, 1990: 489.2 People per square mile, 2000: 541.9 Virginia Population (1980-1999) Estimated 6000000 6000000 68 6500000 35 8 6500000 87 7000000 46 5500000 81 46 8 51 71 5500000 53 63 4 81 8 61 7000000 72 91 2 Maryland Population (1980-1999) Estimated 97 5 16 4500000 42 4500000 5000000 47 5000000 4000000 4000000 3500000 3500000 3000000 3000000 1980 1983 1986 1989 Year 1992 1995 1998 1980 1983 1986 1989 Year 1992 1995 1998 TRMM Rainfall Observations June 1998 June 2001 June 1999 June 2002 Inter-annual monthly rainfall Vegetation NDVI and LAI NDVI – Normalized Dimentionless Vegetation Index NDVI reflects Greenness of surface LAI – Leaf Area Index LAI reflects vegetation density, coverage AVHRR observed NDVI difference Maryland aerosol variations Aerosol optical depth for June 2000 Maryland aerosol variations Optical Depth for June 2001 Maryland aerosol variations MODIS optical depth for June 2002 Maryland aerosol variations Project1: Urbanization impact on globe and regional Climate Jin and Zhang 2003, submitted to JGR Urbanization Impact of Maryland Project 2: Global Land Skin Temperature Changes Global Variations Trend of Mean global Skin land Temperature surface Skin Temperature Regional Change of Land Skin Temperature AVHRR Regional Change of Land Skin Temperature Project1: Urbanization impact on globe and regional Climate Jin and Zhang 2003, submitted to JGR Urbanization Impact of Maryland Project 2: Global Land Skin Temperature Changes Project 3: Simulate urbanization in land surface model Modeling Urban Land-Atmosphere Interactions Principal Investigator: Co-Investigator: Dr. Christa D. Peters-Lidard/974 Dr. Menglin Jin, Assistant Research Scientist, Meteorology Dept, U. MD Motivation: •Globally, urban population is Enhanced expected to be 60% in 2030, Precipitation compared to 47% in 2000 and Near 30% in 1950. Houston, Texas •Dynamic nature of population shifts demands application of (Shepherd and Burian, 2002) remotely-sensed urban parameters and detailed models, esp. for future mission Enhanced Sulfate Aerosol Near requirements Houston, •Develop GSFC capability to Texas model observed effects of (Jin and Dickinson, urban land-atmosphere 2002) interactions on precipitation, aerosols, temperatures Project Activities I. Estimate Urban Land Surface II. Develop and Evaluate Model of Urban Properties from Satellite and Other Land Surface-Atmosphere Processes: Platforms Water, Energy, Mass, Momentum • Albedo, Emissivity, Heat • Incorporate Remotely Sensed Capacity Urban Land Surface Properties • Impervious Area, Building • Couple existing land surface Height/Density, Roughness (CLM/NOAH) and 910 internal Lengths boundary layer models for application at landscape scales (1km; Land Information System) • Apply and evaluate for Houston Texas 2000 Field Campaign