Brief Response • When you invest, it is best to diversify your portfolio. Why? (2) • The most effective portfolio has risky stocks for fast money growth (but possibly greater losses) and safer stocks for steady, but slower money growth. Unit IV: Macroeconomics Policies pp. 338-456 2 Chapter 13 Economic Performance Section 1 p. 340 • Gross Domestic Product • 341 aka: GDP • The dollar amount of all final goods and services produced in a single year • Within a nation’s borders. • A major indicator for economists and governments of how their economies are doing. 3 National income accounting • 341 a system of statistics and accounts that keeps track of – – – – Production Saving Consumption Investment • US: the National Income and Products Accounts (NIPA) are kept by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) • Part of the US Department of Commerce 4 Intermediate products • 343 products used to make other products already counted in GDP • Not counted in GDP – Tires purchased with a new car • Only value of car is counted – Flour used by a bakery to make bread • Only value of bread is counted 5 What’s the difference? • Picture one • shows intermediary products, parts used when the new car is first built. – They would be counted GDP when they were purchased by the car manufacturer to build the car. • Picture two • shows an auto parts store when replacement parts or parts to augment the original car would be purchased. – They would be counted as part of GDP when purchased in the store. 6 Secondhand sales • 343 merchandising used goods • Not counted in GDP – – – – – – Personal sales at home/yard sales Flea markets Used car Any sale of a house after initial purchase Used clothes Thrift shops • Etc. 7 Nonmarket transactions • 343 do not happen in a market. –Not counted in GDP • Neighbor baby sitter • Lawn mowing • Homemaking • Home garage 8 Underground economy • 343 aka: “black market” • Not reported in GDP – Illegal drugs – Smuggling – Illegal gambling – Prostitution – Selling stolen goods – Counterfieting 9 Gross National Product • 344 the dollar amount of all final goods and services and structures produced in one year • Labor and property supplied by the country’s residents. – Includes GDP – Also includes imports • Another important measure of economic productivity. 10 Net National Product • 344 GNP minus depreciation • subtracts capital equipment that is over 1 year old • Another economic measure 11 National income • 345 income that is left after all taxes are subtracted from NNP – Excise tax – Property tax – Licensing fees – Customs duties – General sales tax • Except corporate profit tax • Another economic measure 12 Personal income • • • • 345 Another economic measure. total amount of income going to consumers Before individual income taxes are subtracted. Adjustments include: – – – – Income that does not go to the consumer Corporate income taxes SSI (FICA) contributions Transfer payments are added in— • • • • Unemployment insurance SSI Medicaid Other public assistance 13 Disposable personal income • 346 aka “DI” • Total income the consumer sector has at its disposal AFTER income taxes • “amount people have available to spend” 14 Household • 346 all the persons who occupy (reside) in a living quarters: • House • Apartment • Etc. – Head – Family – Lodgers – Live-in employees 15 Unrelated individual • 346 a person who lives alone even though he/she may have family living elsewhere. 16 Family • 346 a group of two or more persons living together • related by – blood, – marriage, – adoption 17 C • 346 formula symbol for the consumer sector of the economy • Income of – Households – Family – Unrelated individuals 18 Output-expenditure model • 348 Shows the aggregate demand by the – Consumer sector – Investment/business sector – Government sector – Foreign sector • The formula: GDP = C + I + G + (X-M) 19 Net export of goods and services • 348 refers to the difference between the US’ exports and imports. • Note: This also helps determine balance of trade 20 Section 2 p. 350 Terms: • Inflation • 350 a rise in the general price level • Note: a weakening of the buying power of a currency. • Inflation must be considered when measuring the economy because it distorts the results (does not give an accurate measure) 21 Inflation 5/21 22 What is behind rising global inflation? The Economist, 1/25/2011 • • • • • • • • • • • hand-out There are 5 very informative phrases explaining inflation in 2011….. Write on your “other” paper. AS THE world economy has recovered, fast-growing emerging economies such as China and India have struggled to keep a lid on consumer prices, while stagnating developed countries have faced low inflation rates. Recently, however, rich-country inflation has also started creeping up: in December Britain’s consumer-price index hit 3.7%, while euro-zone inflation also rose above the ECB's target. Much of the blame has been put on the increase in commodity prices. But the impact on consumers differs widely between countries. A larger share of income is spent on food in poorer countries such as China (33%) and India (46%), so the rise in global food prices is the main driver of inflation there. By contrast, pricier energy is a bigger factor in the rich world, although it forms a relatively small component of consumer spending. For more detail, see article. 23 Comparing Food/Energy Spending Ratios • Do on your Cornell Notes. • What two countries spend the most on food? • Why don’t they spend so much on energy? • What three countries are about even on food and energy spending? • Why do you think that is? • EC: How will the ratios for India and China change in the next few decades? 24 What is behind rising inflation? The Economist, 1/25/2011 • • • • • • • • • • • • AS THE world economy has recovered, fast-growing emerging economies such as China and India have struggled to keep a lid on consumer prices, while stagnating developed countries have faced low inflation rates. Recently, however, rich-country inflation has also started creeping up: in December Britain’s consumer-price index hit 3.7%, while euro-zone inflation also rose above the ECB's target. Much of the blame has been put on the increase in commodity prices. But the impact on consumers differs widely between countries. A larger share of income is spent on food in poorer countries such as China (33%) and India (46%), so the rise in global food prices is the main driver of inflation there. By contrast, pricier energy is a bigger factor in the rich world, although it forms a relatively small component of consumer spending. For more detail, see article. EC: Since 2014, which fact has actually change (it currently does not contribute to global inflation). Explain how that has affected the world….. (2) The price of petroleum has dropped significantly, – actually making energy cheaper to consumers and producers. 25 Comparing Food/Energy Spending Ratios • Do on your Cornell Notes. • What two countries spend the most on food? – India and China • Why don’t they spend so much on energy? – They are developing economies, few people have cars or use much electricity. • What three countries are about even on food and energy spending? – Britain, Germany, The United States • Why do you think that is? – They are modern countries, consumers and producers use much technology that needs energy. • EC: How will the ratio’s for India and China change in the next few decades? – Indians and Chinese consumers and producers will make more money and use more modern technology that needs energy. 26 Price index • 351 statistical series that can be used to measure changes in prices over time. • Helps exclude inflation 27 Base year • 351 the year that all other years will be compared to • Price index will use a base year to measure progress or decline in later years. 28 Market basket • 351 representative selection of commonly purchased goods and services • Note: – – – – – – – – – – – – Automobile Tires Shoes Haircuts Legal advice Movie tickets Meat Milk Bread Carrots Lettuce Etc. 29 Consumer Price Index • 352 reports on price changes for about 80,000 items in 364 categories • 85 geographically distributed areas of the US • Compared to base year of 1982-84 • Bureau of Labor Statistics – CPI 30 Producer Price Index • 352 price changes paid by domestic businesses/industries for their inputs. • PPI 31 Implicit GDP price deflator • 353 An index of average levels of prices for all goods and services in the economy – Computed quarterly – Base year of 1996 – Covers thousands of items • Good long-run indicator 32 Current GDP • • • • 353 this year’s GDP Real GDP (GDP in constant dollars) Current GDP minus inflation Formula: Real GDP = GDP in current dollars Implicit GDP price deflator x 100 33 Hwk Assessments, Class Work, to Know 34 Assessments: Section 1, Checking for Understanding; CH 13, S1 • 1 • GDP – the dollar amount of all final goods and services produced within a country’s national borders – In a year • GNP – is the dollar value of all final goods, services, and structures produced within national boundaries, produced with labor and property supplied by a country’s residents. – In a year 35 Assessments: Section 2, Checking for Understanding CH 13, S2 • 1 • No, if adjustments are made for population growth, the rates would be the same. 36 CH 13, S2 • 3 • Representative of purchases 37 CH 13, S2 • • • • 4 Consumer price index Producer price index Implicit GDP price deflator 38 CH 13, S2 • 5 • Current GDP is the GDP not adjusted for inflation • When the distortions of inflation are removed, it is called “real GDP” 39 6 Image, p. 342 • Question • Quantity multiplied by price per unit 40 6 Image, p. 343 • Question • Illegal activities – Gambling – Smuggling – Prostitution • Some legal activities not reported to avoid taxes. 41 6 Image, p. 345 • Question • GDP does not count – Payments US citizens receive from outside the country • GDP does count – Payments made to a foreign-owned resource employed in the US 42 I • 346 formula symbol for the investment/business sector of the economy – Proprietorships – Partnerships – Corporations • They are the producers 43 G • 347 formula symbol for government sector of the economy – All levels • Federal • State • Local • Collected tax revenues are counted as its income 44 X-M • 348 formula symbol for the foreign sector of the economy 45 6 Image, p. 347 5/22 • • • • Question Personal consumption expenditures Government purchases of goods and services Investment expenditures 46 12 Image, p. 351 • Question • 351 inflation has changed the price per unit of each item 47 12 Image, p. 352 • Question • Subtract the price of the market basket for the base year from the price of the new market basket. • Divide the difference by the market basket price for the base period • The percentage is the change of the new market basket in relation to the base-period market basket. 48 12 Image, p. 353 • • • • • Questions 1 From 1975 to 1976 2 The 1990s – Because from 1995 and on, growth consistently increased 49 12 Image, p. 354 • Question • Convert current dollar amounts to real dollars by • Dividing the current dollar amount by the implicit GDP price deflator for that period • Multiply that number by 100 50 Brief Response • Inflation is a necessary “evil” (meaning that it will always be around in a capitalist system). Explain why that is so? (3) 51