Chapter 4.3 Indifference Analysis and Discussion Recall we were examining the effect of a change in income • The income–consumption curve – Tracks the effect of changes in income on our optimum choices of x and y. Units of good Y Effect on consumption of a change in income Income–consumption curve I4 I3 B1 B2 B3 O Units of good X B4 I2 I1 Slope of the Income Consumption Curve • Thus far, when income rises the demand for both x and y rose. Is this always the case ? • No. There is something called an inferior good with the property that if income rises demand for that good will fall. A tomato and cheese pizza is a good example ! It is inferior to a meat feast pizza. • If x is the inferior good how do we depict this in an indifference curve diagram ? Units of good Y (normal good) Effect of a rise in income on the demand for an inferior good a B O 1 Units of good X (inferior good) I1 Units of good Y (normal good) Effect of a rise in income on the demand for an inferior good b I2 a B O 1 Units of good X (inferior good) I1 B 2 Effect of a rise in income on the demand for an inferior good Units of good Y (normal good) Income–consumption curve b Bends backwards for an inferior good I2 a B O 1 Units of good X (inferior good) I1 B 2 The Engel curve: • Another way of looking at things is through THE ENGEL CURVE Bread Deriving an Engel curve from an income–consumption curve I3 B1 B2 I1 I2 B3 CDs Bread Deriving an Engel curve from an income–consumption curve Income-consumption curve I3 B1 B2 I1 I2 B3 CDs Bread Deriving an Engel curve from an income–consumption curve Income-consumption curve I3 B1 B2 I1 I2 B3 Income (£) CDs Bread Deriving an Engel curve from an income–consumption curve Income-consumption curve a Qb1 I3 B1 Income (£) Qcd1 B2 I1 I2 B3 CDs Bread Deriving an Engel curve from an income–consumption curve Income-consumption curve a Qb1 I3 B1 Income (£) Qcd1 I1 I2 B3 CDs a Qcd1 B2 I1 Bread Deriving an Engel curve from an income–consumption curve Qb2 Qb1 a b Income-consumption curve I3 B1 Income (£) Qcd1Qcd2 I2 I1 b a Qcd1Qcd2 B2 I1 I2 B3 CDs Bread Deriving an Engel curve from an income–consumption curve Qb3 Qb2 Qb1 a b Income-consumption c curve I3 B1 Income (£) Qcd1Qcd2 Qcd3 I3 I2 I1 c b a Qcd1Qcd2Qcd3 B2 I1 I2 B3 CDs Bread Deriving an Engel curve from an income–consumption curve Qb3 Qb2 Qb1 a b Income-consumption c curve I3 B1 B2 I1 I2 B3 Income (£) Qcd1Qcd2 Qcd3 CDs Engel curve I3 I2 i1 c b a Qcd1Qcd2Qcd3 Shifts in the Demand Curve • Consider next the effect of a change in income on the original demand curve we derived for good x. Units of Good Y Deriving a demand curve from a price–consumption curve Price-consumption curve a B1 B2 B3 I2 I1 B4 I3 I4 Units of good X Price of CD P1 P2 a P3 P4 Demand Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Units of good X Bread What happens now as income rises? a Qb1 I3 B1 Price of CD Qcd1 P1 I2 B3 CDs a Qcd1 B2 I1 What happens now as income rises? Bread At P1 the demand for good x increases when income rises (if x is normal) a Qb1 I3 B1 Price of CD Qcd1 P1 I2 B3 CDs a Qcd1 B2 I1 Bread And the Demand Curve SHIFTS out a Qb1 I3 B1 Price of CD Qcd1 P1 Qcd2 a Qcd1 Qcd2 B2 I1 I2 B3 CDs What about the effect of a change in the price of y? Bread B1 Qb3 a I3 B2 I1 Price (£) Qcd1 P1 a Qcd1 I2 CDs As Py rises the Budget Constraint swings down B Bread 1 Qb3 Qb2 Where will the new optimum be? a I3 B2 I1 Price (£) Qcd1 Qcd2 P1 a Qcd1 Qcd2 I2 CDs . Bread B1 Qb3 Qb2 a I3 B2 I1 Price (£) Qcd1 Qcd2 P1 a Qcd1 Qcd2 I2 CDs And the demand curve shifts out Bread B1 Qb3 Qb2 a I3 B2 I1 Price (£) Qcd1 Qcd2 P1 a Qcd1 b Qcd2 I2 CDs INDIFFERENCE ANALYSIS • The effect of changes in price – the price–consumption curve – the individual's demand curve INDIFFERENCE ANALYSIS • If income increases and this leads to an increase in demand for the good, the good is called: – a normal good INDIFFERENCE ANALYSIS • If income increases and this leads to a decreasing in demand for the good, the good is called: – an inferior good Indifference Analysis • If the price of a good increases, we would surely expect that the demand for the good decreases. • However, it is possible – though quite rare that a price increase actually makes the consumer demand more of the good. Such a good is called a Giffen good. IMPORTANT ! • Later on you will see how one can dive further into the details of indifference analysis in order to properly understand the concept of normal, inferior, and Giffen goods. This is suggested reading (income and substitution effects). It is not something you will be held accoutable for at the exam here, however. Discussion of INDIFFERENCE ANALYSIS Sloman’s discussion of indifference analysis is, as far as your present lecturer is concerned, not terribly relevant. It is, of course, true that not every real world situation fits into this framework. Fine. One should never postulate that a simple theory can explain everything. But it may explain something – and that’s good enough. Discussion of INDIFFERENCE ANALYSIS The truly crucial assumption is that indifference curves are taken as given. WE DO NOT MODEL HOW THESE ACTUALLY COME ABOUT. ”They are just there”. Therefore, indifference analysis is open to a (quite justified) critique along psychological or sociological lines. Discussion of INDIFFERENCE ANALYSIS Moreover, we assume that consumers behave in a consistent / rational manner. Again, one is entitled to the viewpoint that people are actually irrational and unsystematic in their behavior. Fine. Only then you are not going to explain anything. If people are irrational, but systematically so, this can be modeled (and this has indeed been done). Discussion of INDIFFERENCE ANALYSIS If indifference curves in fact depend on such things as the market price (utility from a high price), what you have seen so far also runs into problems. So one can then look at ”price dependent preferences”. This has indeed been done. Discussion of INDIFFERENCE ANALYSIS The usefulness of indifference analysis is that it allows us to rationalize behavior. We do not need any ordinal measure of utility to construct a person’s indifference map. Indifference analysis and utility theory are the tools – or language if you like – economists use.