Impact of New Generation Aircraft and Low Cost Carriers on Airports, Fuelling Supplies and Services John Pitts e-Jet International Limited 1 Key Issues • Low Cost Carrier fuel characteristics (ME region) • Next Generation Aircraft – A380, B7E7 recently launched • Overall – cost effective fuel provision e-Jet 2 Cost Effectiveness vs. Gold Plating Criteria Over-Engineering Fitness for Purpose Cost Effectiveness e-Jet 3 FANTASIA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT Fantasia is a small island near Sunset Isle G.N.P. from sugar cane, cultured pearls and tourism e-Jet 4 HOPE FOR THE FUTURE 1998 government built a new international airport 2 wide-body aircraft leased inclusive holiday charter flights e-Jet 5 THE HONEYMOON EFFECT Initially, passenger numbers increased Aviation Fuel volumes encouraging Foreign investment, new hotel resorts, infrastructure improvements, health care and living standards Regional stability cemented Good outlook e-Jet 6 THE TRAP SPRINGS Aviation Fuel facility was expensive to build, extravagant and over budget Construction planning and coordination were poor, many claims on the construction contract Inefficient and costly to operate System fees were high, making fuel prices higher than Sunset Isle e-Jet 7 THE VICIOUS CIRCLE e-Jet Sep-99 Jul-99 May-99 Mar-99 Jan-99 Nov-98 30.00 20.00 10.00 0.00 -10.00 -20.00 -30.00 -40.00 Sep-98 4.8 4.6 4.4 4.2 4.0 3.8 3.6 3.4 Jul-98 Fixed costs had to be apportioned against lower volumes, system fees became even higher Calculated Variance (%) Variance Actual:Projected (%) Projected (M USG) Projected Throughput (M USG) Airlines started to tanker Fuel volumes became depressed Month 8 THE KNOCK-ON EFFECT • Air fares increased • Fantasia no longer an inexpensive holiday location • Passenger numbers decreased • Fantasia Airlines was forced to reduce flight frequencies - one aircraft became redundant, but was still on lease • Other airlines reduced frequencies • Foreign currency spending decreased • Jobs in the tourist industry were lost • The economy suffered e-Jet FANTASIA LOST OUT TO SUNSET ISLE 9 More Than One Solution Case A 8 tanks of total storage capacity 800,000 bbl Tank farm main supply by a single pipeline Back up supply by road tanker receipt facility Case B 4 tanks of total storage capacity 300,000 bbl Tank farm main supply by a single pipeline only e-Jet 10 % Construction Costs Tankfarm Cost Breakdown Design and engineering Procurement Materials Civil works Tank construction Piping/mech/struct works Electrical works Instrumentation Buildings Contractor's Site management Site mobilisation and demobilisation Site support Total e-Jet Case A Case B 6.0 3.5 2.0 1.9 28.0 16.0 5.0 2.5 8.0 4.0 12.0 7.5 10.0 5.0 10.0 5.5 4.0 3.5 10.0 7.0 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.3 100.0 60.15 11 Operational Cost Considerations over Lifecycle e-Jet Operating Staff Maintenance Staff Spare Part Stock Tank Inspections Maintenance : - Mechanical, Electrical, Instrument, General External Painting: Tanks, Pipework Reliability Risk : - Mechanical Failure - Electrical Failure - Instrument Failure Case A 8 x 100,000 bbl tanks > > > > > Case B 4 x 75,000 bbl tanks < < < < < > < > < 12 Comparison of Lifecycle Costs to Users Occupied area (ha) Capital Costs (US$ million) Client’s Costs (US$ million) Total Project Cost (US$ million) Base Year Operating Costs(US$ million) UAC (USc/USG) Total Costs Payable by Users over 25 years Potential Saving over 25 years (US$) Percentage Saving Cost per million USD excess Ratio e-Jet Case A Case B 8 x 100,000 4 x 75,000 bbl tanks bbl tanks 5.5 3.5 80 49.8 10 8.45 90 58.25 5 3 2.0241 1.253 788,375,655 488,055,436 300,320,219 38 9,944,378 9.9 13 Low Cost Carriers - Characteristics • • • • • • • e-Jet 2 hour sector maximum typical B737 predominant Fuel at one end of sector pair only 20 minute turn around Quick ITP service required – redundancy Price driven Secondary airports 9e.g. Frankfurt Hahn/ dedicated terminals (e.g. Singapore Changi) 14 Middle East Impact MenaJet • Middle East's first no-frills airline • Sharjah International Airport base • two 162-seat Airbus A320s • Southwest Airlines model e-Jet 15 Next Generation Aircraft • • • • e-Jet A380 B7E7 A340, B777 derivatives B737 replacement c 2013 – Y1 (120 – 190 PAX) 16 Airbus A380 e-Jet Specifications A380-800 B747-400 Length (m) 73 70.7 Wingspan (m) 79.8 64.4 MTOW (kg) 548,000 396,000 Range (km) 15,100 13,500 Seats 555 416 Fuel capacity (litre) 330,000 213,000 Service Entry 2006 1989 17 Boeing 7E7 Specifications 7E7-3 7E7-8 7E7-9 Length (m) 56 56 62 Wingspan (m) 50.3 – 51.8 59 59 MTOW (kg) 163,500 205,250 222,400 Range (km) 6,500 15,700 15,400 Seats 300 200 250 Service Entry 2008 2008 2010 e-Jet 18 Impact - Other Airports’ Experience General LHR • GBP 100 million • T3: 4 stands (incl. 2 x 2 MARS) double deck boarding bridges, taxiway re-alignment • T5: 5 x A380 stands for 2008 opening, 14 by 2011 • Singapore Airlines, Emirates, Virgin Atlantic Airways, Qantas, Qatar Airways, Malaysia Airlines Paris - CDG and Orly • EUR 100 million – taxiways, terminal, maintenance areas Major Middle East impact – Dubai, Doha e-Jet 19 Impact - Other Airports’ Experience Fuel Facilities at LHR • Limited impact – new fuel farm part of T5 developments – 6 x 10,000 m³ tanks • 440,000 annual movement limit, currently 420,000 • New large aircraft still small % of population (c 5 %) e-Jet 20 Conclusions Low Cost Carriers • Middle East Region next candidate – operational impacts not facilities • Cost effectiveness/fitness for purpose even more important than ever New Generation Aircraft • Middle East airports major players • Cost effectiveness/fitness for purpose even more important than ever e-Jet 21