Georgia Energy and Industrial Construction Consortium Membership Meeting October 13, 2015 1. Georgia’s workforce pipeline 2. What is the problem? 3. Where are the challenges? 4. What can we do? Georgia’s Workforce Projections 2020 Georgia Workforce Projections • Total employment projected to increase 12%, adding over 480,000 new jobs to the state • 60% of all jobs will require some from of postsecondary degree • 17% growth in STEM jobs – health services will lead all industry sectors in terms of new job growth and rate of growth (approximately 98,000 new jobs) – High tech industries will add nearly 38,000 new jobs Source: Georgia Workforce Trends : Long-Term Employment Projections to 2020, Georgia Department of Labor Source: Change the Equation Vital Signs: Georgia State Report Georgia’s Workforce Pipeline Academic Achievement Milestones School Readiness Literacy by 3rd Grade Numeracy by 8th Grade High School Graduation Workforce and/or College Ready School Readiness Percent of Children with School Readiness Skills NAEP 4th Grade Reading Percent At or Above Proficient 39% 37% 37% 35% 35% 35% 33% 34% 33% 31% 32% 30% 29% 27% 31% 34% 32% U.S. Georgia 28% 28% 26% 25% 2005 20th State 2007 2009 2011 2013 NAEP 8th Grade Math Percent At or Above Proficient 40% 38% 36% 35% 36% 34% 32% 31% 34% 34% 31% 28% 29% 29% 27% 26% 25% 24% 22% 37% 33% 30% 28% 37% 23% 20% 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 20th State U.S. Georgia Georgia High School Graduation Rates Year State High School Graduation Rate Statewide High School DropOuts 2011 68% 19,139 2012 2013 2014 70% 72% 73% TOTAL 19,692 Source: The Governor’s Office of Student Achievement, State Report Cards. 19,013 19,567 77,411 Are Our Students Ready? Percentage of 2014 ACT-Tested Georgia High School Graduates Meeting College Readiness Benchmarks 70% 64% 64% 60% 50% 44% 44% 38% 40% 30% 43% 34% 37% 24% 26% 20% 10% 0% All 4 Benchmarks English Reading Georgia Nation Math Science Economic Impact of Georgia Non-Graduates 2014 High School Graduation Rates by County Unemployment Rate by County, November 2014 Compounded Impacts of High School Non-Completion INDIVIDUALS THE COMMUNITY Lower Lifetime Earnings Reduced buying power & tax revenues; less economic growth Decreased health status; Higher mortality rates; More criminal activity Higher health care & criminal justice costs Higher teen pregnancy rates; Single motherhood Higher public services costs Less voting; Less volunteering Low rate of community involvement Source: Levin, H., et al., (2007). The Costs and Benefits of an Excellent Education for All of America’s Children. Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline KEY ISSUE #1 Early Life Experiences KEY ISSUE #2 Academic Achievement K-12 KEY ISSUE #3 Transitions to Work or College Disparities in Early Vocabulary Growth 1200 Professional Families 1,116 words Vocabulary Size 1000 800 Working Class Families 749 words 600 400 Welfare Families 525 words 200 0 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 Age of child in months Source: Hart, B. and Risley, T. R. (2003). “The Early Catastrophe: The 30 Million Word Gap by Age 3.” Economic Benefits of Early Education: Perry Preschool Study No-Program group Program group 7% Earn $2,000+ monthly 29% 45% Graduated HS on time 66% 20% Never on welfare as adult 41% 0% 20% 40% 60% Source: Schweinhart, L.J., et al. (2005). Lifetime effects: The High/Scope Perry Preschool study through age 40. 80% Essential Building Blocks of High Performing States Higher Standards Rigorous Curriculum Clear Accountability System Statewide Student Information System Leadership Training The Changing Face of Georgia 2001-2010: Percent Population Increase Hispanic 49% Asian 45% Living in poverty 38% African-American 20% All 16% White 8% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 4-Year Graduation Rate, 2014 Georgia All Students 73% Low-Income 63% English Language Learners 44% Source: The Governor’s Office of Student Achievement, State Report Cards. Georgia Needs: The Economic Development Pipeline 60% of jobs in 2020 will require some higher education 42% of Georgian’s currently have a postsecondary degree 250,000 new post-secondary graduates by 2025 The Missing 62% 100 Georgia 9th Graders Enter High School! 73 graduate HS 54 enroll in higher education 38 make it to their sophomore year Source: Ga DOE 2012-2013 school year, calculations by Atlanta Regional Commission estimates Georgia’s Future Workforce 1. Increasing demand for highly skilled labor force + 2. Changing demographics + 3. Increasing academic rigor and expectations = Perfect Storm? Positive Collective Impact? What can we do? Percent Low-Income by School District 100% 73% 69% 62% 56% 52% 45% 45% 32% Source: The Governor’s Office of Student Achievement, State Report Cards. 26% Percent Low-Income and Exceeds 3rd Grade Reading CRCT 100% 73% 69% 43% 67% 59% 62% 60% 59% 56% 53% 51% 50% 52% 45% 45% 34% 32% % Low-Income (GA 62%) Source: The Governor’s Office of Student Achievement, State Report Cards. % Exceeds (GA 46%) 70% 26% Percent Low-Income by School District 100% 73% 69% 62% 56% 52% 45% 45% 32% Source: The Governor’s Office of Student Achievement, State Report Cards. 26% Percent Low-Income and Exceeds 8th Grade Math CRCT 100% 73% 20% 69% 20% 27% 62% 56% 52% 45% 21% % Low-Income (62%) 54% 45% 45% 42% 40% 28% % Exceeds (34%) Source: The Governor’s Office of Student Achievement, State Report Cards. 43% 32% 26% Percent Low-Income by School District 100% 73% 69% 62% 56% 52% 45% 45% 32% Source: The Governor’s Office of Student Achievement, State Report Cards. 26% Percent Low-Income and HS Graduation 100% 73% 60% 62% 76% 69% 76% 62% 75% 56% 78% 52% 78% 45% 79% 82% 45% 32% % Low-Income (GA 62%) % HS Graduation (GA 73%) Source: The Governor’s Office of Student Achievement, State Report Cards. 90% 26% How Will You Insulate the Birth to Work Pipeline? ESSENTIAL COMMUNITY SERVICES Transportation Early Childhood Childcare Providers Health Housing K – 12 System Afterschool Civic Programs Opportunities Financial Post Secondary Academic Supports LEARNING & SOCIAL SUPPORTS Source: The Forum for Youth Investment Work & Career Job Training Help Insulate the Pipeline Read to children every day: “Talk With Me Baby” Early Childhood Encourage participation of your early learning centers: “Quality Rated” Leverage partnerships with business and post-secondary – internships and mentoring K – 12 System Consider dual enrollment HS/ college: “Move on When Ready” Pay for Advanced Placement (AP) exams Post Secondary Provide internships/ apprenticeships Participate and support: “Go Back. Move Ahead.” Aligning Educational Strategies for Collective Impact Random Acts of Improvement GOALS Partially Aligned Acts of Improvement GOALS Aligned Acts of Improvement GOALS Connect with us Twitter: @GAPartnership Facebook: Georgia Partnership for Excellence in Education Instagram: @GAPARTNERSHIP LinkedIn: Georgia Partnership for Excellence in Education Website: www.gpee.org