Toward optimization of a wind/ compressed air energy storage (CAES) power system Jeffery B. Greenblatt Samir Succar David C. Denkenberger Robert H. Williams Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544 Guyot Hall, (609) 258-7442 / 7715 FAX, jgreenbl@princeton.edu Electric Power Conference, Baltimore, MD, 30 March – 1 April 2004 Session 11D (Wind Power II), 1 April 2004 Foote Creek Rim, Wyoming Energy in a Greenhouse World • U.S. 2001 electricity use: 3,600 TWh. Only 0.5% was wind-generated. • U.S. wind potential: ~10,600 TWh/y Possible major role in climate-change mitigation…under carbon constraint, can wind compete with coal? • Resource concentrated in sparsely populated Great Plains—exploitation requires getting wind power to distant population centers Sources: AWEA, 2003; EIA, 2003; EWEA, 2001, Wind Force 12 Does wind power need storage? 2. Offset declining capacity value of wind power as market share expands Time Time Value 1. Make wind dispatchable (price arbitrage; even at small wind market share) Power Three roles for storage: Market share 3. Facilitate use of remote, high-quality wind resources by reducing transmission costs—role first advanced by Cavallo (1995) Electric storage options Cost with 20 Capacity Storage hrs. storage Technology ($/kW) ($/kWh) ($/kW) ~1 Compressed Air Energy 440 460 Storage (CAES) (≥ 300 MW) 10 Pumped hydroelectric 900 1100 100 Advanced battery (10 MW) 120 2100 300 Flywheel (100 MW) 150 6200 300 Superconductor (100 MW) 120 6100 Source: Schainker, 1999 and EPRI/DOE, 2003 CAES is clear choice for: • Several hours (or more) of storage • Large capacity (≥ 300 MW) CAES system Compressor train Expander/generator train Air Exhaust PC PG Intercoolers PC = Compressor power in PG = Generator power out Aquifer, salt cavern, or hard mine Heat recuperator Fuel (e.g. natural gas, distillate) 70-100 bar Air Storage hS = Hours of storage (at PG) A wind/CAES model PWF PTL CF CAES plant Wind farm PWF = Wind Farm (WF) max. power out (rated power) Transmission Underground air storage PTL = transmission line (TL) max. power CF = TL capacity factor For this application CAES is needed to provide baseload power Research objectives • What are the important parameters that affect capacity factor (CF) and cost of energy (COE) at end of TL? How do these parameters interact? • What is the lowest cost wind/CAES configuration for baseload power (e.g., CF > 0.80)? • What combination of parameters (including cost improvements) are required to make wind/CAES competitive with coal at end of TL? Wind farm simulation Wind turbine power curve Cut-out Power Probability Weibull wind speed distribution k d –(v/c) ] (v)= [1–e dv (k2 > k1) Rated power Cutin Rated speed Wind speed Wind speed Autocorrelation time (hA) Time Wind power time series Wind speed Wind speed time series Wind speed Turbine Cp = 0.39 Array efficiency = 0.86 (below rating) = 1 (above rating) } Power “lost” Rated power Time CAES model Lost power (if storage full) PC CO2 Compressor Air Loss Generator Loss Air storage Spilled power PWF PG Fuel hS Direct output (≤ PTL) PTL HVDC TL Loss Base case configuration Wind resource: System CF = 0.84 k = 2.0, vavg = 8.98 m/s, Pwind = 560 W/m2 (Class 5) hA = 5 hrs. WF: PWF = 2.5 PTL (5000 MW) Spacing = 50 D2 vrated = 1.5 vavg Hub height = 84 m PC = 0.67 PTL (1330 MW) PG = 1.00 PTL (2000 MW) Comp Gen hS = 20 hrs. = 4 hA (~700 Mft3) Eo/Ei = 1.5 CAES system COE = 9.5 ¢/kWh TL: PTL = 2000 MW D = 1500 km V = +408 kV DC Base case cost assumptions • Wind turbines: $923/kW (Malcolm & Hansen, NREL, 2002) – 1500 kW, 70 m diameter, 84 m hub height • CAES system: $460/kW (EPRI/DOE, 2003) – $155/kW compressor, $170/kW generator, $170/kW BOP, $1/kWh storage (solution-mined salt cavity) • Transmission: $345/kW, $460k/km (Hauth et al., ORNL, 1997) – $215/kW line, $100/kW converters, $30/kW right-ofway • 15% capital charge rate Wind farm size vs. COE Min. COE: 8.8¢/kWh (–8 %) PWF = varied PC = 0.7 PTL PG = 1.0 PTL hS = 4 hA V = 408 kV * * = Base case 1.0 1.5 1.7 2.0 2.5 Wind farm size (PWF/PTL) 3.0 CAES compression vs. COE Min. COE: 9.2¢/kWh (–4%) PWF = 2.5 PTL PC = varied PG = 1.0 PTL hS = 4 hA V = 408 kV * * = Base case 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 CAES compression size (PC/PTL) 1.2 CAES generation vs. COE Min. COE: 9.1¢/kWh (–5%) PWF = 2.5 PTL PC = 0.7 PTL PG = varied hS = 4 hA V = 408 kV Wind farm * * = Base case 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 CAES generation size (PG/PTL) 1.2 CAES storage time vs. COE Min. COE: 9.5¢/kWh (no change) PWF = 2.5 PTL PC = 0.7 PTL PG = 1.0 PTL hS = varied V = 408 kV * * = Base case 1 10 100 CAES storage time (hours) 1000 Transmission voltage vs. COE Min. COE: 8.6¢/kWh (–10%) PWF = 2.5 PTL PC = 0.7 PTL PG = 1.0 PTL hS = 4 hA V = varied Transmission CAES Wind farm * * = Base case 400 600 800 1000 Transmission voltage (kV) 1200 Optimization Base case CF = 0.84 PWF = 2.5 PTL PG = 1.0 PTL PC = 0.7 PTL hS = 4 hA V = 408 kV COE = 9.5¢/kWh Trans. losses Transmission CAES Wind farm Case A Optimum COE = 7.5¢/kWh CF = 0.81 (–21%) Trans. losses PWF = 1.8 PTL Transmission PG = 0.5 PTL CAES PC = 0.8 PTL hS = 10 hA Wind farm V = 700 kV Competition with Coal IGCC with CCS (CO2 Capture and Storage) IGCC Wind/CAES Coal IGCC: 6.2 ¢/kWh Wind/CAES: 7.5 ¢/kWh What does it take to make wind/CAES competitive? Need some combination of: • Better winds • Cheaper turbines • Production tax credit • Carbon tax Assume: IGCC ($1635/kWe, = 30%) in Portland, Oregon Wind/CAES in E. Wyoming Fuel prices: $1.36/MBtu (coal); $4.64/MBtu (natural gas) Wind power density vs. COE 7.5 ¢/ kWh PWF = 1.8 PTL PG = 0.5 PTL PC = 0.8 PTL hS = 10 hA V = 700 kV Pwind = varied Cturb = $923/kW 6.2 ¢/ kWh Coal IGCC with CCS * * = Case A 400 Wind power class: 4 560 600 800 930 1000 Wind power density (W/m2) 5 6 7+ Turbine cost vs. COE PWF = 1.8 PTL PG = 0.5 PTL PC = 0.8 PTL hS = 10 hA V = 700 kV Pwind = 560 W/m2 Cturb = varied Future: 6.2 ¢/ kWh Coal IGCC with CCS Current: 7.5 ¢/ kWh * * = Case A 200 400 600650 800 9231000 Turbine cost ($/kW) Production tax credit • Expired Dec. 31, 2003; extension through 2006 in pending energy bill (H.R. 6) • 10-year credit @ 1.8 ¢/kWh renewable energy • Levelized credit = 1.1 ¢/kWh (assume 25-year lifetime, 89% renewable content of wind/CAES) PWF = 1.8 PTL PG = 0.5 PTL PC = 0.8 PTL hS = 10 hA V = 700 kV Pwind = 560 W/m2 Cturb = $923/kW Wind/CAES Case A Wind/CAES with PTC Coal IGCC with CCS 7.5¢/kWh 6.4 ¢/kWh 6.2 ¢/kWh Carbon tax vs. COE Assume: Turbine cost: $923/kW Class 5 winds (560 W/m2) Production tax credit of 1.1 ¢/kWh Wind/CAES will compete at $140/tC but is sensitive to technology cost; essentially a dead heat! Coal IGCC w/ CCS: 0.042 tC/MWh; 0.42 ¢/kWh per $100/tC Break-even ~$140/tC Wind/CAES: 0.026 tC/MWh; 0.26 ¢/kWh per $100/tC Other competing technologies Assume: Turbine cost: $923/kW Class 5 winds (560 W/m2) Production tax credit of 1.1 ¢/kWh CO2 vented Non-decarbonized electricity will have trouble competing in carbonconstrained market, with exception of natural gas (NGCC). However, diversity will require competition with decarbonized energy. Conclusions • Explored wind/CAES sensitivity of transmission capacity factor and cost of energy to multiple configuration parameters. • Optimal configuration (with today’s technology and no subsidy) gives 7.5 ¢/kWh for 2 GW wind/CAES system with 81% CF and 1500 km transmission line • Break-even cost with coal IGCC/CCS achievable with at least one of the following: better wind resources, lower turbine cost, production tax credit with carbon tax. Future research • Explore model sensitivities, particularly cost assumptions, in more detail • Develop more detailed case studies for configurations such as the Wyoming-toOregon wind/CAES system depicted here • Develop better synthetic wind algorithms for general use Acknowledgments • Dennis Elliott, Michael Milligan, Marc Schwarz, and Yih-Wei Wan, NREL • Al Dutcher, HPRCC • Marc Kapner, Austin Energy • Nisha Desai, Ridge Energy Storage • Bob Haug, Iowa Municipal Utilities District • Paul Denholm, University of Wisconsin, Madison • Joseph DeCarolis, Carnegie Mellon University • Al Cavallo, NIST Extra material Wind turbine rating vs. COE Min. COE: 9.5¢/kWh (no change) PWF = 2.0 PTL vrated = varied PC = 0.7 PTL PG = 1.0 PTL hS = 4 hA V = 408 kV * * = Base case 0.5 1.0 1.5 Wind turbine rating (vrated/vavg) 2.0 Transmission distance vs. COE 9.5¢/kWh PWF = 2.5 PTL PC = 0.7 PTL PG = 1.0 PTL hS = 4 hA V = 408 kV D = varied Trans. losses Transmission CAES Wind farm * * = Base case 500 1000 1500 2000 Transmission distance (km) 2500 Storage vs. autocorrelation time Cut along constant hS: Base case 10 CF Storage time (hS) (hrs. log scale) 100 1 Base case hS = hA case hA (hrs. log scale) 0.1 0.1 No improvement in 1 10 100 CF if hS >> hA or Autocorrelation time (hA) vice-versa (hrs. log scale) Compressor/generator ratio 1.5 Max. CF = 85% Slope ~ 1.7 Base case PC/PTL 1 Minimal increase in CF for PG/PTL = 0.5 1 CF = 81% 0.5 CF = 76% CF = 72% CF = 68% 0 0.5 1 PG/PTL For given CF, least cost configuration appears to lie along slope line 1.5 Power derating Rated power 1500 kW 770 kW Power probability Full range vavg = 7.9 m/s Pwind = 560 W/m2 (Class 5) vrate/vavg kW MWh/y CF # turbines $M $/kW ¢/kWh* *15% CCR vrate/vavg = 1.2 1.5 1.2 770 3400 0.51 2600 1.17 1500 5.2 1.5 1500 4700 0.36 1300 1.39 920 4.4 Exploiting lower wind classes 8.4 ¢/ kWh 7.5 ¢/ kWh PWF = 1.8 PTL PG = 0.5 PTL PC = 0.8 PTL hS = 10 hA V = 700 kV Pwind = varied Cturb = $923/kW * * = Base case 400450 Wind power class: 4 560 600 800 Wind power density (W/m2) 5 6 7+ 1000