Population Growth Graphs & Histograms When conditions are ideal for growth and reproduction, a population will experience a rapid increase in size. Initially the population grows slowly, but the larger the population gets, the faster it grows. As more offspring survive and reproduce, even more offspring are born. If things were perfect for a population and all the individuals survived and reproduced at the maximum rate, that growth rate is called the biotic potential. For example, human females could theoretically produce 1 child every 9 months between the ages of approximately 12 and 45. Organisms do not usually reproduce according to their biotic potential. The graph below is called an exponential population growth curve, or a J-shaped curve. Can a population continue to grow at this rate forever? The answer, of course, is no. The environment becomes limiting. Resources such as food and water become scarcer and the rate of population increase begins to slow. The graph below illustrates a population growth curve of this nature. The graph below is called a logistic population growth curve, or a S-shaped curve Compare Population Growth Curve 1 and Population Growth Curve 2 and note the similarities between the two graphs. Assignment The population growth on the second graph begins to slow. Perhaps resources such as food and water are becoming scarcer. Perhaps some of the population migrates to a new area to obtain resources. Eventually the population growth on this graph reaches zero, and the size of the population remains fairly stable. This is because the number of deaths in the population equals the number of births. Remember… The formula for determining population growth is as follows: Population growth = (births + immigrants) - (deaths + emigrants) If population growth is less than zero, there are more deaths and emigrants in the population than there are births and immigrants. The size of the population begins to decline. The largest population of a species that a particular environment can support is known as the carrying capacity The carrying capacity of the environment is different at different times. At some times, when resources such as food and water are more abundant, a population can increase in size. At other times, resources may be scarcer, causing the population to decline. These population fluctuations occur over time, but the carrying capacity represents an average of a series of ups and downs. On a graph If you draw a line through the middle of the population fluctuations, that line represents the carrying capacity of that environment for that species. Population Growth Curve: Carrying Capacity Carrying Capacity Assignment: Carrying Capacity Predator – Prey interactions Population Growth - Histograms As well as showing how population changes with time, (which is the purpose of a growth curve), it is also useful to consider how many organisms there are of a certain age within a population. Histograms: Age Structure Age structure is usually shown as a graph called a population histogram. The histogram can be used to predict future changes in population size and provide governments with information on the types of changes that might be required for example, if there are more children, more schools will be needed. Histogram These histograms only represent a particular moment or snapshot in time. The shapes of histograms can often tell you whether a population is increasing, stabilizing or decreasing. Stable Increasing Decreasing About the Graph The population is along the horizontal axis The age is along the vertical axis The graph is drawn with horizontal bars. Each bar represents the number of organisms of a certain age group. There are as many bars as age groups. There is one bar for males and one bar for females. Increasing Populations In this histogram many offspring are being produced. As the population ages, the young replace the current parents and have offspring of their own. The histogram is shaped like a pyramid with a wide base. The wide base means there are lots of young organisms and few older ones. The population increases since there are fewer older organisms dying and many more organisms being born. Steady/Stable Populations In this histogram organisms of reproductive age are having just enough offspring to replace themselves. As the population ages, there will be enough young organisms to replace the current parents and have offspring of their own. Since there are as many organisms being born as are dying, the population remains steady. Decreasing Populations In this histogram there are many organisms of reproductive age but they are having few offspring. As the population ages, there will be fewer young organisms to replace the current parents. This histogram has the widest part in the middle section because there are more parents than young. The population decreases since there will be fewer organisms to reproduce and replace the young. Summary This lesson has dealt with two types of population graphs. The population growth curves show how population changes with time. These graphs show that populations grow differently depending on whether the conditions for growth are ideal (Jshaped curve) or if there are restrictions (S-shaped curve). Populations in real life fluctuate around the ideal number of organisms which the ecosystem can support called the carrying capacity. An age-population histogram shows a snapshot of the organisms, both male and female, that fall into categories of age. While the data represented is for only a particular instant in time, the shape of the distribution allows us to predict if the population is increasing, decreasing or steady. Assignment: Population pyramids QUIZ NEXT CLASS!