PNW RTF -Rooftop Unit Working Group - RTUG – Rooftop Unit Research Project Phase 4 November 23, 2010 RTUG Agenda 112310 9:30am Introductions Agenda Review; RTUG Schedule Review 9:45 Review of Results from BPA RTU Pilot Research 2009-2010 RTU gas pack characterization from annual data Model/methodology description Examination of signature predicted annual usage with 3-4 weeks of metered data Outside Air Temperature data sourcing Points to meter Sampling period Recommended metering interval of 1 minute M&V costs Points included in the basic M&V package (kW and OAT) Minimum requirements (temperature ranges/number of days) and reasons why Questions to RTUG members: What do members perceive as unknowns or gaps in this methodology and what is the process to address any gaps? How does this protocol comport with the guidelines under development for Standardized Protocols with M&V? Any other concerns small or large? Next steps: Discuss recommendations to RTF [January 2011]; schedule additional RTUG review if needed 12:15-1:00pm Lunch 1:00 Status: Regional RTU Research Results Database: BPA and Web-Enabled T-Stat http://www.nwcouncil.org/energy/rtf/subcommittees/rtug/Default.htm 1:05 Energy Trust of Oregon RTU DCV M&V – Dave Robison, Stellar Processes 1:25 CO2 Sensor Research– Reid Hart, PECI 1:45 BPA request for members to join new RTF Subcommittee on Variable Capacity (VC) Heat Pumps 2:05 Review draft elements of a regional RTU Strategic Plan/Roadmap including Research/Policy/Programs/Market Transformation elements 3:30 Recap of meeting conclusions 4:00 Adjourn Current RTUG Schedule • Nov 23 • Follow up discussion if needed • January 2011 RTF presentation • RTF next steps with HVAC Committee BPA RTU Winter Operation Presented to: RTUG November 23, 2010 Presented by: Kathryn Hile, The Cadmus Group Howard Reichmuth, New Buildings Institute Agenda Overview • Project summary • Proposed M&V protocol • Data chunk analysis • Outside air temperature • Simplified monitoring • Next steps 5 Annual Metering Summary • Metered 45 units for one year Reason Site with old heat pumps, erratic operation 14 Unit operates in fan only mode (ventilation unit?) or not at all in Summer 2010 4 Erratic data, possibly bad sensor 2 Too many days of sensor failure + 1_ Subtotal Good data total Total Units Metered 6 Count 21 + 24 45 Annual Summary (cont.) • Annual metering interval: one minute • Costs – Equipment: $1,150/RTU – Metering equipment installation and removal: $700/unit – Analysis and reporting 7 M&V Protocol – Need Your Input • Need your feedback, so we can have a high consensus recommendation to RTF by February • Will send out a draft protocol incorporating your suggestions from today • Would you support our recommendation to the RTF on this protocol for a 90% confidence fan and cooling energy savings? 8 Questions to Think About • What are unknowns or gaps in this methodology • How do we address any gaps? • How does this protocol comport with the guidelines under development for Standardized Protocols with M&V? • Any other concerns small or large? 9 Elements of the Protocol • Energy signature analysis approach (Word doc) • What points to meter • Sampling period – Number of days – Temperature ranges • Sample size • Confidence interval and the distance ratio 10 Detailed Analysis for M&V Protocol • Units selected based on consistent operation (one mode) – Gas packs – Nine units – Four on east side – Five on west side 11 What Points to Meter? • Use shortest possible measurement intervals to avoid building changes • Minimum required points to meter – Outside air temperature – Power – Supply air temperature: nice, but not essential 12 Sampling Period • Number of days – and why • Temperature ranges – and why – See range of temperatures for different points in the monitoring season and different date ranges – Frequency table with average daily data – Economizer and compressor and fan operation 13 Updated Energy Signature • • • • 14 Based on linear regression fit Fan and A/C savings Annualized using TMY bin data Tested quadratic regression fit, but no significant improvement Data Chunk Analysis • • • • Basic ground rules Statistics approach Discussion of confidence intervals What did we find? 15 Basic Ground Rules • Units with constant operation (no switching between fan auto/fan continuous in one RTU) • 21 and 28 days of metered data, starting every 7th day, mid-May through end of September • Extrapolate to annual using regression – Exclude all points with total daily kWh < (base load * 10%) 16 Data Chunk Statistics Approach • Applied to full annual estimate (including histogram) • 90% confidence interval for each extrapolation • Characterize temperature distributions with distance ratio: (Average distance from each daily temp to mean cooling TMY temp) (Variance among daily metering period temps) • Number of observations for 28-day monitoring period conservatively assumed to be only 21 days to account for weekend mode 17 Confidence Intervals • 90% confidence • Overlapping CIs indicate no significant difference • Distinct CIs (no overlap) indicate significant difference • Last summer’s savings loose estimate: 200 kWh/ton • Savings estimate involves two precisions treated in quadrature 18 What Did We Find? • Accurate measurements require understanding site weather and proper staging of metering • Differences between hot east side metering and mild west side metering • Measurements at the 90% confidence can be achieved • Buildings exhibit natural changes over a summer: ‘building squirm’ • Best approach involves 4 weeks pre, 4 weeks post, with 3-4 week retrofit window 19 East Side Weather Summary • Pasco weather from Pasco TMY3 • TMY3: – Hourly values for a one-year period – Derived from actual weather data 1991-2005 20 Pasco TMY3 Bin 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 Frequency 14 36 38 32 31 43 39 32 28 40 22 10 21 Pasco TMY3 365 Days 22 Pasco TMY3 May 1 – Sept 30 23 East Side Results Example 1 RTU Annual Energy 24,000 22,000 20,000 Annual Energy, kWh/yr 18,000 mean 16,000 lower 90% upper 90% 1-May 1-Jun 1-Jul 14,000 12,000 10,000 1-Aug 1-Sep 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 40280 40300 40320 40340 40360 40380 40400 40420 40440 Julian day of monitoring start 24 Energy Signature Energy, kWh/day 80 60 mode 1 40 Signature mode 2 20 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Avergae 24 hr temperature, deg F Significant change, inadequate detailed data to diagnose. 25 East Side Results Example 2 RTU Annual Energy 12,000 Annual Energy, kWh/yr 10,000 mean 8,000 lower 90% upper 90% 1-May 1-Jun 1-Jul 6,000 1-Aug 1-Sep 4,000 2,000 0 40280 40300 40320 40340 40360 40380 40400 40420 40440 Julian day of monitoring start 26 Energy Signature Signature Energy, kWh/day 80 60 Jun Aug Jul 40 20 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Avergae 24 hr temperature, deg F Small but significant change, 20% minimum OSA June to 50% OSA in August. 27 East Side Findings • Best monitoring pre-late May, early June. Fourweek sample • Best monitoring post-early August to end of August • Less accurate results for mid-summer, late June/July monitoring interval • Mid-summer data temperatures are above economizer range leading to inaccurate predictions 28 West Side Weather Summary • Snohomish TMY3 Bin 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 Frequency 0 1 23 88 83 50 52 49 14 5 0 0 29 Snohomish TMY 365 Days 30 Snohomish TMY3 May 1 – Sept 30 31 West Side Results Example 1 RTU Annual Energy 10,000 9,000 Annual Energy, kWh/yr 8,000 7,000 mean lower 90% upper 90% 1-May 1-Jun 1-Jul 6,000 5,000 4,000 1-Aug 1-Sep 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 40280 40300 40320 40340 40360 40380 40400 40420 40440 Julian day of monitoring start 32 Energy Signature Mode 1 signature 60 Energy, kWh/day 50 40 model 30 data 20 10 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 average 24 hr temperature, deg F Messy data but leads to tight confidence interval. No significant change. 33 West Side Results Example 2 RTU Annual Energy 9,000 8,000 Annual Energy, kWh/yr 7,000 mean 6,000 lower 90% upper 90% 1-May 1-Jun 1-Jul 5,000 4,000 1-Aug 1-Sep 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 40280 40300 40320 40340 40360 40380 40400 40420 40440 40460 Julian day of monitoring start 34 Energy Signature Inspection Plot Energy, kWh/day 60 40 June/jul August 20 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Avergae 24 hr temperature, deg F Messy data. Early season heat and false cooling trigger. No significant change. 35 West Side Findings • Good results at 90% confidence, but generally not as good as east side • Pre-retrofit period should start in June • Post-retrofit period of four weeks should start in August Conclusion: Meter four weeks pre and four weeks post to achieve 90% confidence 36 Sample Size • • • • • • • • 37 m = sample size = standard deviation of savings = coefficient of variation among actual energy savings of units within program = within the regression calculation for a given unit, the standard deviation of the distance from the actual daily energy usage to the regression line = savings over entire year N = # compressor on days in TMY data – we can make this determination, based on CZ n = # compressor on days used in the analysis (should be all metered days in a given operating mode, minus weekends if off on weekends) R = distance ratio Sample Size • To get good estimates with 90% confidence, if you service… – 1,000 units, meter: – 500 units, meter: – 100 units, meter: 38 Outside Air Temperature • Compared measured OAT to local weather station data for all sites – Average daily temperatures during cooling season • Examples: – Annualize using weather station data – Annualize using metered OAT data 39 OAT Comparison Snohomish 40 OAT Comparison Snohomish 41 OAT Comparison Snohomish 42 OAT Comparison Pasco 43 OAT Comparison Pasco 44 OAT Comparison Pasco 45 Simplified Monitoring • Weather station data may be key • CT current/power measurement simplifies installation? • Potential metering costs can be reduced by 80% 46 Questions to RTUG • What do members perceive as unknowns or gaps in this methodology and what is the process to address any gaps? • How does this protocol comport with the guidelines under development for Standardized Protocols with M&V? • Any other concerns small or large? 47 Next Steps in Research • Draft M&V protocol for fan and A/C savings, based on input from committee – By December 1, we will send to RTUG committee members a straw man of our recommendation • Look at building characteristics to find a better metric to predict energy savings 48 Regional RTU Research Results Database http://www.nwcouncil.org/energy/rtf/subc ommittees/rtug/Default.htm • 102 RTUs 2009-10 BPA Pilot; 2wks-pre/2wks-post • 25 RTUs 12 months monitored Sept/Nov/Jan 011 • Web-enabled T-stat: 2 sites, May-Sept 2010 Energy Trust of Oregon Small Commercial HVAC Pilot Program Stellar Processes November 23, 2010 Small Commercial HVAC Pilot Program Goal: test feasibility of specifying a standard repair treatment that can be applied by contractors in a production mode in order to reduce deployment costs. This pilot test was focused on Demand Controlled Ventilation (DCV) as a strategy to save gas used for space heating. Measure includes: •Install a programmable thermostat or control system capable of responding to CO2 controls. •Set up proper scheduling and night setback. •Ensure that economizers are connected with two-stage control wiring. Install the new sensors that permit better economizer operation. Properly set economizer changeover point. •O&M as applicable: Repair noticeable air leaks around roof curbs. Clean coils. 12/15/2009 ETO Small Commercial RTU 51 Demand Controlled Ventilation (DCV) • Controls modulate the amount of makeup outside air (OSA) based on the CO2 levels inside the facility. The control system senses the level of CO2 and adjusts the amount of outside air necessary to maintain a minimum level of CO2. • This procedure is expected to save space heating energy since the excess outside air would otherwise have to be conditioned. • A well-designed cooling system would usually be economizing in our climate, so no cooling savings are expected. 12/15/2009 ETO Small Commercial RTU 52 Site Details Office site -- attached warehouse was not treated. 12/15/2009 ETO Small Commercial RTU 53 Field Treatment • Treated 15 of 21 air-handlers at the site. Of those, 10 units were actually monitored. • All units were controlled with zone thermostats (no central controls). • Of 10 units tested, six had some degree of malfunction with economizer operation. Typically, enthalpy OSA sensors appeared to be out of calibration. Units were four years old. 12/15/2009 ETO Small Commercial RTU 54 Damper Position Sensor Position sensor reports damper displacement. Calibrated with measured air flow using Energy Conservatory TrueFlow® system. Although both the air flow and damper motion are non-linear, we found that the relationship between air flow and position was surprisingly linear. 12/15/2009 ETO Small Commercial RTU 55 Example: Cooling Energy Signature Although cooling was not the focus, the retrofit repaired some units that were not properly economizing. 12/15/2009 ETO Small Commercial RTU 56 Summary of Change in OSA Actual operation shows little agreement with design. Second floor offices were expected to be lightly occupied but we found high occupancy. Some of these zones were “flushing” and showed modest savings. %OSA reduced by 16% in monitored units or estimated 14% overall. 12/15/2009 ETO Small Commercial RTU 57 Computed Energy Savings Weather was mild during monitoring – no heating event occurred. Savings estimate relied on calibrated engineering model to estimate annual performance. 12/15/2009 ETO Small Commercial RTU 58 Computed Energy Savings Annual savings estimate 2320 therms or 11% works out to 0.08 therm/sf. Consistent with regional modeling that has predicted a range of 0.02 to 0.09 therm/sf. Base Case With ECMs Savings % Saved 12/15/2009 Annual Energy Consumption, kWh 902,769 899,794 2,975 0.3% Annual Demand kW per Month 39 40 -1 -3.5% ETO Small Commercial RTU Annual Energy Consumption, kWh 21,290 18,970 2,320 10.9% 59 Program Cost Effectiveness Total Cost NPV of Benefits BCR Lifetime Levelized Cost, per therm 12/15/2009 ETO Small Commercial RTU $11,159 $25,179 2.26 15 $0.379 60 Conclusions • DCV successfully decreased the amount of outside ventilation air. • Compute 11% gas savings or 2320 annual therms (0.08 therm per sqft). • Cost $11,159 for labor and materials. Benefit Cost Ratio 2.26 • Electricity savings were not significant. Since some of the units were previously malfunctioning, there was a small increase in compressor cooling energy as those units were brought back into service. At the same time, there was an overall decrease in energy used for ventilation. • Recommended Follow-on Actions: Confirm savings estimate with follow-up billing analysis. Consider another verification of a similar project during the heating season. ( no actual heating events occurred during this monitoring). 12/15/2009 ETO Small Commercial RTU 61 RTU DCV Ventilation Issues DCV Control Targets DCV Analog vs.. Step Control Carbon Dioxide Sensor Accuracy Demand Controlled Ventilation (DCV) • Idea here is to provide area rate when occupied, then proportion people portion to actual occupancy • Measure occupancy by: – Carbon dioxide (CO2) concentration – Counters or security system – Schedule approximation – Camera technology Target Is NOT 700 ppm! • DCV CO2 concentration setpoint – Earlier standard called for 700 ppm CO2 over ambient as target level – Ambient at 400 means 1100 ppm setpoint • Actually is based on specific occupancy • Explained well in the 62.1-2007 users manual – Steady state CO2 CR • Concentration lags occupancy – DCV allowed to control for steady state – Volume provides a buffer – Pre-purge not required; may be good • ~ 20 minutes “full” rate or one air change at occupancy • Precede occupancy for high VOC spaces like retail Find CR for your space • CR is target CO2 – – – – Think OA% “area” & “full”, not minimum Met varies due to activity Large ratio indicates more DCV savings Use actual people & CFM, not defaults! Rp Area Type Art Classroom Office - default Office - open Class (age 9+) Retail Sales Grocery Call Center Lecture Class Restaurant Conference Assembly Pz 20 5 7 35 15 8 12 65 70 50 150 sf/p 50 200 143 29 67 125 83 15 14 20 7 met 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.2 1.2 Rs cfm/p cfm/sf 10 5 5 10 7.5 7.5 5 7.5 5 5 5 0.18 0.06 0.06 0.12 0.12 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.18 0.06 0.06 CR ppm 824 874 994 1001 1050 1162 1206 1357 1643 1701 1893 *For all types: area is 1000 square feet, COa = 400 ppm, Ez is 80%, unit cfm 1.0 cfm/sf OA% OA% area full Ratio 23% 48% 2.1 8% 11% 1.4 8% 12% 1.6 15% 59% 3.9 15% 29% 1.9 8% 15% 2.0 8% 15% 2.0 8% 68% 9.1 23% 66% 2.9 8% 39% 5.2 8% 101% 13.5 DCV: Step vs. Analog Control • Step control: – “full %” at CR or concentration target (volume buffers need) – “area %” @ 20%-40% below CR • Analog control recommended by 62.1 User Manual – Area rate at 400 ppm – Area + people (full) rate at CR target ppm – Note difference in DCV damper position vs. OSA% Ventilation Sequence OSA Set Area & Full Positions based on OSA% measurements 40% OApos 30% OSA% OAareaPos @ 400 20% OAfullPos @ AQset 10% 0% 0 500 1000 Space/Return CO2 PPM 1500 2000 CO2 Transmitter Accuracy Bin Occurance (Bars) 35% 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% Line is % of Units with Worse Accuracy CO2 Transmitter Error @ 1100 ppm 40% +/- error Source: National Building Controls Information Program. PTR. Iowa EC & CEC. June 2009. Source: http://www.energy.iastate.edu/ Efficiency/Commercial/ download_nbcip/PTR_CO2.pdf NBCIP/ Iowa Energy Center Testing No manufacturers had all three samples within specs! • Count on being within 200 ppm, usually high • Many sensors saturate above 1700 ppm • Self calibrating sensors improve persistence Closer Look at Accuracy Impact CO2 Transmitter Error @ 1100 ppm 10 42.5% 37.5% 32.5% 27.5% 22.5% 17.5% 12.5% 7.5% 2.5% 0.0% -2.5% -7.5% -12.5% 0 -17.5% 5 -22.5% Frequency n=45 15 error boundary Source: National Building Controls Information Program. PTR. Iowa EC & CEC. June 2009. Eliminating 3 of 13 manufacturers keeps error within +/- 21% • Sensors are generally high; (mean = + 12%) • Relative accuracy will maintain with self-calibration • Particular manufacturers are at extremes Phase 4 NBI – RTUG Work Plan • Convene/manage the RTUG for the RTF • Actively promote collaboration within/outside the region on EM&V protocols, RTU efficiency research • Review BPA research results and assist in drafting the proposed annualized savings methodology • Assist in implementing the Regional RTU Research Results database – RRRR or R4 database • Lead the RTUG through a process to scope technical and related elements of a regional RTU Strategic Plan • Identify options for equipment redesign, deeper retrofit and early replacement Where Are We Going and Why? • WHAT ARE WE DOING STRATEGICALLY? • Research to support EE resource acquisition only? • Technical understanding/information through testing/measurementfield& laboratory • Elements of a SP: facts, allies, good internal communications, silo busting. • Data repository, communication mechanism, leading edge tech • Increased market knowledge • Local capacity to do testing of new equipment/components • Connections with market allies, EE organizations national/regional/state, various CA org relationships • Facilitate communication market transformation among parties; get performance feedback in a variety of ways RTU Strategic Plan Elements • Technical Assessment • Programmatic • Market Transformation • Advocacy/Collaboration PNW RTU Strategic Map/Road Plan • Elements of an Strategic Plan for Rooftop Unit Efficiency Development – Goal setting – Leading to deemed savings estimator tool and field EM&V protocol – Technology improvement – Audience: PNW regional and local, public and investor-owned energy utility planners, utility EE program designers/implementers, public benefits energy efficiency organizations, the HVAC industry including contractors and equipment OEM’s – Deliverable: Information/substantiation of the kWh/kW savings potential from new and existing rooftop unit HVAC equipment. – Communications – Good information/data/analysis Technical Assessment RTF to maintain functional data repository with open access. Add appropriate data sets and analytical results as available from Avista, Idaho Power, Premium Ventilation Project, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, BPA Web-enabled thermostat project, and others in and outside the region • Develop a research scope/budget for establishing and extending a low cost monitoring protocol on a set of RTUs for up to 60 months. Candidates should chosen through operating RTU service programs – Track persistence of performance for all components; track maintenance costs – Whole building conditions and operating changes substantially documented – Active customer/HVAC contractor contact with education/training for both groups • • • • • • • Develop a research scope/budget to establish RTU measure life values Reconciliation between modeling and metered result inputs to modeling Whole building data analysis Lower cost RTU field monitoring Premium Ventilation Package: Near-Term + Extended Function Testing and Analysis Economizer research program including DCV interaction Test of web-based RTU control and performance monitoring to determine impact on building operator schedule management using the monitoring information • Improve DOE2/eQUEST RTU calculations RTF RTU Challenges • Minimum air flow: - technical: field measurement & service protocol - building code requirement - program protocol - program benefit-cost issue • Measure life: 6th Plan = 18yrs comp/5 yrs O&M • Operating (measure/system?) persistence: ? Assessment Criteria • Consistency with goals regional power/conservation plan including resource acquisition and cost effectiveness • Efficiency potential kWh/kW/therms • Technology advancement, RDD&Deployment • Operating performance management • O&M&R cost management/Cost of Ownership • GHG management • Market response • Market transformation opportunity • Integrated design/optimization • EM&V requirements/potential PNW Energy Efficiency Technology Roadmap-1 • RD1. Heat recovery optimization routines such that economizer performance is not impacted • RD2. Better MTBF information for equipment to inform predictive maintenance programs and controls • RD3. More reliable fault detection (FDD) and diagnostics controls at smaller scale, market • RD4. More research on neural networks and artificial intelligence to help inform design of self-healing and learning HVAC controls systems would be useful • RD5. Software development to have fully-functional selfdiagnosing controls • RD6. BPA RTU now testing simple fault detection and diagnostics sequences on RTUs • RD7. Make ECM motors bigger, add belt drives PNW Energy Efficiency Technology Roadmap-2 • RD8. Research to reduce maintenance with WCEC, NIST, ETO • RD9. Drop-in ECM motors for residential, need furnaces, case studies, savings, etc. - Concept 3? • RD10. ACRx Sentinel by CEC PIER field study: up-to-date? • RD11. Reliability of enthalpy controls – underway • RD12. Condensing gas – pack RTU: NRCAN, CEE • RD13. Develop load based lab testing for RTUs (ASHRAE 1608RTAR). • RD14. Fault response on compressors related to US companies • RD20. Do field tests to provide feedback in order to help develop more accurate building simulation • RD21. Field M&V test for zoning savings to gather data for optimizing design choices for zoning with different heating and cooling systems Programmatic Additional Measures • Add economizers • Controls: Premium Vent Package, other? • Demand Controlled Ventilation (DCV) • FDD/performance monitoring • ECM/VSD • Gear-driven economizer actuators [increasing market share] • Airflow/ventilation including outside air damper issue • Other? New RTU products: Lennox Energence, H80 Hybrid RTU, Ductless/VRF Early RTU Retirement: What is the size of the regional benefit? Market Transformation – Customer education – HVAC contractor/distributor education/training – Quality Installation/Quality Maintenance standards PNW RTU Future • Research: how long, how deep? • Future RTU program design –existing & new units • Technology advancement • West Coast Regional Collaboration: coop RTU research/cost-sharing + advocacy • National advocacy with HVAC OEM’s Collaboration/Advocacy • Advanced Rooftop Unit (CA PIER + 3ET) • Publish performance curves • Snap disc replacement • Outside air sensor enclosure/placement • Climate optimized RTU standards • RTU FDD w/remote comm - CA Title 24 Advocacy/Collaboration-2 CA T24 RTU FDD Strawman Low airflow Low/High refrigerant charge Sensor failed Compressor short cycling Economizer not functional/optimized Performance degradation Non-occupied operation Remote communications gateway Collaborate/Communicate/Educate • RTUG: http://www.nwcouncil.org/energy/rtf/studies/ongoing/rtug/Defaul t.htm • BPA E3 ET/R&D: http://www.bpa.gov/energy/n/emerging_technology/index.cfm • NEEA ET: http://www.nwalliance.org/participate/submit_your_idea.aspx • CA ETCC: http://www.etcc-ca.com/ • Western Cooling Efficiency Center: http://wcec.ucdavis.edu/ • Western HVAC Performance Alliance: www.performancealliance.org • State Energy Offices • Integrated Design Labs • US DOE –National Labs