Aerospace Systems Engineering as an Integrating Function for the Georgia Tech Graduate Program in Aerospace Systems Design Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Professor and Director Center of Excellence in Rotorcraft Technology (CERT) Center for Aerospace Systems Analysis (CASA) Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu CERT/CASA Presentation Outline • Overview of the Graduate Program Aerospace Systems Design Program • The Evolution from an IPPD to an IPPD through RDS to a Modern Aerospace Systems Engineering Approach • Description of the Graduate Course in Aerospace Systems Engineering • Opportunities for Collaboration with the School of ISYE Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu CERT/CASA Georgia Tech School of AE • School of Aerospace Engineering – – – – – One of original six Guggenheim Schools of Aeronautics 34 full time faculty ~600-700 undergraduate students (AE majors) ~250 -300 graduate students Highest Rated Public Aerospace School (Overall: UG – 2nd to MIT;GR-3rd to MIT & Stanford, U.S. News & World Report) • Six Disciplinary Groups (Full A.E. School) • Aerodynamics and Fluid Mechanics • Flight Mechanics and Controls • Structural Mechanics and Materials • Structural Dynamics and Aeroelasticity • Propulsion and Combustion • System Design and Optimization Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu CERT/CASA Graduate Program in Aerospace Systems Design • Includes core and elective courses to: – Provide a Practice-oriented M.S. Program – Provide a Integrated-Discovery Focused Ph.D program • Includes a combination of disciplinary, methods and synthesis courses for System Design of Complex Systems: – Aircraft and Rotorcraft – Missiles and Space – System of Systems: Army/DARPA FCS; FAA/NASA NAS • Integrates Research and Education – Two active research laboratories, ASDL and SSDL – Approx. 100 students (~80 supported) – Approx. 15 research engineers • Uses an IPPD through RDS Approach and a modern Aerospace Systems Engineering Course as an Integrating Function for the Program Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu CERT/CASA Evolution of the Georgia Tech Aerospace Systems Design Program Graduate Program ‘84 - Graduate Rotorcraft Design Program Established Development ‘89 - Intro to Concurrent Engineering (CE) & Design for LCC courses ‘92 - Graduate, CE/IPPD Fixed-Wing Design Program Established w/ NASA’s USRA ‘94 CE/IPPD Focus: Affordable Aerospace Systems Design Methodology; ASDL Estab. ‘95 RSM for Advanced Synthesis Focus: Pioneering Research into Response Surface Methodology (RSM) for advanced sizing/synthesis ‘96 Aero + Structures Focus: Addressing Economic Uncertainty & Viability results in Robust Design Simulation RDS Probabilistic ‘97 Feasibility AND Viability FPI x2 Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu x1 Probability Customer Requirements ‘98- Center for Aerospace Systems Analysis (CASA) Initiated CASA y1 $/RPM y2 yn FPI Feasible Solution Sizing Desired Solution Econ. Target Baseline Mean $/RPM x1 x2 xn ‘95-’96 Space Systems Design Laboratory (SSDL) Established ‘97- NRTC Center of Excellence Renewal Focus: Efficient Probabilistic Analysis through Fast Probability Integration (FPI) ‘98 • Morphological FLOPS-IMAGE-RSE Matrices Interface developed • Pugh Diagram Establish the Need ‘94- NASA MDA Fellowship Grant and New Approaches to MDO Grant Focus: Systems & System of Systems Analysis for Complex Systems and Movement toward a Modern Approach to Systems Engineering ‘99- Boeing Awards GTAE/CASA Faculty Chair in Aerospace Systems Analysis ’00 GEAE USA CERT/CASA Why it is Unique? • Is the Only Formal Graduate Aerospace Systems Design Program in the U.S., and probably throughout the world • Addresses the System Design of Complex Systems (Not Conceptual Design) utilizing a Generic IPPD Methodology, as a modern approach for Systems Engineering • Provides an engineering approach to Risk Based Management through Robust Design Simulation (RDS) environment for Implementing the IPPD Methodology at the “Front End” that can be continued for Process Improvement and Merging with Six Sigma methods • Provides a practical way of incorporating “lean” and other initiatives into the front end of a complex system’s life cycle • Has spun off various methods, tools, and techniques from this IPPD through RDS approach for a variety of customers • Have moved to address “System of Systems” problems such as FCS and air transportation architectures for the NAS Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu CERT/CASA Who are the Primary & Supporting Faculty? • School of A.E.:Primary Faculty – Dr. Dimitri Mavris, Director of ASDL and Boeing Chair Professor in Advanced Aerospace Systems Analysis – Dr. John Olds, Associate Professor and Director of SSDL – Dr. Jim Craig, Professor and Co-Director of CASA – Dr. Dan Schrage, Professor and Director, CASA & CERT – Two recruitments: Lewis Chair in Space Systems Technologies; Junior Faculty in Design Methodology & Tools Supporting Faculty: Dr. Amy Pritchett (AE/ISYE), Dr. Eric Johnson, & Dr. JVR Prasad • Some Participation from the School of M.E. – Dr. Farokh Mistree, Professor and Director of SRL – Dr. Bob Fulton, Professor • Some Participation from the School of E.C.E – Dr. George Vachtsevanous, Professor and Director of the Intelligent Control Laboratory Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu CERT/CASA Overview of Center for Aerospace Systems Analysis (CASA) • Established in1998 based on successful development of the ASDL from 1992 and the successful development of the SSDL from 1995; Serves as oversight for these labs • Through its laboratories provides the primary research support to the graduate program in Aerospace Systems Design which currently has ~ 100 students of which over 80 % are U.S. citizens • Research support provides over $5M per year in sponsored research and supports ~ 80 students & 15 research engineers • Provides a modern approach to systems engineering based on an Integrated Product/Process Development (IPPD) methodology executed through Robust Design Simulation (RDS) Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu CERT/CASA Why Systems Analysis? • Systems Analysis is a scientific process, or methodology, which can best be described in terms of its salient problem-related elements. The process involves: – Systematic examination and comparison of those alternative actions which are related to the accomplishment of desired objectives – Comparison of alternatives on the basis of the costs and the benefits associated with each alternative – Explicit consideration of risk • NASA, DoD, and Industry are realizing that more emphasis must be placing on enhancing systems analysis at the front end of the life cycle using modern systems engineering approaches Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu CERT/CASA CASA’s Laboratories Aerospace Systems Design Lab www.asdl.gatech.edu Space Systems Design Lab www.ssdl.gatech.edu B.S.A.E. - M.S. - Ph.D Degrees Design Frameworks Lab IPERT Lab Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu Flight Sim Lab Design, Build, Fly Lab Uninhabited Aerial Vehicle Research Facility CERT/CASA An Integration and Practice-Oriented M.S. Program in Aerospace Systems Design Semester I Semester II Design Methods/Techniques Aerospace Systems Engineering Disciplinary Electives Applied Systems Design Design II Modern Design Methods I Propulsion Systems Design Summer ISE/PLMC Development Special Project Applied Systems Design Design IIII Modern Design Methods II Product Life Cycle Management Safety By Design Internship Design Tools/Infrastructure Mathematics (2 Required) Legend: Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu Core Classes Other Electives Elective Classes CERT/CASA Aerospace Systems Design Education & Research Philosophy Industry Government Partners: ONR NASA AFRL NRTC • Methods Formulation • Supports Basic Research • Implementation of Methods Funding Relevant Problems Data & Tools Funding Partners: GEAE RRA LMTAS Boeing Sikorsky Aerospace Systems Design Laboratory Methods Students Classroom Implementation Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu CERT/CASA Design Process Paradigm Shift (Research Opportunities in Engineering Design, NSF Strategic Planning Workshop Final Report, April 1996) • • • • • Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu A paradigm shift is underway that attempts to change the way complex systems are being designed Emphasis has shifted from design for performance to design for affordability, where affordability is defined as the ratio of system effectiveness to system cost +profit System Cost - Performance Tradeoffs must be accommodated early Downstream knowledge must be brought back to the early phases of design for system level tradeoffs The design Freedom curve must be kept open until knowledgeable tradeoffs can be made CERT/CASA What is IPPD? • Integrated Product/Process Development (IPPD) is a management methodology that incorporates a systematic approach to the early integration and concurrent application of all the disciplines that play a part throughout a system’s life cycle (Technology for Affordability: A Report on the Activities of the Working Groups to the Industry Affordability Executive Committee, The National Center for Advanced Technologies (NCAT), January 1994) • IPPD evolved out of the commercial sector’s assessment of what it took to be world class competitive in the 1980s • The DoD has required IPPD and the use of IPTs where practical throughout the DoD Acquisition Process for Major Systems (DoD 5000.2R) • Conduct of IPPD requires Product/Process Simulation using Probabilistic Approaches Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu CERT/CASA Quality Revolution - Where Competition is Today Cost Advantage Cheap Labor Hi Volume, Lo Mix Production Quality Statistical Process Control Variability reduction Customer Satisfaction Time-to-Market Cycle time Comparison (JIT) Integrated Product/Process Development Product/Process Simulation Hi Skill adaptable Workforce Manufacturing Enterprise Flexibility Product Variety Cost Independent of Volume Agility Commercial/Military Integration Virtual Companies Company Goodness Environment 1960 Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu 1970 1980 1990 2000 NCAT Report, 1994 CERT/CASA Japanese Auto Industry Made Changes Earlier Than U.S. Auto Industry U.S. Company Japanese Company Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu +3 Months Job #1 1-3 Months 14-17 Months 90% Total Japanese Changes Complete 20-24 Months Number of Engineering Product Changes Processed Japanese/U.S. Engineering Change Comparison CERT/CASA Concurrent vs Serial Approach Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu CERT/CASA Traditional Design & Development Using only a Top Down Decomposition Systems Engineering Process Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu CERT/CASA IPPD Requires the Computer Integration of Product and Process Models and Tools for System Level Design Trades and Cycle Time Reduction CONCEPTUAL DESIGN (SYSTEM) SYSTEM PROCESS RECOMPOSITION SYSTEM FUNCTIONAL DECOMPOSITION Process Trades Product Trades PRELIMINARY DESIGN (PARAMETER) COMPONENT PROCESS RECOMPOSITION PRELIMINARY DESIGN (PARAMETER) Process Trades INTEGRATED PRODUCT PROCESS DEVELOPMENT DETAIL DESIGN (TOLERANCE) DETAIL DESIGN (TOLERANCE) Process Trades Product Trades PART PROCESS RECOMPOSITION Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu COMPONENT FUNCTIONAL DECOMPOSITION Product Trades PART FUNCTIONAL DECOMPOSITION MANUFACTURING PROCESSES CERT/CASA Integrated Product and Process Development Modeling Flow (Aircraft Example) MULTI-LEVEL LCC MODEL Process Recomposition ENGINEERING MODELS Product Decomposition re-design decision cost model req’d inputs Top-Down Aircraft LCC Model cost metrics Integrated Design Environment bottom-up wing cost estimate labor rates learning curves Component Cost Modeling performance metrics product metrics process metrics Aircraft Synthesis (Sizing) cust. requirements perf. requirements wing planform geometry Finite Element Analysis materials loads weights labor hours material costs Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu KBS Process Modeling structural concepts alternative processes CERT/CASA HSCT Integrated Design & Manufacturing Ph.D Thesis (W. Marx, 1997) Wing Point Design Regions • Representative structure at each location – upper and lower panels – rib and spar structure Aft wing box –variable chordwise load intensities due to wing bending –high spanwise load intensities Wing tip box Forward wing box –stiffness critical due to aeroelastic effects –high load intensities –low load intensities with respect to wing bending –minimum gage region William J. Marx Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu CERT/CASA Aircraft Life Cycle Cost Analysis (ALCCA) including Economic Analysis AIRCRAFT WEIGHTS ENGINE THRUST & WGHT. LABOR RATES PRODUCTION QUANTITY RDT & E COSTS AIRCRAFT MANUFACTURING COSTS LEARNING CURVES UNIT COSTS CALCULATE MANUFACTURER CASH-FLOW YES MANUFACTURER CASH-FLOW ROI MANUFACTURER ROI VS PRICE AVERAGE COST NO AIRCRAFT MISSION PERFORMANCE FUEL, INSURANCE DEPRECIATION RATES LABOR & BURDEN RATES Airline Yield AIRLINE OPERATING COST ROI PRICE DIRECT COSTS INDIRECT COSTS CALCULATE AIRLINE ROI Production Quantity YES AIRLINE RETURN ON INVESTMENT AIRLINE ROI VS PRICE NO Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu TOTAL OPERATING COST CERT/CASA Aircraft Process Based Manufacturing Cost Model Previous Mfg Cost Module Component Weights Engine Thrust and Weight Labor Rates Production Quantity Learning Curves Manufacturing Hours Quality Assurance Hours Tooling Hours from (Raw Material Costs) CLIPS (Buy-To-Fly Ratios) Material Costs Material Breakdown Mfg. Labor Rate Qual.Assur. Labor Rate new Material Burden Rates ALCC Mfg. Labor L. Curve A QA Labor L. Curve input Tooling L. Curve Material L. Curve Component Weights Engine Thrust Labor Rates Production Quantity Learning Curves Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu Aircraft Manufacturing Costs Component Costs Unit Costs RDT&E Costs Avg. Costs New ALCCA output New Wing Production Module Aircraft Manufacturing Wing Costs Production PBC Module Theoretical First Unit Cost NonRecurring & Recurring Production Wing TFUC Manufacturing Hours & Cost Quality Assur. Hours & Cost Tooling Hours & Cost Material Costs Cost/Time Analysis Component Costs Unit Costs RDT&E Costs Average Unit Costs CERT/CASA Cost Time Analysis for Theoretical Production Cumul. time Cost/Time Curve End Points for Wide Range of Projected Lot Sizes Finishing Operations Largest Run Production Theoretical First Unit Cost (TFUC) Setup Smallest Run Design Tools Cost / Unit Purchase Material Material Cost Tool Design Cost Setup Cost Production Cost Largest Run Finishing Operations Cost Largest Run Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu Finishing Operations Cost Smallest Run Production Cost Smallest Run [Source: MIL-HDBK-727] CERT/CASA Cost/Time Constraint Curve for Candidate Selection Cost/Time Curve Process A End Point Process E Process B End Point Process C End Point TIME Process D End Point UNIT COST Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu [Ref. MIL-HDBK-727] CERT/CASA Probabilistic Cost/Time Production Analysis Cumul. time Cost/Time Curve End Points for Wide Range of Projected Lot Sizes Finishing Operations Largest Run Production Setup Smallest Run Theoretical First Unit Cost (TFUC) Design Tools Cost / Unit Purchase Material Material Cost Tool Design Cost [Ref. MIL-HDBK-727] Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu Setup Cost Production Cost Largest Run Finishing Operations Cost Largest Run Finishing Operations Cost Smallest Run Production Cost Smallest Run CERT/CASA Georgia Tech Generic IPPD Methodology • Methodology provides a procedural design (trade-off iteration) approach based on four key elements: – Systems Engineering Methods and Tools (Product design driven, deterministic, decomposition approaches; MDO is usually based on analytic design approach) – Quality Engineering Methods and Tools (Process design driven, nondeterministic, recomposition approaches; MDO is usually based on experimental design approach) – Top Down Design Decision Process Flow (Provides the design trade-off process) – Computer Integrated Design Environment(Information Technology driven) • Methodology has been implemented through Robust Design Simulation (RDS) for a number of applications Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu CERT/CASA Georgia Tech Generic IPPD Methodology COMPUTER-INTEGRATED ENVIRONMENT QUALITY ENGINEERING METHODS PROCESS DESIGN DRIVEN ESTABLISH THE NEED DEFINE THE PROBLEM SYSTEMS ENGINEERING METHODS REQUIREMENTS & FUNCTIONAL ANALYSIS SYSTEM DECOMPOSITION & FUNCTIONAL ALLOCATION ESTABLISH VALUE ROBUST DESIGN ASSESSMENT & OPTIMIZATION GENERATE FEASIBLE ALTERNATIVES SYSTEM SYNTHESIS THROUGH MDO EVALUATE ALTERNATIVE ON-LINE QUALITY ENGINEERING & STATISTICAL PROCESS Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu MAKE DECISION SYSTEM ANALYSIS & CONTROL CERT/CASA PRODUCT DESIGN DRIVEN 7 M&P TOOLS AND QUALITY FUNCTION DEPLOYMENT (QFD) TOP-DOWN DESIGN DECISION SUPPORT PROCESS The Systems Engineering Process Process Input • Customer Needs/Objectives/ Requirements - Missions - Measures of Effectiveness - Environments - Constraints • Technology Base • Output Requirements from Prior Development Effort • Program Decision Requirements • Requirements Applied Through Specifications and Standards Requirements Analysis • Analyze Missions & Environments • Identify Functional Requirements • Define/Refine Performance & Design Constraint Requirement System Analysis & Control (Balance) Requirement Loop Functional Analysis/Allocation • Decompose to Lower-Level Functions • Allocate Performance & Other Limiting Requirements to All Functional Levels • Define/Refine Functional Interfaces (Internal/External) • Define/Refine/Integrate Functional Architecture • Trade-Off Studies • Effectiveness Analysis • Risk Management • Configuration Management • Interface Management • Performance Measurement - SEMS - TPM - Technical Reviews Design Loop Synthesis Verification • Transform Architectures (Functional to Physical) • Define Alternative System Concepts, Configuration Items & System Elements • Select Preferred Product & Process Solutions • Define/Refine Physical Interfaces (Internal/External) Related Terms: Customer = Organization responsible for Primary Functions Primary Functions = Development, Production/Construction, Verification, Deployment, Operations, Support Training, Disposal Systems Elements = Hardware, Software, Personnel, Facilities, Data, Material, Services, Techniques Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu Process Output • Development Level Dependant - Decision Data Base - System/Configuration Item Architecture - Specification & Baseline CERT/CASA Modeling and Simulation: Varying Fidelity of Synthesis and Sizing Safety Safety Economics Aerodynamics Aerodynamics Geometry Economics Synthesis & Sizing Mission S&C S&C Manufacturing Integrated Routines Table Lookup Structures Conceptual Design Tools Approximating Functions Direct Coupling of Analyses Performance Manufacturing Increasing Sophistication and Complexity (First-Order Methods) Propulsion Performance Structures Preliminary Design Tools (Higher-Order Methods) Propulsion Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu CERT/CASA The Quality Engineering Process provides Recomposition Methods & Tools Knowledge Feedback Customer Seven Management and Planing Tools Quality Function Deployment Robust Design Methods (Taguchi, Six Sigma, DOE) Statistical Process Control Off-Line Off-Line Off-Line On-Line •Needs • Identify Important Items •Variation Experiments •Make Improvements •Hold Gains •Continuous Improvement Having heard the “voice of the customer”, QFD prioritizes where improvements are needed; Taguchi provides the mechanism for identifying these improvements Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu CERT/CASA CoVE: Collaborative Visualization Environment for Complex Systems Design Funded by the Defense University Research Instrumentation Program (DURIP) February 2003 Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu CERT/CASA CoVE Objectives • A semi-immersive, very high resolution, Collaborative Visualization Environment (CoVE). • Used to investigate the use of semi-immersive virtual environments in collaborative design processes. • Basic concept for the CoVE is a large, high resolution display wall similar to those developed for media companies and operations centers. • It will allow us to apply emerging probabilistic design methods to problems at an industrial scale. • It is expected to promote new research in design, visualization and usability with other leading centers on campus. Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu CERT/CASA CoVE Features • A single CoVE with a 25 M-pixel resolution curved data wall measuring 20 ft wide by 12 ft tall. • Seating for up to 12 participants, each with their own computers and local displays. • The basic design will be configured so that it can be used with another CoVE to execute distributed collaborative design with another team at a remote location. • The CoVE will include both single person and group video conferencing capabilities. • Project budget: $630k Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu CERT/CASA Examples Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu CERT/CASA Examples Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu CERT/CASA 1 Unified Trade-off Environment Morphological Matrix Define the Problem 3 2 4 6 5 Investigate Design Space Modeling and Simulation Define Concept Space 7 Identify Technologies Feasible or Viable? 8 R S S R W R R W W W QFD V Baseline + R V W W W W W S S W S W S W V W R W W W R V W W W W S V W W W V W W W V W R S W W V W W R R R R V W W W W R S R S ytilibarevuenaM 4 ytilibitapmoC nametuniM 3 ytilibitapmoC enirambuS 5 ytefaS lennosreP F H F F H H F F G G G G G H G H G G H H H H G 3 $ E&TDR G F H H F H H F G G G G H G G G G G H G 4 $ noitisiuqcA F G G H G G G H G H G 4 $ troppuS G G G H G G H G H G G F F F G H H 3 G ces-fbl 003 fbl 004 7.0 4 3 4 3 5 0.52 0.52 0.76 0.76 0.19 0.331 50.0 50.0 40.0 60.0 40.0 40.0 60.0 80.0 I ezimixaM J eziminiM 9 3 1 -1 3K FB (lb) Fixed Requirements, Geometry 6K FB (lb) ZSDE12 Fan ZSDE2 Boost ZSDE25 CPR ZSDE41 HPT ZSDE49 LPT (R) ZSWC41 HPT Ch. (%W25) ZSWC42 HPT NCh. (%W25) WT_ADDER Wt. Adder (lbs) Technology Metrics CDF Criterion 2 ZTH41 TH41 JPM (lines of constant probability) z2max Empty Weight CFD Visualization JPDM Alternative 1 Area of Interest Area of Interest EDF (plotting sample data) Normal Distribution Mean = 1.0 z2min Std Dev = .007 Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu Beta Distribution Alpha = .052 Beta = .0076 Scale = 1.145 Installed Power [SLS,MCP] Alternative 2 Alternative 3 z1min XIRTAM gnortS muideM kae W FOOR soP gnortS evitisoP evitageN geN gnortS Technology Impact Matrix Fan Dia (in) Enge Wt (lb) Range (nmi) ZPQD25 PQD25 ecnatropmI evitaleR STHGIE W SFC (1/hr) Output CTQs ZOPRD OPRD Design Variables tsoC metsyS ces 50.0 0.531 11.0 40.0 ces-fbl 2 5 0.99 30.0 Fixed Requirements, Technology Set Technology Profiles ecnatropmI etulosbA S WORRA Snapshot 3 1 ytluciffiD lanoitazinagrO 0.56 50.0 5 0.56 50.0 X8 $ lasopsiD stegraT 3 2 gnitaR AHSO 3 0.68 ces/ged 027 ,ged 54 mbl/utb 00052 5 0.28 20.0 sraey 03 1 1 50.0 20.0 ni 84 0.671 90.0 ni 25 3 0.44 70.0 mbl 009 3 30.0 g 02 0.87 30.0 1 40.0 -1 lasopsiD 4 Technology Dials Snapshot 2 Fixed Geometry, Technology Set RAM Model efiL egarotS 4 H 0.97 Vehicle Attributes Snapshot 1 ycaruccA H 0.34 Responses 2 H 0.35 Responses 4 F ytilibayolpeD F H stnemeriuqeR remotsuC G ytilibapaC G G H 0.46 200 nm daolyaP G G H G 0.111 100 nm egnaR 4 H F F 1 1 4 F F H H Torpedo Range Mission Requirements tsooB tsoP nametuniM metsyS noisluporP tnemevorpmI fo noitceriD H 3 X6 F I G 1 Responses J ecnatropmI remotsuC noitcarF ssaM leuF M F H I etaR/egnaR labmiG N I tsurhT laixA M J eslupmI laixA F I emiT esnopseR H F J eslupmI metsyS H noitcarF ssaM leuF H H F gnitaR drazaH AHSO N tnetnoC ygrenE H G M N efiL egarotS thgie W latoT G H J G F M N I G H M G M N M F I zH 003 - 3 ,g 4 N F htgneL rotcaF daoL G retemaiD elbaniatsuS noitarbiV .xaM G F J 4 5,000 nm F J 3 750 nm J 3000 ft. F.L.=11,000 ft. 50 nm H G N I G N M N I metsyS enignE 3 8. Abort J metsyS edutittA epyT leuF 21 7. Loiter M=0.6 2. Climb 1. Taxi & T.O. Video Conference Torpedo Noise Torpedo Length H M I erutcurtS %57 M=0.9 10. Land F.L.= 11,000 ft. I G N M M R raey/rh 04 35,000 ft. Constraint Analysis 9. Reserve M=0.6 Technology Space (Technology Dials) I N M N M N V tf.uc/mbl 07 M=2.4 4. Climb 3. Cruise Concept Space (Vehicle Attributes) Torpedo Velocity 50,000 ft. 1 STOC % 5. Cruise 67,000 ft. 2 rY/rHMM Mission Space (Mission Requirements) 6. Descent 3 J Example ASDL Application Mission Profile 4 daolyaP M N srotarteneP # 5 scitsigoL sdiA noitarteneP # SPBP gnitsixE V V scitsiretcarahC tcudorP remotsuC tnemssessA tpecnoC SPBP weN V htgnertS/thgie W lairetaM Responses W Select Technologies Evaluate Technologies z1max Criterion 1 CERT/CASA nd 2 Weber Floor Site Operations 1 DN. DOWN STAGE 5A/460/0 UP STAGE/3A/460/0 STAIR CIR/5A/235 DOWN Video Conferencing STAIR CIR/15B/235 CLS CLS CLS CLS Observers Data Wall LECTURE RM. 4/2440/90 LECTURE RM. 5/2440/90 LECTURE RM. LECTURE RM. 3/2440/90 3/2440/90 Participants CoVE Conceptual Layout PROJECTION RM. PROJECTION RM. PROJECTION RM. CLS CLS CLS 2D 2D STAIR LOUNGE - 6/700 CIR/5D/820 CIR/5C/305 DOWN 2D 2D 2D STAIR CIR/5E/305 DOWN 0 2 4 6 8 10 APPROXIMATE SCALE: Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu CERT/CASA CoVE Tentative Schedule • • • • • • Award announcement: February 2003 Final specifications: April 2003 Site preparations: May 2003 Construction & Installation: July 2003 Testing: September 2003 Acceptance: October 2003 Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu CERT/CASA Aerospace Systems Engineering Course: AE 6370 • Introduces new graduate students to Aerospace Systems Engineering and a methodology for Implementing it through IPPD through Robust Design Simulation (RDS) • Consists of covering traditional systems engineering methods and tools; introduces quality engineering methods and tools; introduces multi-attribute decision methods; and introduces the need for a computer integrated environment • Course consists of a mid-term exam and team projects (~5 students per team) addressing the concept formulation for complex systems or system of systems • Utilizes a simple set of integrated tools to allow the teams to conduct the first iteration through a complex system design • Will be offered as a distance learning course for the first time in Fall 2003 Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu CERT/CASA Aerospace Systems Engineering Taught using an Integrated Set of Tools QFD alt. concepts HOWs Tech. Alternative Identification Baseline Engine Type 3 Stage Mid-Tandem Fan 2 Stage Combustor Conventional RQL Nozzle Conventional Conventional + Acoustic Liner Circulation Control criteria Fan Weights Aircraft Technologies MFTF 1 st Option None 2 n d Option Turbine Bypass LPP No Fan Mixer Ejector Nozzle Hybrid Laminar Flow Control Morphological Matrix Pugh Evaluation Matrix MADM Best Alternative Subjective Evaluation (through expert opinion, surveys, etc.) Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu CERT/CASA Ten Complex System Formulation Projects from AE6370, Fall 2002 • • • • • • • • • • AIAA Graduate Student Missile Design Competition: “Future Target Delivery System(Missile Multipurpose Target” RFP for a “High Firepower Payload for Missile Defense (Missile Interceptor) NASA Sponsored University Competition for the “Conceptual Design of a Titan (Saturn’s largest moon) Vertical Lift Aerial Vehicle” AHS/NASA Student Design Competition for “VTOL Urban Disaster Response Vehicle” NASA “Personal Air Vehicle Evaluation Program: to identify VTOL and ESTOL Concepts” RFP for a “Quiet Supersonic Business Jet” in conjunction with Gulfstream Aerospace Company DoD Potential Joint Program for an “Air Maneuver & Transport Concepts for the Objective Force” AIAA Student Competition for “Subsonic Commercial QuEST” AUVS International Aerial Robotics Competition and DARPA Project: “Intelligent Uninhabited Aerial Vehicle (UAV) using Software Enabled Control (SEC)” Army Aviation Recapitalization Program: “Technology and Risk Assessment for the Army’s UH-60M Helicopter Improvement Program” Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu CERT/CASA What is IPPD Through RDS • Integrated Product/Process Development (IPPD) means applying Concurrent Engineering at the front end of a system’s life cycle where design freedom can be leveraged and product/process design tradeoffs conducted in parallel at the system, component, and part levels • Implementation of IPPD requires moving from a deterministic point design approach to a probabilistic family design approach to keep the design space open and from committing life cycle cost before the system life cycle design trade-offs can be made • Robust Design Simulation (RDS) provides the necessary simulation and modeling environment for executing IPPD at the System level • Continuation of RDS along the system life cycle implies the creation of a Virtual Stochastic Life Cycle Design Environment • An Overall Evaluation Criterion (OEC) based on System Affordability should be identified early and its variability tracked along the life cycle time line Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu CERT/CASA Roadmap to Affordability Through RDS Robust Design Simulation Subject to Robust Solutions Design & Environmental Constraints Technology Infusion Objectives: PhysicsBased Modeling Activity and ProcessBased Modeling Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu Synthesis & Sizing Simulation Economic & Discipline Uncertainties Operational Environment Economic Life-Cycle Analysis Impact of New TechnologiesPerformance & Schedule Risk Schedule Budget Reduce LCC Increase Affordability Increase Reliability ..... Customer Satisfaction CERT/CASA Interactive RDS Environment FPI FPI / MC Criterion 2 or Requirement 2 100% Probability DISCIPLINARY RSEs CDF Aero 0% Structures JPDM Objective Weights Metrics/Objectives Metrics/Objectives Responses Requirements Space Constraints Metrics/Objectives Responses Constraints Responses Technology Space Constraints SYNTHESIS & SIZING Criterion 1 or Requirement 1 Concept Space Etc. ce pa S on ati r i p As 1 TWR RSEs Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu Dynamic Contour Plots ²%$/RPM TOFLmod SLNmod -1 -1 SW 1 CERT/CASA Risk & Uncertainty are Greatest at the Front KNOWNS KNOWN-UNKNOWNS UNKNOWN-UNKNOWNS CONCEPT VALIDATION Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu FULL PRODUCTION DEVELOPMENT SCALE DEVELOPMENT CERT/CASA Coninuous RDS along the System Life Cycle to link the “fuzzy front end” to the “process capability approaches” Continuous Product Improvement / Innovation Uncertainty Overall Evaluation Criterion (OEC) Risk Management/Reduction Fuzzy Front End Upper Specification Response OEC Target Lower Bring the Development Process Under Control, C p =1 Define Distributions System Definition & Tech. Development (Conceptual/System) Traditional C System Design (Preliminary/Parameter) p and C pk Specification Approach Six-Sigma, 1<C p <2 System Integration (Detail/Tolerance) Manufacturing (On-Line Quality) Approach for Continuous, On-line Process Improvement Overall Evaluation Criterion (OEC) Upper Specification Response OEC Target Lower Specification Six-Sigma Achieved, Cp = 2 Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu Initial Distribution Reduced Variability and Improved Mean Response Time CERT/CASA The VSLCDE- Key Characteristics The purpose of VSLCDE is to facilitate design decisionmaking over time (at any level of the organization) in the presence of uncertainty, allowing affordable solutions to be reached with adequate confidence. It is a research testbed. Virtual . . . Simulation-based system life-cycle prediction Stochastic . . . Time-varying uncertainty is modeled; temporal decision-making Life-Cycle . . . the design, engineering development, test, manufacture, flight test, operational simulation, sustainment, and retirement of a system. The operational simulation includes virtual testing, evaluation, certification, and fielding of a vehicle in the existing infrastructure, and tracking of its impact on the economy, market demands, environment. Design . . . Implies that the environment’s main role is to provide knowledge for use by decision-makers, especially for finding robust solutions Environment . . . Implies the support of geographically distributed analyses and people through collaboration tools and data management techniques Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu CERT/CASA Some Opportunities for Collaboration between the Schools of AE and ISYE • Integration of ISYE Logistics with AE Aerospace Systems Design Program for a variety of customers (Industry and Government) • With Lockheed Martin on a Modern Systems Engineering Approach (addressing Product Life Cycle tradeoffs from the Outset) based on the Joint Strike Fighter (JSF) Development Approach successes and Lessons Learned (POC: Bill Kessler, LM Lean Enterprise Mgr and Tom Burbage, LM JSF VP) • With OSD/DOD/USAF New Focus on Systems Engineering Education and Research • With USAF – GT(CEE) Initiative in taking over the Lean Sustainment Initiative from MIT • With NASA Langley National Institute of Aerospace (NIA) and with NASA Ames Engineering of Complex Systems (ECS) programs • Others? Dr. Daniel P. Schrage Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 www.asdl.gatech.edu CERT/CASA