Toft_SalishSea2_compress

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From Douglas fir to Dungeness crab:
Land use change and ecosystem
services in Hood Canal, WA
J. Toft, M. Marsik, G. Spiridonov, D. Sutherland,
J. Burke, M. Carey, A. Guerry, P. Levin,
M. Plummer, M. Ruckelshaus
When do land-based activities
affect the success of marine
resource management?
freshwater
water quality
Simple models for application
in the 3 systems?
oysters
crab and fish
The InVEST Tool
Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem
Services and Tradeoffs
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Water Yield and Scarcity
Reservoir Hydropower Production
Freshwater Purification: Nutrient Retention
Sediment Retention
Avoided dredging and water quality regulation
Managed Timber Production
Crop Pollination
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Renewable energy: waves
Coastal Vulnerability & Protection
Aquaculture: finfish & shellfish
Aesthetic quality
Fisheries
Recreation
Habitat risk assessment
Marine water quality
http://www.naturalcapitalproject.org/
freshwater
Water Yield Model
Annual Values:
Precipitation
Potential
Evapotranspiration
LU Tables:
Rooting Depth
Plant ET
coefficient
Water Demand
Snapshot:
Land Cover
Available Water Content
Soil Depth
Topography
Watersheds
Sub-Watersheds
2006
Average Annual
Discharge Compared
To USGS and WADOE
gauge observations
Subwatershed
DuckabushRiverBrinnon
Hamma Hamma near
Eldon
SkokomishRiverPotlatch
BigBeefCreekatmouth
LittleQuilceneatMouth
Source
USGS Daily
Years
2006
USGS Daily
1951-1971
USGS Daily
2006
USGS Daily
2006
WA Dept Ecy Daily
2006
BigQuilceneRiveratmouth WA Dept Ecy Daily
2006
DosewallipsRiveratBrinnon WA Dept Ecy Daily 2007-2011
N-S
0.99
-0.46
0.99
0.19
0.67
0.60
-0.73
Nutrient Model: Total Nitrogen and Phosphorus
Nitrogen, Total
Subwatershed
Big Quilcene at mouth
Duckabush Brinnon
Skokomish Potlatch
Big Beef at mouth
Years
1999-2010
2006
2006
2006
Difference
72.880
0.184
79.663
7.209
Phosphorus, Total
Subwatershed
Duckabush Brinnon
Skokomish Potlatch
Big Beef at mouth
Years
1972-2010
1960-2010
2004-2010
Difference
57.245
90.271
58.006
water quality
Physical transport model
Physical transport model
ADM001 (DoE)
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2-Layer Box Model, 6 Regions
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Based on Babson et al. (2006),
but rewritten in MATLAB for
more general use
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6 boxes in HC, 7 rivers
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IC’s: from MoSSea
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BC’s: from ADM001 DoE
station
Hans (ORCA)
Big Quilcene
Little Quilcene
Dosewallips
Duckabush
Hamma
Hamma
Skokomish
Big Beef
Creek
Biogeochemical Cycling
NPZDO modeling: Oxygen is added in proportional to
nutrient uptake (Banas et al. 2009)
or see: http://faculty.washington.edu/banasn/models/lynch/
Pacific
oysters
Pacific Oyster Production Model
$:
Commercial
and
Recreational
Dungeness crab
Inputs
Spatial structure of the
population
Fisheries
Outputs
Catch, harvest
rates/strategies
Numbers of
crab harvested
Life history details
Commercial
and
Recreational
Value of
harvest
Age-structure, survival rates,
fecundity, spawner/recruit,
immigration rates
Economics
Price-per-pound, fixed
& variable costs
freshwater
water quality
Pacific
oysters
Dungeness crab
• Eastern oysters
• Blue crab
• Striped bass
• Pacific oysters
• Dungeness crab
• Pacific salmon
(sps TBD)
• Eastern oysters
• Blue crab
• Red drum
Uptake?
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