Preconditioning for Renal Damage Under Contrast Examination (Preconditioning-ReDUCE) A Multi-Centre Feasibility Trial of Preconditioning Against ContrastInduced Acute Kidney Injury Protocol Date: 22nd October 2013 Protocol Version: 3 STUDY COORDINATION CENTRE: For general queries, supply of study documentation, and collection of data, please contact the HRB Clinical Research Facility Galway: Name: Address: Contact Number: Email: Clinical queries should be directed to the Central Study Co-ordinator who will direct the query to the appropriate person: Name: Mary Clarke-Moloney Address: Vascular Research Unit, University Hospital Limerick Contact Number: 061 482736 Email: mary.clarkemoloney@hse.ie This study is supported by NCSRN Ireland. This protocol describes Preconditioning for Renal Damage Under Contrast Examination, a multicentre feasibility trial of preconditioning against contrast-induced acute kidney injury in surgical patients undergoing contrast-enhanced CT scans and provides information about study processes and procedures. This study will adhere to the principles of the Declaration of Helsinki and Good Clinical Practice Guidelines. It will be conducted in compliance with the protocol, the Data Protection Acts and other regulatory requirements as appropriate. CLINICAL STUDY PROTOCOL Protocol Number: 4 Study Title: Renal Damage Under Contrast Examination (ReDUCE): a multicentre feasibility randomised, sham-controlled clinical trial Investigational product: N/A Chief Investigator: Professor Stewart R Walsh Chair of Vascular Surgery, NUI Galway E-mail: stewart.walsh@ul.ie Co-investigators: Professor John Forbes, HRB Chair of Health Economics, University of Limerick Professor Austin Stack, University of Limerick Dr John Newell, Health Research Board Clinical Research Facility, Galway Dr Mary Clarke-Moloney, University Hospital Limerick NCSRN Network Lead: Ms Siobhan O’Daly, Irish Heart Foundation Local Investigators: Professor J Calvin Coffey, University Hospital Limerick Professor Simon Cross, Waterford Regional Hospital, Waterford Professor Michael Kerin, University College Hospital Galway Collaborators: Professor Walter Cullen, University of Limerick Dr Phil Hodnett, University Hospital Limerick Dr Tim Scanlon, University Hospital Limerick Study Location: Multicentre Medical contact: Professor Stewart R Walsh Contact on site: Local investigators, as above CONTENTS 1 INTRODUCTION Page 6 2 RATIONALE Page 9 3 TRIAL OBJECTIVES Page 10 4 TRIAL DESIGN Page 11 5 TRIAL OUTCOME MEASURES Page 15 6 TRIAL OUTCOME ASSESSMENT Page 20 7 TRIAL INTERVENTION Page 21 8 RANDOMISATION Page 22 9 SAMPLE SIZE Page 23 10 TRIAL RECRUITMENT Page 26 11 TRIAL DURATION AND TIMETABLE Page 27 12 ADAPTIVE DESIGN Page 30 13 STATISTICAL ANALYSIS PLAN Page 32 14 HEALTH ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Page 35 15 ASSESSMENT OF SAFETY Page 36 16 DIRECT ACCESS TO SOURCE DATA / DOCUMENTS Page 41 17 ETHICAL CONSIDERATIONS Page 42 18 DATA HANDLING AND RECORD KEEPING Page 43 19 INSURANCE Page 45 20 DISSEMINATION PLAN Page 46 21 TRIAL ORGANISATION, ROLES & RESPONSIBILITIES Page 47 22 EXTERNAL TRIAL CONSULTANTS Page 50 23 TRIAL STAFFING Page 51 24 TRIAL GOVERNANCE Page 53 25 USER & STAKEHOLDER INVOLVEMENT Page 55 INTRODUCTION 1.1 Background Intravenous contrast for diagnostic and therapeutic interventions is a leading cause of hospitalacquired acute renal failure (1). Contrast-induced acute kidney injury (CI-AKI) occurs through a complex mechanism including toxic and hypoxic renal tubular injury, diminished renal parenchymal circulation and renal endothelial dysfunction with the production of oxygen free radicals due to post-ischaemia oxidative stress (2). With increasing numbers of diagnostic and therapeutic interventions, the incidence of CI-AKI will rise over the next few decades. Already, 40% of general surgical in-patients undergo cross-sectional imaging with computed tomography (CT), largely using contrast (3). Current CI-AKI preventive measures comprise identification of at-risk patients, minimisation of contrast dose and the use of intravenous volume expansion (4). Simple, costeffective methods to reduce CI-AKI are required. Risk factors for CI-AKI include advanced age, diabetes mellitus, pre-existing renal insufficiency and congestive cardiac failure. Dehydration also increases the risk (5). While patients over the age of 65 years currently account for 11% of the Irish population, they account for 30% of surgical admissions (6). In a recent cohort study of 1800 surgical in-patients in a major Irish teaching hospital, acute renal failure was a common major complication, occurring in 2.4% of patients (6). Multivariate analysis of this cohort demonstrated that increasing age and emergency admission were both independent risk factors for complications (6). Emergency surgical patients constitute a high-risk group in whom simple methods to minimise complications are required. Remote ischaemic preconditioning (RIPC) is a simple technique whereby brief periods of skeletal muscle ischaemia and reperfusion triggers a period of resistance to ischaemia-reperfusion injury in distant tissues e.g. heart or kidney (7). It reduces renal damage following endovascular aneurysm repair, a procedure requiring considerable contrast-volumes (8). We hypothesise that RIPC induced using brief periods of upper limb ischaemia-reperfusion will reduce AKI in patients with mild-tomoderate renal impairment undergoing contrast enhanced abdomino-pelvic CT scans. 1.2 Proof-of-concept trials The hypothesis that RIPC will reduce CI-AKI was first explored by Whittaker and Pryzklenk (9). They utilised available data from a patient cohort undergoing emergency coronary angioplasty. Patients with 1 to 3 balloon inflations in the coronary artery served as the control group whilst those with >3 balloon inflations served as the RIPC group. In this ‘natural experiment’, brief cardiac ischaemia induced by balloon inflation in the coronary arteries during stenting served as the RIPC stimulus. Both groups displayed an immediate improvement in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). However, the control group then displayed a statistically significant decrease in eGFR by day 3 postprocedure (77 +14 ml/min/1.73m2 versus 70 +12 ml/min/1.73m2). The RIPC group displayed no such difference by day 3 (81 +21 ml/min/1.73m2 versus 80 +14 ml/min/1.73m2) despite having received a larger contrast volume. The hypothesis was further evaluated by means of a randomised controlled trial in patients at highrisk of CI-AKI undergoing elective coronary angiography (10). The trial randomised 100 patients in a 1:1 ratio to either intermittent arm ischaemia with 4 cycles of 5 minutes blood pressure cuff inflation followed by 5 minutes deflation (RIPC group) or a sham control. The primary outcome was CI-AKI defined as an increase in serum creatinine of > 25% or >0.5 mg/dL above baseline at 48 hours after contrast exposure. The incidence of CI-AKI was significantly reduced by RIPC (12% versus 40%; p = 0.002). Igarashi et al undertook a further randomised trial in patients undergoing coronary angiography who were at low- to moderate-risk of CI-AKI (11). This group randomised 60 patients in a 1:1 ratio to undergo RIPC using the same protocol as Er et al (10) but omitted the sham control. The trial was primarily designed to evaluate the effect of RIPC on renal injury biomarkers. CI-AKI was reduced from 27% of controls to 8% in the RIPC group. This difference was not statistically significant but this probably represents a type 2 error as the effect size is similar to that by Er et al (10). 1.3 Pilot Trial in patients undergoing Contrast-Enhanced CT Scans Our group has recently completed a pilot trial of RIPC in patients undergoing contrast-enhanced CT of the abdomen and pelvis (NCT01741896; manuscript in preparation). Surgical in-patients undergoing contrast-enhanced CT of the abdomen and pelvis (ce-CTAP) were randomly allocated to undergo RIPC one hour pre-scan or usual care. The trial was stratified for diabetes and pre-existing renal impairment. Patients with pre-existing renal impairment were pre-hydrated with isotonic saline. Over a three month period, 100 patients were randomised. There were three dropouts. Of the remaining 97 patients, 45 were allocated to RIPC and 52 to control. Both groups were wellmatched with respect to baseline renal function, medication use, diabetes and pre-hydration. The rate of change of creatinine over the first 24 hours was significantly lower in the RIPC group (-0.08 vs =0.125 micromols/ml/hr; p=0.02). Peak post-scan creatinine as a percentage of baseline was lower in the RIPC group (99% versus 107%; p=0.01) while the trough eGFR as a percentage of baseline was higher in the RIPC group (97% versus 90%); p=0.06). 2 RATIONALE Greater availability of CT technology has led to a dramatic increase in the number of patients undergoing ce-CTAP in recent years. Between 1996 and 2010, the number of patients undergoing CT scans in the United States tripled, increasing by 8% per annum (12). Simultaneously, an increasingly elderly and sick population means that many patients now have multiple co-morbidities, increasing their risk of contrast-induced acute kidney injury. Approximately 6.5% of patients undergoing ce-CT develop acute kidney injury defined as a >25% increase in serum creatinine from baseline (13). Simple methods to reduce CI-AKI are required. Ideally, a clinical trial of RIPC in patients undergoing ce-CT would be powered to detect a significant reduction in CI-AKI. Weisbord et al reported a 6.5% incidence of CI-AKI in their cohort of 421 patients undergoing CT (13). In the Limerick pilot trial described above, 10 of 97 patients (10.3%) developed CI-AKI. Assuming that 6% develop CI-AKI following ce-CT, 1962 patients would be required in each arm of a trial designed to detect a reduction in CIAKI from 6% with standard care to 4% with RIPC (alpha 0.05, beta 0.8). The proposed work builds on the previous trials of RIPC conducted by the chief investigator in this area, a programme consistent with the ‘MRC Framework for the Design and Evaluation of Complex Interventions to Improve Health’, which suggests core phases to the development of health interventions. This proposal describes the development and piloting phases of the MRC framework. Conducting a full-scale RCT, and economic evaluation, of remote preconditioning versus ‘standard care’ in this population is likely to require at least 4000 participants and to be costly. As there are uncertainties regarding rates of eligibility, consent, participation in the intervention and retention for follow-up - and regarding the feasibility / acceptability of the intervention - this feasibility study is essential to inform the design and conduct of a larger scale study. This feasibility trial aims to address a number of key points: 1. To date, the role of RIPC in preventing CI-AKI in patients receiving contrast has been evaluated in three trials (two published and one unpublished pilot). Only the unpublished pilot evaluated the potential effect of RIPC in patients undergoing ce-CT. A phase 2B trial to further evaluate potential efficacy using a surrogate marker is required to justify phase 3 work. This will also provide an accurate estimate of the likely effect size that can be expected in any phase 3 trial 2. As identified in recent HRB reports, clinical trial capability in Ireland is underdeveloped relative to other Western countries. The chief investigator and most of the ReDUCE team are responsible for a multicentre feasibility trial of RIPC in major vascular surgery (Preconditioning SAVES), funded under the HRB Health Research Awards 2013. The ReDUCE trial will allow the group to build upon its experience and further develop the multicentre network essential for clinical trials in Ireland. An examination of the feasibility of a large multicentre surgical trial particularly with respect to recruitment, drop-off rates, compliance, data collection and randomisation would be beneficial in advance of proceeding with a phase 3 trial. 3. It is expected that any phase 3 trial will run through the National Cardiovascular and Stroke Research Network based at the Irish Heart Foundation. The NCSRN is a partner organisation in the Preconditioning SAVES trial. The ReDUCE feasibility trial will provide the NCSRN team with the opportunity to further refine the processes and procedures required for the logistical organisation required for a multicentre randomised trial of a complex intervention, in advance of any full-scale trials. 4. CI-AKI is usually transient. However, data regarding the effect on medium-term renal function are lacking. Professor Austin Stack leads the Mid-West Renal Data Registry, funded by the HRB Health Research Awards 2013. The ReDUCE trial provides an opportunity to evaluate the effect of ce-CT on medium term renal function utilising the Mid-West Renal Data Registry. 5. Professor John Forbes has been appointed to the University of Limerick as the HRB Chair of Health Economics under the Research Leader Award Scheme. He has extensive trials experience. The ReDUCE trial provides an opportunity to incorporate his expertise into the design and conduct of clinical trials in Ireland, thereby meeting a fundamental objective of the Leader Award Scheme (building trial capability and expertise). TRIAL OBJECTIVES The single main research question for the feasibility trial, in terms of PICO (Population; Intervention; Comparator; Outcome) is as follows: ‘In adult surgical in-patients undergoing contrast-enhanced CT scans of the abdomen and pelvis, does RIPC induced by brief arm ischaemia and reperfusion, when compared to control, reduce the proportion of patients developing a significant reduction in estimated glomerular filtration rate in the first 3 post-scan days? ‘. Whilst powered to address this specific research question, this phase 2b trial will also provide insight into the feasibility of running a larger, phase 3 study and will provide data regarding the proposed primary efficacy endpoint (CI-AKI) 3.1 Primary research objective To determine whether RIPC induced using brief arm ischaemia and reperfusion reduces the proportion of patients who develop a reduction in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) >20% in the first 3 days following the CT scan. 3.2 Secondary research objectives (i) To evaluate the proportion of patients who develop CI-AKI defined as a rise in serum creatinine > 25% of baseline in the first 3 days post-scan in order to inform the design of a phase 3 trial (ii) To determine whether RIPC reduces length of hospital stay (iii) To determine whether RIPC reduces ITU stay (iv) To determine whether RIPC reduces unplanned critical care admission (v) To determine the proportion of patients who develop renal impairment within 1 year of ce-CT (vi) To evaluate the likely recruitment rates for a phase 3 trial (vii) To evaluate compliance and logistic issues with respect to multicentre trials in the Irish context (viii) To examine the acceptability of the intervention to clinicians and patients utilising qualitative methods 4 TRIAL DESIGN 4.1 Statement of design A randomised controlled pilot trial of the effect of RIPC induced by brief arm ischaemia and reperfusion on eGFR levels in the first 3 days post-scan amongst surgical in-patients undergoing contrast-enhanced CT scans of the abdomen and pelvis. 4.2 Trial treatment The intervention being tested in non-pharmacological. Patients will be randomised 1:1 into one of two groups: RIPC or control. Preconditioning will be performed in the same manner as several previous trials. One hour before the CT scan, a standard, CE-approved tourniquet cuff will be placed around one arm of the patient. It will then be inflated to a pressure of 200mmHg for 5 minutes. For patients with a systolic blood pressure >185mmHg, the cuff will be inflated to at least 15mmHg above the patient’s systolic blood pressure. The cuff will then be deflated and the arm allowed reperfuse for 5 minutes. This will be repeated so that each patient receives a total of 4 ischaemiareperfusion cycles. Patients randomised to the control arm will receive a sham intervention. A blood pressure cuff will be applied and inflated to a level 10mmHg below the patients systolic blood pressure for 5 minutes, then deflated for 5 minutes. This cycle will be repeated so that the patient receives a total of 4 sham cycles. Patients with pre-existing renal impairment (defined as a baseline eGFR of 30 to 60 mls/min/1.73m2) will receive pre-scan volume loading with isotonic normal saline which will be continued for at least 24 hours post-scan. In all other respects, the procedure and peri-scan care will follow the routine practices of the surgeons and radiologists involved. 4.3 Inclusion criteria Surgical in-patients aged 40 years or over scheduled to undergo contrast-enhanced CT scans of the abdomen and pelvis will be eligible for inclusion. 4.4 Exclusion criteria Patients will be excluded if any of the following apply: (i) Pregnancy (ii) Significant upper limb peripheral arterial disease (iii) Previous history of upper limb deep vein thrombosis (iv) Patients on glibenclamide or nicorandil (these medications may interfere with RIPC) (v) Patients with an estimated pre-operative glomerular filtration rate < 30mls/min/1.73m2 (vi) Patients with a known history of myocarditis, pericarditis or amyloidosis (vii) Patients who have received intravenous contrast in the previous year. (viii) Patients with severe hepatic disease defined as an international normalised ratio >2 in the absence of systemic anticoagulation (ix) 4.5 Patients previously enrolled in the trial representing for a further scan Selection of patients In each centre, potentially eligible patients will be selected from in-patients under the care of consultant surgeons who are scheduled to undergo contrast-enhanced CT of the abdomen and pelvis. 4.6 Informed consent The process of obtaining informed consent will be conducted in compliance with the principals of good clinical practice and requirements of the approving research ethics committee and other regulatory requirements as appropriate. Consent to enter the study must be sought from each subject only after a full explanation has been given and time allowed for consideration. Written information will be provided for each potential participant. Signed subject consent will be obtained and a copy given to the subject. It is a right of the subject to refuse to participate or to withdraw without at any time from the protocol without giving reasons and without prejudicing treatment. 4.7 Baseline data Patients will all have a full medical history taken and clinical examination as part of their usual care. The following will be recorded: 1. Weight 2. Height 3. Blood pressure 4. Heart rate 5. ECG 6. Gender 7. Ethnicity 8. Date of birth 9. Diabetes mellitus 10. Hypercholesterolaemia 11. Hypertension 12. Previous myocardial infarction 13. Previous coronary revascularisation 14. Previous stroke 15. Atrial fibrillation 16. Peripheral arterial disease 17. Smoking history 18. NYHA class 19. Medication at time of consent (aspirin, clopidogrel, beta-blocker, calcium-channel antagonist, nitrates, cholesterol-lowering agent, ACE inhibitor / A2 receptor antagonist, insulin, metformin, sulphonylurea, warfarin) 20. Serum creatinine and troponin. 4.8 Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate This will be assessed by measuring serum creatinine samples at 24, 48 and 72 hours post-scan. The samples will be analysed in the local laboratory at each site, using local protocols. The creatinine values will be used to calculate the eGFR at each time point. This calculation will be performed centrally using the abbreviated MDRD (Modification of Diet in Renal Disease) equation (14) as recommended by the UK National Institute of Health and Clinical Excellence. 4.9 Length of hospital / ITU stay The duration of hospital stay and ITU stay have a major impact on health service resource utilisation, and are factors which can be influenced by acquired kidney injury. 4.10 Acute Kidney Injury Score The AKI score will be calculated over the first three post-scan days. Creatinine will be measured daily as part of routine care. Urine volumes will be calculated from the fluid balance charts maintained as part of usual care. 4.11 Post-scan data On the day of their scan, the patient will be randomised to either the RIPC or control arm using a web-based system. The following information regarding the scan will be recorded for all patients: scanner model, contrast type, contrast dose. 4.13 Data at discharge At discharge, duration of hospital stay and ITU stay will be recorded. The final diagnosis for each patients’ admission, requirement for renal replacement therapy and any surgical procedures performed will be recorded. Data regarding complications occurring during the patients’ hospital stay will also be recorded. 4.14 Data at 1 year For patient recruited in the Mid-West, one year renal function data will be collected via the MidWest Renal Data Registry and the proportion of patients developing chronic renal impairment within 1 year of ce-CT will be evaluated. 4.15 Data at 5 years For patients recruited in the Mid-West, five-year renal function and survival data will be obtained through the Mid-West Renal Data Registry. TRIAL OUTCOME MEASURES 5.1 Primary efficacy endpoint The trial is intended to pragmatically evaluate the potential of RIPC to improve clinical outcomes among patients undergoing ce-CT in routine clinical practice. For the pilot trial, a surrogate marker of efficacy will be used, namely the proportion of patients developing a > 20% reduction in eGFR in the first three days post-scan. The primary efficacy outcome will be a comparison of the proportion of patients in each arm of the trial who develop a > 20% reduction in eGFR in the first three days post-scan. 5.2 Primary safety endpoint The intervention under investigation carries a theoretical risk of causing acute upper limb ischaemia or an upper limb deep vein thrombosis. Such an event has not been reported by any of the phase 1 and 2 trials of RIPC in cardiac patients. In addition, there is a theoretical risk of minor adverse events such as upper limb bruising. The primary safety endpoint will again be a composite of major life- or limb-threatening adverse events which could be attributed to the preconditioning stimulus. The components are: Acute upper limb ischaemia Acute upper limb deep vein thrombosis The components of the primary safety endpoint are defined as follows: Acute upper limb ischaemia This is defined as the development of ischaemia in the arm used for the preconditioning stimulus requiring systemic anti-coagulation, radiological intervention or surgical intervention Acute upper limb deep vein thrombosis This is defined as the development of thrombus within the subclavian, axillary or brachial vein confirmed in duplex ultrasound and in the same arm as used for the RIPC stimulus Secondary endpoints These will be: (i) The proportion of patients who develop CI-AKI defined as a rise in serum creatinine > 25% of baseline in the first 3 days post-scan in order to inform the design of a phase 3 trial (ii) Length of hospital stay (iii) Length of ITU stay (iv) Unplanned critical care admissions (v) The proportion of patients who develop renal impairment within 1 year of ce-CT (vi) Acute kidney injury score in first three peri-scan days (Table 1) (vii) In-hospital mortality (viii) Short-term cost-effectiveness and cost-effectiveness at 1 year (ix) Other complications during admission (myocardial infarction, cerebrovascular accident, transient ischaemic attack, respiratory failure, cardiac arrest, wound infection, chest infection, urinary tract infection, abdominal infection, other sepsis, pulmonary embolus, deep vein thrombosis, prolonged ileus) AKI Creatinine criteria Urine output criteria 1 Rise > 26.4micromols/L or 150 to 200% of baseline <0.5ml/kg/hr for >6hrs 2 Rise of 200 to 300% of baseline <0.5ml/kg/hr for >12hrs 3 Increase of. 300% or creatinine > 354 micromols/L with <0.3ml/kg/hr for >24 hrs or acute rise of at least 44 micromols/L anuria for 12 hrs Grade Table 1: Acute kidney injury criteria TRIAL OUTCOME ASSESSMENT The predefined outcomes will be recorded in an electronic case record form developed by the HRB Clinical Research Facility Galway. 6.1 Evaluation of primary outcome Calculation of the eGFR values and the determination of a decrease >20% from baseline will be undertaken by the trial statistical team who will be blinded to trial allocation. Thus, evaluation of the primary outcome will be double-blinded. 6.2 Evaluation of other primary and secondary outcomes The development of the remaining primary and secondary outcomes will be determined by a trial research nurse at each of the three sites. The EQ-5D-5L self-complete quality-of-life evaluation will be administered by the research nurse immediately prior to discharge from the index admission. The one-year follow-up EQ-5D-%L instrument will be sent to surviving patients from the central trial office. TRIAL INTERVENTION The intervention being tested is a simple intervention which can be undertaken using existing equipment. About 1 hour before the scan, patients randomised to the RIPC arm will have a standard, CE-approved tourniquet cuff will be placed around one arm of the patient. It will then be inflated to a pressure of 200mmHg for 5 minutes. For patients with a systolic blood pressure >185mmHg, the cuff will be inflated to at least 15mmHg above the patient’s systolic blood pressure. The cuff will then be deflated and the arm allowed reperfuse for 5 minutes. This will be repeated so that each patient receives a total of 4 ischaemia-reperfusion cycles. Patients randomised to the control arm will receive a sham intervention. A blood pressure cuff will be applied and inflated to a level 10mmHg below the patients systolic blood pressure for 5 minutes, then deflated for 5 minutes. This cycle will be repeated so that the patient receives a total of 4 sham cycles. RANDOMISATION Randomisation for the trial will be undertaken using a web-based randomisation system administered by the HRBCRF Galway. The use of third-party randomisation will maintain allocation concealment. A unique trial number will be assigned at the time of randomisation. Once recruited, patients will be randomised to one of two groups: either to RIPC or to the sham control arm. Randomisation will be stratified by centre using randomly selected blocks of 4, 6 and 8. In addition, each centre will be stratified by diabetes and baseline renal impairment. The randomisation will be accessed by a designated member of the research team at each site who will not be involved with data collection. SAMPLE SIZE Currently, the projected sample size for a full phase 3 trial using CI-AKI as the primary endpoint is 4000 patients in total. This would provide sufficient power to detect a reduction in the proportion of patients sustaining CI-AKI from 6% to 4% (alpha 0.05, beta 0.8). The assumed 6% figure in the control arm is based upon data from a sample of only 100 patients randomised at University Hospital Limerick. Before proceeding with a full-scale trial, and in accordance with the MRC framework for the evaluation of complex interventions, it would be preferable to (i) explore the feasibility of randomising a significant number of surgical patients in the Irish healthcare system context (ii) undertake further work using a surrogate marker of efficacy to more robustly evaluate the apparent protective effect of RIPC in patients undergoing ce-CT (iii) use such a surrogate marker to evaluate the likely effect size of RIPC and (iv) evaluate the incidence of CI-AKI following ce-CT The feasibility trial design utilises a > 20% decrease in eGFR from baseline as the primary outcome. The sample size calculation for the pilot trial is based upon data from the Limerick pilot trial of RIPC in surgical in-patients undergoing ce-CT. In this trial, 16 of 97 patients (16%) developed such an eGFR decrease. In order to demonstrate a reduction from 16% to 10% (alpha 0.05, beta 0.8), 492 patients are required in each arm of the trial. The trial aims to recruit 1000 patients. At 25% of the proposed full trial recruitment, the investigators feel it is sufficiently large to allow adequate testing of trial procedures and compliance at multiple sites in line with objective (i) above. AVAILABLE PILOT DATA Some pilot work has been undertaken at University Hospital Limerick. Over a 3-month period in 2013, 97 surgical in-patients undergoing ce-CT were randomly allocated to either RIPC or standard care. The randomisation was stratified for pre-existing renal impairment and also for diabetes. Patients with baseline renal impairment received pre-scan volume expansion with isotonic saline which was continued for 24 hours post-scan. The results are summarised in Table 2. The groups were well-matched. Of note, the RIPC group displayed greater preservation of post-procedure eGFR. Median age Diabetes Pre-existing renal impairment Hypertension Statin use ACE use Diuretic use ARB use Prehydrated Baseline creatinine (median) Baseline eGFR (median) Creatinine rise >20% from baseline eGFR fall > 20% from baseline Creatinine AUC eGFR AUC Rate of change creatinine 1st 24 hours Rate of change creatinine 1st 48 hours Peak creatinine as % baseline Trough eGFR as % baseline Control (n = 52) 62 8 (15%) 7 (13%) RIPC (n = 45) 65 7 (15%) 8 (18%) p 0.31 0.99 0.76 20 (38%) 15 (27%) 7 (13%) 8 (15%) 5 (9%) 18 (35%) 75 microlmols/dl 22 (48%) 14 (30%) 5 (11%) 13 (28%) 7 (15%) 22 (48%) 74.5 micromols/dl 0.41 0.98 0.97 0.17 0.56 0.22 0.79 99 mls/kg/min 83 mls/kg/min 0.15 5 (9%) 5 (11%) 0.99 9 (17%) 7 (15%) 0.99 5256 6208 +0.125 micromols/ml/hr +0.02 micromols/ml/hr 5616 5888 -0.08 micromols/ml/hr 0.77 0.34 0.02 -0.04 micromols/ml/hr 0.48 107% 99% 0.01 90% 97% 0.06 Table 2: Data from Limerick pilot While some preliminary data have been generated, a larger feasibility cohort is required. Robust data regarding network level recruitment, compliance and dropouts are lacking. The early pilot was run using sequentially numbered sealed opaque envelopes rather than web-based randomisation. Logistic issues around allocation concealment and centralised randomisation have not been evaluated. Consequently, a feasibility trial appears necessary before proceeding with a full phase 3 trial. EVALUATION OF ACCEPTABILITY AND BARRIERS TO IMPLEMENTATION Whilst RIPC is simple to induce and inexpensive, it does add to the burden of clinical staff in advance of CT scans. Perceptions that the intervention is onerous will significantly impede adoption into routine practice should a clinical benefit be demonstrated. It may also significantly hinder recruitment in any phase 3 trial, as reluctance to complete the preconditioning protocol may result in numerous protocol breaches in the intervention arm. For patients, the intervention may be burdensome and uncomfortable, again negatively impacting upon likely adoption in to routine practice. In order to explore these potential issues in advance of any full-scale trial, the feasibility trial will include a qualitative evaluation of acceptability to both patients and clinical staff together with a qualitative evaluation of any perceived barriers to implementation. This insights may prove valuable in the subsequent design of a full-scale trial and ensuring adoption in to routine practice should the intervention prove clinically and economically-efficacious. Healthcare professionals at participating practices will be asked to complete a self-administered questionnaire at the end of the study period. The questionnaire will elicit data on profession and practice details, their perceived experience of trial involvement, and open-ended questions to elicit information regarding attitudes to trial involvement, willingness to recruit participants, difficulties that arose during the trial and potential barriers to further research or routine clinical use of the trial intervention. A convenience sample of 40 patients (10 from each site) will be contacted following their admission to conduct a brief interview. This will again involve the use of open-ended questions in order to elicit information regarding patients’ attitudes towards the intervention and perceived barriers to implementation. These interviews will be conducted by Dr Clarke-Moloney, under the supervision of Professor Walter Cullen. Professor Cullen is currently chief investigator of the the recently established HRB-funded (feasibility) trial of 'Psychosocial Interventions for Problem Alcohol Use Among Problem Drug Users'. He has established expertise in qualitative research methods and will lead the qualitative aspects of the SAVES feasibility trial. STATISTICAL ANALYSIS PLAN The statistical analysis plan has been developed in conjunction with the HRBCRF Galway. The statisticians will be blinded to the trial allocation for all analyses, with the two trial arms being labelled A and B. Interim analysis No interim analysis is planned for this one-year feasibility trial Final analysis Once the trial has closed, a final analysis of the data will be conducted by Dr Newell, the trial biostatistician. The trial arms will be labelled A and B, to maintain blinding. Baseline characteristics will be compared between the trial arms to evaluate the efficacy of randomisation. The proportions of patients with primary and secondary end-points will be compared between the two groups. These results will all be presented in the final trial report. Subgroup analyses Experimental data suggest that the protective effect of RIPC may be attenuated in diabetic patients. This trial provides an opportunity to evaluate the relationship between RIPC and diabetes in clinical practice. There will be two components to this analysis. In the diabetic subgroup, the proportion of patients suffering a n eGFR decrease will be compared between those patients who receive RIPC and patients who are controls. In addition, the proportion of patients suffering an eGFR decrease will be compared between diabetic RIPC patients and non-diabetic RIPC patients, in order to determine whether the effect size of RIPC differs significantly in diabetic patients. These data will inform subsequent design of a phase 3 trial, should it appear justified. There have also been suggestions that RIPC is attenuated in older patients. Again, this trial provides an opportunity to investigate this potential relationship further. Proportions of the patients sustaining an eGFR decrease will be compared between patients aged > 80 years at randomisation and patients aged < 80 years at randomisation. The proportion with an eGFR decrease will also be compared between RIPC and control patients in the > 80 subgroup. A between group analysis will compare the proportions of eGFR decreases between RIPC patients in the > 80 and < 80 groups. These data will again inform subsequent design of a phase 3 trial, should it appear justified. Qualitative data analysis Each interview will be transcribed verbatim, following which the transcript will be reviewed by the researchers for accuracy. Each interview will be ‘openly coded’ (to allow development of categories of concepts, without making any prior assumptions). The researcher will analyse half the interviews first to identify common codes for each group of respondents. These coded transcripts will be reviewed by a second researcher to ensure the interviews are coded correctly and consistently and the codes identified by the researcher were the same as those identified by the expert. The second half of the transcripts will be consequently added to the analysis one-by-one allowing for the monitoring of data saturation. For the purpose of this research, thematic analysis will be used to analyse qualitative data. This approach has many benefits for studies such as this which are interpretive in nature, as it is a ‘method for identifying, analysing and reporting patterns (themes) within data’(15). The process of thematic analysis is concerned with the basic to advanced encoding of data, which are subsequently developed to themes. Themes are described as ‘patterns found in the information’ which can be developed in an inductive manner from raw information but also deductively from prior / existing research and knowledge. This flexible approach can also be seen in how themes identified at one level can help the researcher describe their observations and at a more advanced level allow the researcher to interpret aspects of the phenomenon under study(15). Qualitative data analysis will be systematic and organised in order to easily locate information within the data set when tracing results, providing examples in context(15). The qualitative research software Nvivo v8 will be used to facilitate the coding of this data. Such research software allows the researcher to manage, shape and make sense of unstructured information; it also facilitates the complex organisation and retrieval of data (www.qsrinternational.com). The analysis will follow a “5Step Analysis” approach whereby data is reviewed, examined, coded, themes generated and defined(15). To achieve validity in the coding / analysis of data, two reviewers will code data independently and inter-rater reliability measures will be computed based on this coding. Coding consistency will be maintained throughout the coding process and will be reviewed by regular meetings between researchers and principal investigator. The findings will be compared with other study findings (validity and credibility). The researchers will present the findings to participants to determine if the study findings reflect their experience of the topic under study (member checking). Illustrative quotes will be used to emphasise points made by the participants. HEALTH ECONOMIC ANALYSIS The short-term cost-effectiveness of RIPC will be investigated using a within-trial analysis of the difference or increment in mean effectiveness and the increment in mean costs. We anticipate that the direct costs of the intervention itself will be modest but that the net benefits (i.e., economic value of health benefits less costs) could be substantial if the risk of renal injury is reduced, subsequent health outcomes improve and less costly patterns of treatment and resource use emerge. We will measure resource use from the perspective of the health service using individual level data on cumulative hospital stay and ICU stay up to one year from randomisation. Health related quality of life will be estimated using the self-complete version of the EQ-5D-5L instrument collected at around the time of hospital discharge and the one year follow-up. Expecting correlation between the distribution of costs and benefits we will use a multivariate modelling framework that allows for estimation of a marginal density for costs and a conditional density for benefits, given the costs. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis of parameter uncertainty will be conducted to assess the robustness of the cost effectiveness model and the expected value of information. ASSESSMENT OF SAFETY Definitions This is not a trial of an investigational medicinal product. By definition, therefore, all untoward events will be adverse events rather than adverse reactions. Safety assessments will be from the time of randomisation to completion of follow-up. Adverse event An adverse event is defined as any untoward medical occurrence affecting a patient which does not necessarily have a causal relationship with the RIPC stimulus. The terms ‘mild, moderate or severe’ will be used to describe the intensity of a specific event. This is not the same as serious which is based on criteria outlined below. An adverse event can therefore be any unfavourable and unintended sign (including an abnormal laboratory finding), symptom or disease temporally associated with the use of RIPC whether or not it is considered to be related to the technique. Serious adverse event A serious adverse event is defined as any untoward medical occurrence / effect that: (i) Results in death] (ii) Is life-threatening (iii) Requires hospitalisation or prolongs the patient’s hospital stay (iv) Results in persistent or significant disability or incapacity ‘Life-threatening’ in the definition of a serious adverse event refers to an event in which the subject was at risk of death at the time of the event; it does not refer to an event which hypothetically might have caused death were it more severe. Unexpected adverse event This is defined as an adverse event, the nature or severity of which is not consistent with an expected consequence of RIPC. Expected adverse events (recognised to be caused by the RIPC stimulus) The benign nature of the RIPC stimulus excludes there any expected serious adverse events. The following are expected non-serious events in response to the RIPC stimulus and will be recorded on the case report form. They do not to be reported to the trial office. (i) Skin petechiae secondary to cuff inflation Expected serious adverse events related to usual clinical care These events are recognised complications of contrast-enhanced CT scans. They will be recorded on the case report form. They do not need to be reported separately on a serious adverse event form. (i) Anaphylaxis due to contrast allergy (ii) Hypersensitivity reaction to contrast (iii) Phlebitis at intravenous cannula sites The following events are recognised complications of routine clinical care and for the purposes of this trial will not be designated as SAEs. They do not need to be reported. (i) Complications of surgery (ii) Complications of routine clinical care e.g. (iii) Complications due to administration of anaesthetic drugs (iv) Known adverse effects of other drugs used in routine clinical care Reporting unexpected adverse events Investigators will make their reports of all unexpected adverse events, whether serious or not, to the trial office. Unexpected Serious Adverse Events Serious adverse events (other than those described 11.6 above) should be reported to the trial office within 24 hours. The report should include an assessment of causality by the Principal Investigator at each site. The Chief Investigator will be responsible for the prompt notification of findings that could adversely affect the health of subjects or impact on the conduct of the trial. Notification of confirmed unexpected SAEs will be to the sponsor, Ethics Committee and Data Monitoring Committee. All deaths will be reported to the sponsor irrespective of whether the death is related to a contrast-enhanced CT scan or to an unrelated event. Unexpected Non-serious Adverse Events Unexpected non-serious adverse events will be evaluated by the Local Principal Investigator. This should include an assessment of causality and intensity 9See sections 11.7.3 and 11.7.4). Reports should be lodged with the trial office within 14 days. The trial office will maintain detailed records of all unexpected adverse events reported. Reports will be reviewed by the Chief Investigator to consider intensity, causality and expectedness. As appropriate, these will be reported to the sponsor, the DMC and the Research Ethics Committee. Intensity Assessment The intensity of adverse events will be classified into mild, moderate or severe. (i) Mild: The subject is aware of the event or symptom but the event or symptom is easily tolerated. (ii) Moderate: The subject experiences sufficient discomfort to interfere with or reduce his or her usual activity level. (iii) Severe: Significant functional impairment; the subject is unable to carry out usual activities and / or the subject’s life is at risk from the event. Causality Assessment Causality will be classified as probable, possible, unlikely or unrelated. (i) Probable; a causal relationship is clinically / biologically highly plausible and there is a plausible time sequence between onset of the adverse event and administration of the intervention. (ii) Possible: A causal relationship is clinically / biologically plausible and there is a plausible time sequence between onset of the event and administration of the intervention. (iii) Unlikely; A causal relationship is improbable and another documented cause of the adverse event is most plausible. (iv) Unrelated: A causal relationship can be definitely excluded and another documented cause of the adverse event is most plausible. Summary of Adverse Event Reporting Report to Chief Investigator and Event Study Coordination Centre Related SAE Unanticipated related to Within 24 hours problems study and Within 24 hours indicates risk to subjects Related AE Within 7 days Privacy violation or breech Within 24 hours Report to Ethics Committee Within 7 days As per Chief Investigator and requirements of REC As per Chief Investigator and requirements of REC As per Chief Investigator and of confidentiality Protocol Deviations requirements of REC Within 7 days As per Chief Investigator and requirements of REC With the exception of related SAEs, the Chief Investigator will assess all other AEs for appropriateness for reporting to the Ethics Committee based on importance of event, requirements of the REC, regulatory and GCP guidelines. Safety Monitoring Plan The Trial Manager and Trial Co-ordinator will contact each site bi-weekly to assess for adverse events, protocol deviations, progress, recruitment, accrual, and unanticipated problems. The Chief Investigator will meet bi-weekly with the Central Study Coordinator to review these data. Adverse events will be reported as per Adverse Events Section 7. At least one site visit will be performed by the Trial Manager to each enrolling site to review consent forms for completion. Measures to minimise risks Risk Risk to: RIPC Intervention: Cuff Inflation to 250mmHg leading to Subject bruising/redness on the arm Plan to minimize risk All personnel performing RIPC will be experienced in correct procedures. Research personnel will comply with Data Protection Acts. Research documents containing any identifiable patient Breach of confidentiality (rare) Subject information will be stored in locked areas. Data stored on computers will be password protected and where possible, identifiable patient information will be kept to a minimum. DIRECT ACCESS TO SOURCE DATA / DOCUMENTS Local investigators will ensure that all study data are available for trial related monitoring, audits and research ethics committee review. ETHICAL CONSIDERATIONS Consent All patients will freely give their informed consent to participate in the trial. A patient may decide to withdraw from the study at any time without prejudice to their future care. Only patients who provide written consent will be randomised in the trial. If fully informed consent is not possible, the patient will not be recruited into the study. Inpatients awaiting ce-CT will be given an information sheet to read, following which informed consent will be obtained. Declaration of Helsinki and Good Practice Guidelines The study will conform to the letter and spirit of the Declaration of Helsinki and the HIQA guidelines ‘Evaluating the clinical effectiveness of health technologies in Ireland’. Ethical committee review Site-specific approval will be obtained from the REC for each clinical site prior to recruitment commencing. Amendments to the protocol that require REC approval will not be instituted until the amendment and, if applicable, revised consent form/information leaflet have been approved by the REC. An amendment to address urgent safety measures in order to protect research participants against immediate risks to their health or safety may be implemented immediately provided the REC is notified within 3 days and approval sought. DATA HANDLING AND RECORD KEEPING Electronic data will be returned to the trial office. Data will be stored for a period of 15 years in the Graduate Entry Medical School, University of Limerick. The use of data from the trial will be controlled by the Chief Investigator in conjunction with the trial office. Confidentiality The Chief Investigator and all members of the research team will preserve the confidentiality of participants taking part in the study and in compliance with the Data Protection Acts. Research documents containing any identifiable patient information will be stored in locked areas. Data stored on computers will be password protected and where possible, identifiable patient information will be kept to a minimum. Each participant will be identified in trial records only by a unique trial identifier. Each centre will be responsible for maintaining a record of individual participants’ trial number, name and hospital number, to allow later identification of participants should it prove necessary. This record of trial numbers will be retained in the care of the lead clinician for each unit for a period of 5 years following completion of the trial. The study database will be maintained by the HRBCRF Galway. Adequate data back-up procedures will be in place. A patient can request that their data be deleted at any time. Database Development and Data Management provision for the ReDUCE Trial All data provided to the CRFG data management team and statistics will be anonymised. Prior to project start-up, a Service Level Agreement will be developed to define the exact responsibilities of CRFG Data Management and the rest of the project team. A Project plan according to PRINCE methodology will be developed for the Data Management portion of the trial. The CRFG Data management team will develop an eCRF (electronic Case Report Form) accessible via a standard Internet browser from all the locations. The database used will be Infermed MACRO, an eCRF system widely used for clinical trials. It supports adherence to Clinical Trial regulations and Good Clinical Practice (GCP) guidelines. It can export to XML, CSV, SPSS, STATA and SAS. CDISC exports of the database structure are supported. The data will be held in a secure location with required backups etc. The database has been validated by the software provider and CRFG has performed the requisite Operational and Performance Qualification. The validation also covered Data Protection requirements. Database development will follow CRFG Standard Operational Procedures (SOP). Access to the database is provided as per SOP and an access signoff process will be defined at start of trial. Input will be sought from the PI’s, Statistics, Data Manager and end users to inform the eCRF development. Once live the Data Manager will take the lead on ensuring that the eCRF follows the trial workflow to ease data entry. As soon as is practicable a test export will be performed to ensure that data required to measure primary and secondary endpoints is been provided. If amendments are required the Data Manager will work with the PI’s , Statistics and Database developer to ensure that amendments are signed off and go live as early as possible in accordance with a quality based change management process. The Data Manager will develop a Data Management Plan which will detail all activities surrounding the database and management of the data. The Data Manager will train the end users in the relevant location and provide training documentation. It will provide advice if any location specific IT infrastructure issues are encountered but this is unlikely considering the locations and the fact that the software uses a thin-client infrastructure. The Data Manager will work with PI, Stats and Database developer to develop reports to track data quality and missing data. During the course of the trial the Data Manager will review these quality reports to detect site specific data quality issues and liaise with the site to find solutions. Interim analyses required will be agreed at the start and the Data Manager will cleanse the data prior to export to Stats. The Data Manager will cleanse the data when trial is completed and assist with Database Lock procedures (as per SOP’s) before data export occurs. CRFG will not be involved in data entry. 19 INSURANCE This is an investigator-led trial which will be investigator-self sponsored and covered under the auspices of the Clinical Indemnity Scheme once ethical approval has been obtained. Centres will be covered by HSE indemnity for negligent harm providing researchers hold a contract of employment with the HSE, including honorary contracts held by academic staff. Medical co-investigators will also be covered by their own medical defence insurance for non-negligent harm. 20 DISSEMINATION PLAN It is the intention of the trial team to disseminate the results of the trial as widely as possible. This is likely to be through publication in a peer-reviewed journal, and also via presentations at National and International Cardiology Conferences. Publication will be in accordance with the CONSORT guidelines. The trial will be registered before randomisation commences. The results will be submitted for presentation at major vascular surgery conferences. It is anticipated that the trial manuscript will be submitted for publication by 2016. The paper will be attributed to the ReDUCE Trial Group. Individual clinicians involved in the trial will be listed by centre at the end of the trial. REFERENCES 1. McCullough PA. Acute kidney injury with iodinated contrast. Critical care medicine. 2008;36(4 Suppl):S204-11. Epub 2008/04/11. 2. Brezis M, Rosen S. Hypoxia of the renal medulla--its implications for disease. The New England journal of medicine. 1995;332(10):647-55. Epub 1995/03/09. 3. Cadwallader RA, Walsh SR, Burrows B, Chappell CL, Cousins C. 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