Chapter 4 Natural Sciences Lesson 1 Scientific Method, Hypothesis, Observation, and Knowledge Does science really help us know as much as it seems? Science • Science is seen as a sign of progress and success • It is a form of control • It has made us see and understand the world differently than people of the past • The scientific revolution is as much a revolution in humankind’s way of thinking as it is in our way of living We are born into a world where… • scientific knowledge—empirical knowledge—is • • • • supreme anything observable is fact and anything not observable is fantasy We think scientifically When we behave sanely and acceptably, we behave rationally and logically We respect scientists and honour comes through scientific means However, does science really give us knowledge? • Some will say immediately that it does • Some will argue that it only gives us a strong belief • Some will argue that science only allows us to control our surroundings, but as far as important knowledge is concerned, it falls short • What do you think? The aims of this chapter are to… • Examine how we know what we know in • • science Understand what is actually being said when a scientist says she “knows” something Examine the problems with knowledge claims in science as well as the process involved in developing scientific claims that seem sound Knowledge through Theory and Observation • Science is based on observation • However human beings observe similar stimuli differently • Copernicus observed that the horizon was actually falling away from the sun, while Ptolemy saw the sun moving up above a stable unmoving horizon Is the sun moving up or is the horizon falling down away from the sun? The Scientific Method or “the best way” to get true statements about the natural world • 1. Observe some phenomenon in the universe • 2. Invent a tentative description or answer, called a • • • hypothesis, that is consistent with what has been observed 3. Use the hypothesis to make predictions 4. Test those predictions by experiments or further observations and alter the hypothesis in the light of the results ’ 5. Repeat steps 2, 3 and 4 until there are no discrepancies between theory and experiment and/or observation The scientific method is successful, however there are problems. • First step in the scientific method is direct observation • Observation seems simple enough, but observation is • • not unproblematic Consider again the example of Copernicus and Ptolemy. They both correctly recorded what they observed, but there observances were contrary to one another This is indeed a paradox. If all science is based on observation, and what one observes can be different depending on the theories or expectations one has, then how sound is the knowledge one actually gets? The Influence of Theory on Experience • Theories are present in every • • part of our experience as they were for Copernicus and Ptolemy Whether we see a duck or a rabbit depends on what we expect to see Theoretical preconceptions are with us all the time and they have some sort of effect on observations made during scientific investigations Duck-Rabbit Illusion What this means for knowledge in science is that • If all experience is influenced by theories and • • preconceived notions, then it is impossible to make observations which are not in some way contaminated by these theories and preconceived notions Subsequently, if a scientist is to test theories and hypotheses by making observations and the observations are tainted by the theories, how objective can the observations and the conclusions actually be? Can this possibly lead to objective knowledge? How theories influence what is noticed • It can be argued that observation is a process that is • • • • guided by our theories and hypotheses These theories actually direct our observations by making us aware of which stimuli are significant and which are insignificant Science works by observing specifics; by finding data which will either confirm or disconfirm our specific theories and hypotheses Scientists do not “drag the bottom” with a net hoping to find something valuable If a scientist is going to observe something the first step is deciding what to observe Important points • Without any theory or hypothesis it would be • • • impossible to observe anything at all significant Without theories guiding the observation process, random observations would be useless at confirming or disconfirming hypotheses Because of this, it is possible the scientist only notices what he expects to see It is also possible that he can only discover things when they correspond to or conflict with what he expected to discover in the first place Real life examples illustrating this phenomenon • Professor Wilhelm Conrad Roentgen and the surprising discovery of X-rays. • Alexander Fleming and his lucky discovery of penicillin Early X-ray photos. The left image is of Mrs. Roentgen’s hand Is observation really the key to scientific knowledge? • How many amazing life-improving discoveries have we missed out on because the scientists have been limited to confirming or disconfirming their theories, while other significant facts are ignored or not observed? • Is it possible that the scientific method itself actually limits scientific discovery? Critique of these two claims • We can count on our observations most of the • • • time Observation is the only tool a scientist has for coming in contact with the universe. What other choice is there? Examining the success rate of scientists from a pragmatic perspective it becomes clear that their observations are correct a great deal of the time There is only a limited amount of flexibility in our observations Critique of these two claims (contd.) • When a scientist directs his attention towards one thing it does not necessarily mean that he will exclude himself from discovering something else • It is a necessity to direct our attention towards something specific because at any given moment we are literally inundated with stimuli Lesson 2 Induction Induction and its Importance to Science • Induction is making predictions about future events based on past experiences • This is exactly what science does. • Science would not work at all if what was expected to happen never did happen The problem with inductive reasoning • The problem with inductive reasoning is that there really • • • is no way to tell the future and just because something has happened many times in the past does not mean it MUST happen again in the future There is no physical law which forces events to take place on account that they have taken place before The paradox of science is that science is totally based on making predictions about future events based on past experience, but there are no grounds for assuming that because something has happened in the past that it must happen again in the future Can anyone claim to really know anything scientifically? David Hume: Inductive reasoning is irrational • Science falls into the category of expectational knowledge • Hume asserted is that it is • irrational for us to believe that all of these things will happen again in the future (unobserved instances) just because they have happened in the past. Hume had two main problems with induction David Hume 1711-1776 Hume’s first problem with induction: The Logical problem • The Logical Problem. Hume asks • the question: Are we logically justified in reasoning from instances we have experienced repeatedly (i.e. success with a vaccine, (to give a modern example)) to instances of which we have no experience (i.e. that the vaccine will work next time)? His answer to this is a definite “No!” There is no logical justification whatsoever. David Hume 1711-1776 Hume’s second problem with induction: The Psychological Problem • The Psychological Problem. The question here is: Given the fact that induction is so illogical, why do all people, even reasonable people, like scientists, believe that unobservable events (future outcomes or other instances which they have not experienced directly) will conform to past events of which they have experienced? David Hume 1711-1776 Hume’s answer to: The Psychological Problem • We think this way because we • • have been conditioned to think this way through association. We are conditioned through repetition It may not be rational, but inductive reasoning is necessary for survival David Hume 1711-1776 Hume’s assertion • What Hume argues is that we have no rational reason to believe that induction actually gives us knowledge. Since science is based on induction, Hume argues that there is no rational reason to believe that science actually gives us “real” knowledge. We simply believe it because we are habitually used to living our lives by way of inductive reasoning. Popper and falsification • Agrees with Hume that • • • induction is irrational Asserts science is about regularities. Knowledge comes from finding counter-instances. A counter-instance is an instance in which disproves the regularity Karl Popper 1902-1994 Knowledge through falsification • Popper asserts “Logic forces us to reject even the most successful law the moment we accept one single counter instance” • To find knowledge in science Popper argues that we must instead look for counter instances, or, in other words, instances which disprove the law or regularity Karl Popper 1902-1994 What this implies is… • Nothing can actually be proven true • • • and the strength of science lies in its meticulous ability to falsify assumptions A scientist tries to find instances where his hypothesis does not hold true The more he tries to falsify it, and the more he and other people fail to falsify it, the sounder and more probable the claim becomes Eventually when enough people have failed to falsify the claim, the claim becomes accepted as knowledge Karl Popper 1902-1994 What this implies is…(contd.) • Science hopes to find theories • • that are true. While actual “truth” may not be fully possible to determine, it is possible to eliminate the false theories, and the more the theory in question holds up to the process of falsification, the more likely it is to be true. At least any belief in the theory will be a more firmly founded belief. Karl Popper 1902-1994 Lesson 3 Science and Pseudoscience Pseudoscience • A pseudoscience is, any body of knowledge, methodology, or practice that is mistakenly thought of as science Recognising a Pseudoscience Asserting claims or theories unconnected to previous experimental results • If something is to be classified as “scientific” it must have been tested through experiment • This is not done in pseudoscience Asserting claims which cannot be verified or falsified • Pseudoscience makes claims that can neither be falsified nor verified • Many claims made by pseudoscience can not be tested at all Asserting claims which contradict experimentally established results • Simple and straightforward. A pseudoscience often makes claims that contradict facts which are proven. “Prove it!” Sceptic James Randi offers $1,000,000 for conclusive proof of paranormal ability such as ESP Failing to provide an experimental possibility of reproducible results • The ability to replicate results is key in science. Pseudoscience fails to provide reproducible results. Failing to submit results to peerreview before making public claims • Responsible scientific claims are scrutinized by knowledgeable peers before the claims are made public. This does not happen in pseudoscience. Little or no evolution of the field and its claims since its beginning • A pseudoscience is stagnate. The “science” does not develop. The knowledge claims stay the same as they always have been Pseudoscience is often motivated by commercial goals • Money Money Money! • Money is almost always involved in pseudoscientific claims Who profits from pseudoscience? Is pseudoscience without value? • Maybe. Just because pseudoscientific claims have not been verified, it does not mean that they are not true • Many questions can not be answered by science. Maybe pseudoscience is of value in this sense Things to keep in mind • An extra helping of critical thinking is imperative when considering pseudoscientific claims • If it seems too good to be true it probably is • If someone has something to gain by their pseudoscientific claims, then they are likely out for gain Lesson 4 Faith in Science “Science is the great antidote to the poison of enthusiasm and superstition.” Adam Smith (1723-90) Scottish economist. The Wealth of Nations, 1776. The role of science • As the world becomes all • • the more secular, science is given an increasingly important role in our society Science replaces traditions which have been with human civilisation for many centuries such as voodoo and the belief in ghosts If something is not observable or measurable it is not real How science works • Science has taught us to believe what is • • observable and to reject that which is not observable This belief is the cornerstone and the strength of science since it helps the scientist avoid bias and it gives pragmatic, useful information Science rejects claims that can not be backed up with empirical data Faith? • Many traditional areas make knowledge claims based on faith • What about science? Is there room for faith in science? • Can knowledge claims in science be based on faith? • It depends No Faith in Science/Faith is always in science • The following parts of • • this lesson consists of two contrasting speeches/essays which are designed to be read aloud in class. Discussion questions follow Images from the two speeches/essays are included here No Faith in Science/Faith is always in science Would we get here by faith alone? No Faith in Science/Faith is always in science This telescope in Hawaii just helps us observe what is really there. No Faith in Science/Faith is always in science Who has actually seen an atom anyway? No Faith in Science/Faith is always in science This is how luminiferous aether was supposed to have worked. Lesson 5 Does Science Give Us Real Knowledge? Is the “truth” out there? The influence of science • Science has affected every aspect of our lives • Try for a moment to think of something you • know or do, which is not, in some way, affected by science or scientific thinking But, do all of these changes, all of this science and scientific thinking, actually give us any real knowledge? Some will say “Yes, obviously” • Because it allows us to do so very much more than we could if we did not know the scientific things we do know However… • There is a chance though that we are mistaking being • • • • • able to control our environment with knowing our environment Perhaps we are mistaking describing the world around us with knowing the world around us Perhaps science does not give us any real knowledge about the things which are important to humanity What happens when we die? Why are we here? What does beauty and love mean? Why do the stars and planets exist? Is science dehumanising? Is it simply a good tool? Positivist: Science gives us knowledge • Knowledge is knowing how to • • navigate through our environment. Science is the tool that helps us do this task Science is pragmatic in this sense. Things in the world either work or they do not By seeing if it works or not, observer will know if the technique was a good one or a bad one Measurement. Precision: Predictability. These are the keys to knowledge. Positivist: Science gives us knowledge (contd.) • Nature is out there whether we are here to observe it or • • • • not Scientists are predators looking for facts about how the world works away from their own subjective interpretations Scientists are observing what is out there. They do not create the things which they observe, like a poet does a poem The reason science creates real knowledge is because it makes clear relationships about the real world There is no room in this process for subjectivity Positivist: Science gives us knowledge (contd.) • Science also produces real knowledge since the knowledge works for everyone • Ambiguity is fine for poems, but when going to the doctor, or when getting energy from the local nuclear power plant, what is needed is not ten different interpretations but one answer • Science is about answers Positivist: Science gives us knowledge (contd.) • Science produces knowledge because it is objective • It obtains this objectivity and rationality to a great extent from its meticulous method of confirmation • If we can predict an outcome, then confirm our prediction with indisputable empirical data, we have confirmed our knowledge about the world Positivist: Science gives us knowledge (contd.) • Repeatability is the key to, and • • • the strength of, science When an experiment has been successfully repeated enough times a scientist knows that his knowledge is a reflection of how things really are, and not how someone just believes or wants them to be Another way to show that science actually produces knowledge is that scientists can predict the outcome of events. Predictability is the proof of knowledge There is no proof in this pudding. That’s what predictability is for. Positivist: Science gives us knowledge (contd.) • Science has a self-correcting mechanism built into its • • • structure no theory can ever be completely proven true because there is always a possibility that in some circumstance the processes that have always worked will not work or will work differently knowledge in science is only knowledge until some discovered fact proves that which we thought was true to be incorrect Because of this, the knowledge in science increases constantly Romantic: Real knowledge? No • It is rather ironic that • science has spent so much time refuting the claims of religion while at the same time it tries to answer many of the very same questions that religion answers Has science become a religion? Will science help us know this or merely describe it? Romantic: Real knowledge? No (contd.) • Science is not a useful tool • Many of us benefit from using the tool • However what is important to remember is that • • science is merely a tool and nothing more It teaches us how to manipulate our environment But there is no real understanding behind the process Romantic: Real knowledge? No (contd.) • Science prides itself on measurement but, how • • • successful can science be at measuring love or hope? What does it know about living life as a human being and finding comfort in the love of another person? Is not love real? Yet, it cannot be measured Being human is about love, inspiration, fear, hope, and desire. Not empirical numbers filled out on some chart Romantic: Real knowledge? No (contd.) • Living is about being subjective • However science has nothing but contempt for everything subjective because the subjective is inaccessible to science • In this sense, the human experience is inaccessible for science • Science is dehumanising Romantic: Real knowledge? No (contd.) • Science is a way to describe things. It is a wonderful descriptive tool • Science has mistaken • description for truly understanding Science is about control, it is not about comprehension Perhaps quarks do look like this. Then what? Romantic: Real knowledge? No (contd.) • Truly important questions about our existence • • are not only unanswered by science, but can not be answered by science Everything must be observable in science. But everything is not observable when it comes to human beings Are not our feelings and thoughts more real than quarks or strange things like dark energy which we will never see? Romantic: Real knowledge? No (contd.) • Science is a useful tool • But it is important that we keep science in the right perspective and not look to it for the answers to the really important questions • If we keep this in mind then we can make use of the tool of science and benefit from it