Psychology 242 Introduction to Research 1 Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan. Survey research Topic areas & formats Testing Hypotheses General issues in Survey research Sources of bias (or fraud…) Examples of surveys Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Survey research 3/10/14 Psychology 242 Introduction to Research 2 Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan. Survey research ✓ Topic areas & formats Testing Hypotheses General issues in Survey research Sources of bias (or fraud…) Examples of surveys Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Survey research 3/10/14 Psychology 242 Introduction to Research What do surveys measure? Knowledge Information re: current events, political or consumer choices Awareness of Public health resources, health practices, etc. Attitudes and Beliefs Preferences or evaluations: e.g., attitudes toward gays, ethnic groups, etc., consumer preferences. Beliefs about political or social events: “which party provides the strongest security for the U.S….?” Feelings or moods: quality of life, depression / anxiety, marital satisfaction, etc. Behavior Behavioral intentions; Intent to vote, financial plans, etc. Self-reports of previous or on-going behavior; topics range from voting to alcohol and drug use. Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Survey research 3 Psychology 242 Introduction to Research Survey research; General uses of surveys Descriptive Epidemiology; e.g., drug use surveys, diet surveys Political / social description; e.g., opinion polls Test hypothesis Assess blocking variables: e.g., gender differences in political / social attitude. Correlational studies; e.g., correlates of dieting… Examine generalizability of experimental results E.g., Consumer reports survey on therapy Predict event or outcome; E.g., election polling Pragmatic / applied, E.g., marketing, or consumer surveys. Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Survey research 4 Psychology 242 Introduction to Research Surveys; populations Who do we want to generalize to ? Our sampling frame is based on our hypothesis or empirical question. Sampling: breadth internal validity tradeoff Key dimensions: Demographic ethnic / age / gender groups, “all Americans”… Behavioral “likely voters”, alcohol users, home buyers... Self-identification Republicans / Democrats, “students”… See Design and sampling overview See also: diminishing validity of political polling. Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Survey research 5 Psychology 242 Introduction to Research Question Formats: Closed-ended items Specific rating scale or highly structured prompts Most reliable for concrete behaviors An attitude can be assessed in several ways: Direct (face valid) assessment Psychology 242 is a wonderful course… Does not 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 strongly agree at all agree Behavioral (content valid) indictors How many times this semester have you skipped 242 class? How many hours per day do you spend reading 242 material? 6 0 ______ 2.5 ______ Researchers typically use the M of several related items to create a more reliable measure of a variable. Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Survey research Psychology 242 Introduction to Research 7 “Closed-ended” items, cont. Example: CES-D Depression inventory: We may use the M score of these 9 items as our depression index… Moods & Feelings Below is a list of different feelings. Circle the number that shows how many days you felt each of these over the PAST WEEK. I was bothered by things that usually do not bother me. I felt I could not shake off the blues even with help from my friends or family. I had trouble keeping my mind on what I was doing. I felt depressed. I felt that everything I did was an effort. My sleep was restless. I was happy. I enjoyed life. I felt sad. Rarely or none of the time A Little of the Time A moderate amount of the time Most or all of the time (less than 1 day) (1 or 2 days) (3 - 4 days) (5 - 7 days) 0 1 2 3 0 1 2 3 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 0 1 Sum of item ratings /19 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 These items are “reversed” in the final score Psychology 242 Introduction to Research 8 “Closed-ended” items, cont. Or we may count the number of symptoms We may have a cut point: e.g., moderate depression is defined as 4+ symptoms Moods & Feelings Below is a list of different feelings. Circle the number that shows how many days you felt each of these over the PAST WEEK. I was bothered by things that usually do not bother me. I felt I could not shake off the blues even with help from my friends or family. I had trouble keeping my mind on what I was doing. I felt depressed. I felt that everything I did was an effort. My sleep was restless. I was happy. I enjoyed life. I felt sad. Rarely or none of the time A Little of the Time A moderate amount of the time Most or all of the time (less than 1 day) (1 or 2 days) (3 - 4 days) (5 - 7 days) 0 1 2 3 0 1 2 3 0 1 2 3 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 # of symptoms: items0 rated 2 1or 3 0 0 0 0 0 Psychology 242 Introduction to Research Closed-ended items, summary Chief virtue: clear operationalization Specific & concrete; we know exactly what the participant is responding to Easy to quantify & use statistically Can be tested for reliability Chief liability: potential insensitivity Brief & simply worded; potentially superficial “Top down”; issues are imposed on the participant Discrimination studies: no option for “has no attitude” Attitudes / moods: not sensitive to participants’ personal perspectives (?). Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Survey research 9 Psychology 242 Introduction to Research Survey formats; “Open-ended” items General textual / qualitative response; More sensitive to the respondent How have you enjoyed your methods class so far? Please list the three things that first come to mind when you think of Psychology 242. More difficult to interpret Can be analyzed as qualitative data (see discussion in Descriptive data.) Can be quantified; frequency counts of citations or statements “linkages” analysis of co-occurring statements Often presented as textual portrayal plus minor quantitative analysis. Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Survey research 10 Psychology 242 Introduction to Research 11 Example of mixed survey formats Example of mixed question format from survey of women’s sexual practices. Closed-ended attitude scale Open-ended description Simple behavioral index. Personal Safer Sex Guidelines How strict are your personal guidelines or rules for safer sex (e.g., condom use, “safe relationships,” etc.)? 1 Not at all Strict 2 3 Somewhat Strict 4 5 6 Very Strict 7 Extremely Strict What are your rules for safer sex? Have you ever refused to have sex with someone to stay safe? Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Survey research 0 1 2 3 Never once or twice a few times many times Psychology 242 Introduction to Research SUMMARY 12 Survey topics & item types Surveys assess: Knowledge Attitudes or preferences Ongoing or intended behavior Closed-ended formats Psychology 242 is a wonderful course… Highly structured, easy to analyze Potentially insensitive Open-ended formats …list the three things that first come to mind… More sensitive to the participant Potentially ambiguous or difficult to analyze Surveys typically… Use multiple items Employ several formats. Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Survey research Psychology 242 Introduction to Research 13 Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan. Survey research Topic areas & formats ✓ Testing Hypotheses General issues in Survey research Sources of bias (or fraud…) Examples of surveys Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Survey research 3/10/14 Psychology 242 Introduction to Research Alcohol: Knowledge 1 What is the chemical in alcohol? Let’s do our own practice survey! a) ethanol b) zymase c) dehydrogenase d) nicotine Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Survey research 14 Psychology 242 Introduction to Research Alcohol: Knowledge 2 Which of these drinks contains the least alcohol? A = 12 ounces of beer B = 5 ounces of wine C = 1 1/2 ounces of vodka D = 8 ounces of malt liquor E = All are equal Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Survey research 15 Psychology 242 Introduction to Research Alcohol: Knowledge 3 How long does it take for alcohol to affect the brain? a) 10 seconds b) 60 seconds c) 10 minutes d) 90 minutes Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Survey research 16 Psychology 242 Introduction to Research Alcohol attitudes, 1 Drinking helps me feel whatever way I want to feel. A = agree strongly B = agree C = somewhat agree D = slightly agree E = do not agree Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Survey research 17 Psychology 242 Introduction to Research Alcohol attitudes, 2 Alcohol makes me feel happy. A = agree strongly B = agree C = somewhat agree D = slightly agree E = do not agree Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Survey research 18 Psychology 242 Introduction to Research Alcohol attitudes, 3 Drinking adds a certain warmth to social occasions. A = agree strongly B = agree C = somewhat agree D = slightly agree E = do not agree Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Survey research 19 Psychology 242 Introduction to Research Alcohol behavior, 1 How often do you have a drink containing alcohol? A = never B = monthly or less C = 2 to 4 times a month D = 2 to 3 times a week E = 4 or more times a week Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Survey research 20 Psychology 242 Introduction to Research Alcohol behavior, 2 How many drinks containing alcohol do you have on a typical day when you are drinking? A=1 B=2 C=3 D = 4 or 5 E = 6 or more Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Survey research 21 Psychology 242 Introduction to Research Alcohol behavior, 3 How often during the last year have you found that you were not able to stop drinking once you had started? A = never B = less than monthly C = monthly D = weekly E = daily or almost every day Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Survey research 22 Psychology 242 Introduction to Research Alcohol behavior, 4 How often during the last year have you failed to do what was normally expected from you because of drinking? A = never B = less than monthly C = monthly D = weekly E = daily or almost every day Survey research Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan 23 Psychology 242 Introduction to Research 24 Knowledge / attitude / behavior composites Here is our survey. Our data set: Knowledge Several items assess each Hypothetical Construct. Which of these drinks contains the least alcohol? Typically we also collect How long does it take for alcohol to affect the brain? (age, gender, demographics ethnicity…) and other Ψ Attitudes and beliefs variables. Drinking helps me feel whatever wayI want to feel. items based on our We choose What is the chemical in alcohol Alcohol makes me feel happy. Theory about alcohol use and problems. Drinking adds a certain warmth to social occasions. We can simply Describe our Behavior data in each category. How often do you have a drink containing alcohol? We might Block the data by How many drinks containing alcohol doimportant you have categories on a typicalofday How many students use alcohol at participants all?when you are drinking? Do more the positive men How have often aduring last year have you found thatTest you Hypotheses were not Or we can attitude alcoholonce than you had started? able totoward stop drinking about correlations among women? variables How often during the last year have you failed to do what was normally expected from you because of drinking? Survey research Psychology 242 Introduction to Research Knowledge / attitude / behavior composites Knowledge 25 Research questions: How well do the items within each category What is the chemical correlate? in alcohol Which of these drinks least alcohol? • contains Are they the internally Reliable? How long does it take alcohol to affectathe brain? • for Can we construct Composite Variable from Attitudes and beliefs each item set? Blocking : Gender? Drinking helps me feel whateverVariables way I want to feel. Ethnicity? Age?... What are the Correlations among composite Alcohol makes mefeel happy. variables? Drinking adds a certain warmth to social occasions. • How much are knowledge or attitudes & beliefs associated with alcohol use? Behavior • Are alcohol use andalcohol? problems correlated? How often do you have a drink containing • Are these effects Mediated byaother variables? How many drinks containing alcohol do you have on typical day when you are drinking? Do depression, isolation, or stress make people vulnerable to alcohol problems? How often during the last year have you founduse thatoryou were not able to stop drinking once you had started? How often during the last year have you failed to do what was normally expected from you because of drinking? Survey research Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Psychology 242 Introduction to Research Class data, n = 97 Multiple items assessed the Hypothetical Constructs of Alcohol- related information, attitudes, use, and problems. Information: # of correct answers for items 1 3. Attitudes: items 4, 5 & 6. Use: drinking frequency * # drinks / occasion (items 7 & 8). Example Problems: Items 9 & 10. Information: Mode = 2 items correct. Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Survey research 26 Psychology 242 Introduction to Research Class survey data, Attitudes To test weather the 3 attitude items comprised a single Hypothetical Construct, we examine their intercorrelations Example All the correlations and high and statistically significant, so we can combine them into a single composite variable. Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Survey research 27 Psychology 242 Introduction to Research Class survey data, Attitudes The frequency distribution for the composite attitude variable shows an approximate normal distribution. Example The Mean and Median are equal, near the center of the distribution The mode reflects a larger block of participants with moderately strong attitudes. 28 Psychology 242 Introduction to Research Class survey data, Alcohol problems We perform the same operations for items 9 & 10, the alcohol problems measures. The correlation between these items is very high. Example We can validly combine them into one variable. 29 Psychology 242 Introduction to Research Class survey data, Alcohol problems Most people report no problems, as shown in the Mean and Median The rest of the distribution shows a strong positive skew. Example This skew pulls the Mean higher than the Mode & Median. 30 Psychology 242 Introduction to Research Class survey data, Correlation results The amount of information people have about alcohol is unrelated to their alcohol use or problems: The correlations are low; Neither is statistically significant. Positive attitudes toward alcohol are strongly associated with alcohol use. Example … and moderately (statistically significantly) with alcohol problems. Thus, attitudes are more important to alcohol abuse than is knowledge. 31 Psychology 242 Introduction to Research 32 Correlations and mediators With more data we could use mediating analyses to develop to test theories about alcohol use / problems Say we find that people who are lonely or depressed (negative affect) have more alcohol use & problems. Why might this be? People with negative affect may come to expect (hope?) that alcohol will make them feel better. The attitude may be what actually leads to alcohol use. Here attitudes / beliefs would mediate the effect of negative affect on alcohol use & problems. Positive attitudes toward alcohol Depression loneliness stress Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Survey research Alcohol use & Problems Psychology 242 Introduction to Research 33 Correlations and mediators Using mediating analyses to develop to test theories about alcohol use / problems Say we find that people who are lonely or depressed (negative use Using a mediating analysis to ask affect) have more alcohol & problems. “why” is the core step in Theory Why might this be? Development. People with negative affect may come to expect (hope?) that alcohol will make them feel better. The attitude may be what actually leads to alcohol use. Here attitudes / beliefs would mediate the effect of negative affect on alcohol use & problems. Positive attitudes toward alcohol Depression loneliness stress Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Survey research Alcohol use & Problems Psychology 242 Introduction to Research 34 Correlations and mediators Survey data are important for developing or testing new theories of behavior Can have high external validity Can model different relations among variables. Problems? The data are correlational and cross-sectional. The causal arrows may go in different directions. Depression loneliness stress Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Positive expectation of alcohol Survey research Alcohol use & Problems Psychology 242 Introduction to Research 35 Correlations and mediators Survey data are important for developing or testing new theories of behavior Can have high external validity Can model different relations among variables. The causal arrows may go in different directions. There may be a third variable that we did not measure. Genetics: Positive alcohol effects Problems? & negative The data are correlational and cross-sectional. affectivity Depression loneliness stress Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Positive expectation of alcohol Survey research Alcohol use & Problems Psychology 242 Introduction to Research 36 cures Cures for correlation problems? Longitudinal studies Examine changes over time to better determine cause and effect Experimental studies Simulate and manipulate the predictors, e.g.; Induce temporary stress / negative affect Assess attitudes Assess alcohol use Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Survey research Psychology 242 Introduction to Research 37 We Use Longitudinal data To examine change To approximate “cause and effect” Research has shown that depression, loneliness & stress are correlated. So, we combine them into a single composite variable. This is our Predictor Depression Loneliness Negative Affect Stress (Measurement version of IV) The same for alcohol use and problems. This is our outcome Alcohol problems (Measurement version of DV) Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Alcohol use Survey research Alcohol abuse Psychology 242 Introduction to Research 38 Longitudinal data: Path analysis We test the hypothesis that Negative Affect correlate with alcohol abuse & problems… …at baseline …and at follow-up Data at each time frame are cross-sectional: We cannot determine if emotions “cause” the alcohol outcome, or visa versa. Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Survey research Time 1 Time 2 (baseline) (follow-up) Negative Affect Negative Affect Alcohol abuse Alcohol abuse Psychology 242 Introduction to Research 39 Longitudinal data: Path analysis Looking at patterns across time lets us make more sensitive statements. Time 1 (baseline) If the measures are reliable Negative Affect at Time 1 will correlate with NA at Time 2. Time 2 (follow-up) Negative Affect Negative Affect And the same for the alcohol variable Alcohol abuse Alcohol abuse Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Survey research Psychology 242 Introduction to Research 40 Longitudinal data: Path analysis To test the hypothesis we look at the “cross” correlations… Time 1 (baseline) Negative Affect Alcohol abuse Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan How strongly does Affect at baseline correlate with Alcohol at follow-up? Time 2 (follow-up) Negative Affect A strong correlation would tell us that Affect does lead to more Alcohol abuse over time. Survey research Alcohol abuse Psychology 242 Introduction to Research 41 Longitudinal data: Path analysis To test the hypothesis we look at the “cross” correlations… Time 1 (baseline) Negative Affect Alcohol abuse Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Similarly, how strongly does Alcohol at T1 correlate with changes in Affect at T2? This correlation tells us how much alcohol use leads to negative affect over time. Survey research Time 2 (follow-up) Negative Affect Alcohol abuse Psychology 242 Introduction to Research 42 Longitudinal data: Path analysis Testing the hypothesis: does Negative Affect ‘cause’ Alcohol use & problems Time 1 (baseline) Negative Affect If the correlation between Affect at Time 1 and Alcohol at follow-up is very strong… Alcohol abuse Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Time 2 (follow-up) Negative Affect Alcohol abuse Survey research Psychology 242 Introduction to Research 43 Longitudinal data: Path analysis Testing the hypothesis: does Negative Affect ‘cause’ Alcohol use & problems Time 1 (baseline) Negative Affect …and the correlation between Alcohol at T1 and Affect at T2 is relatively weak… Alcohol abuse Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Time 2 (follow-up) Negative Affect Alcohol abuse Survey research Psychology 242 Introduction to Research 44 Longitudinal data: Path analysis Testing the hypothesis Time 1 (baseline) Negative Affect …we can conclude that Affect may be a more important “cause” of alcohol use / problems than the other way around. Alcohol abuse Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Time 2 (follow-up) Negative Affect Alcohol abuse Survey research Psychology 242 Introduction to Research 45 Longitudinal data: Path analysis Testing the hypothesis Time 1 (baseline) Of course we may find that Alcohol “causes” Affect, not the other way around… Negative Affect Alcohol abuse Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Time 2 (follow-up) Negative Affect Either way, we have a better sense of cause and effect than with cross-sectional data. Survey research Alcohol abuse Psychology 242 Introduction to Research Summary: Testing Hypotheses Surveys typically use multiple items to measure each hypothetical construct Summary Correlations among items tell us if they are reliable in measuring the same construct. We use Mediating Analyses to Test hypotheses about correlations between constructs Build or test theory Cross-sectional analyses are difficult to interpret Causal direction? 3rd variable problem Longitudinal analyses help us determine causal direction Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Survey research 46 Psychology 242 Introduction to Research 47 Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan. Survey research Topic areas & formats Testing Hypotheses General issues in Survey research Sources of bias (or fraud…) Examples of surveys Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Survey research 3/10/14 Forms of survey administration Self-report questionnaire Psychology 242 Introduction to Research Primarily closed-ended, structured questions Limited open-ended items Assume at least moderate reading level Cheap & easy to administer “Paper and pencil” or internet-based; All data collection increasingly Internet: Representativeness very dubious computer-based Face-to-face interview “Door step”, formal research center, or telephone Allows in-depth qualitative questions Many studies combine questionnaire & interview formats (Telephone version becoming obsolete) Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Survey research 48 Psychology 242 Introduction to Research Cost / population access Different methods are more / less likely to reach certain populations, e.g.: General issues in surveys Disfranchised / poor populations often not reached by internet or telephone Cell phones & avoidance of telemarketers less availability for telephone surveys Stigmatized populations less available for face-to-face interviews, more available via internet. Participant sophistication Participants may not be able to accurately report certain topics Attitudes toward stem cell research from readings. What factors are most important to your choice of political candidate.... Describe the amounts and types of proteins you eat during a typical week... “Rationality bias”; many questions (incorrectly?) assume a rational reason for behavior: Why do you have unsafe sex... What is your chief reason for using alcohol each night… Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Survey research 49 Psychology 242 Introduction to Research Social Desirability Responding Clear face-valid items addressing embarrassing topics yield less valid responses How often are you dishonest with your friends? Have you ever cheated on an exam....? High social desirability wording elicits inaccurate responses… Do you support protecting our Nation’s forests for future generations? (Does “yes” mean you an “environmentalist”?). Do you feel there are ways your husband could be closer...? (Does “yes” make you are unhappy in your marriage”?). Populations differ in social desirability responding; may be a confound in studying group differences Women report more suicidal thoughts, but may be more willing to disclose, creating a possible confound… 50 Desirability can be minimized by: Anonymous surveys Assurances of confidentiality Computer administration (no personal interaction) Careful wording / pilot testing of items Psychology 242 Introduction to Research Surveys: Social desirability responding Do people lie on surveys? Men routinely report more sex partners than do women. If the sample is unbiased by gender, partners should balance for men & women. Social desirability hypothesis: Women underestimate partners Men overstate partners Much of the difference due to: A high proportion of women who report 1 partner A few men who report many partners. Possible sample bias (confound?) in who responds to such surveys? Click for the article 51 Psychology 242 Introduction to Research General issues in surveys: Time Frames Rare(er) events require a long time frame to assess When was your last doctor’s visit… These questions asses the last time you left a romantic relationship… Longer term recall can be surprisingly unreliable Recall of last doctor visit highly unreliable when checked against medical records Shorter time frame yields more reliable responding Memory is better for more recent effects “Exit interviews” from medical visits far more reliable than even 2week retrospective measures. Current, concrete behaviors are more accurately reported than behavioral trends. In general, how often do you miss a dose of your medication Less reliable than… Let’s go over each of the past 7 days and tell me if you took or missed your medication dose… Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Survey research 52 Psychology 242 Introduction to Research General issues in surveys: Question Order Questions trigger participant’s memory or attention, and can bias questions that follow, e.g.: Do you think Social Security & Medicare payments have kept up with inflation.. then Do you favor or oppose Democratic efforts to expand Medicare payments... Bias can be limited by counterbalancing questions. Using different question orders in different versions of the survey. Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Survey research 53 Psychology 242 Introduction to Research Summary General Issues Summary Survey administration Internet increasingly important as self-report method Face-to-face interviews more common in clinical research Time frames & question order can influence responses Population access & sophistication Some groups are difficult to reach Creates threat to External validity 54 Assumption that participants understand survey materials often questionable. Social desirability responding Inhibited responding threatens Internal Validity May represent a confound if groups differ in desirability set. Psychology 242 Introduction to Research 55 Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan. Survey research Topic areas & formats Testing Hypotheses General issues in Survey research Sources of bias (or fraud…) Examples of surveys Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Survey research 3/10/14 Psychology 242 Introduction to Research Bias / Fraud in survey research Social research is increasingly important to political & cultural debates. Effects of gay marriage Political “approval” ratings Scientific consensus on global warming Research on working mothers … Pressure for confirmatory results encourages bias or outright fraud (see this week’s article on Opinion Polls). In the study structure Items used Sample In the interpretation of results “Cherry picking” Simple distortion 56 Psychology 242 Introduction to Research Opposition to gay marriage Example 57 Example of fraudulent survey use Judges have struck down religious doctrine as a basis for disallowing gay marriage Opponents have sought evidence of civil harm to justify discrimination Harm to children has emerged as key issue in the debate APA; multiple studies show no harm. April DeBoer, left, and Jayne Rowse on Friday after closing arguments in their challenge to Michigan’s marriage restriction. Credit Mandi Wright/Detroit Free Press, Mark Regenerus’ Survey: Children in via Associated Press households with gay/lesbian parent fare worse. Funded & cited widely by gay marriage opponents Study sample and interpretation of results wildly biased Has been disavowed by Renenerus’ Academic Department and American Sociological Assn. Continues to be central “evidence” in court cases Psychology 242 Introduction to Research 58 Source of survey fraud; question wording can elicit a response desired by the researcher; Bias in survey research: Leading or biased items How much do you support the administrations’ actions to protect you and your children from terrorists… Wording can “normalize” a response, e.g., When do you feel that it is O.K. to cheat on an exam? ..when I really do not know the material .. when others are doing it .. when I think the exam is unfair Vague wording can be interpreted in a biased fashion Is there anything your husband could do to be more intimate with you? “Push” polls: a survey can be used to actually create an attitude. Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Survey research Psychology 242 Introduction to Research Push Polls: 59 An item “traps” the participant into endorsing a specific view. When the “data” are released the biased wording is ignored. Publicity about the “findings” (e.g., by politically biased news organizations) are used to further create or change attitudes. Many political & social organizations use this strategy to… Ostensibly measure attitudes objectively Use the “results” to influence popular opinion. Example of a highly biased survey: The Republican National Comittee health care survey. This “survey” attempted to create fear of health care reform. It got limited distribution, but is a great example of a Push Poll Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Survey research Psychology 242 Introduction to Research GOP health survey (2009 – 2010) Some of these items are simple lies – or manipulations based on lies – designed to induce anti-health care attitudes… Other are powerful (and dishonest) emotional manipulations ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Survey research 60 Psychology 242 Introduction to Research Forms of survey bias: Provide leading or emotionally manipulative information to induce an attitude rather than simply measure it, to provide politically useful “data”.. Questions that, if you accept their assumptions, can only be reasonably answered one way… Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Survey research 61 Psychology 242 Introduction to Research Biased surveys: Democratic example An example from the Democrats, that is also used for fund-raising. Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Survey research 62 Psychology 242 Introduction to Research Democratic biased survey (2007) Manipulative presentation of questionable information Simple emotional manipulation Distorted description that may be changed in presentation of findings “Who could disagree” item. Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Survey research 63 Psychology 242 Introduction to Research Summary: Manipulating attitudes by surveys 1. Ask manipulative or highly leading questions Summary 2. Find high levels of agreement (and potentially change participants’ attitudes). 3. Publicize – and often distort or overstate – the “findings” via highly biased news sources 4. News reports themselves lead to attitude change among people who are uncertain or uninformed. Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Survey research 64 Psychology 242 Introduction to Research 65 Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan. Survey research Topic areas & formats Testing Hypotheses General issues in Survey research Sources of bias (or fraud…) Examples of surveys By key elements of survey design Survey research 3/10/14 Psychology 242 Introduction to Research 66 Examples of surveys & data, 1 Consumer reports survey of mental health care question • Satisfaction with therapy. • Differences between types of therapy. Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan population sample data findings Self-Identified group: Self-selected convenience sample: Attitudes & behavior Descriptive & hypothesis tests U.S. mental health care users Readers who got therapy & returned the survey, n=4000 Self-report questionnaire, cross-sectional High satisfaction for most treatments Survey research Psychology 242 Introduction to Research 67 Examples of surveys & data, 2 “Monitoring the future” youth studies question • Social behavior • Academics • Alcohol & drug use • Health. Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan population sample data findings Demographic group: Random sample: Knowledge, attitudes and behavior Mostly descriptive All U.S. youth, 15 -> 21 years old. Sample of High School health classes, n=3000 -> 5000. Face--to--face interviews & questionnaires, longitudinal (bi-yearly) Assess yearly trends/shifts in drugs, grades, emotional well being Survey research Psychology 242 Introduction to Research 68 Examples of surveys & data, 3 Gallup, Time/CNN, other polls question populations samples data findings Demographic: National, random Knowledge, Attitudes, Behavior Descriptive Digit dial telephone, n=150 to >500 Brief interview, cross-sectional Ratings of politicians, Consumer preferences Approach to Affordable Care Act - Eligible voters, Political opinions, Lifestyle information Social attitudes, e.g., managed care - Target age groups Self-identified: “Democrats”… Behavioral: Voters, ACA users… General: - U.S. adult population Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Survey research Psychology 242 Introduction to Research 69 Examples of surveys & data, 4 Exit polls population sample data findings U.S. electorate Probability Self-reported behavior Descriptive/ predictive National and/or local electoral district Stratified random sample of electoral districts. Self-report interview, cross-sectional Increasingly inaccurate predictions question Election outcome, possibly stratified by state / region See reading on shifts in use of polling data in U.S. politics Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Survey research Psychology 242 Introduction to Research 70 Examples of surveys & data, 5 ”Social Issues Survey” of Chicago gay / lesbian community question - Stress & coping - Alcohol & drug use - Responses to HIV / AIDS Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan population sample data findings Self-identified Targeted multiframe Attitudes & behavior Descriptive & hypotheses Self-identified gay, lesbian, & bisexual adults in Chicago. community newspapers, organizations, & mailing lists, n=3500 Self-report questionnaire, cross-sectional - High experience of discrimination - Less stress & alcohol-drug use than expected Survey research Psychology 242 Introduction to Research 71 Examples of surveys & data, 6 National Institute on Drug Abuse Household survey of Alcohol and Drug use question Alcohol-drug use and problems, treatment use, health effects. population sample data findings National Random Multistage: Knowledge, attitudes & behavior Typically descriptive All U.S. adults 1. Census tract 2. Household, 3. Any adult member Face - to - face Interview, successive cross-sectional (each 5 years) Age & regional differences in substance use, trends over time in use & problems n>4000 Data often used for hypothesis-oriented 2nd analyses (i.e., as archival data). Psychology 242, Dr. McKirnan Survey research