Announcements Quiz and HW Test information 1 Lesson 8 Business Applications: Break-Even Analysis and Equilibrium Quantity/Price Cost functions, revenue functions, and profit functions are really important in business applications. Cost functions are usually modeled at linear ( C ( x) mx b ) where b represents fixed costs of doing business (rent, utilities, insurance, salaries, benefits, etc.) and variable costs (represented by mx) are the costs of materials needed to produce each item. For example, fixed monthly costs might be $1,255 for a small home business, while the cost per item produced would be $15.88. The cost function would then be C ( x) 15.88 x 1255 . You would then find the cost of running your business by evaluating the function a x = the number of items produced in a month. Average costs would be evaluating the Difference Quotient evaluated appropriately and the rate of change of costs would be the derivative evaluated at the point you care about. Revenue functions are modeled by R( x) xp where x is the number of items sold and p is the price per item. This is your income. Note that price is not always fixed. Price might be a function itself! So the unit price is often given as a “demand function”. You’ll need to see how it works out for the situation you’re given. A working definition for revenue is “number of items sold times the demand function, p”. For example if demand is p 100 5 x , then revenue is R( x) x(100 5x) 100 x 5 x 2 . The value of the revenue is the function evaluated at a given x while the rate of change of revenue is the derivative evaluated at a point. Profit functions are modeled by the difference between revenue and costs. P( x) R( x) C ( x) . 2 Popper 06, Question 1 3 Example The revenue in dollars from the sale of x variable-speed jigsaws is given by R( x) 200 x 0.1x 2 What is p, the demand function? What is the revenue from the sale of 10 jigsaws? R(10) 200(10) 0.1(100) 2000 1 1999 In business the derivative of revenue is called MARGINAL revenue. Could we get it? SURE! C ( x) 50 x 15 The cost function is What is the cost of producing 10 jigsaws? What is the profit? $515 1999 – 515 = 1484 for 10…$148.40 for one. Nice! What is the profit function? How do we get this? Is there such a thing as marginal profit? How would we get the figures? 4 Popper 06 Question 2 5 Break-Even Analysis The break-even point in business happens when revenues = costs and the business is neither losing money nor making money. Managers are VERY interested in the x value at this point and exactly when it is going to happen, of course. When the y-value of revenue is higher than the y-value for costs a business is making profits. In the reverse, not so good. Note that dollars go on the y-axis and quantity goes on the x-axis. 6 We can find the breakeven point algebraically or graphically. From above: R( x) 5 x x 2 C ( x) 2 x 5x x2 2 x GGB: Intersect[f,g, xi,xf] Popper 06 Question 3 7 Example Suppose a manufacturer has monthly fixed costs of $100 and production costs of $12 per item. The item sells for $20. The demand function is p = x. C ( x) 12 x 100 R( x) 20 x 2 Where is the break-even? Equate the two and solve for x. GGB: Intersect[f, g,0,10] The negative intersection is extraneous. The x value at the intersection is 2.56, this is the break-even quantity. The breakeven revenue is R(2.56) 131.072 which we would report as $131.07. What does this mean? 8 Popper 06 Question 7 9 Example Suppose a company can model its costs with C ( x) 0.000003x 4 0.04 x 2 200 x 70,000 and the demand function is p 0.02 x 300 . Find the revenue function? R( x) .02 x 2 300 x HOW? Find the break-even point? R( x) C ( x) .02 x 2 300 x 0.000003 x 4 0.04 x 2 200 x 70, 000 GGB! Intersect[<object>,<object>] 10 Ignore the negative, use the 2 positives. HOW? 628 is the smallest positive quantity for which all costs are covered. Profit is Revenue minus Costs. What is the Profit at the break-even: 0. P(628) = 0. Profit at 629 is a positive number. Small, but positive! Popper 06 Question 8 11 Let’s back all the way up. Suppose you have raw data! Here’s cost data and demand data, or sales data: (quantity produced, total cost in dollars) quantity 50 cost 10040 100 140100 200 18200 500 217400 1000 229300 1200 232600 1500 239300 (quantity demanded, price in dollars) quantity 50 price 295 100 285 200 280 500 270 1000 250 1200 248 1500 249 Find a cubic regression equation that models costs and a quadratic regression equation that models demand. Input; create list; fit poly[<list>, #] 12 What is the point x = 923? The smallest positive quantity for which all costs are covered. The break-even quantity. Popper 06 Question 9 13 Market Equilibrium The price of goods or services usually settles at a price dictated by the demand for the item will be equal to the supply of the item. If the price is too high, customers won’t buy it; if the price is too low, manufacturers have no incentive to produce or supply the item because their profits will be low. Market equilibrium occurs when the quantity produced equals the quantity demanded. At market equilibrium you have the point (equilibrium quantity, equilibrium price). This point is at the intersection of the supply curve and the demand curve. Example Suppose that we have a demand equation with p is the price of the product in dollars and x is the quantity of the item in thousands. Our supply equation is given with p is the price of the unit and x is the number of units the company will make. demand 5 x 3 p 30 0 supply 52x-30p+45=0 Find the equilibrium price and quantity. I’ll use GGB. 14 Check out the initial work on the functions! What is the equilibrium quantity? What is the equilibrium price? 15 Example The quantity demanded of a certain piece of electronics is 8000 unit when the price is $260. At a unit price of $200, demand increases to 10,000 units. The manufacturer will not market the item at a price of $100 or less. However for each $50 increase in price above $100, the manufacturer will market an additional 1000 units. Assume both supply and demand are linear in nature. Find The supply equation The demand equation The equilibrium quantity and price 16 Popper 06 Question 10 17