we tell it like it is 3RD Quarterly Roundtable Peter Wallace Chairman August 2, 2012 Rigodon Ballroom A & B, Peninsula Manila Hotel QRT POL CHART 1 AUGUST 2, 2012 SONA 2012 THE “LOST DECADE” UNDER THE PREVIOUS ADMINISTRATION REPEATED WHAT HE SAID 2 YEARS AGO―HE WAS BEQUEATHED: NORTHRAIL CONTRACT ANOMALIES UNWARRANTED GOVERNMENT CORPORATION BONUSES DESPITE LOSSES P1 BILLION COFFEE BUDGET OF PAGCOR NFA’S P177 B DEBT HUGE BACKLOG IN CLASSROOMS, CHAIRS & BOOKS QRT POL CHART 2 AUGUST 2, 2012 “LOST DECADE” UNDER GMA “STRAIGHT PATH” UNDER PNOY RAMPANT USE OF “WANG-WANGS” (SIRENS) BY GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS SIRENS ONLY BLARE FROM POLICE CARS, AMBULANCES AND FIRE TRUCKS CALAMITY VICTIMS LEFT TO FEND FOR THEMSELVES RELIEF GOODS ARE READY EVEN BEFORE A STORM ARRIVES; RESCUE SERVICES ALWAYS ON STANDBY 760,357 HOUSEHOLD-BENEFICIARIES UNDER THE CCT PROGRAM AS OF JULY 2010 QRT POL CHART 3 3 M HOUSEHOLD-BENEFICIARIES BY END-FEB 2012 ; TARGET IS 3.8 M HOUSEHOLDS FOR 2013 AUGUST 2, 2012 “LOST DECADE” UNDER GMA “STRAIGHT PATH” UNDER PNOY ONLY 62% OF FILIPINOS ENROLLED IN PHILHEALTH 85% OF POPULATION OR 80M NOW W/ COVERAGE SOME 10,000 NURSES AND MIDWIVES DEPLOYED UNDER THE RN HEALS PROGRAM DEPLOYED CLOSE TO 31,000 SO FAR RICE IMPORTS REACHED A RECORDHIGH OF 2.4 MILLION MT IN 2010 DOWN TO AROUND 500,000 MT THIS YEAR; SELF-SUFFICIENT BY 2013 BIDDING COMPLETED FOR AN ORDER OF 74,600 GUNS 45% OF POLICE (63,000) HAVE NO GUNS THE STRAIGHT PATH TO INCLUSIVE GROWTH? QRT POL CHART 4 AUGUST 2, 2012 PROCLAIMED THAT “WHAT WAS ONCE THE SICK MAN OF ASIA NOW BRIMS WITH VITALITY.” CREDIT RATING UPGRADE(S) BY 1 OR 2 NOTCHES BY 4 AGENCIES THEY FELL UNDER GMA THE PSE NOW EXCEEDS 5,000 FROM AROUND 3,300 IN MID 2010 = + 52% 1Q GDP GROWTH OF 6.4%, THE 2ND HIGHEST IN ASIA AFTER CHINA REDUCTION IN UNEMPLOYMENT TO 6.9% IN APRIL VS. 7.2% A YEAR AGO AND 8% IN 2010 5,000 BPO WORKERS IN 2000, 638,000 NOW, $11B IN REVENUES IN 2011 (IF ANYONE, GMA DESERVES CREDIT FOR THIS); EMPLOYMENT PROJECTED AT 1.3M GENERATING $25B BY 2016 TOURISTS PROJECTED AT 4.6M IN 2012, A 1.5M GAIN IN JUST A YEAR COMPARED TO THE 9 YEARS IT TOOK THE PREVIOUS LEADERSHIP TO REGISTER A GAIN OF 1.3M. QRT POL CHART 5 AUGUST 2, 2012 EMPHASIS ON HIS ADMIN’S GOAL TO BUILD A CULTURE OF ACCOUNTABLE AND TRANSPARENT GOVERNANCE (BUT DIDN’T MENTION FREEDOM OF INFORMATION ACT – WHY?) ― GRAFT, PLUNDER & POLL SABOTAGE CASES HAVE BEEN FILED VS GMA (BUT WEAK PREPARATION) ― CJ CORONA’S CONVICTION AND REMOVAL FROM OFFICE ― REFORMS IN PUBLIC WORKS PROCESSES(DPWH SAVINGS SO FAR: P10.6B) THE PRIMARY ASPECT OF THE AQUINO ADMINISTRATION’S JOB GENERATION STRATEGY IS BUILDING SUFFICIENT INFRASTRUCTURE BUT PPP IS PROGRESSING AT A SNAIL’S PACE; ONLY RECENTLY HAS THE GOV’T INTENSIFIED DISBURSEMENT OF FUNDS FOR OTHER PROJECTS , AFTER TREMENDOUS PRESSURE FROM THE PRIVATE SECTOR QRT POL CHART 6 AUGUST 2, 2012 ISSUANCE OF EO ON MINING: SUPPOSEDLY TO BETTER UTILIZE NATURAL RESOURCES TO UPLIFT THE LIVING CONDITIONS OF GENERATIONS OF FILIPINOS BUT ― ESSENTIALLY PUT MINING ON HOLD ― EXPECTED TO SLOW THE DEV’T OF MINES ― WILL DEPRIVE LOCAL PEOPLE OF LIVELIHOOD ― LOSS OF TAXES = FEWER SCHOOLS & HEALTH CLINICS BUILT ― REDUCTION IN EXPORTS = FEWER DOLLAR EARNINGS FOR THE GOV’T COUNTRY IS DEPRIVED OF THE MULTIPLIER EFFECTS SO MINING FIRMS WILL START TO LOOK ELSEWHERE, SEARCH FOR COUNTRIES WITH MORE ATTRACTIVE POLICIES THE LOSS ISN’T JUST THE SHORT TERM WHILST REVENUE SHARING BILL IS PENDING IN CONGRESS, IT’S LONG TERM QRT POL CHART 7 AUGUST 2, 2012 OTHER KEY POINTS OF SONA 2012: THE SPEECH HIGHLIGHTED THE ADMINISTRATION’S PUSH FOR ENHANCED CITIZENS’ PARTICIPATION IN GOVERNANCE MORE ILLNESSES COVERED BY PHILHEALTHTYPE ‘Z’ OR CATASTROPHIC ILLNESSES ARE NOW COVERED BUT THE NETWORK OF HOSPITALS AUTHORIZED TO PROVIDE SERVICES FOR Z ILLNESSES SHOULD BE EXPANDED (ONLY 19 GOV’T HOSPITALS SO FAR) THERE’S GREAT EMPHASIS ON EDUCATION AND HEALTHSO THE PHILIPPINES COULD CATCH UP WITH ITS MDG TARGETS 66,800 SHORTAGE IN CLASSROOMS WILL BE ELIMINATED BY END-2013; THE 2.6 MILLION BACKLOG IN CHAIRS ADDRESSED BY END-2012; AND A 1:1 TEXTBOOK-STUDENT RATIO WILL SOON BE ACHIEVED ALL BASED ON A 1:45 CLASSROOM-STUDENT RATIO, THE IDEAL 1:25 IS YET TO BE CONSIDERED QRT POL CHART 8 AUGUST 2, 2012 …KEY POINTS OF SONA 2012 HE SAID WE WILL FIND A RESOLUTION TO THE SCARBOROUGH STANDOFF THAT IS ACCEPTABLE TO ALL. CHINA INSISTS ON ITS NINE-DASH LINE, THE PHILIPPINES ON INTERNATIONAL LAW, PARTICULARLY UNCLOS –THE STANDOFF WILL NOT BE RESOLVED SOON. THERE WAS NO MENTION OF THE SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCE OF OPINION ON THE PROPER FORUM WITHIN WHICH THE STANDOFF SHOULD BE DISCUSSED. CHINA INSISTS ON BILATERAL NEGOTIATIONS, THE PHILIPPINES WANTS MULTILATERAL DISCUSSION, INSISTING ON BRINGING THE MATTER BEFORE THE INTERNATIONAL COURT. QRT POL CHART 9 AUGUST 2, 2012 …KEY POINTS OF SONA 2012 NO ALTERNATIVES PROPOSED – HOW ABOUT JOINT EXPLORATION/EXPLOITATION OF RESOURCES? SHARE THE WEALTH ONE RECOURSE FOR THE PHILIPPINES ― CONVINCE ITS WESTERN ALLIES AND ASEAN MEMBER-STATES WITH INTEREST OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA THAT CHINESE CONTROL OVER THE AREA COULD MEAN A CURTAILING OF FREEDOM OF NAVIGATION CHINA COULD LIMIT PASSAGE THROUGH STRATEGIC SHIPPING ROUTES IN THE AREA WHERE HALF OF THE WORLD’S TONNAGE IN SHIPPING PASS THROUGH. QRT POL CHART 10 AUGUST 2, 2012 CHINA’S NINE-DASH LINE QRT POL CHART 11 AUGUST 2, 2012 SOME MISSING PIECES - COMMITMENT TO RESOLVE EXTRA-JUDICIAL KILLINGS THE PH’S UNIMPRESSIVE RECORD MAY RESULT IN THE SUSPENSION OR TERMINATION OF FOREIGN AID NO UPDATE ON THE CASES FILED BY THE BIR AND BOC VS SUSPECTED SMUGGLERS AND TAX EVADERS – & HOW THEY’LL GO AFTER OTHER BIG-TIME TAX EVADERS & SMUGGLERS ADMIN NO. OF EJKs ARROYO 2001-2010 305 AQUINO 2010-2012 13 MENTIONED THE MAGUINDANAO MASSACRE BUT NO INSTRUCTION FOR THE JUSTICE DEPARTMENT AND THE JUDICIARY TO EXPEDITE THE CASE SCHEDULE OF NEXT LEDAC MEETING (IF THERE IS ONE) AN EXIT STRATEGY FOR CCT; OTHERWISE IT WILL BECOME A VERY EXPENSIVE SUBSIDY PROGRAM THERE WAS A NOTICEABLE ABSENCE OF DISCUSSION ON INDUSTRIAL REFORMS GIVEN THAT THE COUNTRY NEEDS TO REFOCUS ON MANUFACTURING. QRT POL CHART 12 AUGUST 2, 2012 …SOME MISSING PIECES - MENTIONED TESDA TRAINING AND BENEFICIARIES UNDER DIRECTOR VILLANUEVA, BUT NO CONCRETE MEASURES ON HOW THE ADMIN WILL SOLVE LABOR MISMATCH BROADLY STATED THAT THE ADMIN PROMOTES A LEVEL PLAYING FIELD AND CONSISTENT RULES BUT FAILED TO ENUMERATE HOW FAR HE‘D REALLY GONE IN FULFILLING THESE COMMITMENTS; FAIR COMPETITION/ANTI-TRUST BILL HAS YET TO BE APPROVED HUGE INCREASE IN THE BUDGET OF SUC’S – P26B 2012, P37B 2013; PART OF IT COULD BE USED FOR K+12; EXTRA FUNDING FOR THE TERTIARY SYSTEM MUST BE DONE BY THE COLLEGES QRT POL CHART 13 AUGUST 2, 2012 PNOY’S LEGISLATIVE AGENDA BILL SIN TAX REFORM ACT HOUSE APPROVED ON 3RD AND FINAL READING SENATE PENDING AT COMMITTEE LEVEL (1ST READING) REMARKS/PROGNOSIS COULD RAISE SOME P33 B IN ADDITIONAL REVENUES IN YEAR 1; INCREASING YEARLY UP TO P42B IN YEAR 5 SENATE APPROVAL LIKELY BEFORE THE END OF THE YEAR – BUT WHAT FORM FLOOR DEBATES TO PROCEED THIS 3RD REGULAR SESSION RESPONSIBLE PARENTHOOD BILL PENDING PENDING ON ON 2ND READING 2ND READING QRT POL CHART 14 MAY FACE ROUGH SAILING IN THE SENATE; HOUSE TO VOTE ON AUG. 7 SOME LAWMAKERS UNCERTAIN IF PNOY’S SUPPORT FOR “RESPONSIBLE PARENTHOOD” IS AN OUTRIGHT ENDORSEMENT OF RH BILL – THE GALLERY WAS CERTAIN IT WAS AUGUST 2, 2012 …PNOY’S LEGISLATIVE AGENDA BILL HOUSE SENATE AFP MODERNIZATION BILL REMARKS/PROGNOSIS TO ALLOT P75 B FOR THE AFP W/IN THE NEXT 5 YEARS PENDING ON 2ND READING APPROVED ON 3RD AND FINAL READING HOUSE APPROVAL POSSIBLE THIS 3RD REGULAR SESSION MIGHT BE SIGNED INTO LAW THIS YEAR (TO SUPPORT PNOY’S THRUST TO UPGRADE AFP EQUIPMENT) MINING REVENUE SHARING BILL COMMITTEE LEVEL COMMITTEE LEVEL EXPANSION OF COVERED CRIMES APPROVED ON PENDING ON 2ND AND ESTABLISHMENTS 3RD AND READING BY THE AMLA FINAL READING QRT POL CHART 15 P145 B DERIVED FROM MINING IN 2010, ONLY P13.4 B WENT TO THE NAT’L TREASURY – THEY SAY 1 OF THE 3 BILLS THE FINANCIAL ACTION TASK FORCE WANTS PH CONGRESS TO PASS (2 HAVE BEEN SIGNED INTO LAW) LIKELY TO BE PASSED BEFORE THE END OF THE YEAR AUGUST 2, 2012 A BETTER LIST COMPARED TO LAST YEAR’S BUT SOME GLARING OMISSIONS: 1) FREEDOM OF INFORMATION ACT 2) ANTI-SMUGGLING 3) BSP CHARTER AMENDMENTS 4) PUBLIC UTILITIES ACT AMENDMENTS 5) CUSTOMS MODERNIZATION ACT 6) INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY RIGHTS ACT AMENDMENTS 7) RATIONALIZATION OF FISCAL INCENTIVES AND CHARTER CHANGE ― CONGRESS, YES ― PNOY, NO QRT POL CHART 16 AUGUST 2, 2012 PNOY’S KEY THRUSTS: DISTRIBUTE ALL LAND COVERED BY THE CARP BY THE END OF HIS TERM UPGRADE AFP’S EQUIPMENT IMPLEMENT A PERFORMANCE-BASED INCENTIVES PROGRAM FOR GOVERNMENT EMPLOYEES NAIA 3’S STRUCTURAL DEFECTS WILL HAVE BEEN FULLY REPAIRED BEFORE NEXT YEAR’S SONA FURTHER IMPROVEMENT OF GOVERNANCE IN ARMM AND BETTER DELIVERY OF SOCIAL SERVICES INCREASE MONTHLY PENSION FOR ELDERLY POOR ATTRACT 10 M INT’L TOURISTS BY 2016 QRT POL CHART 17 AUGUST 2, 2012 OTHER ACCOMPLISHMENTS MENTIONED: ELECTRIFICATION OF 1,520 SUB-VILLAGES (INITIAL TARGET WAS 1,300) COCONUT WATER EXPORTS UP BY 830% IN 2011 TO 16.7 M LITERS FROM 1.8 M LITERS IN 2010 REFORMS IN TESDA (TRAINED MORE THAN 400,000 INDIVIDUALS DESPITE THE P2.4 B DEBT LEFT BY THE PREVIOUS ADMINISTRATION) DECREASE IN CRIME VOLUME (250,000 SO FAR VS. OVER 500,000 IN 2009) DEVELOPMENT OF ANTI-DENGUE MOSQUITO TRAPS BY THE DOH AND DOST (BUT PROJECT STILL IN ITS INITIAL STAGE) CONSTRUCTION OF 22,000 HOUSES FOR AFP-PNP PERSONNEL IMPROVEMENT OF PAGASA’S WEATHER MONITORING EQUIPMENT (MISSED IT THIS WEEK) QRT POL CHART 18 AUGUST 2, 2012 HE CITED GAINS IN HIS FIGHT VS CORRUPTION, BUT THE SCOURGE ISN’T GOING AWAY OVERNIGHT, OR EVEN WITHIN THE REMAINDER OF HIS TERM THE BEST HE CAN AIM FOR IS TO PUT IN PLACE MEASURES THAT WILL HELP MAKE REFORMS IRREVERSIBLE, REGARDLESS OF WHO SUCCEEDS HIM IN 2016 QRT POL CHART 19 AUGUST 2, 2012 DESPITE THE MISSING PIECES IN HIS 3RD SONA, PRESIDENT AQUINO CAME OUT LOOKING EFFECTIVE AS HE KEPT HIS RAPPORT WITH HIS "BOSSES" BY FOCUSING ON THE "INCLUSIVE" IMPLICATIONS OF INFRASTRUCTURE, HEALTH, AND EDUCATION. HE WAS SHORT, THOUGH, ON WHAT HE PLANNED A FOR THE FUTURE. IT WAS A STATE OF THE NATION. QRT POL CHART 20 AUGUST 2, 2012 ASSESSMENT OF SONA 2010 AND 2011 PROMISES WITH NO PROGRESS 1) SOLVE EXTRA-JUDICIAL KILLINGS ― THE FAILURE TO BRING TO ACCOUNT THE PERPETRATORS OF EXTRA JUDICIAL KILLINGS IS HIGHLIGHTED BY THE SLOW PROGRESS OF THE AMPATUAN MASSACRE CASE ― THE NEW YORK-BASED HUMAN RIGHTS WATCH (HRW) CONSIDERS AS “LACKLUSTER” THE CURRENT ADMINISTRATION’S EFFORTS IN SOLVING EXTRA JUDICIAL KILLINGS – NO ONE HAS GONE TO JAIL YET ― PH’S UNIMPRESSIVE RECORD MAY RESULT IN THE SUSPENSION OR TERMINATION OF FOREIGN AID QRT POL CHART WBF’S 0 – 10 RATING ⓪ 21 AUGUST 2, 2012 WITH LITTLE PROGRESS 2) ATTRACT INFRA INVESTMENTS UNDER THE PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERSHIP (PPP) SCHEME ― 22 PROJECTS HAVE BEEN IDENTIFIED FOR PPP FINANCING SO FAR; ― ONLY 1 PROJECT (DAANG HARI-SLEX) BID OUT 22 MONTHS AFTER LAUNCH OF THE PPP PROGRAM; ― OF THE 21 REMAINING, ONLY LRT-1 SOUTH EXTENSION, NAIA EXPRESSWAY PHASE 2 AND PPP FOR SCHOOLS ARE CURRENTLY ON THE AUCTION BLOCK ― ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL BENEFITS OF THE PROJECTS WON’T START TILL NEXT YEAR ② QRT POL CHART 22 AUGUST 2, 2012 …WITH LITTLE PROGRESS 3) DIALOGUE WITH THE MILF ― THE PEACE PROCESS IS MOVING FORWARD, SLOWLY, NO SIGNIFICANT PROGRESS. ― BOTH THE GPH AND MILF ARE STILL REFINING THEIR POSITIONS ON KEY ISSUES THAT INCLUDE WEALTH-SHARING, POWER-SHARING, GOVERNANCE, TRANSITION ROADMAP, AND NORMALIZATION. ― NO ARMED CONFLICT RECORDED SINCE JANUARY THIS YEAR ― IT IS UNLIKELY THAT A PEACE DEAL WILL BE REACHED IN PNOY’S TERM ② QRT POL CHART 23 AUGUST 2, 2012 …WITH LITTLE PROGRESS 4) CREATE MORE JOBS ― A LITTLE OVER 1M JOBS GENERATED BETWEEN APRIL 2011 AND APRIL 2012 ― THE NUMBER OF UNEMPLOYED DOWN SLIGHTLY FROM 2.87 MIN APRIL 2011 TO 2.80 M IN APRIL 2012 ― BUT THE NUMBER OF UNDEREMPLOYED GREW FROM 7.127 M TO 7.312 M. ― PRESIDENT AQUINO REJECTED THE PROPOSED P125 WAGE HIKE ― TO GENERATE MORE JOBS, THE PH NEEDS TO ATTRACT MORE FOREIGN INVESTMENTS; BUT THE PH IS AMONG THE LEAST ATTRACTIVE FDI DESTINATIONS IN THE WORLD (ACCORDING TO UNCTAD’S WORLD INVESTMENT REPORT) ④ QRT POL CHART 24 AUGUST 2, 2012 …WITH LITTLE PROGRESS 5) WEEKLY CASES VS. SUSPECTED SMUGGLERS AND TAX EVADERS ―TOTAL NUMBER OF CASES FILED (JULY 2010-JULY 5, 2012): 201 ―TOTAL TAXES & DUTIES P66.1B ―CTA ORDERED THE ARREST OF THE COUNTRY’S 1ST CONVICTED TAX EVADER(GLORIA KINTANAR) – STILL AT LARGE ―MANY OTHER BIG-TIME TAX EVADERS/SMUGGLERS HAVE YET TO BE CONVICTED ⑤ 6) STREAMLINING OF BUSINESS REGISTRATION ½ ―PROCESSING OF BUSINESS PERMITS DOWN FROM 38 DAYS TO 35 DAYS (LATEST IFC-WB DOING BUSINESS SURVEY) ―NUMBER OF STEPS NEEDED TO PROCESS PERMITS REMAINS AT 15 ―PH REMAINS IN THE BOTTOM QUARTILE (158TH OUT OF 183 COUNTRIES) IN TERMS OF STARTING A BUSINESS ―STREAMLINED PROCESSES HAVE IMPROVED LGU REVENUES QRT POL CHART 25 ③ AUGUST 2, 2012 …WITH LITTLE PROGRESS 7) CONVENING OF LEDAC ―ONLY 2 MEETINGS SO FAR UNDER PNOY ―SOME PRIORITY BILLS HAVE BEEN SIGNED INTO LAW (AMLA AMENDMENTS & ANTI-TERRORIST FINANCING) OR AT ADVANCED STAGE (SIN TAX REFORM & DATA PRIVACY) ―ONLY 2 BUSINESS BILLS HAVE BEEN PASSED: ①LIFTING OF NIGHTWORK PROHIBITION FOR WOMEN EMPLOYEES. ②AMLA AMENDMENTS ―OTHER BILLS PASSED SIMPLY CONVERT MUNICIPALITIES INTO COMPONENT CITIES ―MORE ECO AND BUSINESS BILLS NEED TO BE CERTIFIED AS URGENT ③ QRT POL CHART 26 AUGUST 2, 2012 WITH SUBSTANTIAL PROGRESS 8) EXPAND BASIC EDUCATION CYCLE TO 12 YEARS ―DEPED HAS TRAINED MORE THAN 3,000 K+12 “TRAINERS” AND AROUND 140,000 GRADE 1 AND GRADE 7 TEACHERS ―A BILL THAT WILL INSTITUTIONALIZE K+12 HAS YET TO BE APPROVED ―MANDATORY KINDERGARTEN ACT HAS BEEN SIGNED INTO LAW ―SUSTAINABILITY IN PERIL DUE TO HUGE FUNDING REQUIREMENTS (CAPITAL COST OF ADD’L 2 YEARS OF HIGH SCHOOL = P43.7B) ―DEPED PROPOSING A P56 B INCREASE IN ITS BUDGET FOR NEXT YEAR – STILL INSUFFICIENT TO BRIDGE ALL EDUCATION RESOURCE GAPS ―PRIVATE EDUCATION SECTOR TO SUFFER HUGE LOSSES (NO FRESHMAN OR COLLEGE INTAKE FOR 2 YEARS) ―PH NO LONGER AMONG COUNTRIES THAT STILL IMPLEMENT A 10-YEAR BASIC EDUCATION CYCLE QRT POL CHART 27 ⑥ AUGUST 2, 2012 …WITH SUBSTANTIAL PROGRESS 9) IMPROVE PHILHEALTH COVERAGE ―PART OF THE PROPOSED P57 B HEALTH BUDGET FOR NEXT YEAR WILL BE USED TO ENROLL 5.2 M POOR HOUSEHOLDS ―PHILHEALTH HAS ENTERED INTO TIE-UPS WITH PRIVATE FIRMS TO PROVIDE MORE BENEFITS/DISCOUNTS TO MEMBERS ―IMPLEMENTED NO BALANCE BILLING POLICY & COVERED CATASTROPHIC DISEASES SUCH AS LEUKEMIA & BREAST CANCER ―THE NETWORK OF HOSPITALS AUTHORIZED TO PROVIDE SERVICES FOR Z ILLNESSES SHOULD BE EXPANDED ―LACK OF HEALTH FACILITIES WILL RENDER PHILHEALTH COVERAGE INADEQUATE ―FILIPINOS STILL SHOULDER HEAVY OUT OF POCKET HEALTH EXPENSES ⑥ QRT POL CHART 28 AUGUST 2, 2012 …WITH SUBSTANTIAL PROGRESS 10) REFORM GOCC GOVERNANCE ―GOCC GOVERNANCE ACT HAS BEEN SIGNED INTO LAW (RA 10149) ―PRIOR TO THE BILL’S PASSAGE, PRESIDENT AQUINO ISSUED DIRECTIVES THAT EFFECTIVELY RATIONALIZED THE BONUSES OF GOCC OFFICIALS ―SOME COA FINDINGS: MWSS OFFICIALS STILL RECEIVE UNJUSTIFIABLE BONUSES AND UNAUTHORIZED DISBURSEMENT OF PAYROLL FUNDS AT QUEDANCOR. ⑧ QRT POL CHART 29 AUGUST 2, 2012 …WITH SUBSTANTIAL PROGRESS 11) REAL CASES TO BE FILED BY THE NEW OMBUDSMAN ―GRAFT, PLUNDER & ELECTORAL SABOTAGE CASES HAVE BEEN FILED VS EXPRESIDENT ARROYO ―FAILED TO BUILD UP NBN CASE VS GMA (FROM PLUNDER DOWNGRADED TO GRAFT) ―ADMINISTRATIVE, CRIMINAL & GRAFT CHARGES HAVE BEEN FILED AGAINST LGU OFFICIALS ? ―DROPPED WERE ADMINISTRATIVE AND CRIMINAL CHARGES AGAINST CALOOCAN MAYOR ECHIVERRI AND FORMER DEPED SEC. JESLI LAPUS ―SECURED CONVICTION OF A COUPLE OF HIGH-RANKING LGU OFFICIALS (EX-MAYOR, EX- CONGRESSMAN) ⑥ QRT POL CHART 30 AUGUST 2, 2012 …WITH SUBSTANTIAL PROGRESS 12) REFORM THE AUTONOMOUS REGION IN MUSLIM MINDANAO (ARMM) ―POSTPONED ARMM ELECTIONS ORIGINALLY SCHEDULED ON AUGUST 8, 2011 ―ACT SYNCHRONIZING ELECTIONS WITH 2013 POLLS HAS BEEN SIGNED INTO LAW; ―CLEANSED ARMM’S LIST OF REGISTERED VOTERS ―STRICT AUDIT MEASURES IMPLEMENTED BY COA ENABLED THE REGIONAL DEPED AND DPWH OFFICES TO SAVE CLOSE TO P200 MILLION ―ALLOTTED P440 M FOR VARIOUS ENVIRONMENTAL/AGRI/FISHERY PROJECTS IN THE REGION ⑧ QRT POL CHART 31 AUGUST 2, 2012 …WITH SUBSTANTIAL PROGRESS 13) END OVER-IMPORTATION OF RICE AND ACHIEVE RICE SELF-SUFFICIENCY ―PALAY (UNMILLED RICE) PRODUCTION FROM JANUARY TO JUNE 2012 UP 4% TO 7.9 MILLION MT FROM 7.6 MILLION MT IN THE SAME PERIOD LAST YEAR ―RICE IMPORTS THIS YEAR 500,000 MT FROM A HIGH OF 2.4 MILLION MT IN 2010 ―PRODUCTION TARGET OF 18.5 MILLION MT FOR THE YEAR STILL ATTAINABLE ―PH COULD ACHIEVE RICE SUFFICIENCY GOAL NEXT YEAR. PROJECTED RICE IMPORTS FOR 2013: ZERO TO 100,000 MT. TARGET PRODUCTION FOR 2013: 20 MILLION MT ―THE GOVERNMENT EXPECTS TO LAY THE GROUNDWORK FOR RICE EXPORTATION NEXT YEAR ⑨ QRT POL CHART 32 AUGUST 2, 2012 …WITH SUBSTANTIAL PROGRESS 14) INCREASE BUDGET FOR CONDITIONAL CASH TRANSFERS ―DSWD PROPOSES TO RAISE CCT BUDGET TO P44.3 B NEXT YEAR TO COVER 3.8 M TARGET HOUSEHOLD BENEFICIARIES ―BENEFITTED 3 M HOUSEHOLDS SO FAR (BUT AS OF END-JUNE, CLOSE TO 30,000 BENEFICIARIES WERE REMOVED FROM THE LIST OF BENEFICIARIES); ―TARGET FOR THIS YEAR: 3.1 M FAMILIES; BY END-2016: 4.2 M TO 4.6 M FAMILIES ―IN 2011 AROUND 60,000 HOUSEHOLD BENEFICIARIES WERE GIVEN LIVELIHOOD (A MERE 3% OF TOTAL BENEFICIARIES IN 2011) ―SHOULD HAVE A CLEAR EXIT STRATEGY OTHERWISE IT WILL BECOME A VERY EXPENSIVE SUBSIDY PROGRAM. ―DSWD URGED TO TRIM DOWN ADMIN COST TO 7% OF TOTAL CCT BUDGET FROM 10% AT PRESENT QRT POL CHART 33 ⑦ AUGUST 2, 2012 …WITH SUBSTANTIAL PROGRESS 15) SUBMIT A BUDGET THAT ACCURATELY IDENTIFIES THE PROBLEM AND GIVES MUCH ATTENTION TO THE RIGHT SOLUTION ―EMPLOYED ZERO-BASED BUDGETING SCHEME IN DRAFTING 2011 AND 2012 BUDGETS (TERMINATED INEFFICIENT PROGRAMS AND INCREASED FUNDING FOR KEY INITIATIVES) ―PROPOSED BUDGET FOR ECONOMIC SERVICES UP FROM P439 B THIS YEAR TO P511 B IN 2013 TO SUPPORT THE FOLLOWING: CONSTRUCTION & UPGRADING OF ROADS & BRIDGES PRODUCTION OF MORE PALAY (UNMILLED RICE) ATTAINMENT OF MORE TOURISTS BY IMPROVING ACCESS ROADS TO TOURIST SPOTS & UPGRADING AIRPORTS & SEAPORTS ⑧ QRT POL CHART 34 AUGUST 2, 2012 OUT OF 15 PROMISES 1- W/ NO PROGRESS 7 – W/ LITTLE PROGRESS 7 – W/ SUBSTANTIAL PROGRESS WE RATE IT JUST OVER 5 WHAT’S A PASSING MARK? QRT POL CHART 35 AUGUST 2, 2012 12 INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS WERE MENTIONED IN THE SONA THIS INCLUDED PROJECTS FINANCED BY PPP, ODA, AND THE NATIONAL GOVERNMENT. AMONG THE 12 PROJECTS MENTIONED IN THE SONA 2 ARE CURRENTLY BEING IMPLEMENTED (CATICLAN AND LAGUINDINGAN AIRPORTS) 2 ARE ON THE AUCTION BLOCK (LRT-1 SOUTH EXTENSION AND PUERTO PRINCESA AIRPORT-CONSTRUCTION CONTRACT) 5 HAVE YET TO HURDLE NEDA APPROVAL (3 AIRPORTS, 2 NLEX-SLEX LINKS) 1 IS STILL UNDER FEASIBILITY STUDY (INTEGRATED TERMINAL) 1 IS NOT LIKELY TO BE IMPLEMENTED PENDING RESOLUTION OF LEGAL ISSUES (FULL OPERATIONALIZATION OF NAIA 3) ONLY 1 IS LIKELY TO BE IMPLEMENTED THIS YEAR. THIS IS A SMALL-TICKET PROJECT THAT INVOLVES THE UPGRADING OF 7 PROVINCIAL AIRPORTS EACH WITH A COST RANGING FROM P40-P60 MILLION. THIS IS ALSO THE ONLY SMALL-TICKET INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECT MENTIONED BY PNOY. QRT POL CHART 36 AUGUST 2, 2012 PNOY ALSO COMMITTED TO COMPLETE 4 OTHER PROJECTS TO EASE METRO MANILA TRAFFIC. 1 RAILWAY PROJECT, 2 ROAD PROJECTS, AND A BUS TERMINAL. THE LRT-1 SOUTH EXTENSION FROM BACLARAN TO CAVITE. ON THE ① AUCTION BLOCK AND SCHEDULED TO COMMENCE IN 2013. 2 ROAD PROJECTS WILL BOTH LINK THE NLEX WITH SLEX. UNSOLICITED ② PROPOSAL OF MPTDC AND THE SKYWAY STAGE 3 BY CITRA. PNOY HAS AGREED, BUT NEDA HAS YET TO APPROVE. ③ THE METRO MANILA INTEGRATED TRANSPORT SYSTEM, PRESENTLY UNDERGOING FEASIBILITY STUDIES AND SLATED TO START IN 2013. QRT POL CHART 37 AUGUST 2, 2012 NLEX-SLEX LINK ROADS *Map from SMC-Citra group QRT POL CHART 38 AUGUST 2, 2012 EX-PRESIDENT ARROYO OUT ON BAIL… THE POLL SABOTAGE CASE AGAINST THE EX-PRESIDENT WAS WEAK, ACCDG TO THE COURT (THE RESULT OF A RUSHED CASE?) BUT MRS. ARROYO COULD BE ARRESTED ANEW SOON THE OFFICE OF THE OMBUDSMAN HAS ASKED THE ANTI-GRAFT COURT TO ORDER GMA’S ARREST FOR THE PLUNDER CASE RE THE MISUSE OF P366 M PCSO INTEL FUNDS THE PCSO INTEL FUND SCAM IS A STRONGER CASE: GMA ALLEGEDLY CONNIVED WITH THEN PCSO GEN. MANAGER URIARTE TO DIVERT FUNDS FROM THE PCSO’S CHARITY OPERATIONS TO ITS INTELLIGENCE FUNDS, W/C IS EXEMPTED FROM AUDITING MRS. ARROYO NEVER DENIED HER PARTICIPATION IN THE APPROVAL OF THE RELEASE OF THE HUGE SUM OF MONEY MARGINAL NOTES OF APPROVAL ARE ON RECORD, AFFIRMED AND TESTIFIED TO BY URIARTE (THERE’S A PAPER TRAIL) … BUT NOT FOR LONG? QRT POL CHART 39 AUGUST 2, 2012 THE GRANTING OF BAIL IS A SETBACK FOR AQUINO PARTICULARLY IN MAKING THE PREVIOUS ADMIN ACCOUNTABLE FOR ITS ALLEGED TRANSGRESSIONS IN OFFICE (A CRITICAL PART OF PNOY’S ANTI-CORRUPTION AGENDA) THE GOV’T NEEDS TO MAKE SURE ALLEGATIONS VS GMA ARE BACKED BY SUFFICIENT EVIDENCE, AS THESE CASES WILL BE FOUGHT IN A COURT OF LAW , NOT IN A COURT OF PUBLIC OPINION ALSO, THE OFFICE OF THE OMBUDSMAN MUST IMPROVE ITS PREPARATION OF CASES THE NBN-ZTE CASE WAS ORIGINALLY FILED AS PLUNDER, BUT IT WAS LATER DOWNGRADED TO GRAFT QRT POL CHART 40 AUGUST 2, 2012 OTHER CASES THAT COULD PROGRESS THIS YEAR (I.E. FILING OF FORMAL CHARGES BEFORE THE COURTS) 1) OWWA FUNDS MISUSE ALLEGED DIVERSION AND MISUSE OF OWWA FUNDS TO BANKROLL QUESTIONABLE ACQUISITIONS AND TO BOOST GMA’S 2004 PRESIDENTIAL BID; INCLUDES TRANSFER OF OFW MEDICARE FUNDS TO PHILHEALTH IN ORDER TO ENHANCE ELECTORAL CAMPAIGN (DISTRIBUTION OF PHILHEALTH CARDS) 2) MIDNIGHT PORK BARREL (PAGCOR “PABAON” OR SEND-OFF TO GMA) TRANSFER OF AN “INORDINATELY LARGE” SUM TO THE PRESIDENTIAL SOCIAL FUND (AKA PRESIDENT’S PORK) BY PAGCOR IN JUST ONE DAY, A MONTH BEFORE GMA STEPPED DOWN QRT POL CHART 41 AUGUST 2, 2012 3) FARM-TO-POCKET ROADS QUESTIONABLE RELEASE OF FUNDS BY THE DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE FOR FARM-TO-MARKET ROADS WITHOUT WORK PROGRAMS JUST BEFORE GMA STEPPED DOWN FROM OFFICE (JAN-JUNE 2010) 4) ARMM KICKBACKS ACCUSATION BY ZALDY AMPATUAN THAT GMA RECEIVED PAYOFF FOR ARMM FARM-TO-MARKET ROAD PROJECTS IN 2008 AND 2009 QRT POL CHART 42 AUGUST 2, 2012 WILL THE CASES AGAINST ARROYO EVER LEAD TO CONVICTION? THE CASES AGAINST THE MARCOSES ARE NOW 25 YEARS OLD. MORE THAN 900 CRIMINAL & CIVIL CHARGES HAD BEEN FILED ONLY 7% OF TOTAL CASES REMAIN MANY WERE DISMISSED AS PROSECUTORS FAILED TO BUILD UP THE LAWSUITS THEY FAILED TO PRESENT AVAILABLE IMPORTANT EVIDENCE WILL THIS HAPPEN TOO WITH GMA? ARROYO & HER ALLIES MUST BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE IF TRUE REFORM IS TO HAPPEN AQUINO HAS WON SO FAR – BUT THIS IS AN ULTIMATE TEST IF HE WINS THIS IT’S REVOLUTIONARY QRT POL CHART 43 AUGUST 2, 2012