P D S Supply and Demand: An Introduction Q Supply and Demand: How do consumers get the goods and services they want in the right quantities and qualities? Some goods and services are allocated by the market forces of supply and demand Supply and Demand 2 Supply and Demand: Why do some goods and services have shortages or surpluses and others do not? Some good and supplies services are regulated by government Supply and Demand 3 What, How, and for Whom? Central Planning Versus the Market Three Problems All Economic Systems Must Address What should be produced? How should it be produced? For whom will it be produced? Supply and Demand 4 Centralized Economic Organizations Agrarian society Former Soviet Union Cuba, North Korea China? Bureaucracy Havana Supply and Demand 5 What, How, and for Whom? Central Planning Versus the Market Free-Market or Capitalist Economic Systems Individual choices determine Which careers to pursue Which products to produce or buy When to start and shut-down a business Who gets what, which is decided by individual preferences and purchasing power Supply and Demand 6 Buyers and Sellers in Markets A Market Consists of all buyers and sellers of a good or service What do you think? What determines the price of pizza, gasoline, a car wash, or other goods and services? Supply and Demand 7 The Demand Curve A schedule or graph that tells us the quantity of a good that buyers wish to buy at each price Supply and Demand 8 A Property of Demand As price of a good or service goes down the quantity consumers wish to buy will increase Therefore, the demand curve is downwardsloping Supply and Demand 9 The Daily Demand Curve for Pizza in Chicago Price ($ per slice) 4 3 2 Demand 8 12 16 Supply and Demand Quantity (1000s of slices per day) 10 The Demand Curve— Taiwan Beer Price per Bottle When the price is $40 per bottle, 40,000 bottles are demanded (point A). $40 A B 30 At $30 per bottle, 60,000 bottles are demanded (point B). D 40,000 60,000 Supply and Demand Number of Bottles per Month 11 薄利多銷? Supply and Demand 12 Using Price Elasticity of Demand: Mass Transit Elasticity studies show that long-run demand for mass transit is inelastic Therefore, a rise in fare would increase revenues Supply and Demand 13 However, most cities do not raise transit fares due to Desire to provide low-income households with affordable transportation Desire to manage traffic congestion Desire to limit air pollution in the city An increase in fares would increase revenue Would also decrease ridership and require the city to sacrifice these other goals Supply and Demand 14 Buyers and Markets The Demand Curve Why do buyers purchase a greater quantity at lower prices and vice-versa? The substitution effect The income effect Supply and Demand 15 Substitution Effect The change in the quantity demanded of a good that results because buyers switch to substitutes when the price of the good changes Supply and Demand 16 Income Effect The change in the quantity demanded of a good that results because a change in the price of a good changes the buyer’s purchasing power Supply and Demand 17 The Cost-Benefit Principle The reservation price is the benefit the buyer receives from the good The cost of the good is its market price If the reservation price (benefit) exceeds the market price (cost) the consumer will purchase the good At higher prices, benefit will exceed cost for a smaller quantity than at lower prices Supply and Demand 18 WTP Price ($ per slice) The buyers reservation price: The largest dollar amount the buyer would be willing to pay for a good 4 3 2 Demand 8 12 16 Supply and Demand Quantity (1000s of slices per day) 19 Horizontal Interpretation Price ($ per slice) Price determines quantity demanded 4 3 2 Demand 8 12 16 Supply and Demand 20 Vertical Interpretation Price ($ per slice) Quantity measures the marginal buyer’s reservation price 4 3 2 Demand 8 12 16 Supply and Demand 21 The Supply Curve A curve or schedule showing the quantity of a good that sellers wish to sell at each price Supply and Demand 22 Question Will the opportunity cost of producing additional units of pizza increase or decrease? Hint: Low-hanging-fruit principle Supply and Demand 23 The Supply Curve Sellers must receive a higher price to produce additional units of a product to cover the higher opportunity costs of each additional unit Supply and Demand 24 The Daily Supply Curve for Pizza in Chicago Price ($ per slice) Supply 4 3 2 8 12 16 Supply and Demand Quantity (1000s of slices per day) 25 The Daily Supply Curve for Pizza in Chicago Horizontal Interpretation Price ($ per slice) Supply 4 Shows the quantity produced for each price 3 2 8 12 16 Supply and Demand Quantity (1000s of slices per day) 26 The Daily Supply Curve for Pizza in Chicago Vertical Interpretation Price ($ per slice) Supply 4 Shows the marginal cost (reservation price) for producing each additional unit 3 2 8 12 16 Supply and Demand Quantity (1000s of slices per day) 27 Market Equilibrium Seller’s Reservation Price The smallest dollar amount for which a seller would be willing to sell an additional unit, generally equal to marginal cost Supply and Demand 28 Market Equilibrium Equilibrium A system is in equilibrium when there is no tendency for it to change Market Equilibrium Occurs in a market when all buyers and sellers are satisfied with their respective quantities at the market price Supply and Demand 29 The Equilibrium Price and Quantity of Pizza in Chicago Price ($ per slice) Supply Equilibrium at $3 Quantity Demanded = Quantity Supplied 4 3 2 Demand 8 12 16 Supply and Demand Quantity (1000s of slices per day) 30 Equilibrium Price and Equilibrium Quantity The values of price and quantity for which quantity supplied and quantity demanded are equal Supply and Demand 31 What Do You Think? Would buyers prefer a lower price than the equilibrium price? Would sellers prefer a higher price than the equilibrium price? Supply and Demand 32 Excess Supply Excess supply = 8,000 slices per day Price ($ per slice) Supply 4 3 2 Demand 8 12 16 Supply and Demand Quantity (1000s of slices per day) 33 Excess Demand Price ($ per slice) Supply 4 Excess demand = 8,000 slices per day 3 2 Demand 8 16 Supply and Demand Quantity (1000s of slices per day) 34 Points Along the Demand and Supply Curves of a Pizza Market Demand for pizza Supply of pizza Price ($/slice) Quantity demanded (1000s of slices/day) Price ($/slice) Quantity supplied (1000s of slices/day) 1 8 1 2 2 6 2 4 3 4 3 6 4 2 4 8 Supply and Demand 35 Graphing Supply and Demand and Finding the Equilibrium Price and Quantity Price ($per slice) Supply 5 4 The Equilibrium Price = $2.50 The Equilibrium Quantity = 5 3 2.50 2 1 0 Demand 2 4 6 8 10 Quantity (1000s of slices per day) 5 Supply and Demand 36 What Do You Think? Is the market equilibrium always an ideal outcome for all market participants? Supply and Demand 37 An Unregulated Housing Market Monthly Rent ($/apartment) Supply What Do You Think? Is $1600 more than some people can afford? 1600 Demand 2 Supply and Demand Quantity (Millions of apartments/day) 38 Rent Controls Monthly Rent ($/apartment) Supply 2400 Excess demand = 2 million apartments per month 1600 Controlled = 800 Demand 0 1 2 3 Supply and Demand Quantity (Millions of apartments/day) 39 Market Equilibrium Rent Controls Reconsidered Other consequences of rent controls Maintenance will decline and housing quality will fall Illegal payments Creation of co-ops and conversion to condominiums Reduction in household mobility Discrimination Supply and Demand 40 Case study: What do you think? How can we make housing affordable for poor people without using rent ceilings? Health insurance Tuition fee KTR Fruit/Rice export High-speed railway THR Supply and Demand 41 Rent Controls What is the impact of a rent control set at $1,200/month? Monthly Rent ($/apartment) Supply 1200 What is the impact of a rent control set at $600/month? 800 600 Demand 0 1 2 3 Supply and Demand Quantity (Millions of apartments/day) 42 Price Controls in the Pizza Market Price ($ per slice) Supply 4 Excess demand = 8,000 slices per day 3 Price ceiling = 2 Demand 8 12 16 Supply and Demand Quantity (1000s of slices per day) 43 Rental control in Paris or NCCU Supply and Demand 44 Market Equilibrium Pizza Price Controls? Market responses to a pizza price ceiling Long lines Preferential treatment to selected customers Alternative pricing strategies Poorer quality ingredients Black-market pizzas Supply and Demand 45 Predicting and Explaining Changes in Prices and Quantities Distinguishing Between A change in the quantity demanded A movement along the demand curve that occurs in response to a change in price A change in demand A shift of the entire demand curve Supply and Demand 46 An Increase in Quantity Demanded Price ($/can) 6 D Increase in quantity demanded 5 4 3 2 1 0 D 2 4 12 Supply and Demand Quantity (1000s of cans/day) 47 an Increase in Demand Price ($/can) 6 D’ D 5 4 Increase in demand 3 2 D’ 1 D 0 12 Supply and Demand Quantity (1000s of cans/day) 48 A Shift of The Demand Curve Price per Bottle An increase in income shifts the demand curve for beers from D1 to D2. At each price, more bottles are demanded after the shift B C $2.00 D1 D2 80,000 Number of Bottles per Month 60,000 Supply and Demand 49 Predicting and Explaining Changes in Prices and Quantities Change in the quantity supplied A movement along the supply curve that occurs in response to a change in price Change in supply A shift of the entire supply curve Supply and Demand 50 An Increase in Quantity Supplied vs. an Increase in Supply Price ($/can) S 6 5 Increase in quantity supplied 4 3 2 S 1 0 2 4 6 8 10 Supply and Demand Quantity (1000s of cans/day) 51 An Increase in Quantity Supplied vs. an Increase in Supply Price ($/can) 6 S S’ 5 4 3 Increase in supply 2 1 S’ S 0 2 4 6 8 10 Supply and Demand Quantity (1000s of cans/day) 52 The Effect on the Market for Tennis Balls of a Decline in Court Rental Fees Price ($/ball) S 1.40 1.00 D’ D 40 58 Supply and Demand Quantity (letters/month) 53 Effect on the Market for Overnight Letter Delivery of a Decline in the Price of Internet Access Price ($/letter) S P P’ D D’ Q’ Q Supply and Demand Quantity (letters/month) 54 Predicting and Explaining Changes in Prices and Quantities Economic Naturalist When the Federal Government implements a large pay increase for its employees, why do rents for apartments near Washington Metro stations go up relative to rents for apartments located far away from Metro stations? Supply and Demand 55 Predicting and Explaining Changes in Prices and Quantities Shifts in Demand Complements Two goods are complements in consumption if an increase (decrease) in the price of one cause a decrease (increase) in the demand for the other Supply and Demand 56 Predicting and Explaining Changes in Prices and Quantities Shifts in Demand Substitutes Two goods are substitutes in consumption if an increase (decrease) in the price of one causes an increase (decrease) in the demand for the other Supply and Demand 57 Predicting and Explaining Changes in Prices and Quantities Shifts in Demand Changes In Demand An increase (decrease) in the demand for a good will shift the demand curve to the right (left) Supply and Demand 58 Predicting and Explaining Changes in Prices and Quantities What do you think? How will a decline in airfares affect intercity bus fares and the price of hotel rooms in resort communities? Supply and Demand 59 The Effect of a Federal Pay Raise on the Rent for Conveniently Located Apartments in Washington D.C. Rent (dollars per month) S P’ P D Q Q’ Supply and Demand D’ Conveniently located apartments (units per month) 60 Predicting and Explaining Changes in Prices and Quantities A Change In Income Normal Good One whose demand increases (decreases) when the incomes of buyers increase (decrease) Supply and Demand 61 Predicting and Explaining Changes in Prices and Quantities A Change In Income Inferior Goods (Giffen Goods) One whose demand decreases (increases) when the incomes of buyers increase (decrease) Supply and Demand 62 Giffen Goods Supply and Demand 63 The Effect of the Release of Jurassic Park on the Market for Toy Dinosaurs D’ = demand after release of movie Price S P’ P D’ D Q Q’ Supply and Demand Toy Dinosaurs (units per month) 64 The Effect of a Credible Rumor on the Market for Apple Macintosh Computers D’ = demand after rumor of cheaper model soon to be released Price S P P’ D’ Q’ Q Supply and Demand D Apple Computers (units per month) 65 The Effect of the Increase in the Population of Potential Buyers D’ = demand after increase in population Price S P’ P D Q Q’ Supply and Demand D’ Housing NY City (units per month) 66 The Effect on the Skateboard Market of an Increase in the Price of Fiberglass Price ($/skateboard) S’ S 80 60 D 800 1000 Supply and Demand Quantity (skateboards/month) 67 Predicting and Explaining Changes in Prices and Quantities What Do You Think? Does the increase in the cost of fiberglass have any effect on the demand curve for skateboards? Supply and Demand 68 The Effect on the Market for New Houses of a Decline in Carpenters’ Wage Rates Price ($1000/house) S S’ 120 90 D 40 50 Supply and Demand Quantity (houses/month) 69 The Effect of Technical Change on the Market for the Term Paper Revisions Price ($/revision) S 55 S’ 7.50 D 12 36 Supply and Demand Quantity (millions of revisions per year) 70 Predicting and Explaining Changes in Prices and Quantities Other determinants of supply Weather Expectations Number of sellers Supply and Demand 71 Four Rules Governing the Effects of Supply and Demand Shifts: I An increase in demand will lead to an increase in both the equilibrium price and quantity Price S P’ P D Q Q’ Supply and Demand D’ Quantity 72 Four Rules Governing the Effects of Supply and Demand Shifts: II A decrease in demand will lead to a decrease in both the equilibrium price and quantity Price S P P’ D’ Q’ D Quantity Q Supply and Demand 73 Four Rules Governing the Effects of Supply and Demand Shifts: III An increase in supply will lead to a decrease in the equilibrium price and an increase in the equilibrium quantity Price S S’ P P’ D Q Q’ Supply and Demand Quantity 74 Four Rules Governing the Effects of Supply and Demand Shifts: IV An decrease in supply will lead to an increase in the equilibrium price and a decrease in the equilibrium quantity Price S’ S P’ P D Q’ Quantity Q Supply and Demand 75 Predicting and Explaining Changes in Prices and Demand Factors That Cause an Increase (rightward or upward shift) in Demand 1. A decrease in the price of complements to the good or service 2. An increase in the price of substitutes for the good or service 3. An increase in income (for a normal good) Supply and Demand 76 Predicting and Explaining Changes in Prices and Demand Factors That Cause an Increase (rightward or upward shift) in Demand 4. An increased preference by demanders for the good or service 5. An increase in the population of potential buyers 6. An expectation of higher prices in the future Supply and Demand 77 Predicting and Explaining Changes in Prices and Demand Factors That Cause an Increase (rightward or upward shift) in Supply 1. A decrease in the cost of materials, labor, or other inputs used in the production of the good or service 2. An improvement in technology that reduces the cost of producing the good or service Supply and Demand 78 Predicting and Explaining Changes in Prices and Demand Factors That Cause an Increase (rightward or upward shift) in Supply 3. An improvement in the weather, especially for agricultural products 4. An increase in the number of suppliers 5. An expectation of lower prices in the future Supply and Demand 79 The Effects of Simultaneous Shifts in Supply and Demand The Market for Corn Tortilla Chips Price ($/bag) S S’ P S’ after reduction in price of corn harvesting equipment D’ after discovery that oils are harmful to people’s health P’ D D’ Q’ Q Supply and Demand Millions of bags per month 80 The Effects of Simultaneous Shifts in Supply and Demand The Market for Corn Tortilla Chips Price ($/bag) S S’ P S’ after reduction in price of corn harvesting equipment D’ after discovery that oils are harmful to people’s health P’ D’ Q Q’ Supply and Demand D Millions of bags per month 81 Predicting and Explaining Changes in Prices and Demand Assume A vitamin found in corn chips helps protect against cancer and heart disease A swarm of locusts destroys part of the corn crop What Do You Think? What will happen to the equilibrium price and quantity of corn chips? Supply and Demand 82 Predicting and Explaining Changes in Prices and Demand Economic Naturalist Why do the prices of some goods, like airline tickets to Europe, go up during the months of heaviest consumption, while others, like sweet corn, go down? Supply and Demand 83 Seasonal Variation in Air Travel and Corn Markets High Consumption due to High Demand Price ($/ticket) S PS PW DS DW QW QS Supply and Demand 1000s of tickets 84 Seasonal Variation in Air Travel and Corn Markets Price ($/bushel) High Consumption due to High Supply SW SS PS PW D QW QS Supply and Demand Millions of bushels 85 Markets and Social Welfare What Do You Think? When are the prices and quantities determined in market equilibrium socially optimal, in the sense of maximizing total economic surplus? Supply and Demand 86 Markets and Social Welfare Cash On The Table Assume All exchange is purely voluntary If so The buyer’s reservation price exceeds the seller’s reservation price and both the buyer and seller receive an economic surplus Supply and Demand 87 Cash On The Table Economic metaphor for unexploited gains from exchange Buyer’s surplus Seller’s surplus The difference between the buyer’s reservation price and the price he or she actually pays The difference between the price received by the seller and his or her reservation price Total surplus The difference between the buyer’s reservation price and the seller’s reservation price Supply and Demand 88 Price Controls in the Pizza Market Price ($ per slice) Assume •Buyer’s reservation P = $4 •Sellers reservation P = $2 •Pizza sells for $3 S 4 •Buyer’s surplus: $4 - $3 = $1 •Seller’s surplus: $3 - $2 = $1 •Total surplus: $4 - $2 = $2 3 2 D 8 12 16 Supply and Demand Quantity (1000s of slices per day) 89 Price Controls in the Pizza Market Excess demand = $8,000 slices/day Price ($ per slice) Assume price controls = $2 •Quantity supplied falls to 8,000 •Buyer’s reservation price ($4) is greater than seller’s ($2) • Both would benefit from additional production •There is CASH ON THE TABLE 4 3 2 D S 8 12 16 Supply and Demand Quantity (1000s of slices per day) 90 Markets and Social Welfare Smart For One, Dumb For All Socially optimal quantity The quantity of a good that results in the maximum possible economic surplus from producing and consuming the good The socially optimal quantity occurs when MC = MB Supply and Demand 91 Markets and Social Welfare Smart For One, Dumb For All Economic efficiency occurs when all goods and services are produced and consumed at their respective socially optimal levels Supply and Demand 92 Markets and Social Welfare Smart For One, Dumb For All Achieving economic efficiency Maximizes the economic surplus Increases the economic pie Supply and Demand 93 Markets and Social Welfare Smart For One, Dumb For All When is the market equilibrium efficient? When all costs of producing the good or service are borne directly by the seller When all benefits from the good or service accrue directly to buyers Supply and Demand 94 Markets and Social Welfare Smart For One, Dumb For All Inefficient market equilibrium When some costs of production fall on people other than those who sell the good or service Supply and Demand 95 Markets and Social Welfare Example: Pollution The market is in equilibrium: MC = MB MC however underestimates the cost to society of producing the good Therefore, the market produces more than the efficient amount and there is no incentive for producers and consumers to alter their behavior Supply and Demand 96 Markets and Social Welfare Smart For One, Dumb For All Inefficient market equilibrium When some benefits from the good or service accrue to people who did not buy the good or service Supply and Demand 97 Markets and Social Welfare Example: Vaccinations The market is in equilibrium: MC = MB MB underestimates the benefits to society of consuming the vaccinations The market produces less than the efficient amount of vaccinations and there is no incentive for producers and consumers to alter their behavior Supply and Demand 98 Markets and Social Welfare Smart For One, Dumb For All In these markets Buyers and sellers are behaving rationally Market equilibrium exists There are no unexploited opportunities for individuals Economic surplus is not maximized Supply and Demand 99