EC4201 (Provisional may change) Economic Analysis LECTURERS: Dr Ozge Senay (Principal Module Teacher) Dr Kemal Ozbek LECTURES: 25 lectures, beginning in week 1. 3 lectures per week on Mondays, Tuesdays and Wednesdays at 10 am in PLACE. EXAMINATION: One examination (3 hours) with two sections: Section A (50%) Macro maths and formal development + essay Section B (50%) Micro maths and formal development FINAL GRADE: Examination, 70% weight 2 Class tests, 15% weight on each PREREQUISITE: Available only to students in second year of Honours programme Martinmas (First) Semester 2015/16 CREDITS: 30 TUTORIALS: 8x1 hour tutorials in weeks 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8 and 9. Tutorials will involve working problems or exercises assigned the week before. CONTINUOUS ASSESSMENT: Two class tests, 50 minutes each: Class test 1 on TBA. Class test 2 on TBA. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The class tests have quantitative elements REQUIREMENTS: Participation in at least 6 tutorials Introduction The module is designed to provide an advanced understanding of economic theory with applications, covering both macroeconomics and microeconomics. The Macroeconomics part of the module has three main components. The first group of lectures focuses on analysing the main features of three general models of growth theory, namely the Solow model, the Ramsey model and endogenous growth models, the main focus of interest of the second group of lectures is advanced real business cycle theory and its applications. The final group of lectures aims to introduce the main framework of modern macroeconomic analysis, namely dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models, and to relate its applications to recent economic crises. The Microeconomics part of the module covers selected topics in game theory supplied with insightful applications. Game theory is the study of rational behavior in decision making situations with multiple players having conflicting interests, where the payoff of each player depends not only on his own actions but also on the actions of others, and thereby on the nature of strategic interactions between players. Game theory has important applications in economics, and in the fields of political science, international relations, business administration, law and biology. Learning Outcomes By the end of the macroeconomic component of this module, students should know and understand the following: the main features of key growth models the main features of real business cycle theory and methodology the theoretical and empirical underpinnings of real business cycle models and their extensions modern macroeconomic analysis using dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models and their applications to recent economic crises There is strong emphasis on analytical reasoning in the microeconomic component of this module, although no advanced mathematical tool is used. A student who has taken this part of the module should be able to: Analyze both simultaneous and sequential move games with different solution concepts like dominant strategy equilibrium, Nash equilibrium, and subgame perfect equilibrium. Understand different methods to solve games, like dominance and elimination of strategies, rationalizability, best responses, and backward induction. Construct game theoretic models to study problems with strategic interactions, and apply solution methods to predict an outcome for the game. Course Outline Macro-Economics Time permitting, the topics to be covered in this part of the course are: 1. Growth theory and analysis of key growth models (the Solow model, the Ramsey model and endogenous growth models) 2. Empirical evidence on growth models 3. Real business cycle (RBC) theory and the empirical performance of RBC models 4. Extensions to the basic RBC model and recent developments in RBC modelling 5. Framework of modern macroeconomic analysis: Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models and their applications to recent economic crises Micro-Economics Time permitting, the topics to be covered in this part of the course are: 1. Representations and Basic Assumptions 2. Simultaneous-move Games: Behavior and Applications 3. Sequential-move Games: Behavior and Applications 4. Information and Behavior Selected Readings (Detailed reading lists will be given before each set of lectures start - electronic library reading lists for the module will also be made available on MMS) Macro-Economics 1. Romer, D. (2006) Advanced Macroeconomics 2. Jones, C.I., Vollrath, D. (2013) Introduction to Economic Growth 3. Sørensen, P.B., Whitta-Jacobsen, H.J. (2005) Introducing Advanced Macroeconomics: Growth and Business Cycles Micro-Economics 1. Watson, J., Strategy: An Introduction to Game Theory, 2013. 2. Tadelis, S., Game Theory: An Introduction, 2013. 3. Dixit, A., Skeath, S., Reiley, D., Games of Strategy, 2010. 4. Osborne, M.J., An Introduction to Game Theory, 2009. 5. Gibbons, R., A Primer in Game Theory, 1992.