ROAD TO MEDICAL INNOVATION & ACCESS: FROM A REAR-VIEW MIRROR Global Health Histories Seminar Series 11 July 2012 Geneva, WHO Headquarters Zafar Mirza Department of Public Health, Innovation and Intellectual Property THE PRESENTATION 1. Unpacking the concepts 2. Evolution of medical innovation 3. Evolving business model 4. Conclusions MEDICAL INNOVATION AND ACCESS unpacking the concepts 1. Medical Technologies? 2. Medical Innovation? 3. Access? MEDICAL TECHNOLOGIES Purpose / Application • Prevention : Vaccines; Iodized Salt • Screening : pap smear; mammography • Diagnosis : ECG; Blood Tests • Treatment : ARVs, Appendectomy • Rehabilitation: Hearing Aid; Physiotherapy Material Nature • Pharmaceuticals • Biologics • Medical devices • Miscellaneous • Medical & surgical procedures • Support systems • Managerial systems MEDICAL INNOVATION • Health innovation & medical innovation • Innovation & R&D • Innovation in medical technologies • Is it just R&D in medical technologies? • Specific context of debate on innovation in medical technologies HOW MEDICAL INNOVATION IS DIFFERENT? 1. Sine qua non of health development 2. Public good dimension 3. Discovery is supported by public sector 4. Drug development is long, expensive & risky 5. End products are protected through patents 6. End products are strictly regulated 7. Equitable access to innovations is critical. ACCESS TO MEDICAL TECHNOLOGIES 1. Rational 3. Sustainable selection financing MEDICAL ACCESS INNOVATION 2. Affordable prices 4. Reliable health and supply systems ACCESS TO MEDICAL TECHNOLOGIES two main sets of issues 1. Problems in access to generic medicines • health system related issues e.g. in 2000 few data: people with medicines pricevery surveys average HIV/AIDS in countries were availability12 of developing selected essential medicines on in 2011 6.6 million of them wastreatment, 51.8 per cent in public sector health have access toper firstcent lineinARVs, yet 8 facilities and 68.5 the private million still wait for the treatment sector over the period 2007-2011 ACCESS TO MEDICAL TECHNOLOGIES two main sets of issues 2. Problems in access to patent protected medicines In March 2012, India granted its first compulsory license, allowing a domestic drug maker to manufacture generic version of Nexavar, a cancer drug by Germany's Bayer. That enabled India's Natco Pharma to sell its generic version of Nexavar at INR 8,800 rupees ($160) per monthly dose, a fraction of the INR 280,000 ($5090) rupees Bayer's version cost. EVOLUTION OF MEDICAL INNOVATION • Medicine and medical technology… • Two approaches…looking from which side • Three mile-stone medical innovations: • Vaccine: Small-pox vaccine 1796 • Medical device: Hypodermic syringe 1844 • Pharmaceutical: Arsphenamine: 1910 EVOLUTION OF MEDICAL INNOVATION FROM EDWARD JENNER TO GAVI VACCINE-PREVENTABLE • Up to 20% of deaths in Europe were MUMPS INFECTIOUS AGENTS OR th century PERTUSSIS (WHOOPING COUGH) dues to smallpox in 19 DISEASES PNEUMOCOCCAL DISEASE POLIO ROTAVIRUS (SEVERE DIARRHEA) RUBELLA (GERMAN MEASLES) TETANUS (LOCKJAW) TICK BORNE ENCEPHALITIS TUBERCULOSIS TYPHOID FEVER VARICELLA (CHICKENPOX) YELLOW FEVER • The last case of smallpox occurred in 1977. ANTHRAX DIPHTHERIA CHOLERA H. INFLUENZAE TYPE B (HIB) HEPATITIS A HEPATITIS B HEPATITIS E INFLUENZA JAPANESE ENCEPHALITIS MEASLES MENINGOCOCCAL DISEASE • 2.5 million deaths each year are prevented. • Between 80-90% of infants receive DPT vaccine EVOLUTION OF MEDICAL INNOVATION FROM EDWARD JENNER TO GAVI • Global vaccine market 2009 was US$24 billion • US$ 1.5 billion on vaccine R&D in 2005 • Few manufacturers, expanding in developing countries, public sector R&D • HIV, TB, Malaria, DNA vaccines, recombinant vector vaccines, new delivery methods • GAVI: committed US$ 7.2 billion by 2011 EVOLUTION OF MEDICAL INNOVATION MEDICAL DEVICES • Range is broad, from adhesive plaster to MRI • 1844, Francis Rynd, first recorded subcutaneous injection. • 1956, plastic disposable syringe patented • 1.3 million/year deaths due to unsafe injections • Auto-destruct syringes, prefilled syringes EVOLUTION OF MEDICAL INNOVATION MEDICAL DEVICES • Global market was USD 210 billion in 2008 • 4/5 sales revenue comes from USA & Europe • Future trends • Robotics, genomics and nanotechnology • Special needs of developing countries • Regulation of medical devices in weak EVOLUTION OF MEDICAL INNOVATION PHARMACEUTICALS • Global market > USD 800 billion • > USD 80 billion on R&D • Emerging markets • Growing mergers • Generic market • Rising costs of R&D and declining results EVOLUTION OF MEDICAL INNOVATION DEVELOPMENT OF MOST INFLUENTIAL PHARMACEUTICALS # 1 Medicine Morphine year 1827 2 3. Aspirin Ether Arsphenamine Insulin Penicillin Chlorpromazine and Haladol Estrogen+ Progestin Digoxin 1897 1842 1910 1922 1929 1950 & 1958 1961 4. 5. 6 7 8 1962 Importance Commercialized by a pharmacy (Merck), pain management (Germany) Synthetic salicylic acid was commercialized (Germany) General anaesthetic, transformed surgery (US) Syphillis Treatment (Hoechst, Germany) 1st hormone therapy, transformed diabetes management Transformed the treatment of microbial diseases Transformed management of psyschosis. (France) (Belgium) Birth Control Pills, deep social impact (USA) Changed treatment of heart failure and hypertension (Germany) (France) 9 Furosemide Loop diuretic, effective treatment of hypertension 10 Atorvastatin 1996 Cholesterol lowering medicine (USA) 1996-7 Transforming effect on AIDS patients 11 HAART L-Dopa (Sweden); Hydrocortisone; Viagra (1996, USA); Ritalin HISTORY AND THE EVOLVING BUSINESS MODEL • No patents on penicillin and polio vaccine. In 1876 when the German industry was in its infancy and the patent law was sun? yet to be • There is no patent. Could you patent the evolved,Jonas Bismarck appointed a committee to study the likely impact of the patent system Salk interview 1955 on the industry. Committee members also included founders of Siemens and Hoechst. Their an interestingand reading: • observations "Patentmade medicine" "patented medicine" • US Patent in 1790, Patent Office in 1802. Today industry is Act developing rapidly........monopolization and abuse of patent rights will inevitably expose large segments • Era of "copying success" and US "Trading with of the industry to serious injury. The government must protect Enemy Act 1917" industry against these dangers... • Compounds, compositions, manufacturing processes and uses. HISTORY AND THE EVOLVING BUSINESS MODEL • Patent protection based model has worked in the USA and Europe but not in developing countries • Blockbuster medicines (annual sales > 1$b) • Patent cliff • Pharmaceutical Executive salaries Annual compensation packages of top 5 CEOs in pharmaceutical industry 1 J&J William Weldon 2011 US$ 26.7 million 2 Pfizer Ian Read 2011 US$ 25 million 3 Abbott Miles White 2011 US$ 24 million 4 Mylan Robert Coury 2011 US$ 21.3 million 5 Amgen Kevin Sharer 2011 US$ 18.9 million HISTORY AND THE EVOLVING BUSINESS MODEL • What TRIPS changed? • Concerns about innovation for developing countries • Market failure of business model for NTDs • Search for alternatives • PDPs • GSPA-PHI • Consultative Expert Working Group on R&D: Financing and Coordination CONCLUSIONS • Medical innovation cannot be discussed today without discussion on access. • Last 200 years of medical innovation have been more productive than rest of the recorded human history. • Today the focus is on enhancing innovation for developing countries. • Current business model is showing signs of exhaustion • Era of innovation for innovation.