Chapter 29 Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Chapter Objectives • Aggregate demand (AD) • Aggregate supply (AS) • How AD and AS determine equilibrium price and real GDP • The AD-AS model 29-2 Aggregate Demand • Amount of real GDP purchased at each price level • Why the downward slope? – No income or substitution effect – Real-balances effect: purchasing power of held assets (C) – Interest-rate effect: demand for $ (I) – Foreign purchases effect (X) • Consumption, investment, and net exports 29-3 Price Level Aggregate Demand Curve Aggregate Demand AD Real Domestic Output, GDP 29-4 Aggregate Demand • Determinants of aggregate demand – Fixed variables along the demand curve • Change in fixed variable (C I G X) • Multiplier effect • Consumer spending variables: – Consumer wealth: value of assets – Consumer expectations: income and prices – Household borrowing: borrowing vs. repaying – Personal taxes 29-5 Aggregate Demand • Investment spending variables –Real interest rates (related to money supply) –Expected returns on investment • Future business conditions • Technology • Degree of excess capacity • Business taxes –r=i 29-6 Aggregate Demand • Government spending • Remember - Non-transfers only • Net export spending variables • National income abroad • Exchange rates 29-7 Dempsey may have gained us a point… …but Gerrard can take solace in the favorable exchange rate. 29-8 Changes in Aggregate Demand Price Level Increase in Aggregate Demand Decrease in Aggregate Demand AD2 AD1 AD3 Real Domestic Output, GDP 29-9 Aggregate Supply • Amount real GDP produced at each price level • Three time horizons • Immediate short run –Few days to a few months –All prices fixed (input and output) –Implicit price agreements (output) –Contractual agreements (input) 29-10 Price Level Aggregate Supply ASISR Immediate-shortrun Aggregate Supply Qf Real Domestic Output, GDP 29-11 Aggregate Supply 29-12 Aggregate Supply • Short run –Input prices fixed –Output prices variable –Real profit changes • Long run –All prices variable –Full employment GDP –All prices adjust 29-13 Aggregate Supply Slope not constant: per unit production cost and firm capacity Price Level Aggregate Supply (Short Run) 0 Competition for resources hikes ATC Plentiful resources limit growth of ATC Qf Real Domestic Output, GDP 29-14 Aggregate Supply Price Level ASLR Long-run Aggregate Supply Qf Real Domestic Output, GDP 29-15 Aggregate Supply • Determinants of aggregate supply • Change in input price (land, labor, capital) – Domestic resource prices – Prices of imported resources • Change in productivity • Change in legal-institutional environment – Business taxes and subsidies – Government regulation 29-16 Aggregate Supply AS3 AS1 AS2 Price Level Decrease in Aggregate Supply Increase in Aggregate Supply Real Domestic Output, GDP 29-17 Equilibrium Real Output Demanded (Billions) Price Level (Index Number) Real Output Supplied (Billions) $506 108 $513 508 104 512 510 100 510 512 96 507 514 92 502 Equilibrium Price Level and Equilibrium Real GDP 29-18 Equilibrium Price Level AS Equilibrium 100 92 a b AD 502 510 514 Real Domestic Output, GDP (Billions of Dollars) 29-19 Changes in Equilibrium Increase in Aggregate Demand Price Level AS Demand-Pull Inflation P2 P1 AD1 **increase in price level diminishes the multiplier effect AD Qf Q1 Q2 Real Domestic Output, GDP 29-20 Changes in Equilibrium Decrease in Aggregate Demand Price Level AS b P1 c P2 **No change in price level protects full multiplier effect a Creates a Recession AD1 AD2 Q1 Q 2 Qf Real Domestic Output, GDP 29-21 Changes in Equilibrium • Decrease in aggregate demand – Recession and cyclical unemployment – Deflation? • Downward price inflexibility: – Fear of price wars – Menu costs – Wage contracts – Morale, effort, and productivity • Efficiency wages: output per hour of input – Minimum Wage 29-22 Changes in Equilibrium Decrease in Aggregate Supply Price Level AS2 Cost-Push Inflation P2 P1 AS1 b a AD Q1 Qf Real Domestic Output, GDP 29-23 Changes in Equilibrium Increases in Aggregate Supply – Full-Employment With Price-Level Stability Price Level AS1 P3 P2 P1 AS2 b c a AD2 AD1 Q1 Q2Q3 Real Domestic Output, GDP 29-24 Impact of Oil Prices • Aggregate supply shocks • Cost push inflation • Oil prices affected core inflation prior to 1980 • Core inflation unaffected post 1980 – Energy efficiency – Composition of GDP – Fed vigilance 29-25 Key Terms • aggregate demandaggregate supply (ADAS) model • aggregate demand • real-balances effect • interest-rate effect • foreign purchases effect • determinants of aggregate demand • aggregate supply • immediate-short-run aggregate supply curve • short-run aggregate supply curve • long-run aggregate supply curve • determinants of aggregate supply • productivity • equilibrium price level • equilibrium real output • menu costs • efficiency wages 29-26 Next Chapter Preview… Fiscal Policy, Deficits, and Debt 29-27 Appendix The Relationship of the Aggregate Demand Curve to the Aggregate Expenditures Model Deriving the AD Curve Aggregate Expenditures (billions of dollars) AE1 (at P1 ) AE2 (at P2 ) AE3 (at P3 ) As Price Levels Increase… Price Level 45° P3 Real GDP Declines P2 P1 AD Q1 Q2 Q3 Real Domestic Product, GDP 29-29 Deriving the AD Curve AE2 (at P1 ) Aggregate Expenditures AE1 (at P1 ) Increase in Aggregate Expenditures Price Level 45° Increase in Aggregate Demand P1 AD2 AD1 Q1 Q2 Real Domestic Product, GDP 29-30 Deriving the AD Curve AE2 (at P1 ) Aggregate Expenditures AE1 (at P1 ) The Shift in the Aggregate Demand Curve is a Multiple of the initial Change in Aggregate Expenditures Price Level 45° P1 AD2 AD1 Q1 Q2 Real Domestic Product, GDP 29-31