World population clock 7 billion ESS January 9th Cycles test/IAs – see me during tutorial Tuesday Thursday Friday – Field trip forms and money Field trip – Mangroves and Population This term – any work may be assessed The course Topic 1: Systems and models Topic 2: The ecosystem (2.6 and 2.7 to do) Topic 3: Human population, carrying capacity and resource use Human population, carrying capacity and resource use 3.1 Population dynamics 3.1.1: Exponential growth 3.1.2: Population change • • • • • CBR CDR Fertility Doubling time Natural increase 3.1.3: The DTM and population pyramids 3.1.4: Models to predict population growth Term 1. Population pyramid 2. Crude birth rate (CBR) 3. Crude death rate (CDR) 4. Fertility rate 5. Doubling time 6. Natural increase 7. Demographic transition model (DTM) 8. Life expectancy (LE) 9. Infant mortality rate (IMR) 10. Exponential growth 11. Limiting factors 12. Total fertility rate Meaning The number of years a person is expected to live to, on average A graph which shows the age and sex structure of a country or area The length of time in years it takes for the population to double The number of deaths each year for every 1000 people in that country st The number of babies that die before their 1 birthday, out of every 1000 babies born in a year The total number of children a woman has over her lifetime Things in the environment that reduce or stop population growth The number of babies born each year for every 1000 people in the country A graph which shows changes in CBR, CDR and total population over time Where the rate of growth increases as time goes on (i.e. a graph has a curved line not a straight one) The number of births for every 1000 women of childbearing age The maximum number of people an area can support sustainably The difference between the crude birth rate and the crude death rate (CBR – CDR) /10 10 to give a %) (divided by If the world were a village How has the world’s population changed over time? Billion people Year 1 1804 2 1927 3 1960 4 1974 5 1987 6 1999 7 2011 Draw a very quick line graph to show this information. 1. How many years did it take the world’s population to increase from 1 billion to 2 billion? 2. 2 billion to 3 billion? 3. 3 billion to 4 billion? 4. 4 billion to 5 billion? 5. 5 billion to 6 billion? 6. 6 billion to 7 billion? 7. What is your estimate for the number of years to increase from 7 billion to 8 billion? 8. What was the doubling time for 1 to 2 billion and 2 to 4 billion? 9. What evidence is there in the graph above that the world’s population growth may slow down? 10. In which 50 years did most growth take place? 11. Is most of the growth in MEDCs or LEDCs? 12. True/false: The rate of population growth has been increasing with time. Why has there been a population explosion? Why has there been a population explosion? Birth rate Death rate If the BR is greater than the DR we have population growth (natural increase). The Demographic Transition Model • Each take one sheet – High BR, High DR, Low BR, Low DR – use these to complete the following table. Die young: High death rate Live to be older: Low death rate Lots of children: High birth rate Few children: Low birth rate Demographic Transition Model • Many more houses are being built • Deepta aged 9 works on a farm instead of going to school • The Public Health Inspector smiles as the building of the new sewers are completed • Parents start to think more about family planning • Fewer people share a bedroom • Shakira has 7 brothers and sisters • Grandparents are rare • There are more Golden Weddings • People are encouraged to migrate to other countries to find employment • A mother sobs over the grave of the last of her 6 children who died in a typhoid epidemic • Cheryl is promoted to Manager of the bank where she works. • A new highway has just been built connecting 2 towns to the port The Philippines: population information Population: 100M Density: 300 /km2 0-14: 35% There are ……………………. in The P. and in every square kilometre of land there are, on average, ………. people. It is a problem when a country is densely populated because… 15-64: 61% Nearly 2/3 of the population are working age. These people ‘provide’ for the ……………………. and the ……………….. by having jobs and paying taxes. There are not many / many old people in The P. People may die young because…. >65: 4% Population growth: 1.9% This means …………. of all of the people in The P. are under 15. It means the government needs to provide lots of… This means that every year the population of The P. grows by 1.9%. This adds approximately ………………..……. people to the country each year. This is a problem because… Birth rate: 25/1000/yr This means that if there were only 1000 people in The P. 25 would be born each year. However there are ……………………………… people in The P. which means ……………………. babies are born every year. Infant This means that out of every 1000 babies born …….. die before they mortality are 1. This is high. It may be because… rate: 19/1000 Life expectancy: 72 years Net migration: 1.3% This means, on average, people… This means each year 1.3% of the population leave The P. That means ………………………… people leave. This may be because… It is a problem because the people that leave are often… Big understanding: What are the population issues facing The Philippines? (8 marks) The Philippines Use the CIA website to find out about three countries’ population data. LEDC / MEDC / Philippines Fill in your answers on the worksheet that follows – round all figures off to a sensible number COUNTRY Total population 0-14 15-64 65 + Median age Population growth rate Birth rate Death rate Natural increase (BRDR) Migration (+ means into the country, means out of the country) % living in cities Infant mortality Life expectancy Generally Low = good High = good High = good Low = good Low = good Low = good Low = good High = good LEDC: MEDC: Philippines At the end: colour code: dark red for worst, green for best, orange/yellow for middle The Philippines: watch the youtube clip “Sex and Religion” Questions to follow The Philippines: sex and religion 1. Manila is fast growing / slow growing. 2. What products can be bought at the stall? What are they used for? 3. How many illegal abortions take place each year? 4. What is one side effect of these abortions? 5. Why do people blame the church for The Philippines’ population growth? 6. Are contraceptives given out by public health clinics? 7. Out of all the pregnant women in Manila, what proportion of the women wanted to get pregnant? 8. How large is the family in the film? What are the knock-on effects of this large family size on living space, poverty and education? IA: Population issues in The Philippines 1. How old are you? 2. How many children have you had? 3. Have any of your children not survived? 4. How children do you want to have in total? 5. What is your total monthly family income? 6. How many children did your parents have? 7. Area: Batangas / Manila Choose your title: How have birth rates changed over time in The Philippines? Is there a difference in birth rates between rural and urban areas in The Philippines? Is there a correlation between birth rates and income levels in The Philippines? Is there a correlation between infant mortality rates and wealth in The Philippines? Are IMR affected by whether you live in a rural or an urban area? Get questionning… 16 people AB – 3 each pair in Manila, 3 again in Batangas 17 people EH – as above Aim: 50 in each area Give all questionnaires to Karenina Recording data: for ABs class: Reggie and Karenina for EHs class: ? Abortion in The Philippines • Watch first