Xingbin Li Chief Representative AMT China

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Xingbin LI

Chief Representative

AMT-Beijing Representative Office

China Market Update

Market Update Breakfast – China

September 8, 2006

CONTENTS

 The China automotive industry

 Production & growth rate

 Opportunity

 Production capacity (current production, production capacity and expansion plan)

 Key automakers

 The China components industry

 Production & growth rate

 Opportunity

 Demands (purchasing plans of major global automakers)

 New measures and tariff (technical barrier)

 Key suppliers (global suppliers and domestic suppliers)

Facts

4 th Largest economy in the world in 2005

GDP: USD 2.263825 trillion

GDP growth rate: 9.9%

2 nd Largest auto market in the world in 2005

Production: 5.75 million units of vehicle

Growth rate: 13.4%

 The largest machine tool market in the world

USD10.9 billion

Growth rate: 15%

The China Automotive Industry

Production & growth rate

China's Vehicle and Car Production From 1998 to 2005

7.00

6.00

5.00

4.00

3.00

2.00

1.00

0.00

4.44

5.07

5.75

3.25

2.95

2.34

2.07

1.83

1.63

1.09

0.50

1998 1999

0.57

0.60

2000

0.70

2001

Year

2002 2003

2.06

2.26

2004 2005

The China Automotive Industry

Production & growth rate

117 Registered Automakers,

Of which 90 company’s capacities

Are less than 10,000 units a year.

2002

Production 3.25

Changes, % 38.8

Vehicles

(Million of Units)

2003

4.44

36.6

2004

5.07

14.2

2005

5.75

13.4

2006

(1 – 6)

3.63

28.9

Source: China Auto Industry Year Book

The China Automotive Industry

Production & growth rate

Production

Change %

China Car Productions

(Million of Units)

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006e (1-6)

0.7 1.09 2.06 2.26

15.1 55.7 89.0 9.7

2.95

30.5

1.80

46.9

Production of Top 8 Chinese automakers from January-June, 2006 (in units)

1.

Shanghai Automotive Industry Corp

2.

First Automotive Works Corp

3.

Dongfeng Motor Corp

4.

Chang'an Motor Corp

5.

Beijing Automotive Industry Corp

6.

Chery Automobile

7.

Geely Automobile

8.

Guangzhou Automobile

(Source: China Association of Automobile Manufacturers)

621,400

562,900

454,200

369,100

337,100

144,200

105,900

105,700

54.85%

23.28%

26.1%

8.39%

11.94%

72.15%

55.62%

The China Automotive Industry

Opportunity – Production capacity

Production in 2005: 5.75 million units

Production capacity in 2005: 8 million units

Production capacity expansion plan: 16 million units by

2010

3,000,000

PRODUCTION CAPACITY OF MAJOR AUTOMAKERS IN CHINA

2,500,000

2,000,000

1,500,000

1,000,000

500,000

0

FAW SAIC DONGFENG CHANGAN BAIC

AUTOMAKERS

GAIG CHERY GEELY

Production in 2005 Current production capacity Planned production capacity in 2010

The China Automotive Industry

Opportunity - Key automakers

The China Components Industry

Sales & growth rate

2002

Components Statistics

($ billion)

2003 2004 2005

“A Fragmented Industry”

1,540 Registered Enterprises

3,500-8,500 Non-Registered

Total Sales 34.2

Domestic 32.3

Imports

Exports

3.4

1.9

47.9

42.1

9.3

5.8

62.7

52.1

11.3

10.6

71.9

56.1

10.4

15.8

Average Annual Sales Per Supplier:

$5.0 to $10.0 million

Source: China Auto Industry Year Book

The China Components Industry

Opportunity - Demands

Daimler-Chrysler (for China operation)

To spend $840 million in buying parts in 2008 ($100 million in 2005)

BMW (for China operation)

To spend $300 million in buying parts in 2007

Volkswagen (for overseas operations)

To spend $1.0 billion in buying parts in 2006 ($300 million in 2005)

Volkswagen (for China operations)

To spend $2.5 billion in buying parts in 2006

Multinational firms totally (for overseas operations)

To spend $35 billion in buying parts by the end of 2007

The China Components Industry

Opportunity – New tariff

Cars

Displacement 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

<3.0 L

>3.0 L

70

80

43.85

50.7

38.2

43

34.2

37.6

30.28

30.3

25

28.25

Parts & Components

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

10

The China Components Industry

Opportunity – New measures

“Measures for the Administration of Import of Automobile

Components and Parts Featuring Complete Vehicles”

Promulgated by the Customs of China, MOC, MOF and NDRC on April 1, 2005

Go into effect on July 1, 2006

The China Components Industry

Opportunity – New measures – Key Points

 Article 21 - Under any of the following circumstances, the imported automobile components and parts shall be considered bearing the features of a complete vehicle:

Importing CKD or SKD to assemble automobiles.

The total price of the imported components and parts is not less than 60% of the total price of the complete vehicle type.

If, within the scope as prescribed in Article 4 of the present Measures:

Importing both the vehicle body (including the cab) assembly and engine assembly to assemble vehicles;

Importing either the vehicle body (including the cab) assembly or engine assembly and 3 or more other assemblies (systems) to assemble vehicles;

Importing 5 or more assemblies (systems) other than the vehicle body (including the cab) assembly and the engine assembly to assemble vehicles.

The China Components Industry

Opportunity – New measures-Key points

 Article 22 - under any of the following circumstances, the imported automobile components and parts shall be considered bearing the features of an automobile assembly (system)

 Importing whole sets of KD components and parts to assemble an assembly (system)

 Importing key components and parts or sub-assemblies to assemble an assembly (system), and the import of key components and parts or sub-assemblies reaches or exceeds the specified quantity.

 The total price of the imported components and parts is not less than 60% of the total price of the assembly (system)

The China Components Industry

Opportunity – New measures

“Measures” REALLY means that

Discouraging automakers from using imported car parts for vehicles they assemble in China and making car by CKD & SKD increases production cost (from 10% to 25%)

Creating an incentive for car parts makers to shift production to

China

The China Components Industry

Opportunity – changes for global suppliers

From shareholding to share controlling

From JV to WOFE

From market penetration to market monopoly

Where are the Major Component

Suppliers Located in China?

MAP OF CHINA

Northeast

(Jilin, Liaoning)

Greater Beijing area

(Beijing, Tianjin)

Yangtze river delta

(Shanghai, Jiangsu, Zhejiang)

Middle China

(Hubei)

Southwest

(Chongqing, Chengdu)

Pearl river delta

(Guangdong, Fujian)

The China Components Industry

Opportunity – key suppliers

Major global suppliers

ASIMCO

Eaton

Delphi

Dana

TRW

Visteon

Lear

BorgWarner

Johnson Controls

Bosch

Siemens VDO

ThyssenKrupp

GKN

Freudenberg

Faurecia

Valeo

Aisin Seiki

Yazaki

Denso

ArvinMeritor

Autoliv

Magna

 Major domestic suppliers

FAW Fawer Auto Parts Co.

Dongfeng Motor Co., Ltd Parts &

Components Business

Wanxiang Group

Sanhua Holding Group

Wanfeng Auto Holding Group

Global Suppliers in China

ASIMCO

Parkview Center, 4/F, 2 Jiangtai Road (s), Chaoyang District 100016, P. R. China

(86)10-6438-2750, www.asimco.com

Asimco Meilian Braking System (Langfang) Co.

Asimco International Costing Co.

Beijing Asimco Tianwei Fuel Injection Pump & Nozzle Co.

Zhong Ding Automotive Components Co

Nanyue Fuel Injection & Pump Co.

Sichuan Dan Chi Industry Co.

Hubei Super-Elec. Auto Components Co.

Harbin Feibeng Auto-Elec. Co.

Asimco Braking System (Zhuhai) Co.

Asimco Braking Braking System (Guangzhou) Co.

Asimco Shuangtai Components (Sichuan) Co.

Langfang, Hebei Province

Jiang County, Shanxi Province

Beijing

Ningguo, Anhui Province

Hengyang, Hunan Province

Air-compressor, brake

Casting for engine block and head

Fuel injection pump, oil nozzle

Rubber products

Fuel injection pump

Sichuan Province

Shashi, Hubei Province

Harbin, Heilongjiang Province

Transmissions

Generators, starters

Igniters, ignition coils, relays, switches

Zhuhai, Guangdong Province Disc & Drum type brakes, vacuum boosters

Guangzhou, Guangdong Province Disc & Drum type brakes, boosters

Sichuan Province Wheels

Eaton

Floor, 300 Huai Hai Zhong Road, Hong Kong New World Tower, Shanghai 200021, P. R. China

(86)21- 6278-5090, www.eaton.com

Eaton Electrical (Suzhou) Co., Ltd. - EES

Eaton Fast Gear (Xi'an) Co., Ltd.

Eaton Fluid Power (Jining) Co., Ltd.

Eaton Fluid Power (Shanghai) Co., Ltd

Eaton Senstar Automotive Fluid Connector (Shanghai) Co.

Eaton Truck and Bus Components (Shanghai) Co., Ltd

Hangzhou Switches Power Systems Co., Ltd.

Shanghai Eaton Engine Components Company, Ltd.

Zhenjiang Eaton Electrical Systems Co., Ltd.

FAW Eaton Gear-Box Co.

Guangzhou Eaton Piston Ring Co.

Ningbo Eaton Shenglong Co.

Suzhou, Jiangsu Province

Xi’an, Shaanxi Province

Jining, Shandong Province

Shanghai

Shanghai

Shanghai

Hangzhou, Zhejing Province

Shanghai

Zhejiang

Electrical circuit protection devices

Transmissions

Hydraulic pumps and motors

Fluid connectors

Fluid connectors

Transmissions

Switches

Engine valves and hydraulic tappets

Electrical devices

Changchun, Jilin Province Transmissions

Guangzhou, Guangdong Province Piston rings

Jingbo, Zhejiang Province Hydraulic hose fittings and adapters

Domestic Suppliers in China

FAW Fawer

245 Shenzhen Street, Economic Development Zone, Changchun, Jilin, P. R. China

(86)0431-4659800, www.fawer.com.cn

There are 23 manufacturing divisions/ companies under FAW Fawer Group.

Dongfeng Motor Co., Ltd Parts & Components Business

8 dong Bin Gu Tai, Dong Cheng Road, Shiyan 442000, Hubei, P. R. China

(86)0719-8221934, www.dfap.com.cn

There are 17 manufacturing/companies under Dongfeng Motor Co. Ltd Parts & Components Business.

Wanxiang Group

Wanxiang Road, Xiao Shan District, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, P. R. China

(86)571-82832999, www.wanxiang.com.cn

There are 8 manufacturing/companies under Wanxiang Group making auto parts and components.

Sanhua Holding Group

Xinchang, Zhejing, P. R. China

(86)575-6222768, www.sanhuagroup.com

There are 7 companies under Sanhua holding group making auto parts.

New Service –

How AMT China Helps you

China Market Penetration Strategy

Development Session

Designed to help those AMT members who are new to

China and want to develop their company’s sales & marketing strategy for today’s China

New Service –

How AMT China Helps you

Review Session for your Existing

China Market Penetration Strategy

Designed to help YOU validate and invigorate your existing

Sales & Marketing Strategy for today’s China

Thank you!

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