Changes and Feedbacks of Land-use and Land-cover under Global Change Mingjie Shi Physical Climatology Course, 387H The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX November 25, 2008 Outline 1. Introduction of land-use and landcover change. 2. Changes of forests and their feedbacks 3. Changes of tropical savanna and their feedbacks 4. Discussion 1. Introduction of land-use and land-cover change Variations promoted by anthropogenic activities include: Substituting forests and grassland for agriculture use, Intensifying farmland production, Urbanization. Deforestation Intensified use Urbanization Albedo Land-use and land-cover change Roughness length Leaf-area index (LAI) surface energy and water balance 1. Introduction of land-use and land-cover change Research methods: Climate models (general circulation model (GCM)), Remote sensing, Field study results. Outline 1. Introduction of land-use and landcover change. 2. Changes of forests and their feedbacks 3. Changes of tropical savanna and their feedbacks 4. Discussion 2 Changes of forests and their feedbacks 2.1 Tropical forest 2.2 Temperate forest 2.3 Boreal forest 2.1 Tropical forest Climate model simulations show that tropical forests maintain high rates of evapotranspiration, decrease surface air temperature, and increase precipitation compared with pastureland. Flux tower measurements in the Brazilian Amazon indicates that forests have lower albedo compared with pasture. 2.1 Tropical forest Simulations with general circulation models (GCMs) demonstrated that changes in albedo, roughness length, leaf-area index and rooting depth caused by tropical deforestation reduce precipitation and relative humidity and increase surface temperature and wind speed. 2.1 Tropical forest Thinning or removal of the forest canopy Reduces tree cover and prevents tree regeneration Greater insolation at the soil surface Increases the air temperature and decreases relative humidity near the soil surface. Increase fire risk 2 Changes of forests and their feedbacks 2.1 Tropical forest 2.2 Temperate forest 2.3 Boreal forest 2.2 Temperate forest Temperate forests are forest in the temperate climate zones. They include: Temperate deciduous forest, Tempereate broadleaf and mixed forests, Temperate coniferous forests, Temperate rain forest. 2.2 Temperate forest Mesoscale model simulations Studies of eastern United States forests: in the United States trees maintain a warmer summer climate in July indicated: trees compared with crops. Lower albedo, increase evapotranspiration augmentation of evaporative cooling from and decrease surface air crops and feedbacks with the atmosphere temperature compared that affect clouds and precipitation. with crops. Flux tower analyses show: conifer and deciduous broadleaf forests in North Carolina have lower surface radiative temperature than grass fields. Greater aerodynamic conductance and evaporative cooling. In western Europe, forest and agricultural land have comparable surface radiative temperature when soil is moist but respond differently to drought. . 2.2 Temperate forest It can be seen that the net climate forcing of temperate forests is highly uncertain. Besides, the future of temperate forests and their climate services has high uncertainty. 2 Changes of forests and their feedbacks 2.1 Tropical forest 2.2 Temperate forest 2.3 Boreal forest 2.3 Boreal forest 2.3 Boreal forest • Boreal forests are different in energy balance, which usually based on the types of forest. • Conifer forests, for example, have low summertime evaporative fraction (defined as the ratio of latent heat flux to available energy), while the deciduous broadleaf forests always produce high rates of sensible heat exchange and deep atmospheric boundary layers. 2.3 Boreal forest Surface albedo increase (The trend of temperature decrease) Climate forcing raises the fire frequency offset deforestation cools climate Carbon emission increase (The trend of temperature increasae) Yet in the first year after fire, positive annual biogeochemical forcing from greenhouse gas emission, ozone, black carbon deposited on snow and ice, and aerosols exceeds the negative albedo forcing. 2 Changes of forests and their feedbacks Carbon storage Evaporative cooling Albedo decrease If is replaced by grassland or farmland Feedback Tropical forests Strong Strong moderate Trend to warmer and drier the air Positive Temperate forest Strong Moderate Moderate Uncertain Positive and negative (Uncertain) Boreal forest Moderate Weak strong Trend to Negative cool down the surface. Outline 1. Introduction of land-use and landcover change. 2. Changes of forests and their feedbacks 3. Changes of tropical savanna and their feedbacks 4. Discussion 3 Changes of tropical savanna and their feedbacks 3 Changes of tropical savanna and their feedbacks Degrades of tropical savanna mainly induced by: Expansion of agriculture Increase of grazing Fire frequency (result from temperature increase) 3 Changes of tropical savanna and their feedbacks • Based on model and satellites research: Degrades of tropical savanna decrease precipitation, increase dry season max temperature, increase dry season maximum wind speed, decrease dry season minimums relative humidity Fire risk increase Outline 1. Introduction of land-use and landcover change. 2. Changes of forests and their feedbacks 3. Changes of tropical savanna and their feedbacks 4. Discussion 4 Discussion Requirement: Meeting immediate human needs and maintaining the capacity of ecosystems to provide goods and services in the future. Mitigate climate change induced by CO2 emission, land-use and land-cover changes. 4 Discussion Strategies: Effective policy should be promoted to keep the balance between the current requirements of human society and the capacity of ecosystems. 4 Discussion Strategies: Through albedo, evapotranspiration, carbon cycle, and other processes, forests can amplify or dampen climate change. The interactions between all these factors are complex, therefore extrapolation of processlevel understanding of ecosystem functioning gained from laboratory experiments or site-specific field studies to large-scale climate models should be enhanced. 4 Discussion Strategies: In addition, remote sensing data can be employed in many ways to solve environmental problems, such as climate change and carbon cycle, loss of biodiversity, sustainability of agriculture, and provision of safe drinking water.