Greenhouse Gas Challenges Mark A. Thimke Green Manufacturing Summit August 31, 2010 1 Mark A. Thimke Mark A. Thimke is a partner with Foley & Lardner LLP. He is a member of the firm’s Environmental Regulation Practice and the Energy Industry Team. Partner Foley & Lardner LLP 777 E Wisconsin Avenue Milwaukee, WI 53202-5306 (414) 297-5832 mthimke@foley.com Mr. Thimke’s practice encompasses all major environmental programs including the Clean Air Act and greenhouse gas regulation. He has been involved in major air enforcement issues, permitting for major coal-fired power plant facilities and developing innovative air permitting techniques with the Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources. With respect to greenhouse gas issues, Mr. Thimke’s involvement goes back many years to early involvement with clients that joined the Chicago Climate Exchange and reviewing contracts for the purchase of greenhouse gas credits resulting from projects in developing countries. Mr. Thimke was actively involved in the Midwest Governors Greenhouse Gas Accord process, which developed rules for a regional Midwest greenhouse gas cap and trade program. Mr. Thimke currently provides comments on the interpretation of “best available control technology” or BACT as applied to the Clean Air Act’s regulation of greenhouse gas. Mr. Thimke’s environmental practice also includes remediation and redevelopment of Brownfields properties, defense of enforcement actions, cleanup of contaminated sediments in rivers and harbors and wastewater permitting. Mr. Thimke has lectured on numerous environmental matters throughout the country and was a principal instructor during a week-long session on environmental compliance at a federal facility in the Republic of the Marshall Islands. He is a member of the Environmental Law Section of the Wisconsin Bar, and the Natural Resources Section of the American Bar Association. He also is an author of the Wisconsin section of the Matthew Bender publication, State Environmental Laws. Mr. Thimke is a graduate of the University of Wisconsin Green Bay (B.A., summa cum laude, 1976) and Duke University (J.D., 1979), where he was elected to Order of the Coif and served as a staff and editorial board member on the Duke Law Journal. Mr. Thimke was selected by his peers for inclusion in The Best Lawyers in America® for environmental law and to the Wisconsin Super Lawyers® for his environmental work. He was also selected for inclusion in the 2010 edition of Chambers USA: America’s Leading Lawyers for Business. 2 Background – Pre-crash of 2008 Awareness of greenhouse gas issues (1990- 2008) 1997 Kyoto Protocol – signed; effective 2005 European experience – EU trading Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) used for developing county offset market 2007 – predictions made of future carbon markets CDM and voluntary carbon offset projects abound Major investment banks look at carbon market 3 Societal Drivers 4 Societal Drivers 5 Background – Post-crash of 2008 Politization of greenhouse gas issue (2008- 2010) Economic downturn Turns into “right”/”left” issue The climate skeptics/bloggers Major legislation to adopt cap and trade – stalls in U.S. Senate So – question for business: why be concerned with greenhouse gas? 6 Why be Concerned About Greenhouse Gas? Answer – despite political rhetoric and web blogging, greenhouse gas “controls” are emerging Business needs to address as a “market transition” 7 Greenhouse Gas – What is Happening “Quiet regulation” of greenhouse gases Cap and trade – yes, it is here Disclosures and more disclosures The “Wal-Mart” factor Practical considerations for managing greenhouse gas issues and risks 8 “Quiet Regulation” of Greenhouse Gas Clean Air Act regulation Clean Air Act passed 40 years ago in 1970 Focused on local (particulate), regional (ozone) and even national (mercury) pollution U.S. Supreme Court in Massachusetts v. EPA (2007) Opened the greenhouse gas door Greenhouse gas a “pollutant” under Clean Air Act U.S. EPA issued an “endangerment finding” for greenhouse gas (Dec. 7, 2009) U.S. EPA – greenhouse gas regulated as a “pollutant” for automobiles (light duty vehicle greenhouse gas standards) 9 “Quiet Regulation” of Greenhouse Gas So what does this mean to business? U.S. EPA triggered new source review permitting as of January 2011 – four months from today U.S. EPA “tailoring rule” to limit greenhouse gas new source review to large sources (May 13, 2010) Challenged and may/may not hold up But larger facilities (such as coal burning utilities) subject to new source review greenhouse gas permitting Wisconsin DNR – adopting emergency rules to be able to permit in 2011 10 “Quiet Regulation” of Greenhouse Gas New source review permitting means – BACT Best available control technology (BACT) for greenhouse gas Traditional pollutants – end of stack controls, such as oxidizers, scrubbers, catalysts No such end of pipe controls readily available U.S. EPA looking at energy efficiency standards Questions – unresolved; apply to entire plant or just “affected equipment” Will be mandatory part of air permit Which means need measurement method, recording, reporting and potential enforcement No guidance available for states or companies 11 12 Cap and Trade – The Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI) YES – there is cap and trade in the United States Northeastern states -- cap and trade with carbon caps; carbon credits; auctions and offsets RGGI – applies to power sector but discussions to expand Reduce power sector CO2 emission – 10% by 2018 Raises substantial funds for states Other regional programs in the wings – Midwestern Governors Greenhouse Gas Accord (MGGA); Western Climate Initiative (WCI) 13 Proceeds by Auction New Jersey New York 14 State Scenarios of Greenhouse Gas Reductions 15 Greenhouse Gas Disclosures SEC Interpretative Release (Feb. 2, 2010) ASTM E 2718-10 (Apr. 5, 2010) 16 SEC “Interpretative Release” on Climate Change Risk Disclosure SEC guidance issued February 2, 2010 Applies to publicly-traded companies Not a new rule but guidance on disclosures Key points from guidance Pending legislation “reasonably likely to be enacted” must be assessed Standard – in the negative “unless management determines not reasonably likely…” And if “material,” then disclosure 17 SEC “Interpretative Release” on Climate Change Risk Disclosure In order to assess, companies need Information about greenhouse gas emissions Operational limitations/challenges due to climate change Information about supply chain or key contractual relationships Consideration of “reputational damage” based on public perception of company Interplay with Sarbanes-Oxley requirements – appropriate procedures/documentation to assess greenhouse gas consequences For 2010 – generic disclosures provided by many companies, but sufficient for future? 18 Westar 10-K “There is substantial uncertainty with respect to whether U.S. federal GHG legislation will be enacted into law or whether the EPA will regulate GHG emissions, and there is additional uncertainty regarding the final provisions and implementation of any potential U.S. federal GHG legislation or EPA rules regulating GHG emissions. We cannot predict with certainty the outcome of the legislative and rulemaking processes or a specific related impact on our generating facilities and consolidated financial results” 19 DTE 10-K “We may also incur liabilities as a result of potential future requirements to address climate change issues. Proposals for voluntary initiatives and mandatory controls are being discussed both in the United States and worldwide to reduce greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide, a by-product of burning fossil fuels. If increased regulation of greenhouse gas emissions are implemented, the operations of our fossil-fuel generation assets and our unconventional gas production assets may be significantly impacted. Since there can be no assurances that environmental costs may be recovered through the regulatory process, our financial performance may be negatively impacted as a result of environmental matters.” 20 ASTM Counterpart – E 2718-10 Applies voluntarily to both public and private companies Framework for assessing climate change risk to business Takes broader view of climate business risks than SEC guidance Like most ASTM approaches – methodical assessment process May see references to ASTM disclosures in buy/sell transactions 21 ASTM – Details Factors to be assessed for disclosure Laws/regulations, including “predicted changes in federal, state and local [laws] … anticipated to have a material affect on capital expenditure, earnings and competitive position” Predicted changes/trends in resource costs Predicted changes in assets due to financial impacts – climate change Weather Resources availability 22 ASTM – Details Sources of information Public/internal records Proposed laws Studies on trends/forecasts Estimating financial consequences More than remote Severe impact Near-term (next year) 23 ASTM – Details Disclose either – Financial implications of climate change Basis for concluding financial affects due to climate change not occurring If financial consequences due to climate change uncertain/speculative – Disclose types of financial affects it foresees Reasoning for determining quantitative analysis/disclosure not feasible 24 Other Disclosure-based Greenhouse Gas “Drivers” Martin Act probe by New York Attorney General Several settlements achieved requiring greater greenhouse gas disclosures from companies Xcel AES Corporation Dynegy CERES – greenhouse gas resolutions 2010 – investor group filed 95 greenhouse gas resolutions; average vote of 24.6% favorable Successful with Massey Energy; Layne Christensen 40% of Kroger shareholders voted for assessment of greenhouse gas affects on supply chain 25 Adopt Greenhouse Gas Reduction Goals – 2010 “Proxy Season” Company ExxonMobil Massey Energy CMS Energy Ryland Vote in Favor 27.2% 53.1% 35.1% 37.4% 26 Issue Sustainability Report, Including Greenhouse Gas Reduction Strategies – 2010 “Proxy Season” Company Boston Properties St. Jude Medical Chesapeake Energy EQT Corporation Federal Realty Inv. Trust Layne Christensen Vote in Favor 44.1% 42.8% 31.5% 37.4% 44.6% 60.3% 27 The Wal-Mart Factor Businesses implementing their own greenhouse gas reduction programs Ford Motor Company (May 20, 2010) Survey 35 top suppliers on greenhouse gas emissions Goal of reducing auto related greenhouse gas emissions (Ford internal goal – 30% by 2020) “Suppliers play an important role as we look to reduce our overall carbon footprint …” (Tony Brown, Group VP-Global Purchasing) 28 The Wal-Mart Factor Nike Calculated energy input (greenhouse gas impact) of components of running shoe Nike focus – reduce greenhouse gas emission; sourcing materials for the shoes Hewlett-Packard Requiring supply chain companies to report greenhouse gas emissions “Establish expectations … regarding energy efficiency” 29 World Resources Institute Supply Chain Accounting/Reporting Standard 60 companies participated in “road test” of global supply chain greenhouse gas measurement protocol Work completed August 2010 with final standard spring of 2011 Companies included – 3M BASF IKEA Kraft Foods Pfizer ■ ■ ■ ■ Siemens S.C. Johnson Airbus Levi Strauss 30 Wal-Mart – Supply (Value) Chain Greenhouse Gas Reduction Program (Feb. 25, 2010) Goal – 20 million ton reduction of greenhouse gas from supply chain by December 31, 2015 Reasons Wal-Mart consumer image Make supply chain more efficient; less cost; lower price and Wal-Mart more competitive Wal-Mart participating with Environmental Defense Fund and PricewaterhouseCoopers for transparency Detailed guidance issued August 3, 2010 31 Wal-Mart Guidance – Key Elements Wal-Mart “champion” – oversees and documents supplier greenhouse gas reductions Supplier – develop business as usual (BAU) greenhouse gas emissions and reductions from BAU scenario Environmental Defense Fund/ClearCarbon – review reduction claims PricewaterhouseCoopers – audits supplier data/greenhouse gas reduction claims for Wal-Mart 32 Suppliers to Wal-Mart Data and documentation are essential under this program More than just greenhouse gas “baseline”; develop greenhouse gas based on “business as usual” scenario Reductions need to be “additional” Example – Energy Star product with 5% increase in energy efficiency; product must go beyond Energy Star standard Example – must go beyond requirements imposed by law or regulation 33 Practical Considerations – Business Side of Greenhouse Gas Climate Change – What’s Your Business Strategy (authors – Hoffman/Woody) Climate change – business perspective Not a political issue Not an environmental issue A market transition in energy, and energy affects prices in virtually all sectors of economy 34 Business Side of Greenhouse Gas All business leaders – should determine where risks exist in a carbon constrained world Opportunities are present to take full advantage of the change In other words – with greenhouse gases are you betting on the “Hummer” or the “Prius” 35 Next Steps to Address Greenhouse Gas Issues Essential – know where you are in the carbon world Carbon footprint “Business as usual” greenhouse gas emissions Part of whose supply chain Energy Source of energy (coal, nuclear, renewable) Projected cost of energy Efficiencies 36 Legal Related Aspects of Greenhouse Gas Transactions – buy/sell Due diligence on carbon “accounting” and supply chain commitments Air permitting Disclosures Adequacy of internal assessment Appropriateness of disclosures – shareholders/financial institutions 37 Legal Related Aspects of Greenhouse Gas Managing the greenhouse gas commitments/ requirements Tracking greenhouse gas reductions Managing differing supply chain requirements Compliance with permitting requirements Compliance certifications 38 “The strange truth is that while scientific assessments … can still be met with skepticism in a wary public …. If businesses spend money on [climate change], then it must be true.” Climate Change: What’s Your Business Strategy, at 97 39 Questions? Mark A. Thimke Foley & Lardner LLP 777 East Wisconsin Avenue Milwaukee, WI 53202-5306 414-297-5832 mthimke@foley.com 40