ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS RESEARCH HUB WORKSHOP 20 MAY 2008 Project 10: Economic policy for climate change in Australia and the region (in-practice title for “Adaptation and economic responses to climate change” ) Frank Jotzo Research School of Pacific and Asian Studies, ANU Context, topic and aims of the research Improve the understanding of economic responses to climate change, and of options for policy – economic system response to environmental change – role of economic policy for climate change adaptation – engaging Australia’s region, incl in climate change mitigation Focus on Australia’s future challenges – take into account experiences from around the world – explore economic adaptation issues in neighbouring countries Links to the region esp Indonesia – establish and strengthen links to researchers in the region – facilitate dialogue with policymakers both ways Aim to produce policy-relevant knowledge Associated researchers Dr Jack Pezzey (ANU) – economics of climate change and policy, mitigation Dr Regina Betz (UNSW) – climate policy instruments, experimental ec’s Dr Budy Resosudarmo (ANU) – Indonesian environmental ec’s and policy Dr Pierre v.d. Eng (ANU) – economic history of environmental change Dr Jean-Pascal Bassino (U Montpellier) – economic history of environmental change Scope of the project Project supports selected research activities, leveraging existing activities and interests – – – – – – PhD top-up scholarships (none awarded yet) Research assistance Some salary offsetting Research exchanges with Indonesia Outreach Workshops Topic responding to an evolving policy environment – Prospects for engagement on mitigation now much better than at inception of research proposal – Large-scale research effort now underway under National Climate Change Adaptation Research Facility (NCCARF), Griffith U Research theme: Economic responses to environmental change: past experiences Drs Pierre van der Eng and Jean-Paul Bassino ‘Lessons from the past’ that can inform cc adaptation policy? – – – – – How did people and their economies respond to large-scale env change? Migration, structural change, what about factor prices? What did governments do? How did expectations match up with evolving reality? Examples: Drying of southwest WA, rice growing in Japan/Indonesia, dust bowl… Events – Asia-Pacific Economic and Business History Conference, theme “Responses to Environmental Change” – Workshop for researchers & policymakers at ANU, Nov 2008 (EERH funded) – Workshop at U Montpellier, early 2009 – Session at World Economic History Congress, Utrecht 2009 Research theme: Role of economic policy for climate change adaptation Autonomous vs induced adaptation Markets will drive some or much adaptation – land prices – insurance cost But there are market failures – information, myopia – split incentives – inability to accurately factor in risk of abrupt systemic change And policy failures – planning laws – Insurance market regulation – Drought assistance? Where should gov’t come in, where should it stay out? – only support better information, or try to direct economic behaviour? Who deals best with risk and uncertainty? Research theme: Engaging Australia’s region With Dr Budy Resosudarmo Need for improved understanding of cc adaptation needs and options in Australia’s region – see AusAID Environment Strategy – Pacific obvious challenges, but Indonesia: large populations vulnerable – Indonesia: tremendous opportunities for reducing GHG emissions: forests, coal Building on links to Indonesian researchers and to policy community – High-Level Policy Dialogue, Bogor/Jakarta, Dec 2007: climate policy sessions with top officials – UN climate conference, Bali Dec 2007: discussions with researchers and policymakers – Project “Economic governance and public financial management in Indonesia” with Australia-Indonesia Governance Research Programme – Bringing researchers from the region to Australia for working visits [] Research already underway by Frank Jotzo (Research Associate) 3. The international linkage of ETSs How and to what extent should Australia link its emissions trading system internationally? Joint with Dr Regina Betz, UNSW/EERH Linked in with project under the Climate Strategies network, Europe Public events and policy dialogues – Public forum on ETS linking: 8 expert speakers incl from Canada and NZ, high-level government speakers – 120+ participants from government, industry and research community – “Emissions trading for Australia: lessons from Europe”, Dr Felix Matthes Presentations at Bali COP 2007, Poland COP Dec 2008 Continuing toward policy papers and journal publications – Aus-NZ linking – Linking in a post-2012 international regime