Overview of Space-Based Component of WMO Integrated Global Observing System (WIGOS) --Critical Analysis & Potential Gaps, Vision in 2040 and way forward Dr Wenjian Zhang Director, Observing and Information Systems Department & WMO Space Programme World Meteorological Organization (WMO) WMO: Dr Zhang WMO OMM WMO Vision on Observations • The WMO Vision on Ovservations provides high-level goals to guide the evolution of the WMO Global Observing Systems in the coming decades. Goals are challenging but achievable. • Chinese Proverb: One who fails to see far ahead will face worries close at hand © Dr W. ZHANG, WMO/OBS WMO OMM WMO Observation Vision based on the Rolling Review of Requirements (RRR) Process 12 application areas Requirements Requirements Requirements Critical reviewGaps Observing capabilities (space & surface)-database r W. ZHANG, WMO/OBS Long-term vision of WIGOS Statements of Statements of Statements of guidance Statements of guidance guidance guidance Implementation Plan for Evolution Recommendations Members’ surface and space observation programmes WMO OMM Current WMO Vision on Observations • The Global Observing System Vision in 2015 was adopted in 2002 – The Implementation Plan for Evolution of Space and Surface-based Sub-Systems of the GOS (EGOS-IP) was approved in 2005 • The Global Observing System Vision in 2025 was adopted in 2009 – The Implementation Plan for Evolution of Global Observing Systems (EGOS-IP) was approved in 2012 (120 pages with 115 actions) © Dr W. ZHANG, WMO/OBS World Meteorological Organization WMO OMM Working together in weather, climate and water Space agencies’ plans: will they meet the WMO Vision in 2025? Comparison with space agencies’ plans – for technologies important for operational meteorology – Potential Critical Gaps and Way forward WMO www.wmo.int GOS Vision 2025 – space component (1) WMO OMM • Operational geostationary satellites • – at least 6 – each with: • Infra-red/visible multi-spectral imager • Infra-red hyper-spectral sounder • Lightning imager • Operational polar-orbiting satellites • - in 3 orbital planes – each with: • • • Infra-red/visible multi-spectral imager Microwave sounder Infra-red hyper-spectral sounder © Dr W. ZHANG, WMO/OBS GOS Vision 2025 – space component (2) WMO OMM • Additional operational missions in appropriate orbits: • • • • • • • • • • • Microwave imagers Scatterometers Radio occultation constellation Altimeter constellation Infra-red dual-view imager – sea surface temperature Advanced visible/NIR imagers – ocean colour, vegetation Visible/infra-red imager constellation – land-surface Precipitation radars Broad-band visible/IR radiometers – radiation budget Atmospheric composition monitoring instruments Synthetic aperture radar © Dr W. ZHANG, WMO/OBS Operational GEO satellites in 2025 (1) WMO OMM satellite series Vis/IR imager Hyperspectral IR sounder Lighting imager MSG SEVIRI (12 ch) no no MTG FCI (16 ch) IRS LI GOES-R ABI (16 ch) no GLM Himawari AHI (16 ch) no no FY-4 AGRI (14 ch) GIIRS LMI INSAT-3DS IMAGER (6 ch) no (low-res SOUNDER) no no no GEO-KOMSAT-2 AMI (16 ch) Electro-M © Dr W. ZHANG, WMO/OBS MSU-GSM (20 ch) IRFS-GS LM Operational GEO satellites in 2025 (3) WMO OMM Vis/IR imager Hyperspectral IR sounder Lighting imager E.Pacific YES no YES W.Atlantic YES no YES E.Atlantic YES YES YES Indian Ocean YES YES YES W.Pacific YES Partly no © Dr W. ZHANG, WMO/OBS Short Summary for Vision 2025 WMO OMM • Space agencies’ plans provide a good response to the “WMO GOS Vision for 2025” • With some key gaps for operational meteorology –GEO Hyperspectral IR sounder, lightning mapper --Doppler Wind Lider, GPS/RO, Composition, Hurricance intensity…. • more gaps for climate monitoring and other applications • Way Forward -- 4.2.2.39 Congress acknowledged that EC66 had requested CBS to take the lead in developing a Vision for WIGOS in 2040, which will include a “Vision for the WIGOS component observing systems in 2040” for its submission to Cg-18 in 2019. © Dr W. ZHANG, WMO/OBS World Meteorological Organization WMO OMM Working together in weather, climate and water WMO Observation Vision in 2040 -drivers WMO workshop on WIGOS-Space Vision 2040 Dialogue between users and providers – Geneva (Oct. 18-20, 2015) 1. Anticipated Meteorology Services Needs in 2040 2. Anticipated available Technology in 2040 WMO www.wmo.int WMO OMM 15th AMS Presidential Forum: Will Weather Change Forever— Anticipating Meteorology in 2040 (Jan. 2015) References from Dr. Kathryn Sullivan (NOAA Administrator) • The planet will be warmer, leading to more extreme weather and water events, and more intense extremes. • Observations will still fuel environmental forecasting. • The planet’s population will have increased from today’s 7 billion to just nearly 9 billion – an increase of 28%. • Resource margins will be stretched even thinner and strains even greater on water, food, energy and ecosystems. • • The water-food-energy nexus will be a critical issue of the times in 2040 ! WMO NMHSs will morph from the weather business into an environmental intelligence enterprise !! WMO: Dr Zhang Main drivers for the 2040 Vision • Evolving and emerging user requirements – Applications like climate (GFCS,GCOS, WCRP), atmospheric composition (e.g. air quality), cryosphere, hydrology, space weather, are more mature and should be better addressed – Future monitoring & modelling requires increased resolution (spatial, temporal, spectral..) • Anticipated dvances in technology enabling new capabilities – Sensor technology, Orbital concepts – Satellite programme concepts (small satellites, constellations, R&D) • Changes in the providers’ community – More space faring nations – Vision promote more cooperation models – Need to frame public/private initiatives without putting the core system at risk13 ET-SAT / WIGOS Space 2040, Nov 2015 Vision 2040 will under the WIGOS framework to meet all WMO Programmes observing requirements WMO INTEGRATED GLOBAL OBSERVING SYSTEM The whole is more than the sum of the parts—Aristotle WIGOS-Space needs to meet weather, climate, water and related environmental services requirements WMO: Dr Zhang © Dr W. ZHANG, WMO/OBS Trends in Satellite System Capabilities • More satellite providers, OP+RD missions, allowing a wider range of orbits than current traditional GEO/Polar orbiting – HEO-GEO-MEO-LEO (inclined or sun-sync) and lower platforms – Interoperability rather than similarity – Small satellites (e.g. nanosatellites), formation flying • The hyperspectral sensors – will cover full spectrum – from traditional VIS/TIR/MW to full (UV & far IR, low MW); providing a wealth of information; – higher sensitivity, higher spatial, temporal, and/or spectral resolution. • Combinations of active & passive instruments (SAR, LIDAR, Cloud/Rain Radars, scatterometry, etc) © Dr W. ZHANG, WMO/OBS Approach to developing a new vision (1) • Rather than prescribing every component, try to strike a balance: – Specific enough to provide clear guidance on system to be achieved (including which constellations are needed for each application area) – Open to opportunities and encouraging initiatives • Vision addresses specifically the space segment because of long-lead decisions needed by space programmes • Some generic consideration however needed on : – how it will be supplemented by the surface-based component: – and on the associated ground segment 16 Approach to developing a new vision (2) • Vision consists of 4 tiers for national/international contributions, all with data freely, accessible in timely manner with metadata, sensor characteristics, etc. – Tier 1: backbone component, specified orbital configuration and measurement approach • Basis for Members’ commitments, should respond to the vital data needs • Similar to the current CGMS baseline with addition of newly mature capabilities – Tier 2: backbone component, keeping open the orbital configuration and measurement approach, leaving room for further system optimization • Basis for open contributions of WMO Members, responding to 17 target data goals, Approach to developing a new vision (2) • Vision consists of 4 tiers for national/international contributions, all with data freely, accessible in timely manner with metadata, sensor characteristics, etc. – Tier 3: Operational pathfinders and technology and science demonstrators • Responding to R&D needs – Tier 4: Other operators (e.g. academic, commercial) exploiting technical/ business /programmatic opportunities are likely to provide additional data • WMO should recommend standards, best practices, guiding principles to maximize the chance that these additional data sources contribute to the community • Implemented through dedicated missions or hosted payload 18 opportunities WMO OMM Global risk along the costal Megacities Nations need to protect Lives and Property !!!! © Dr W. ZHANG, WMO/OBS WMO OMM WMO Strategic Priority 2-The Climate Services with five focuses Agriculture Water Energy Health © Dr W. ZHANG, WMO/OBS Disaster Risk Reduction One big target – Real time monitoring Hurricane intensity! • Can we anticipate by 2040 GEO or fleet LEO Microwave instruments to hourly monitoring the TC intensity & internal structure, in addition to VIS/IR Imagers? ! © Dr W. ZHANG, WMO/OBS 21 One more target - An Architecture for Climate Monitoring from Space-2040 Climate Record Creation Sensing Applications Decision-Making Create and Maintain Short/Medium Term Climate Data Records The «climate view» of the Vision should match the Architecture for Climate Monitoring from Space (CEOS-CGMS-WMO) and identify : • Sensing capabilities responding to GCOS IP, WCRP Grand Challenges and GFCS requirements • with performances (e.g. stability) required to monitor climate • Gap analysis and planning coordination for continuity • Consistency and traceability through reference standards and inter-calibration procedures • Generation of FCDRs and preservation of original data © Dr W. ZHANG, WMO/OBS Observations A2 Operational Climate Monitoring Interim Climate Data Records Earth Environment I1 Sense Earth Environment A1 Create and Maintain Longterm Climate Data Records A4 Climate Data Records Long-term Climate Variability & Climate Change Analysis A3 A7 Create and Maintain Higher-Level Climate Information (e.g. CDR analysis or modelbased reanalysis) A8 Climate Information Records Reports Decision-Making (including adaptation & mitigation policy and planning) A5 Decisions O1 Realization of the Vision needs greatly enhanced International cooperations • • • • • • Need data sharing: full, free and open Reinforces need for international coordination:various ways Multi-agency coordination mechanisms (CGMS & CEOS) International partnerships (joint missions, hosted payloads) Inter-governmental satellite operators-EUMETSAT, etc Other models facilitating more WMO Members engagements – Regional space programme ( Africa, S. America) – Private company with governmental stakeholders – Other business models…. © Dr W. ZHANG, WMO/OBS Next steps • Difficulty to anticipate the user needs & Technical progress 25 years ahead, document requirements is No.1-user driven! • Space agencies need to better understand the user needs – Users need to aware of future capabilities • The following consultations are considered and expect inputs: – The Consultative Meeting on High-level Policy on Satellite Matters January 2016. – CGMS-44 in June 2016 (then CGMS 45/46 ) – The CBS Session November of 2016, as «work in progress», then open consultation (SG’s letter to all TCs and Space Agencies) – Technical Commissions & RA Sessions during this financial period – EC session 2016-2018, target for Cg-18 (2019) final approval © Dr W. ZHANG, WMO/OBS Points to be discussed at ICG-WIGOS 5 1. Key Requirements: Request all TCs to identify & document anticipated observing requirements in 2040 (weather, climate, water, Ocean and related environment areas), for WMO to better communicate with Space agencies. 2. Consultation with each TC:Comments on and contribute to the consultation process with your TCs (ETs). Will communicate the latest development at your TC session if invited. 3. Lead Component Vision: Responsible TCs (CBS/CIMO-weather, JCOMM-Marine/ocean, CHy-Hydrological, CAS-composition, CCl/GFCS/GCOS/WCRP -climate, GCW-SG) kindly arrange activities for leading “Vision for the WIGOS component observing systems in 2040” development, as part of Vision package 4. ICG-WIGOS discussions: The roadmap to develop the surfacebased Vision in 2040, coupling with Space-Based components. 25 ET-SAT / WIGOS Space 2040, Nov 2015 Thank you for your attention! Your feedback is welcome wzhang@wmo.int © Dr W. ZHANG, WMO/OBS WMO Dr Wenjian ZHANG, AOMSUC-6, Tokyo, Japan WMO OMM Acknowledgements – WMO Strategic Plan 2016-2019, Synthesis Report of the UN SG on the post-2015 sustainable development agenda – NASA Earth Science Vision 2030, ESA & other space agency reports, EUMETSAT Strategy, etc – Dr. Kathryn Sullivan: AMS 2015 Annual Meeting Presidential Forum Keynote: Anticipating Meteorology in 2040 – ET-SAT-9 (12-14 Nov. 2014) Final Report (Chair: Jack Kaye (NASA), ) with participation of major space anegcies – Outcome of WIGOS Space Vision 2040 workshop (John Eyre: GOS Vision 2025, etc) © Dr W. ZHANG, WMO/OBS BACKUP 28 ET-SAT / WIGOS Space 2040, Nov 2015 Tier 1. Backbone system - with specified orbital configuration and measurement approaches (1/2) • Geostationary ring providing frequent multispectral VIS/IR imagery – with IR hyperspectral sounder, lightning mapper, UV/VIS/NIR sounder • LEO sun-sync. core constellation in 3 orbit planes (am/pm/earlymorning) – with hyperspectral IR sounder, VIS/IR imager including Day/Night band – with MW imager, MW sounder, Scatterometer • LEO sun-sync. at 3 additional ECT for improved robustness and improved time sampling particularly for monitoring precipitation • Wide-swath radar altimeter, and high-altitude, inclined, high-precision orbit altimeter, • IR dual-angle view imager (for SST) • MW imagery at 6.7 GHz (for all-weather SST) • Low-frequency MW (for soil moisture and ocean salinity ) • MW cross-track upper stratospheric and mesospheric temperature sounder • UV/VIS/NIR sounder , nadir and limb (for atmospheric composition, incl H2O) 29 ET-SAT / WIGOS Space 2040, Nov 2015 Tier 1. Backbone system - with specified orbital configuration and measurement approaches (2/2) • Precipitation and cloud radars, and MW sounder and imager on inclined orbits • Absolutely calibrated broadband radiometer, and TSI and SSI radiometer • GNSS radio-occultation (basic constellation) for temperature, humidity and electron density • Narrow-band or hyperspectral imagery (ocean colour, vegetation) • High-resolution multispectral VIS/IR imagers (land use, vegetation, flood, landslide monitoring) • SAR imagery (sea state, sea ice, ice sheets, soil moisture, floods) • Gravimetry mission (ground water, oceanography) • Solar wind in situ plasma and energetic particles, magnetic field, at L1 • Solar coronagraph and radio-spectrograph, at L1 • In situ plasma, energetic particles at GEO and LEO, and magnetic field at GEO • On-orbit measurement reference standards for VIS/NIR, IR, MW absolute calibration 30 ET-SAT / WIGOS Space 2040, Nov 2015 Tier 2. Backbone system – Open measurement approaches (flexibility to optimize the implementation) 1/2 • • • • • • • • • • Surface wind and sea state, e.g. by GNSS reflectometry missions, passive MW, SAR Stratosphere/mesosphere monitoring by UV–VIS–NIR–IR-MW limb sounders Wind and aerosol profiling by lidar (Doppler and dual/triple-frequency backscatter) Atmospheric moisture profiling by lidar (DIAL) Sea-ice thickness by lidar (in addition to radars mentioned in Tier 1) Cloud phase detection, e.g. by sub-mm imagery Carbon Dioxide and Methane by NIR imagery Aerosol and radiation budget by multi-angle, multi-polarization radiometers High-resolution land or ocean observation (multi-polarization SAR, hyperspectral VIS) High temporal frequency MW sounding (GEO or LEO constellation) 31 ET-SAT / WIGOS Space 2040, Nov 2015 Tier 2. Backbone system – Open measurement approaches (flexibility to optimize the implementation) 2/2 • Surface pressure by NIR spectrometry • HEO VIS/IR mission for continuous polar coverage (Arctic & Antarctica) • Solar magnetograph , solar EUV/X-ray imager, and EUV/X-ray irradiance, both on the Earth-Sun line (e.g. L1, GEO) and off the Earth-Sun line (e.g. L5, L4) • Solar wind in situ plasma and energetic particles and magnetic field off the Earth-Sun line (e.g. L5) • Solar coronagraph and heliospheric imager off the Earth-Sun line (e.g. L4, L5) • Magnetospheric energetic particles (e.g. GEO, HEO, MEO, LEO) 32 ET-SAT / WIGOS Space 2040, Nov 2015 Tier 3. Operational pathfinders and technology and science demonstrators • RO constellation for enhanced atmospheric/ionospheric soundings – Including additional frequencies optimized for atmospheric sounding Radar and Lidar for vegetation Hyperspectral MW sensors Solar coronal magnetic field imager, solar wind beyond L1 Ionosphere/thermosphere spectral imager (e.g. GEO, HEO, MEO, LEO) Ionospheric electron and major ion density, Thermospheric neutral density and constituents Process study missions (content and duration TBD depending on process cycles) Use of nanosatellites for demonstration or science missions, and for contigency planning as gap fillers (notwithstanding their possible use in Tier 2.) • Use of orbiting platforms (like the International Space Station) for demonstration or science missions • • • • • • • • 33 ET-SAT / WIGOS Space 2040, Nov 2015 Tier 4. Other contributions from WMO Members and third parties • • • • • Governmental or academic EO projects Private sector initiatives Often using individual or constellations of small satellites (cubesats, nanosats) Exploiting technical or market opportunities Augmenting the backbone • WMO would not pretend to coordinate these contributions, but • WMO should recommend standards and best practices that the operators may consider to comply with, to facilitate data uptake and to maximize the chances that the data are interoperable with the backbone system 34 ET-SAT / WIGOS Space 2040, Nov 2015 Input for policy discussion on commercial providers: threat/opportunity (1/2) • The issue is not whether industry should be involved but how: what should be the best respective roles/responsibilities ? – Contractor (classical case), or implementing agent of a governmental agency ? – Public/private partnership ? The public agency as the exclusive customer ? – Independent companies, with public and private users as potential customers ? • «Commercial» satellite programmes, through business reactivity, can be an opportunity to enhance the observing system, but also entail major risks which need to be addressed, such as: • • • • 35 Limitations to data exchange with respect to WMO practices Loss of transparency/traceability of data generation process More difficult global coordination of long-term plans addressing the Vision Short-term attractiveness of commercial initiatives could undermine the decision process and funding of essential long-term national programmes ET-SAT / WIGOS Space 2040, Nov 2015 Input for policy discussion on commercial providers: threat/opportunity (2/2) • Continued need of governmental commitments by WMO members – implemented by government-designated entities, – guaranteeing global optimization, international data exchange, interoperability • With reference to WMO Resolution 40 (Cg-XII): – Members shall ensure provision of «essential data» freely, which entails full governmental control on a WMO-coordinated «backbone» system – Commercial programmes could enhance the system with «additional data» – Private/public partnership may include both aspects: a freely accessible «essential» service specified by the public authority, and an «additional» service marketed by the company • Although not co-ordinating commercial initiatives, the WMO Vision can influence their provision of observations in setting priority goals, data quality and interoperability standards 36 ET-SAT / WIGOS Space 2040, Nov 2015 Approach to developing a new vision (1) • Promote complementary 4-tier space segment for national/international contributions, all with data freely, accessible in timely manner with metadata, sensor characteristics, etc. – Tier 1: backbone component, specified orbital configuration and measurement approach • Basis for Members’ commitments, should respond to the vital data needs • Similar to the current CGMS baseline with addition of newly mature capabilities © Dr W. ZHANG, WMO/OBS Approach to developing a new vision (2) – Tier 2: backbone component, keeping open the orbital configuration and measurement approach, leaving room for further system optimization • Basis for open contributions of WMO Members, responding to target data goals, – Tier 3: Operational pathfinders and technology and science demonstrators • Responding to R&D needs – Tier 4: Other operators (e.g. academic, commercial) exploiting technical/ business /programmatic opportunities are likely to provide additional data © Dr W. ZHANG, WMO/OBS Operational polar-orbiting Sates in 2025(1) WMO OMM 2015 2025 Early morning (LECT ~1730) DMSP F-16,-17,-18,-19 DMSP F20 FY-3E,-3G Morning (LECT ~0930) Metop-A,-B DMSP-18, FY-3C Meteor-M N2 NOAA-15,-18,-19 Suomi-NPP FY-3B Metop-C Metop-SG Meteor-M N2-4, -MP N2 Afternoon (LECT ~1330) (LECT ~1530) © Dr W. ZHANG, WMO/OBS JPSS-1,-2 FY-3F Meteor-M N2-5, -MP N1 AMS 96- WIGOS Space Vision 2040, New Orleans, USA Operational polar-orbiting Sates in 2025(2) WMO OMM satellite series Hyperspectral MW sounder IR sounder Vis/IR imager Metop-SG IASI-NG MWS METimage Metop IASI AMSU-A, MHS AVHRR JPSS CrIS ATMS VIIRS FY-3,-3RM HIRAS MWTS-2, MWHS-2 MERSI-2 Meteor-3M IKFS-2 MTVZA-GY MSU-MR Meteor-3MP IKFS-3 MTVZA-GY-MP MSU-MR-MP DMSP no SSMIS OLS © Dr W. ZHANG, WMO/OBS AMS 96- WIGOS Space Vision 2040, New Orleans, USA Radio occultation - 2025 WMO OMM satellite series instrument COSMIC-2A,-2B Tri-G 12 sats 2016-25 2024+? Metop-C WMO EGOS-IP says: Metop-SG GRAS “ at least 10000 FY-3 occultations Meteor-M N3 per day” Meteor-MP GNOS 2026 Radiomet 2020-25 ARMA-MP 2021-30 JASON-CS Tri-G 2020-33 SEOSAR/Paz ROHPP 2015-20 GRACE-FO Tri-G © Dr W. ZHANG, WMO/OBS RO 2 sats 2 sats 2021 2017-22 AMS 96- WIGOS Space Vision 2040, New Orleans, USA WMO OMM 1st - Document Application Areas Requirements – Visionary (future REQ) 1. Global NWP 2. High-resolution NWP 3. Seasonal and Inter-Annual Forecasting (SIAF) + Decadal 4. Nowcasting 5. Aeronautical Meteorology 6. Atmospheric Chemistry 7. Ocean Applications 8. Agricultural Meteorology 9. Hydrology 10. Climate Monitoring (GCOS) 11. Climate Applications 12. Space Weather Dr W. ZHANG, WMO/OBS AMS 96- WIGOS Space Vision 2040, New Orleans, USA WMO OMM 2nd - Comparing “Vision” and Capabilities ToolOSCAR • OSCAR database (Observing Systems Capability Analysis and Review Tool) User requirements: http://www.wmo-sat.info/oscar/requirements Space-based capabilities: http://www.wmosat.info/oscar/spacecapabilities • • • • • programmes satellites instruments capability review – assessment of instruments by type gap analysis by variable Gap Analyses (Statements of Guidance, SoGs) http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/www/OSY/GOS-RRR.html#SOG © Dr W. ZHANG, WMO/OBS AMS 96- WIGOS Space Vision 2040, New Orleans, USA Backup Slides © Dr W. ZHANG, WMO/OBS WMO Dr Wenjian ZHANG, AOMSUC-6, Tokyo, Japan Operational geostationary satellites (1) WMO OMM E.Pacific 2015 2025 GOES-13,-14,-15 GOES-R,-S,-T,-U MSG: M-8,-9,-10,-11 Electro-M? MTG/I+S M-7 INSAT-3C, Kalpana-1 Electro-L N1 INSAT-3D FY-2D,-2E INSAT-3A FY-2F,-2G COMS-1 Himawari-6,-7 (MTSAT-1R,-2) Himawari-8 MSG? INSAT-3DS Electro-M N1-1,-2 FY-4B,-4C,4D GEO-KOMSAT-2A,-2B Himawari-8,-9 Electro-L N4 W.Atlantic E.Atlantic Indian Ocean W.Pacific © Dr W. ZHANG, WMO/OBS AMS 96- WIGOS Space Vision 2040, New Orleans, USA Radio occultation – 2015 satellites instrument COSMIC IGOR Metop-A and -B GRAS GRACE-A or -B Blackjack ~2300 occultations per day TerraSAR-X IGOR Tandem-X IGOR (Nov 2015) FY-3C GNOS Oceansat-2 ROSA Total: 9 receivers © Dr W. ZHANG, WMO/OBS Megha-tropiques ROSA KOMPSAT-5 AOPOD AMS 96- WIGOS Space Vision 2040, New Orleans, USA ~4 satellites Low frequency microwave ~1.4 GHz WMO OMM Objectives • • • • soil moisture sea surface salinity sea surface wind (high wind speed) sea ice thickness (thin ice) © Dr W. ZHANG, WMO/OBS satellites instrument SMOS MIRAS 2009-17+ SAC-D Aquarius 2011-15 SMAP SMAP 2015-18+ AMS 96- WIGOS Space Vision 2040, New Orleans, USA Operational polar-orbiting Sates in 2025(3) WMO OMM Vis/IR imager Hyperspectral IR sounder MW sounder Early morning YES? YES? YES? Morning YES YES YES Afternoon YES YES YES © Dr W. ZHANG, WMO/OBS AMS 96- WIGOS Space Vision 2040, New Orleans, USA Microwave imagers - 2025 WMO OMM satellite series instrument channels (GHz) DMSP SSMIS 19-183, incl.50-60 2025 GCOM-W AMSR-2 6.9-89 2025 GPM-Core, -Braz GMI 10-183 2021+ HY-2 MWI 6.6-37 2025 FY-3, FY-3RM MWRI 10-89 2028 Metop-SG MWI 18-183, incl.50-54,118 2022 Metop-SG ICI 183-664 2022 DWSS MIS 6.3-183, incl.50-60 ?? Meteor-M MTVZA-GY 10-183, incl.50-60 2025 Meteor-MP MTVZA-GY-MP 6.9-183, incl.50-60 © Dr W. ZHANG, WMO/OBS 2021-2030 AMS 96- WIGOS Space Vision 2040, New Orleans, USA Scatterometers - 2025 WMO OMM satellite series instrument Metop ASCAT C-band 2024+? Metop-SG SCA C-band 2022 FY-3 WindRad C+Ku-band 2021+ HY-2 SCAT Ku-band 2025 Meteor-M SCAT Ku-band 2020-25 ScatSat-1 OSCAT Ku-band 2016-21 CFOSAT SCAT Ku-band 2018-21 OceanSat-3 OSCAT Ku-band 2018-23 Dr W. ZHANG, WMO/OBS AMS 96- WIGOS Space Vision 2040, New Orleans, USA WMO OMM © Dr W. ZHANG, WMO/OBS Approach to developing a new vision (3) This Vision addresses specifically the space segment because of long-lead decisions needed by space programme Some generic considerations are however needed on : • how it will be supplemented by the surface-based component: – Ground-based reference measurements – Measurements that cannot be achieved from space • and on the associated ground segment – Importance of investing in applications and user training and uptake – Preparation for exponential data growth and new paradigms for data access, including big data analytics, moving aplications to the data – Improved timeliness, and NRT access to operational and R&D mission data when relevant © Dr W. ZHANG, WMO/OBS Tier 1. Backbone system - with specified orbital configuration and measurement approaches (1/2) • Geostationary ring providing frequent multispectral VIS/IR imagery – with IR hyperspectral, Lightning mapper, UV/VIS/NIR sounder • LEO sun-sync. core constellation in 3 orbit planes (am/pm/earlymorning) – hyperspectral IR sounder, VIS/IR imager including Day/Night band – MW imager, MW sounder, Scatterometer • LEO sun-sync. at 3 additional ECT for improved robustness and improved time sampling particularly for monitoring precipitation • Wide-swath radar altimeter, and high-altitude, inclined, high-precision orbit altimeter, • IR dual-angle view imager (for SST) • MW imagery at 6.7 GHz (for all-weather SST) • Low-frequency MW (for soil moisture and ocean salinity ) • MW cross-track upper stratospheric and mesospheric temperature sounder • UV/VIS/NIR sounder , nadir and limb (for atmospheric composition, incl H2O) © Dr W. ZHANG, WMO/OBS Tier 1. Backbone system - with specified orbital configuration and measurement approaches (2/2) • Precipitation and cloud radars and MW sounder and imager on inclined orbits • Absolutely calibrated broadband radiometer and TSI and SSI radiometer • GNSS radio-occultation (basic constellation) for temperature, humidity and electron density • Narrow-band or hyperspectral imagery (ocean colour, vegetation) • High-resolution multispectral VIS/IR imagers (land use, vegetation, flood monitoring) • SAR imagery (sea state and sea-ice observations, soil moisture) • Gravimetry mission (ground water, oceanography) • Solar wind in situ plasma and energetic particles, magnetic field, at L1 • Solar coronagraph and radio-spectrograph, at L1 • In situ plasma, energetic particles at GEO and LEO, and magnetic field at GEO • On-orbit measurement reference standards for VIS/NIR, IR, MW absolute calibration © Dr W. ZHANG, WMO/OBS Tier 2. Backbone system – Open measurement approaches (flexibility to optimize the implementation) 1/2 • • • • • • • • • • Surface wind and sea state, e.g. by GNSS reflectometry missions, passive MW, SAR Stratosphere/mesosphere monitoring by UV–VIS–NIR–IR-MW limb sounders Wind and aerosol profiling by lidar (Doppler and dual/triple-frequency backscatter) Atmospheric moisture profiling by lidar (DIAL) Sea-ice thickness by lidar (in addition to radars mentioned in Tier 1) Cloud phase detection, e.g. by sub-mm imagery Carbon Dioxyde and Methane by NIR imagery Aerosol and radiation budget by multi-angle, multi-polarization radiometers High-resolution land or ocean observation (multi-polarization SAR, hyperspectral VIS) High temporal frequency MW sounding (GEO or LEO constellation) © Dr W. ZHANG, WMO/OBS Tier 2. Backbone system – Open measurement approaches (flexibility to optimize the implementation) 2/2 • Surface pressure by NIR spectrometry • HEO VIS/IR mission for continuous polar coverage (Arctic & Antarctica) • Solar magnetograph , solar EUV/X-ray imager, and X-ray irradiance, both on the Earth-Sun line (e.g. L1, GEO) and off the Earth-Sun line (e.g. L5, L4) • Solar wind in situ plasma and energetic particles and magnetic field off the Earth-Sun line (e.g. L5) • Solar coronagraph and heliospheric imager off the Earth-Sun line (e.g. L4, L5) • Magnetospheric energetic particles (e.g. GEO, HEO, MEO, LEO) © Dr W. ZHANG, WMO/OBS How the space observations can help the Hurricane intensity forecasting ? • • • It’s well known that tropical cyclones require warm water to form. Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) must be above 26°C throughout a depth of about 46 metres. Since SSTs can change rapidly due to mixing processes and correspond to only about the top 10 metres, SST by itself does not provide sufficient information about the heat content stored in the upper ocean to accurately forecast tropical cyclone intensity. We get far more reliable data from altimeters, since sea surface height anomalies are strongly correlated with the internal thermal structure of the ocean. © Dr W. ZHANG, WMO/OBS WMO OMM Then the measurements needs… © Dr W. ZHANG, WMO/OBS WMO OMM Then the measurements needs… © Dr W. ZHANG, WMO/OBS Doppler wind lidar WMO OMM Objectives • • • • wind profiles (line-of-sight) profiles of cloud and aerosol aerosol properties boundary layer height satellites instrument ADM-Aeolus ALADIN 3D-Winds 3D-Winds lidar 2023-26 © Dr W. ZHANG, WMO/OBS 2017-20 AMS 96- WIGOS Space Vision 2040, New Orleans, USA