Chapter 12:Oligopoly: Firms in Less Competitive Markets Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 1 of 30 Chapter 12:Oligopoly: Firms in Less Competitive Markets Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 2 of 30 CHAPTER 13 Chapter 12:Oligopoly: Firms in Less Competitive Markets Oligopoly: Firms in Less Competitive Markets Today, in the software and computer industries, fewer than 10 firms account for the great majority of sales. Prepared by: Fernando Quijano Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 3 of 30 CHAPTER 13 Chapter Outline and Learning Objectives Chapter 12:Oligopoly: Firms in Less Competitive Markets Oligopoly: Firms in Less Competitive Markets 13.1 Oligopoly and Barriers to Entry Show how barriers to entry explain the existence of oligopolies. 13.2 Using Game Theory to Analyze Oligopoly Use game theory to analyze the strategies of oligopolistic firms. 13.3 Sequential Games and Business Strategy Use sequential games to analyze business strategies. 13.4 The Five Competitive Forces Model Use the five competitive forces model to analyze competition in an industry. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 4 of 30 Oligopoly: Firms in Less Competitive Markets Chapter 12:Oligopoly: Firms in Less Competitive Markets Oligopoly A market structure in which a small number of interdependent firms compete. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 5 of 30 13.1 LEARNING OBJECTIVE Oligopoly and Barriers to Entry Show how barriers to entry explain the existence of oligopolies. Table 13-1 Examples of Oligopolies in Retail Trade and Manufacturing Chapter 12:Oligopoly: Firms in Less Competitive Markets RETAIL TRADE INDUSTRY MANUFACTURING FOUR-FIRM CONCENTRATION RATIO INDUSTRY FOUR-FIRM CONCENTRATION RATIO Discount department stores 95% Cigarettes 95% Warehouse clubs and supercenters 92% Beer 91% Hobby, toy, and game stores 72% Aircraft 81% Athletic footwear stores 71% Breakfast cereal 78% College bookstores 70% Automobiles 76% Radio, television, and other electronic stores 69% Computers 75% Pharmacies and drugstores 53% Dog and cat food 64% Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 6 of 30 13.1 LEARNING OBJECTIVE Oligopoly and Barriers to Entry Show how barriers to entry explain the existence of oligopolies. Chapter 12:Oligopoly: Firms in Less Competitive Markets Barriers to Entry Barrier to entry Anything that keeps new firms from entering an industry in which firms are earning economic profits. Economies of Scale Economies of scale The situation when a firm’s long-run average costs fall as it increases output. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 7 of 30 13.1 LEARNING OBJECTIVE Oligopoly and Barriers to Entry Show how barriers to entry explain the existence of oligopolies. Barriers to Entry Economies of Scale Chapter 12:Oligopoly: Firms in Less Competitive Markets FIGURE 13-1 Economies of Scale Help Determine the Extent of Competition in an Industry An industry will be competitive if the minimum point on the typical firm’s long-run average cost curve (LRAC1) occurs at a level of output that is a small fraction of total industry sales, such as Q1. The industry will be an oligopoly if the minimum point comes at a level of output that is a large fraction of industry sales, such as Q2. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 8 of 30 13.1 LEARNING OBJECTIVE Oligopoly and Barriers to Entry Show how barriers to entry explain the existence of oligopolies. Barriers to Entry Chapter 12:Oligopoly: Firms in Less Competitive Markets Ownership of a Key Input If production of a good requires a particular input, then control of that input can be a barrier to entry. Government-Imposed Barriers Patent The exclusive right to a product for a period of 20 years from the date the product is invented. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 9 of 30 Chapter 12:Oligopoly: Firms in Less Competitive Markets Using Game Theory to Analyze Oligopoly 13.2 LEARNING OBJECTIVE Use game theory to analyze the strategies of oligopolistic firms. Game theory The study of how people make decisions in situations in which attaining their goals depends on their interactions with others; in economics, the study of the decisions of firms in industries where the profits of each firm depend on its interactions with other firms. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 10 of 30 Using Game Theory to Analyze Oligopoly 13.2 LEARNING OBJECTIVE Use game theory to analyze the strategies of oligopolistic firms. All games share three key characteristics: Chapter 12:Oligopoly: Firms in Less Competitive Markets 1. Rules that determine what actions are allowable 2. Strategies that players employ to attain their objectives in the game 3. Payoffs that are the results of the interaction among the players’ strategies Business strategy Actions taken by a firm to achieve a goal, such as maximizing profits. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 11 of 30 Using Game Theory to Analyze Oligopoly 13.2 LEARNING OBJECTIVE Use game theory to analyze the strategies of oligopolistic firms. A Duopoly Game: Price Competition between Two Firms FIGURE 13-2 Chapter 12:Oligopoly: Firms in Less Competitive Markets A Duopoly Game HP’s profits are in blue, and Apple’s profits are in red. HP and Apple would each make profits of $10 million per month on sales of desktop computers if they both charged $1,200. However, each firm has an incentive to undercut the other by charging a lower price. If both firms charge $1,000, they would each make a profit of only $7.5 million per month. Don’t Let This Happen to YOU! Don’t Misunderstand Why Each Manager Ends Up Charging a Price of $1,000 YOUR TURN: Test your understanding by doing related problem 2.14 at the end of this chapter. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 12 of 30 Using Game Theory to Analyze Oligopoly 13.2 LEARNING OBJECTIVE Use game theory to analyze the strategies of oligopolistic firms. A Duopoly Game: Price Competition between Two Firms Chapter 12:Oligopoly: Firms in Less Competitive Markets Payoff matrix A table that shows the payoffs that each firm earns from every combination of strategies by the firms. Collusion An agreement among firms to charge the same price or otherwise not to compete. Dominant strategy A strategy that is the best for a firm, no matter what strategies other firms use. Nash equilibrium A situation in which each firm chooses the best strategy, given the strategies chosen by other firms. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 13 of 30 Using Game Theory to Analyze Oligopoly 13.2 LEARNING OBJECTIVE Use game theory to analyze the strategies of oligopolistic firms. Chapter 12:Oligopoly: Firms in Less Competitive Markets Firm Behavior and the Prisoner’s Dilemma Cooperative equilibrium An equilibrium in a game in which players cooperate to increase their mutual payoff. Noncooperative equilibrium An equilibrium in a game in which players do not cooperate but pursue their own self-interest. Prisoner’s dilemma A game in which pursuing dominant strategies results in noncooperation that leaves everyone worse off. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 14 of 30 13.2 LEARNING OBJECTIVE Solved Problem 13-2 Chapter 12:Oligopoly: Firms in Less Competitive Markets Is Advertising a Prisoner’s Dilemma for Coca-Cola and Pepsi? Use game theory to analyze the strategies of oligopolistic firms. Given that Coca-Cola is advertising, Pepsi’s best strategy is to advertise. Therefore, advertising is the optimal decision for both firms, given the decision by the other firm. YOUR TURN: For more practice, do related problems 2.11, 2.12, and 2.13 at the end of this chapter. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 15 of 30 13.2 LEARNING OBJECTIVE Making the Chapter 12:Oligopoly: Firms in Less Competitive Markets Connection Is There a Dominant Strategy for Bidding on eBay? Use game theory to analyze the strategies of oligopolistic firms. On eBay, bidding the maximum value you place on an item is a dominant strategy. YOUR TURN: Test your understanding by doing related problem 2.15 at the end of this chapter. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 16 of 30 Using Game Theory to Analyze Oligopoly 13.2 LEARNING OBJECTIVE Use game theory to analyze the strategies of oligopolistic firms. Can Firms Escape the Prisoner’s Dilemma? FIGURE 13-3 Chapter 12:Oligopoly: Firms in Less Competitive Markets Changing the Payoff Matrix in a Repeated Game Wal-Mart and Target can change the payoff matrix for selling PlayStation 3 game consoles by advertising that they will match their competitor’s price. This retaliation strategy provides a signal that one store charging a lower price will be met automatically by the other store charging a lower price. In the payoff matrix in panel (a), there is no matching offer, and each store benefits if it charges $300 when the other charges $500. In the payoff matrix in panel (b), with the matching offer, the companies have only two choices: They can charge $500 and receive a profit of $10,000 per month, or they can charge $300 and receive a profit of $7,500 per month. The equilibrium shifts from the prisoner’s dilemma result of both stores charging the low price and receiving low profits to both stores charging the high price and receiving high profits. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 17 of 30 Using Game Theory to Analyze Oligopoly 13.2 LEARNING OBJECTIVE Use game theory to analyze the strategies of oligopolistic firms. Chapter 12:Oligopoly: Firms in Less Competitive Markets Can Firms Escape the Prisoner’s Dilemma? Price leadership A form of implicit collusion in which one firm in an oligopoly announces a price change and the other firms in the industry match the change. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 18 of 30 13.2 LEARNING OBJECTIVE Making American Airlines and the Chapter 12:Oligopoly: Firms in Less Competitive Markets Connection Use game theory to analyze the strategies of oligopolistic firms. Northwest Airlines Fail to Cooperate on a Price Increase Airlines therefore continually adjust their prices while at the same time monitoring their rivals’ prices and retaliating against them either for cutting prices or failing to go along with price increases. The airlines have trouble raising the price this business traveler pays for a ticket. YOUR TURN: Test your understanding by doing related problems 2.17 and 2.18 at the end of this chapter. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 19 of 30 Using Game Theory to Analyze Oligopoly 13.2 LEARNING OBJECTIVE Use game theory to analyze the strategies of oligopolistic firms. Cartels: The Case of OPEC Chapter 12:Oligopoly: Firms in Less Competitive Markets Cartel A group of firms that collude by agreeing to restrict output to increase prices and profits. FIGURE 13-4 Oil Prices, 1972 to mid–2009 The blue line shows the price of a barrel of oil in each year. The red line measures the price of a barrel of oil in terms of the purchasing power of the dollar in 2009. By reducing oil production, OPEC was able to raise the world price of oil in the mid-1970s and early 1980s. Sustaining high prices has been difficult over the long run, however, because members often exceed their output quotas. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 20 of 30 Using Game Theory to Analyze Oligopoly 13.2 LEARNING OBJECTIVE Use game theory to analyze the strategies of oligopolistic firms. Cartels: The Case of OPEC FIGURE 13-5 Chapter 12:Oligopoly: Firms in Less Competitive Markets The OPEC Cartel with Unequal Members Because Saudi Arabia can produce much more oil than Nigeria, its output decisions have a much larger effect on the price of oil. In the figure, Low Output corresponds to cooperating with the OPEC-assigned output quota, and High Output corresponds to producing at maximum capacity. Saudi Arabia has a dominant strategy to cooperate and produce a low output. Nigeria, however, has a dominant strategy not to cooperate and instead produce a high output. Therefore, the equilibrium of this game will occur with Saudi Arabia producing a low output and Nigeria producing a high output. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 21 of 30 Sequential Games and Business Strategy 13.3 LEARNING OBJECTIVE Use sequential games to analyze business strategies. Deterring Entry FIGURE 13-6 Chapter 12:Oligopoly: Firms in Less Competitive Markets The Decision Tree for an Entry Game HP earns its highest return if it charges $600 for its netbook and Apple does not enter the market. But at that price, Apple will enter the market, and HP will earn only 16 percent. If HP charges $275, Apple will not enter because Apple will suffer an economic loss by receiving only a 5 percent return on its investment. Therefore, HP’s best decision is to deter Apple’s entry by charging $275. HP will earn an economic profit by receiving a 20 percent return on its investment. Note that the dashes indicate the situation where Apple does not enter the market, and so makes no investment and receives no return. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 22 of 30 13.3 LEARNING OBJECTIVE Solved Problem 13-3 Use sequential games to analyze business strategies. Chapter 12:Oligopoly: Firms in Less Competitive Markets Is Deterring Entry Always a Good Idea? Deterrence is worth pursuing only if the payoff is higher than for other strategies. In this case, expanding the market for netbooks by charging a lower price has a higher payoff, even given that Apple will enter the market. YOUR TURN: For more practice, do related problem 3.3 at the end of this chapter. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 23 of 30 Sequential Games and Business Strategy 13.3 LEARNING OBJECTIVE Use sequential games to analyze business strategies. Bargaining FIGURE 13-7 Chapter 12:Oligopoly: Firms in Less Competitive Markets The Decision Tree for a Bargaining Game Dell earns the highest profit if it offers a contract price of $20 per copy and TruImage accepts the contract. TruImage earns the highest profit if Dell offers it a contract of $30 per copy and it accepts the contract. TruImage may attempt to bargain by threatening to reject a $20-per-copy contract. But Dell knows this threat is not credible because once Dell has offered a $20-per-copy contract, TruImage’s profits are higher if it accepts the contract than if it rejects it. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 24 of 30 13.4 LEARNING OBJECTIVE The Five Competitive Forces Model Use the five competitive forces model to analyze competition in an industry. FIGURE 13-8 Chapter 12:Oligopoly: Firms in Less Competitive Markets The Five Competitive Forces Model Michael Porter’s model identifies five forces that determine the level of competition in an industry: (1) competition from existing firms, (2) the threat from new entrants, (3) competition from substitute goods or services, (4) the bargaining power of buyers, and (5) the bargaining power of suppliers. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 25 of 30 13.4 LEARNING OBJECTIVE The Five Competitive Forces Model Use the five competitive forces model to analyze competition in an industry. Competition from Existing Firms Chapter 12:Oligopoly: Firms in Less Competitive Markets Competition among firms in an industry can lower prices and profits. Competition in the form of advertising, better customer service, or longer warranties can also reduce profits by raising costs. The Threat from Potential Entrants Firms face competition from companies that currently are not in the market but might enter. We have already seen how actions taken to deter entry can reduce profits. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 26 of 30 13.4 LEARNING OBJECTIVE The Five Competitive Forces Model Use the five competitive forces model to analyze competition in an industry. Competition from Substitute Goods or Services Chapter 12:Oligopoly: Firms in Less Competitive Markets Firms are always vulnerable to competitors introducing a new product that fills a consumer need better than their current product does. The Bargaining Power of Buyers If buyers have enough bargaining power, they can insist on lower prices, higher-quality products, or additional services. The Bargaining Power of Suppliers If many firms can supply an input and the input is not specialized, the suppliers are unlikely to have the bargaining power to limit a firm’s profits. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 27 of 30 13.4 LEARNING OBJECTIVE Making the Chapter 12:Oligopoly: Firms in Less Competitive Markets Connection Can We Predict Which Firms Will Continue to Be Successful? Use the five competitive forces model to analyze competition in an industry. Is it possible to draw general conclusions about which business strategies are likely to be successful in the future? Unfortunately, Circuit City’s excellence as a company didn’t last. YOUR TURN: Test your understanding by doing related problem 4.5 at the end of this chapter. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 28 of 30 AN INSIDE LOOK >> Hewlett-Packard Uses New Technology to Chapter 12:Oligopoly: Firms in Less Competitive Markets Boost Sales of Personal Computers Dell decides whether to sell touch-sensitive personal computers. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 29 of 30 Chapter 12:Oligopoly: Firms in Less Competitive Markets KEY TERMS Barrier to entry Business strategy Cartel Collusion Cooperative equilibrium Dominant strategy Economies of scale Game theory Nash equilibrium Noncooperative equilibrium Oligopoly Patent Payoff matrix Price leadership Prisoner’s dilemma Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 30 of 30