COST MANAGEMENT BASICS COST PLANNING Agenda • • • • • • • • • • Explanation of Cost & Cost Planning Computing Rates Measuring Performance Master Data Identifying Requirements & Forecasting Benchmarking Establishing Operational Requirement Levels Setting Cost Targets The Role of Budgeting in Planning and Control Managerial Performance Reports 2 Explanation of Cost & Cost Planning 3 Cost Management Involves • Capture and Valuate Data – Accurate, timely and relevant data – Connecting operational output/performance data to financial data – Allocate Overhead • Cost Planning – Set Cost Targets and Efficiency Goals – Compute Standard Rates Cost Planning • Cost Controlling – Move to action based on analysis – Change targets – Change resources – Change quality Cost Accounting Cost Management Process Cost Controlling • Cost Analysis – Variances – Depreciation Cost Analysis – Trends and forecasting – Product, service or activity cost by element (labor, contract etc) – Understanding full costs of organizations, operations, products and services 4 What is cost? • Amount of resources given up in exchange for some goods or services – The amount of expenditure (actual or notional) incurred on, or attributable to, a specified thing or activity – A foregoing, measured in monetary terms, incurred or potentially to be incurred to achieve a specific objective • Discussion: – What does cost mean to you? – At home? • Water, cable, phone bill – To your organization? • Maintenance, services, IT contracts 5 What is cost? • Basic elements of cost: – Raw materials – Labor – Indirect expenses/overhead 6 Resources/Inputs Cost = Converting and Measurement of Work Cost Center Organization - Labor, Materials, Supplies Asset / Equipment Outputs Project / Program Plant, Property & Equipment Building Project, Weapon System Internal Order Services, Events (SSP, Course) WBS / Work Order Job (Set of Tasks) – Maint & Repair 7 Cost Planning Cost Planning is the use of a Cost Model for “should-cost” forecasting to make informed decisions Often Performed for: Cost Accounting Cost Planning Cost Management Process Cost Controlling Cost Analysis • • • • • • Budget Requirements Requests Costs Estimations Output Quantities Capacity Management Risk Analysis Various Time Frames: Out year / Current year, Quarterly, Monthly • Standard Rates • Defining Targets to Measure Efficiency and Effectiveness 8 What is Cost Planning? • A cost plan determines the fiscal feasibility of an initiative. This is done by setting the lifecycle budgets and cost controls to manage the delivery and quality of the initiative's outcomes over a set timeframe. • Cost Estimating and Cost Planning are not the same – A cost estimate is an assessment or approximation of the likely costs of an initiative with an indication as to the degree of accuracy, usually +/- percent. • In the construction industry—a good example of project management—a cost estimate is a prediction of the costs of construction. 9 Cost Planning Example – In the construction industry, a cost plan is used as a way of controlling the estimated costs during the design and construction phases of a project. – Cost plans are living artifacts, just like project management plans. They must be managed throughout the lifecycle of any initiative in any industry. 10 How to cost plan • Art or science? • Sound commercial principles dictate how cost estimation migrates into cost planning – right modeling tools – experience 11 Guiding Principles – Time is money – Risk and reward are opposites. The higher the risk, the greater potential for reward. If the risk is unsustainable, there'll be no reward. – Appropriate controls to develop, implement and manage cost estimates and cost plans are the key to repeatable quality outcomes and commercial success. – Cost estimating and cost planning outcomes provide the framework for cost control through the lifecycle of any initiative. 12 Cost Planning Highlights – Successful cost planning is made up of diversified choices in approach and execution. • There is no one approach that fits all scenarios. • Making the best and most appropriate choices to fit the situation. – Before developing the cost plan for any initiative, you need to consider the framework. – There are decisions that need to be made in order to determine the best approach for your cost plan and deliver the desired outcome and accuracy. 13 What is cost planning? • Decisions to be made when determining the best approach: – What is being planned? The principles are the same but the environment, approach and tolerances will be different. – Is the opportunity a deal or a contract? A contract may have penalties for nonperformance or delays. A deal is more of a partnership. – Do I need to test the market with an RFI or RFP/RFT/RFQ? – What is the commercial envelope? Is it a fixed lump sum, target sum, open book, or other? – Has there been a sound assessment of the risk versus the complexity? – What is the degree of confidence and/or accuracy? – Do I need to obtain market coverage to sharpen the accuracy? – Is there a comprehensive work breakdown structure (WBS) for services and materials? – Do I have a strong understanding of the concept of money and the methods to determine the investment value or the return on investment? – What about developing present and future value-of-money models? – How does time affect the proposed cost plan? – Is risk covered and are there adequate contingencies? 14 Cost Planning Summary – The success formula for repeatable execution of quality cost estimates and cost plans is a combination of experience, commercial intellect, optimal choices of tools, and approach. – Cost estimating and cost planning are both an art and a science. But most importantly, they require a strong dose of structure and discipline. – And never underestimate what experience brings to the table. 15 Planning vs. Actual Data • Cost Planning aims to be predictive and to inform operational decisions. • Cost Planning is necessarily speculative and approximate to some degree—variances in cost and other variables will always exist. 16 Starting Point: The Plan (Budget) • Just as in analyzing volume and performance variance we must start with an expectation – This is the plan or budget • The plan or budget must define two of the following three variables in the equation: cost = output x cost per output – Some measure of output (like units) – A measure of cost per output – The total cost • Furthermore, the plan defines these variables for all time periods or milestones within the project 17 Computing Rates 18 Computing Rates • What is a rate? – Basic Definition: a quantity measured with respect to another measured quantity – Miles per hour (mph) – $ per gallon (gasoline, etc.) – $ per kWh (kilowatt-hour; i.e. your electricity bill) – Calories per serving • Specific definition for our purpose: the cost per unit of a commodity or service – $ per hour for electrician (i.e. DPW work at an installation) – $ per hour for depot maintenance work (i.e. AMC) 19 Computing Rates Examples • Your water bill (i.e. cost per gallon of water) – Primary considerations: • • • • Number of customers Forecasted total consumption; consumption per customer Equipment costs Labor costs – Other considerations: • Planned maintenance (replacing aging pipes) • Unplanned maintenance (replacing damaged pipes) • Rent/leasing a house ($/month) – Primary considerations: • • • • • • Mortgage costs (includes: principal, interest, insurance, taxes, etc.) Utilities Homeowners Association dues Maintenance costs Rental market comparables Profit – Other considerations • Unplanned maintenance (refrigerator dies) • Unrented periods 20 Computing Rates Army rates discussion: • For most Army organizations, labor is the predominant resource used and is the key component for most services • Therefore, the ability to accurately estimate and project labor costs is absolutely essential to help managers make informed operational and cost decisions • Standard labor rates provide managers with a tool for developing estimates of current and future labor costs 21 Labor Rates • Standard cost is any cost computed with the use of preestablished measures • Standard costing is a costing method that attaches costto-cost objects based on reasonable estimates or cost studies and by means of budgeted rates rather than according to actual costs incurred • A standard labor rate is the total value of costs planned for a workforce divided by the planned annual productive hours available for that workforce (planned labor dollars / planned productive hours). • Stabilized labor rate is the standard labor rate established for a depot or other working capital fund activity and is a cost per direct labor hour (or other output measure) customers are charged for the products and services provided by a depot or activity group. 22 Labor Rate Example • AMC charges standard rates for depot maintenance work, and • ATEC uses standard rates when charging customers for test and evaluation support. • It is imperative these rates include all the components of the full (AMC) or reimbursable (ATEC) cost incurred by these organizations when performing work for customers. • Organizations should not only be able to identify direct costs, but also indirect costs when formulating rates. – For example: ATEC includes overhead costs in the rates charged to non-DoD customers. 23 Establishing Standard Rates • Standard labor rates are based on documented labor and service (production) costs from previous fiscal years. • These historic costs are adjusted for inflation, anticipated productivity changes and other factors that are expected to impact costs in the next fiscal year. • The inclusion of leave within the Std. Rate is required to accurately associate the cost of work performed to the receiver cost object. Leave hours should be associated with the organization owning the resource, not charged to products/services, customers, or programs. 24 Establishing Standard Rates (cont.) • The organization must accomplish the following to establish the standard labor rates (next slide): 1. Divide the organization into resource (cost) pools. 2. For each resource pool, determine the total pay and benefits paid over the course of the fiscal year. 3. For each resource pool, determine the total number of available work hours for the fiscal year. – Note that this is not the number of hours for which employees were paid. It is the number of hours for which they were present for work. Leave is utilized within the determination of the productive work hrs available. 4. Divide total pay and benefits by the number of available work hours to establish the actual historic labor rate. Adjust this historic rate by factoring in inflation, anticipated productivity changes, and other factors expected to impact labor costs in the next fiscal year. This is the standard labor rate for a resource pool. 25 GFEBS Standard Rates Example 26 Measuring Performance 27 Performance Measurement Performance measures describe how well an individual has performed a task A good performance measure reveals the actions of the individual and being evaluated Motivates individuals to act in the organization’s best interest Cultural differences influence performance measurement 28 Performance Measurement Certain aspects of financial accounting systems exist today because of the demand for performance measures Multiple performance measures generally will reveal an individual’s actions more accurately than a single measure 29 Example Performance Metrics Quality and Performance Customer satisfaction measures Error rate Rework or scrap rate Internal failure costs Capacity Planning; Supplement C, Waiting Lines; Supplement H, Measuring Output Rates; Supplement I, Learning Curve Analysis Processing time Total time from start to finish (throughput time) Setup time Operating expenses Capacity utilization Average waiting time Average number of customers or jobs waiting in line 30 Example Performance Metrics Constraint Management Cycle time Idle time Lean Systems Setup time Average waiting time Total time from start to finish (throughput time) Waste 31 Productivity Productivity = Units produced Input used • Measure of process improvement • Represents output relative to input • Only through productivity increases can our standard of living improve 32 Productivity Calculations Labor Productivity Productivity = = Units produced Labor-hours used 1,000 250 = 4 units/labor-hour One resource input single-factor productivity 33 Multi-Factor Productivity Productivity = Output Labor + Material + Energy + Capital + Miscellaneous • Also known as total factor productivity • Output and inputs are often expressed in dollars Multiple resource inputs multi-factor productivity 34 Collins Title Productivity Old System: Staff of 4 works 8 hrs/day Payroll cost = $640/day 8 titles/day Overhead = $400/day New System: 14 titles/day Overhead = $800/day 35 Collins Title Productivity Old System: Staff of 4 works 8 hrs/day Payroll cost = $640/day 8 titles/day Overhead = $400/day New System: 14 titles/day Overhead = $800/day Old multifactor = productivity 8 titles/day $640 + 400 = .0077 titles/dollar New multifactor = productivity 14 titles/day $640 + 800 = .0097 titles/dollar 36 Measurement Problems 1. Quality may change while the quantity of inputs and outputs remains constant 2. External elements may cause an increase or decrease in productivity 3. Precise units of measure may be lacking 37 Preferred Performance Measures • Preferred Performance Measures are those that are sensitive to or change significantly with the manager’s performance. • They do not change much with changes in factors that are beyond the manager’s control • They motivate the manager as well as limit the manger’s exposure to risk, reducing the cost of providing incentives • May include Benchmarking 38 Performance Measures at the Individual Activity Level • Two issues when evaluating performance at the individual activity level: 1. Designing performance measures for activities that require multiple tasks 2. Designing performance measures for activities done in teams 39 Master Data 40 Master Data: Activity Types • An Activity Type represents a group of resources within a Cost Center. These resource groups have capacity and a unit of measure such as: labor hours, machine hours, square footage, etc. • Activity Type Uses: – Capture Capacity or Planned Output • Example: technician works 2088 Hrs or machine runs 3500 Hrs (10 Hrs/Day for 350 days) – Holds the rate for the output of the resource pool • Example: $2 Hr, $5 Hr, $20 Hr – Assigns capacity consumed by products/ services • Example: Hrs/min worked per diagnostic test, which then valuates based on the rate 41 Master Data: Things You Do • Various other cost objects are used to represent the things that the Cost Centers/Orgs are providing: Internal Orders, Projects/Work Breakdown Structures, Maintenance Orders, etc. – Internal Orders: are short term in nature, represent an event or job, do not replace the rigor of the Project/WBS Element structure • Example: Courses, CLS-SSPs, Pre-Deployment, Professional Certification – WBS Elements: sub-tasks within Projects used for planning, executing, and costing and managing dependencies • Example: MEDCOM MRMC Labs projects, DPW Minor Constructions, Environmental clean-ups. Additionally, WBS Elements are used for reimbursable work either through a MIPR or as a Direct Charge. – Business Process: Captures costs of cross-functional activities (the “work” performed by the Cost Center/Activity Types) and typically related to an action such as a “verb” • Example: Pick Items, Pack Boxes, Ship Pallet 42 Master Data: Things You Track • A Statistical Key Figure (SKF) is a piece of information about the cost object it is assigned to • Example: # FTE for a cost center, # of telephones, # of Students in a Class, # of Ads within a Campaign • SKFs are used to: • Capture non-financial information • Calculate the basis (cost driver) for cost assignments • Example: # of telephones to allocate out from the phone bill • Measure performance • Example: # of tests SKF can plan for the year and then actuals captured to report progress • Calculate a unit cost rates 43 Identifying Requirements & Forecasting 45 Quality Function Deployment 1. Identify what customer wants 2. Identify how the good/service will satisfy the customer wants 3. Relate customer wants to product how’s 4. Identify relationships between the firm’s how’s 5. Develop customer importance ratings 6. Evaluate competing products 7. Compare performance to desirable technical attributes 46 QFD House of Quality 47 What is Forecasting? • Process of predicting a future event • Underlying basis of all business decisions – – – – Production Inventory Personnel facilities ?? 48 Forecasting • Forecasts are critical inputs to business plans, annual plans, and budgets • Finance, human resources, marketing, operations, and supply chain managers need forecasts to plan output levels, purchase services and materials, workforce and output schedules, inventories, and long-term capacities • Forecasts are made on many different variables • Forecasts are important to managing both processes and managing supply chains 49 Components of Demand Demand for product or service Trend component Seasonal peaks Actual demand line Average demand over 4 years Random variation | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 Time (years) 50 Trend Component • Persistent, overall upward or downward pattern • Changes due to population, technology, age, culture, etc. • Typically several years duration 51 Seasonal Component • Regular pattern of up and down fluctuations • Due to weather, customs, etc. • Occurs within a single year PERIOD LENGTH “SEASON” LENGTH NUMBER OF “SEASONS” IN PATTERN Week Day 7 Month Week 4 – 4.5 Month Day 28 – 31 Year Quarter 4 Year Month 12 Year Week 52 52 Cyclical Component • Repeating up and down movements • Affected by business cycle, political, and economic factors • Multiple years duration • Often causal or associative relationships 0 5 10 15 20 53 Random Component • Erratic, unsystematic, ‘residual’ fluctuations • Due to random variation or unforeseen events • Short duration and non-repeating M T W T F 54 Naïve Approach • Assumes demand in next period is the same as demand in the most recent period – Example: if January sales were 68, then February sales will be 68 • Naïve approach is sometimes cost effective and efficient • Can be a good starting point 55 Demand Patterns • A time series is the repeated observations of demand for a service or product in their order of occurrence • There are five basic time series patterns: – – – – – Horizontal Trend Seasonal Cyclical random 56 Moving Average Method • • • MA is a series of arithmetic means Used if little or no trend is present Used often for smoothing – Provides overall impression of data over time demand in previous n periods å Moving average = n 57 Weighted Moving Average • Used when some trend might be present – • Older data is usually less important Weights based on experience and intuition (( )( Weighted å Weight for period n Demand in period n moving = å Weights average )) 58 Exponential Smoothing • Form of weighted moving average – – • Requires smoothing constant () – – • Weights decline exponentially Most recent data = weighted most Ranges from 0 to 1 Subjectively chosen Involves little record keeping of past data 59 Trend Projections • Fitting a trend line to historical data points to project into the medium to long-range • Linear trends can be found using the least squares technique y = a + bx where y = computed value of the variable to be predicted (dependent variable) a = y-axis intercept b = slope of the regression line x = the independent variable 60 Values of Dependent Variable (y-values) Least Squares Method Actual observation (y-value) Deviation7 • Deviation5 Deviation6 Deviation3 Deviation4 Deviation1 (error) Deviation2 Least Squares Method minimizes the sum of squared errors (deviations Trend line, y^= a + bx | | | | | | | 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Time period 61 Associative Forecasting • Used when changes in one or more independent variables can be used to predict the changes in the dependent variable • Most common technique is linear regression analysis • We apply this technique just as we did in the time-series example 62 Associative Forecasting Forecasting an outcome based on predictor variables using the least squares technique y = a + bx where y = value of the dependent variable (in our example, sales) a = y-axis intercept b = slope of the regression line x = the independent variable 63 Correlation • • • How strong is the linear relationship between the variables? Correlation does not necessarily imply causality! Coefficient of correlation, r, measures degree of association – Values range from -1 to +1 64 Correlation Coefficient r= nå xy - å xå y é 2 êënå x - ùé 2 å x úûêënå y - ( ) 2 ( ù å y úû ) 2 65 Multiple Regression Analysis If more than one independent variable is to be used in the model, linear regression can be extended to multiple regression to accommodate several independent variables ŷ = a + b1x1 + b2 x2 Computationally, this is quite complex and generally done on the computer 66 Monitoring and Controlling Forecasts Tracking Signal • • Measures how well the forecast is predicting actual values Ratio of cumulative forecast errors to mean absolute deviation (MAD) – – Good tracking signal has low values If forecasts are continually high or low, the forecast has a bias error 67 Tracking Signals Signal exceeding limit Tracking signal + Upper control limit 0 MADs Acceptable range – Lower control limit Time 68 Adaptive Smoothing • • It’s possible to use the computer to continually monitor forecast error and adjust the values of the a and b coefficients used in exponential smoothing to continually minimize forecast error This technique is called adaptive smoothing 69 Focus Forecasting • Developed at American Hardware Supply, and is based on two principles: 1. Sophisticated forecasting models are not always better than simple ones 2. There is no single technique that should be used for all products or services • Uses historical data to test multiple forecasting models for individual items • Forecasting model with the lowest error used to forecast the next demand 70 Seasonal Variations in Data The multiplicative seasonal model can adjust trend data for seasonal variations in demand 71 Seasonal Variations in Data Steps in the process for monthly seasons: 1. Find average historical demand for each month 2. Compute the average demand over all months 3. Compute a seasonal index for each month 4. Estimate next year’s total demand 5. Divide this estimate of total demand by the number of months, then multiply it by the seasonal index for that month 72 Capacity and Scale • Economies of scale – – – – Spreading fixed costs Reducing construction costs Cutting costs of purchased materials Finding process advantages • Diseconomies of scale • Complexity • Loss of focus • Inefficiencies 73 Average unit cost (dollars per patient) Capacity and Scale 250-bed hospital 500-bed hospital Economies of scale 750-bed hospital Diseconomies of scale Output rate (patients per week) 74 Benchmarking 75 Benchmarking -Definition: • A measurement of the quality of an organization's policies, products, programs, strategies, etc., and their comparison with standard measurements, or similar measurements of its peers. – Objectives: (1) to determine what and where improvements need to be made (2) to analyze how other organizations achieve their high performance levels (3) to use this information to improve performance 76 Types of Benchmarking • • • • • • • • • • • Process benchmarking Financial benchmarking Benchmarking from an investor perspective Benchmarking in the public sector Performance benchmarking Product benchmarking Strategic benchmarking Functional benchmarking Best-In-Class benchmarking Operational benchmarking Energy benchmarking 77 Typical Benchmarking Methodology • Identify problem areas • Identify other industries that have similar processes • Identify organizations that are leaders in these areas • Survey companies for measures and practices • Visit the "best practice" companies to identify leading edge practices • Implement new and improved business practices 78 Marginal Costs Marginal Costs are the costs to produce one more additional unit of output The slope of the Total Cost Curve at any given level of production is the marginal cost for one more unit Marginal costs are highest at very low output rates and at output rates near capacity 79 Marginal Costs Total cost Total C (£) High marginal costs A B Lowest marginal costs High marginal costs Output 80 Average Costs Average Cost is calculated by dividing the total cost by the total units produced Average Cost is very high at low levels of output 81 Approximations of Activity Costs • Activity costs are not always easy to estimate thus managers often use approximations • One approximation is to use the market value of resources for the opportunity cost • Total activity costs can be approximated using fixed and variable costs Fixed Costs Cost of using facilities, purchasing machines, hiring and training employees, and using other resources that do not change with the rate of output Variable Costs Cost of using additional labor, materials and other resources to increase the output of the activity 82 Earned Value Management • Earned Value Management (EVM) provides a common set of metrics for measuring both • Schedule variance • Cost Variance • EVM combined with AAR offers a template for cost management and control of projects 83 What Does Earned Value Mean? • Since there are risks to both cost and schedule, some method is needed to link the two • Earned value measures what has been accomplished in terms of planned (budgeted) cost – In this sense, it is similar to the flexible forecast we used previously in analyzing volume variance – Just like in the flexible forecast, we will use the original planning factors to evaluate (in dollar terms) how much more or less work has been done 84 The Balanced Scorecard Financial Perspective creating organizational value for owners/shareholders Customer perspective process Strategy adding value for customers Internal business process ensuring efficiency and quality in the value chain Learning and growth investing in organizational infrastructure 85 The Balanced Scoreboard Each organizational objective has driver performance measures and outcome performance measures Driver Performance Measures: Outcome Performance Measures: measure of input activities to achieve the objective measures to determine whether the objective has been realized e.g. the number of employee training sessions is a driver performance measure for the objective of increasing employee skills to serve customers e.g. the number different services that an employee can offer a customer 86 Balance Scoreboard Example Objectives Initiatives Performance measure Target Financial Perspective Increase shareholder wealth Develop new products Return on assets 25% Growth Increase online sales % growth in sales 30% Increase market share Increased advertising % market share 10% Customer satisfaction Increase post-sales service % satisfied through survey 99% Reduce throughput time Reduce non-value-added activities Average throughput time On-time delivery Streamline delivery process % pm-time delivery Reduce defects Quality teams % defects Multi-skilled workforce Employee training % of employees with multiple skills Improve information systems Hire new employees in computing Number of employees in computing Reduce employee turnover Pay higher salaries % annual turnover Customer Perspective Internal business perspective 4 hours 90% 0.01% Learning and growth perspective 80% 20 10% 87 Limitations of the Balanced Scoreboard It is difficult to optimize performance across the 4 perspectives while making the appropriate trade-offs necessary to do so The addition of too many measures leads to a unwieldy scorecard where managers are left to determine the relative importance of measures subjectively Over reliance on the financial perspective leads to an unbalanced scorecard which focuses on the short term 88 Rewarding Performance Through Compensation Contracts An organization can be viewed as a set of contracts that identify the assignment of responsibilities, the performance measures to evaluate the members, and how the benefits generated by the organization are shared Compensation is often used as a motivational tool 89 The Management Processes Resource Managers Operational Managers $ Inputs Resources: Labor Material Equipment Supplies Contracts Assets Conversion “Work” Work Performed by Organizations (Cost Centers) to Produce Products and Services for Customers Outputs Products Services: Courses Services Support Programs Tests Research Projects Training Events 90 90 Setting Cost Targets 91 Estimating Product Costs for Planning Decisions Planning decisions are improved with better estimates of product costs The costs and benefits of different decisions must be estimated The item to be costed is called the cost objective – the primary cost objects are the products or services provided by an organization The cost of using resources to provide a product or service is called the product or service cost 92 The Role of Budgeting in Planning and Control 93 The Role of Budgeting in Planning and Control 94 The Role of Budgeting in Planning and Control • Types of Budgets – Master budget • Operating budgets • Financial budgets • Time frame – Annual period – Multi-year rolling budget 95 The Role of Budgeting in Planning and Control • Gathering information – Forecasting sales – Forecasting other variables • The master budget starts with the sales forecast, which is the basis for the sales budget • All other operating and most financial budgets are generated from the sales budget 96 The Role of Budgeting in Planning and Control 97 Preparing the Operating Budget • The first budget is the sales budget which is based on the sales forecast Schedule 1 (in thousands) Starting point for ‘Production’ budget Starting point for ‘Marketing Expense’ budget Goes to ‘Budgeted Income Statement’ 98 Preparing the Operating Budget Schedule 2 (in thousands) Starting point for ‘Direct Materials Purchases’ budget Starting point for ‘Direct Labor’ budget 99 Preparing the Operating Budget Schedule 3 (in thousands) * Follows the inventory policy of having 8 million pounds of materials on hand at the end of the first and second quarters and 5 million pounds on hand at the end of the third and fourth quarters. Goes to ‘Cost of Goods Sold’ budget 100 Preparing the Operating Budget Schedule 4 (in thousands) Starting point for ‘Overhead’ budget Goes to ‘Cost of Goods Sold’ budget 101 Preparing the Operating Budget Schedule 5 (in thousands) *Includes $200,000 of depreciation in each quarter. Goes to ‘Cost of Goods Sold’ budget 102 Preparing the Operating Budget Schedule 6 (in thousands) aAmounts taken from Schedule 3. bAmounts taken from Schedule 4. cAmounts taken from Schedule 5. dBudgeted fixed overhead (Schedule 5)/Budgeted direct labor hours (Schedule 4) = $1,280/240 = $5.33. Goes to ‘Cost of Goods Sold’ budget 103 Preparing the Operating Budget Schedule 7 (in thousands) *Production needs $0.01 = 416,000 $0.01. Goes to ‘Budgeted Income Statement’ 104 Preparing the Operating Budget Schedule 8 (in thousands) Goes to ‘Budgeted Income Statement’ 105 Preparing the Operating Budget Schedule 9 (in thousands) Goes to ‘Budgeted Income Statement’ 106 Preparing the Operating Budget Schedule 10 (in thousands) Goes to ‘Budgeted Income Statement’ 107 Preparing the Operating Budget Schedule 11 (in thousands) 108 Operating Budgets for Various Organizations • Merchandising: – Merchandise purchases replaces production – Direct materials and direct labor are not required • For-Profit-Service: – Sales budget is the production budget – Inventories are non-existent • Not-For-Profit Service: – Budget for the level and types of services produced – Statement of sources and uses replaces income statement 109 Preparing the Financial Budget • Cash Budget – Breakdown into short time periods – Forecast need for short-term borrowing – Forecast periods of high cash balances Beginning cash balance + Cash receipts Cash available – Cash disbursements – Minimum cash balance Excess or deficiency of cash – Repayments + Loans + Minimum cash balance Ending cash balance 110 Preparing the Financial Budget Schedule 12 (in thousands) 111 Preparing the Financial Budget Schedule 12 (in thousands) 112 Preparing the Financial Budget Schedule 12 (in thousands) 113 Preparing the Financial Budget • Budgeted Balance Sheet – Current (actual) balance sheet – Integrate data from all other budgets 114 Preparing the Financial Budget Schedule 13 (in thousands) a Ending balance from Schedule 12. b 30 percent of fourth-quarter credit sales (0.30 × $800,000); see Schedules 1 and 12. c From Schedule 3 (5,000,000 lbs. × $0.01). d From Schedule 6. e From the December 31, 2009, balance sheet. f December 31, 2009, balance ($9,000,000) plus new equipment acquisition of $600,000; see the 2009 ending balance sheet and Schedule 12. g From the December 31, 2009, balance sheet and Schedules 5, 8, and 10 ($4,500,000 + $800,000 + $20,000 + $40,000). h 20% of fourth-quarter purchases; see Schedules 3 and 12. i From the December 31, 2009, balance sheet. j $6,825,000 + $894,000 (December 31, 2009, balance plus net income from Schedule 11). 115 Shortcomings of the Traditional Master Budget Process • Department orientation: – Plan from resources to outputs – Does not recognize interdependencies among departments • Static budgets: – Developed for a single level of activity – Based on incremental adjustments • Results orientation: – Disconnects the process from its output – Cost-cutting accomplished by across-the-board cuts 116 Static Budgets for Planning and Control • Static Budget: – – – – – Vital for planning Less useful for control Master budget developed around a single level of activity Budgeted activity level rarely equals actual activity 117 Static Budgets for Planning and Control 118 Flexible Budgets for Planning and Control • Flexible Budgets: – Variable budget – Provides expected costs for a range of activity – Provides budgeted costs for the actual activity level 119 Flexible Budgets for Planning and Control 120 Flexible Budgets for Planning and Control • Flexible Budget Performance Report: – Compare budgeted costs given the actual level of activity to the actual costs for the same level – Locate possible problem areas by examining the flexible budget variances – Examines efficiency 121 Managerial Performance Reports 122 Managerial Performance Reports • Have flexible budget variances – Actual results vs. flexible budget – Examines efficiency • Has volume variances – Static budget vs. flexible budget – Examines effectiveness 123 Managerial Performance Report Managerial Performance Report: Quarterly Production (in thousands) Actual results 3,000 Units produced Production costs: Direct materials $ 927.3 Direct labor 360.0 Supplies 80.0 Indirect labor 220.0 Power 40.0 Supervision 90.0 Depreciation 200.0 Rent 30.0 Total Costs $ 1,947.3 Flexible budget 3,000 $ 780.0 360.0 90.0 210.0 60.0 100.0 200.0 20.0 $ 1,820.0 Flexible budget variances $ 147.3 (10.0) 10.0 (20.0) (10.0) 10.0 $ 127.3 U U F U F F U U 124 Managerial Performance Reports Managerial Performance Report: Quarterly Production (in thousands) Actual results 3,000 Units produced Production costs: Direct materials $ 927.3 Direct labor 360.0 Supplies 80.0 Indirect labor 220.0 Power 40.0 Supervision 90.0 Depreciation 200.0 Rent 30.0 Total Costs $ 1,947.3 Flexible budget 3,000 $ 780.0 360.0 90.0 210.0 60.0 100.0 200.0 20.0 $ 1,820.0 Flexible budget variances $ 147.3 (10.0) 10.0 (20.0) (10.0) 10.0 $ 127.3 U U F U F F U U Static budget 2,400 $ 624.0 288.0 72.0 168.0 48.0 100.0 200.0 20.0 $ 1,520.0 Volume variances 600 F $ 156.0 72.0 18.0 42.0 12.0 $ 300.0 U U U U U U 125 Flexible Budgets for Planning and Control • A flexible budget can be built for five overhead activities using three drivers; each driver is budgeted for two activity levels 126 Activity Based Performance Report • Measures budget variances for each of the overhead activities 127 Activity Based Budgets • ABB begins with output and then determines the resources necessary to create that output • ABB works backwards from activities and their drivers to the underlying costs – Traditional budgeting relies on functional-based line items (salaries, supplies, etc.) – Flexible budgets use cost behavior to split functionalbased line items into fixed and variable 128 Activity Based Budgets Traditional budgeting: relies on functional-based line items 129 Activity Based Budgets Flexible Budgeting: uses cost behavior to split functional-based line items into fixed and variable costs 130 Activity Based Budgets • Steps to construct an ABB – 1. determine the unit’s output – 2. identify the activities (and related drivers) needed to deliver the output – 3. estimate the demand for each activity – 4. determine the cost of resources required to produce the relevant activities 131 Activity Based Budgets 132 The Behavioral Dimension of Budgeting • Characteristics of a good budgetary system – – – – – – Frequent feedback on performance Monetary and non-monetary incentives Participative budgeting Realistic standards Controllability of costs Multiple measures of performance 133 Planning Considerations 134 Planning Capacity • Capacity is the maximum rate of output of a process or system • Accounting, finance, marketing, operations, purchasing, and human resources all need capacity information to make decisions • Capacity planning is done in the long-term and short-term • Questions involve the amount of capacity cushion and expansion strategies 135 Measures of Capacity Utilization • Output measures of capacity • Input measures of capacity • Utilization Utilization = average output rate maximum capacity = 100% 136 Deming’s Fourteen Points TABLE 6.2 Deming’s 14 Points for Implementing Quality Improvement 1. Create consistency of purpose 2. Lead to promote change 3. Build quality into the product; stop depending on inspections to catch problems 4. Build long-term relationships based on performance instead of awarding business on price 5. Continuously improve product, quality, and service 6. Start training 7. Emphasize leadership 8. Drive out fear 9. Break down barriers between departments 10. Stop haranguing workers 11. Support, help, and improve 12. Remove barriers to pride in work 13. Institute a vigorous program of education and self-improvement 14. Put everyone in the company to work on the transformation 137 Measuring Performance Total Revenue: Increase sales through better customer service Cost of Goods Sold: Net Income: Reduce costs of transportation and purchased materials Improve profits with greater revenue and lower costs Operating Expenses: Reduce fixed expenses by reducing overhead associated with supply chain operations Net Cash Flows: Improve positive cash flows by reducing lead times and backlogs Return on Assets (ROA): Working Capital: Reduce working capital by reducing inventory investment, lead times, and backlogs Fixed Assets: Inventory: Increase inventory turnover Increase ROA with higher net income and fewer total assets Reduce the number of warehouses through improved supply chain design Total Assets: Achieve the same or better performance with fewer assets 138 Process Considerations • Push/pull method of work flow • Quality at the source – Jidoka – Poka-yoke – Anadon • Uniform workstation loads – – – – Takt time Heijunka Mixed-model assembly Lot size of one 139 Two Ways Quality Improves Profitability Sales Gains via • Improved response • Flexible pricing • Improved reputation Improved Quality Reduced Costs via Increased Profits • Increased productivity • Lower rework and scrap costs • Lower warranty costs 140 Resource Planning • At the heart of any organization • Starts with sales and operation plans which helps when planning input requirements • A process relative to the firm’s competitive priorities and an important part of managing supply chains 141 Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) • An ERP system: – Integrates a firm’s functional areas – Is used by many different types of organizations • How an ERP is designed: – Single comprehensive database – Mangers monitor all of the company’s products at all locations and at all times – Information is automatically updated in the applications when transactions occur – Streamlines data flows throughout the organization – Requires a careful analysis of major processes – Significant changes in ERP systems - interoperability 142 Conclusion 143