The Iron Curtain Speech and the start of the Cold War Kurt W. Jefferson Assistant Dean for Global Initiatives/Director/Professor Churchill Institute for Global Engagement Westminster College Fulton, Missouri (USA) Winnie’s Wit • Lady Astor: Prepositions • “Some neck, some chicken!” • Trip to Fulton (whiskey, whiskey, whiskey!) Churchill: The Good, the bad, the ugly • Virtuous hero or war-monger? • “Un-modern man in a modern world” • Outlook: shaped by military background (not unlike Eisenhower & De Gaulle) • Aristocratic background (Dukes of Marlborough); noblesse oblige • Distinct careers: • Young man: military (South Africa, Sudan) • 1910-1922: Liberal ministerial portfolio • 1922-40: Backbench MP/Wilderness/writer • 1940-45: Prime Minister • 1945-51: MP, out of office • 1951-55: Prime Minister Why Fulton? • Kansas City Times: December 22, 1945 • Major General Harry H. Vaughan ’13 (Truman military aide) • 15,000 requests for tickets (gym capacity: 2800, chapel overflow: 900) • Budget: $5000 (today: $64,508.79) • Churchill-Truman entourage: 100 people • Crowd: 25,000 • Tuesday, March 5, 1946: 71 F and sunny • Senator (now Secretary of State) John Kerry (2004): “You don’t come to Fulton to give a speech, you come to honor a legacy.” The “Fulton Speech” Source: www.westminster-mo.edu The speech (“Sinews of Peace”) • First used term “Iron Curtain” in May 1945 in a telegram to Truman tied to concern about Soviet movements • “Iron Curtain” had descended across Europe • Changing geopolitical map (Stettin, today “Szczecin” in northwest Poland): Sweden, Prussia, Germany, Poland to Trieste in the Adriatic (Yugoslavia to Italy)—ancient capitals of Europe (Prague, Berlin, Budapest, Vienna, Belgrade, Warsaw, etc.) • Prelude to the speech: Intentions of the Soviets under Marshal Stalin: Feb 1946: Stalin speech—another war inevitable due to the nature of the western capitalist system • 10 months after the Speech: (January 1947 George Kennan’s “X article” (“Sources of Soviet Conduct”) vigilance and containment of “Russian expansive tendencies” “Danger, Will Robinson!” (Sorry, post-1945 to pre-1969 Cold War American TV reference!) • • • • • Soviet expansion is coming and unchecked Way to combat: Anglo-American alliance Future: UNO as a “Temple of Peace” Analysis Postscript: Proud of the United States (I’m half-American – Jenny Jerome Churchill, American nouveau riche, married Randolph Churchill) “Profound is my love for this great Empire.” History • Source: abcnews.go.com. Take-aways • “Iron Curtain” into the historical lexicon (first used, in context, by Viscountess Ethel Snowden in her 1920 book Through Bolshevik Russia)—but Churchill made it stick • Start of Cold (Yes, No, Maybe so?) • Churchill relevant again after crushing (July 1945—while at Potsdam) defeat at polls • Churchill reverting to “default” (war-mongering?) • The end of the 1914-45 Long War (Niall Ferguson and others) • Beginning of the Cold War era that lasts until 1991 • Beginning of new systems in government for defense, military, intelligence, and altered geo-politics of President Harry Truman (DOD, NSA 1947, NSC, etc.)—don’t underestimate Truman’s farreaching importance (will affect Churchill in 51-55 government • End of British Empire and declining influence of Britain geopolitically Source: i.huffpost.com 56 of 59 Scottish seats at Westminster (May 2015) www.img.rt.com www.globecartoon.com Source: www.stealthinflation.org Churchill’s “Fulton Speech” Today • Shia/Sunni war in Syria and Iraq (Islamic State, Sunni insurgencies, Shia counterinsurgencies, etc.) • Scotland, Wales, Ireland devolution/separatism • Greek debt crisis “Imponderables” Exercise • • • • • • • Churchill’s view Truman’s view Churchill’s suggested outcomes Truman’s suggested outcomes Does the issue fit in a “Cold War” paradigm? If so, why? If not, why?