AUSTRALIA’S ECONOMY Agron/Econ 496 Sergio Lence February, 2008 Australian Economy Prosperous, Western-style market economy World Bank classification: Low-income economies 53 countries (e.g., Haiti) Lower-middle income economies 55 countries (e.g., Guatemala) Upper-middle income economies 41 countries (e.g., Mexico) High-income economies 60 countries (e.g., Australia) Composition of GDP (%) Agriculture Industry Services Australia 3.7 25.6 70.7 U.S. 0.9 20.6 78.5 Composition of Exports (%) Australia Minerals and Metals 60 Rural Goods 17 Manufactured Goods 18 U.S. ? 9 82 Australian Economy Major economic reforms starting in the 1980s First reform: Labor Party’s floating of AUD in 1983 Free-trade agreements and reduction of trade barriers Financial sector deregulation, including 1992 access for foreign bank branches Rationalization and reduction of trade unions Restructuring of centralized system of industrial relations and labor bargaining Better integration of individual state economies into federal system Improvement and standardization of national infrastructure Privatization (e.g., Australian Wheat Board) AUSTRALIA: Annual Changes in GDP and CPI CPI GDP Australian Economy Current concerns Large current account deficit Absence of export-oriented manufacturing industry Real estate bubble High levels of net foreign debt owed by the private sector Pressure on environment POPULATION, 2004 Australia United States China India World 20 million 294 million 1,300 million 1,073 million 6,390 million World Population Density Population (bottom) and Internet (top) densities Australian Population Density 0-100 100-200 200-300 >300 Fe de r C ze H atio ch un n R ga ep ry Sl ub ov ak Po lic R lan ep d ub lic G Ita er ly m a Ja ny Be p a U lg n ni i te Fi um d nl Ki an ng d Sw dom ed Au en D str en ia m ar EU k Fr 15 an G ce re P e N or ce et tu he ga rla l n N Sw o d s r i w O tze ay EC rla D nd To t Ko al re Sp a a C in hi Ic na el a Lu Ca nd xe na U m d ni b a te o N d S urg ew t Ze ate a s Au lan st d ra Ire lia la n Br d az Tu il rk So M ey e ut xi h co Af ric a In di a an us si R Annual Population Growth, 1992-2005 Australia U.S. 1.16% per year 1.12% per year 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 -0.5 Po la nd T va k urk R ey ep ub Fi lic nl a H nd un D gar en y m a C ze F rk ch ra R nce N epu et he blic rla nd U G ni te erm s d Ki any ng do N m or w Sw ay ed G en O re EC e U D ce ni te Tot d a Lu St l a xe te m s bo u N Au rg ew s Ze tria Sw al a itz nd er l Au and st r Po alia rtu C gal an ad a Ita Ire ly la nd Sp ai n Sl o Net Immigration Rate, 2000-2005 Australia U.S. 0.58% of total population 0.40% of total population 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 -0.2 a la n Au d st ra lia er an ad itz Sw C ed en Sw es ria St at Au st m re ec e nd s ce Be lg iu G an la he r te d et ni U N nd Nationals (citizens) Fr la ay ge ra Ire av e w or n ar k Sp ai ga l ic ry ub l en m N D D ep Po rtu R an d un ga H nl Fi Ita ly U.S. EC ch rk ey ep ub lic R Tu Australia O ze C ak ov Sl Po la nd Foreign-Born Population, circa 2000 23% 11% Non-nationals (non-citizens) 25 20 15 10 5 0 Lu Sl xe ISL ov m ak bo R ur N ep g ew u b Ze lic al an Ire d la n Fi d nl a H nd un g D ary en m a C ze Po rk r ch tu R ga ep l ub N lic Sw orw itz ay er la n Au d st Sw ria ed e G n re e Be ce lg iu Po m la nd T N ur et k he ey rla Au nds st ra lia Ko r C ea an ad M a ex ic o Sp ai n I t al U ni y te Fra d n c K in e gd G om er m an y Ja pa n U ni EU te d 15 S ta te s Gross Domestic Product, 2005 (billion U.S. dollars, PPP) Australia U.S. 700 12,400 4 000 3 500 3 000 2 500 2 000 1 500 1 000 500 0 World Gross Domestic Product (1999) Earth’s Satellite Picture at Night k va y ico ex ke Po la Re nd pu Hu blic ng Cz P ary ec ort u h R gal ep ub li Ne K c o w r Ze ea al an d Sp ai n Ita G ly re ec Fr e a G nce er m an y Ja pa Fi n nl a Un Sw nd ite d ede Ki ng n do Be m lg iu Ca m n De ada nm Au ark st ra l Au ia Ne st r th e ia Sw rlan itz ds er la n Ic d el an Un Ire d ite lan d St d at e No s Lu r xe wa y m bo ur g Sl o M Tu r Per Capita GDP and GNP, 2005 (U.S. dollars, PPP) Australia U.S. 34,200 (GDP) 41,800 (GDP) 70 000 GDP 60 000 GNP 32,900 (GNP) 41,700 (GNP) 80 000 50 000 40 000 30 000 20 000 10 000 0 M rk ey ex ic S o lo va Po l a k R nd ep ub H lic un ga r C z e Po y ch rtu R gal ep ub li c N ew Kor Ze ea al an d S pa in Ita G ly re ec e Ja G pan er m an Fr y an c Fi e nl a S nd w ed A en us tra B lia el gi um Ire la n U ni Ca d te n d a K da in gd om A us D tria en m ar Ic k N ela et he nd r S lan w ds i U tze ni rla te d nd S ta te N s o Lu r xe wa m y bo ur g Tu Per Capita GNI and NNI, 2005 (U.S. dollars, PPP) Australia U.S. 32,900 (GNI) 27,700 (NNI) 41,700 (GNI) 36,400 (NNI) 60000 Gross national income Net national income 50000 40000 30000 20000 10000 0 Nominal GDP vs. PPP GNP Australian Dollar (AUD, A$, AU$) Currency of the Commonwealth of Australia Includes Australia, Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island, as well as the independent Pacific Island states of Kiribati, Nauru and Tuvalu. Introduced in 1966 Not only replacing the Australian pound (distinct from the pound sterling since 1929) but also introducing a decimal system. Sixth-most-traded currency in world foreign exchange markets (behind U.S. dollar, euro, yen, pound sterling, and swiss franc) AUD accounts for 4–5% of worldwide foreign exchange transactions. Monetary Conversion Rates AUD per U.S. dollar 2.5 Exchange Rate PPP 2 1.5 1 0.5 04 20 02 20 00 20 98 19 96 19 94 19 92 19 90 19 88 19 86 19 84 19 82 19 80 19 78 19 76 19 74 19 72 19 19 70 0 1/2/08 10/2/07 7/2/07 4/2/07 1/2/07 10/2/06 7/2/06 4/2/06 1/2/06 10/2/05 7/2/05 4/2/05 1/2/05 10/2/04 7/2/04 4/2/04 1/2/04 10/2/03 7/2/03 4/2/03 1/2/03 Exchange Rate AUD per U.S. dollar AUD per US$ 2.00 1.80 1.60 1.40 1.20 1.00 0.80 0.60 0.40 0.20 0.00 Sw Ja itz pan e G rlan er d m an y Ita Fr ly a Be nce lg Po ium rtu g Au al D str N enm ia et he ar rla k C ze S nds ch we R de O ep n EC ub D lic To U ni ta te d Br l Ki az ng il do So Me m ut xic h Af o ric Sp a N ain or w U G ay ni re te e d ce St a Fi tes nl a C nd an a N Hu da ew ng Ze ary a Au lan R us st d r si an Ic alia Fe ela de nd ra tio L T n Sl ux urk ov em ey ak b R our ep g ub Po lic la n Ko d re a In di Ire a la n C d hi na Real Annual GDP Growth, 1992-2005 Australia U.S. 3.8% 3.2% 10 8 6 4 2 0 Sw Jap itz an er G lan er d m a Au n y st r Fr ia an Sw ce ed Fi en nl a Be nd O EC lgiu D m To Ca tal n D ad Ne en a w ma Un Ze rk ite ala d nd S Eu tate ro s ar e Ne E a U th er 15 l Un A and s u ite d stra K li Lu ing a d xe o m m bo ur g Ita Ic ly el an d Sp ai Ko n r No e a rw a Ire y l Po and rtu Cz g ec Gr al Sl h R eec ov e ak epu Re blic pu b P o lic l Hu and ng a M ry ex ic Tu o rk ey Annual Inflation (GDP Deflator), 1992-2005 Australia U.S. 15 2.4% 2.1% 53.5 12 9 6 3 0 -3 Long-Term Interest Rates, 1994-2005 Australia 6.6% 5.5% U.S. Australia United States Japan United Kingdom 20 04 20 02 20 00 19 98 Euro area 19 96 19 94 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Unemployment Rates, 1994-2005 Australia U.S. 6.9% 5.1% 20 15 10 5 0 l l y y y c d ea ay ds ria an es k d c e g d d e ga om an ota alia bli den ar ada ium an U15 Ital nc ec lan pain land ubli t t ar an ur an r n p w a e in o r r E bo zerl Ko or erla Aus Ja Sta nm eal ortu ingd Irel D T ustr epu we ung an elg erm S p F P G F N th m t C S B G d P H R A Re K C De w Z xe Swi te E e k h i d u e c a N O L e ite N Un ov Cz Un Sl Ja pa G n re ec C H ze u e ch ng R ar U ep y ni te ubl i d St c at Po es rt u ga l Ita Po ly l G and er m an Fr y O a U EC nce ni D te T Sl d K ota ov in l ak gd o R ep m u Eu bli c r N oa et he rea rla nd Au s Sw s itz tria Lu erl xe an m d bo u Be rg lg iu m Sp a C in an ad Ire a la n Ic d el a Sw nd ed Au en st ra lia Ko D rea en m ar k F N i ew nla Ze nd al an N d or w ay Government Net BorrowingLending as % of GDP, 2003-2005 Australia U.S. 1.6% -4.4% 12 9 6 3 0 -3 -6 -9 ra lia 1995 ly re ec e Ja pa n U.S. G Australia Ita Ko re a I c N ew ela n Ze d al an D Sl d ov en ak ma r R U e k ni te p u b d Ki lic ng do m Fi nl an d Sp ai n Po la n N d or Sw w itz ay er la n Sw d e N et de he n U r ni lan te d ds St at H es un ga r Au y st r C ia an a G da er m a Po ny rtu ga Fr l a O EC nc D e T Eu ota ro l ar e Be a lg iu m Au st Government Debt as % of GDP 1.6% -4.4% 180 2005 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 lo va Me k x R ico ep ub l P ic ol an d K or e Tu a rk e G y re e P ce or tu ga Ja l p H an N ung et he ary rla C G nd ze e s ch r m R any ep ub lic S pa U Fr in ni a te nc d S e ta te Ire s la n O E A d C us D t a ria Lu ve xe rag m e S bo w u itz rg er la U nd ni te d I K taly in gd om E U C 15 an ad Ic a el an Fi d nl a B nd el g A ium us tra S lia w ed e N No n ew rw Ze ay al D an en d m ar k S Taxes on Income and Profits as % of GDP, 2004 Australia U.S. 18.2% 11.1% 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 te d ta t S S e Ja s w pa itz n er la C nd an A ada us tra li K a or ea S G pai er n m a M ny ex ic o Ita Fr ly an B ce el gi um O E I r C e D la a n Lu ve d U xe rag ni m e te b d ou K in rg gd C ze A o m ch us R tr i N epu a et h b N er lic ew l a S lo Z nds va ea k la R nd ep ub lic E U 1 P 5 ol a G nd re e S ce w ed N en or w P ay or tu g Fi al nl an Tu d r H key un ga Ic ry e D lan en d m ar k ni U Taxes on Goods and Services as % of GDP, 2004 Australia U.S. 8.9% 4.7% 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 M ex ic o Ir e la nd Lu Ko xe re m a bo u H rg un ga P ry or tu ga l Ita l P y ol an S l o Be d va lg iu k m R ep N u b et he lic r S lan w itz ds er la n G d re ec D en e m ar Fr k an G ce er m an Fi y nl an d S w ed e C n an ad a S pa in C ze No ch rw R ay ep ub lic U J ni ap te an d S ta te Ic s el an d A us t A ria N ust ew ra li U ni Ze a al te a d K nd in gd om Household Expenditures in Recreation and Culture as % of GDP, 2004 Australia U.S. 7.1% 6.4% 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 el an d Ja pa S w n ed e N n or w a Fi y nl an C d ze ch Sp R ain ep ub lic F Lu ra xe nc m e bo u P rg or tu G ga er l m an G y re ec e N et Ita he ly S rlan w itz ds er la B nd el g D i um en m ar A k us A tria us tra U lia ni te Ire la d K nd in gd o C m an ad O a E K C D ore a N ve a ew ra Ze ge al a H nd un ga S ry lo P va o l k a R n U ep d ni te ubl i d S c ta te M s ex ic Tu o rk ey Ic Infant Mortality, 2004 Australia U.S. 4.7 deaths per 1000 live births 6.8 deaths per 1000 live births 15 10 5 0 Tu rk lo Hu ey va n k ga R ep ry ub l P ic ol an C ze M d ch ex R ico ep ub lic K or e U Por a n i tu te g d al S ta D tes en Lu m O xem ark E C bo D u av rg er ag U ni e te Ire d la K nd in gd G om er m a B ny el gi u Fi m nl an G d N re et e h c N erl e ew an Ze d s al an A d us tri a Ita C ly an ad N a or w a Fr y an ce S p A ain us tra S lia w ed e Ic n S ela w itz nd er la nd Ja pa n S Life Expectancy at Birth, 2004 Australia U.S. 80.6 years 77.5 years 90 85 80 75 70 65 60 Ic el a J a nd N pan or w Fi ay n D lan en d m S a Sw w rk e itz de er n l G and re e Ire ce Be lan lg d i Fr u m a G n er ce m a Au ny st ria It Tu aly C rke a y Au nad st a r Lu K alia xe o N mb rea et o he u rla rg O EC Po nd D rtu s av ga U er l ni ag te d Sp e Ki a ng in Sl ov H do ak un m N Re gar C ew pu y ze Z b ch ea lic R lan ep d u M blic e U P xic ni o o te la d n St d at es Prison Population Rate, 2004 Australia U.S. 250 120 per 100,000 people 725 per 100,000 people 725 200 150 100 50 0 GINI Index (higher income inequality, higher index) Australia U.S. 35 45 Sl ov D eni Lu enm a C xe ar ze m k c b Sl h R ou ov e rg a p U k R ubl ni te ep ic d ub Ki lic ng do Po m la Sw nd ed en I Sw rel itz and er G lan er d m a Fi n y nl an Au d s H tria un ga r Ko y re a N Fra et n he ce rla n Ic d s el an Tu d rk Be ey lg iu m Ja pa n Ita M ly ex N ico or w G ay re Po ece O rtu EC g D al to ta Sp l A a N us in e w tr a Ze lia al a U Ca nd ni te nad d St a at es Annual Water Consumption per Capita, 2004 Australia U.S. 930 m3 1,739 m3 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 St at e Ja s p Au an st ra G lia re ec e Ita Fr ly an U ce ni te d Spa K N ing in ew d Ze om al an M d ex ic Tu o rk Po ey rtu C gal an a N da or w Po a y G lan er d m a Ic ny el a Fi nd nl an d Sw Ko itz rea er la O n EC Sw d e D d av en er a EU De ge n 15 m av ark er ag e A N et ust he ria rla nd C H ze s u n ch ga R ep ry ub Sl lic ov I ak rel R and ep u Be blic lg Sl ium ov en ia te d ni U Trade-to-GDP Ratio, 2005 Australia U.S. 21% 13% 140% 120% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 1, 99 0 1, 99 1 1, 99 2 1, 99 3 1, 99 4 1, 99 5 1, 99 6 1, 99 7 1, 99 8 1, 99 9 2, 00 0 2, 00 1 2, 00 2 2, 00 3 2, 00 4 2, 00 5 2, 00 6 2, 00 7 Billion AUD AUSTRALIA Trade in Goods and Services 250 200 150 100 50 0 -50 Imports Exports Trade Balance AUSTRALIA: Exports STM: Simply-transformed manufactures ETM: Elaborately-transformed manufactures AUSTRALIA: Exports AUSTRALIA: Imports STM: Simply-transformed manufactures ETM: Elaborately-transformed manufactures AUSTRALIA: Imports Destinations of Exports (%) AUSTRALIA Japan (20%) China (12%) South Korea (8%) U.S. (6%) India (6%) New Zealand (6%) U.S. Canada (22%) Mexico (13%) Japan (6%) China (5%) U.K. (4%) Germany (4%) Origins of Imports (%) AUSTRALIA China (14%) U.S. (14%) Japan (10%) Singapore (6%) Germany (5%) U.S. Canada (16%) China (16%) Mexico (10%) Japan (8%) Germany (5%) Australia: Free Trade Agreements Free Trade Agreements: U.S. (AUSFTA, started in 2005) Singapore (SAFTA, started in 2003) Thailand (TAFTA, started bin 2005) Free Trade Agreements under Negotiation/Consideration Japan China ASEAN (Association of South-East Asian Nations)-New Zealand Chile Gulf Cooperation Council India South Korea Malaysia Indonesia AUSTRALIA Balance of Trade and Current Account 1% 0% -1% 90 991 992 993 994 995 996 997 998 999 000 001 002 003 004 005 006 007 19 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 % of GDP -2% Trade Balance -3% -4% -5% -6% -7% Current Account AUSTRALIA Major Ag Policy Developments Reduction of trade-distorting support schemes for producers Major reduction in support to dairy producers Implementation of drought-support measures Emphasis in policies encouraging droughtpreparedness amongst farmers More economic-oriented policies for water usage Expansion and strengthening of natural resource and environmental policies, mainly aimed at preventing soil degradation Streamlining of sanitary measures for imports Producer Support Estimates as % of Gross Farm Receipts Australia Japan United States EU25 OECD Total 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 AUSTRALIA Farm Support Schemes Tax arrangements and risk-management tools to manage income fluctuations Excise tax rebates on diesel used by farmers Accelerated depreciation for land and waterconservation investments Publicly funded research and development Assistance for exceptional situations (e.g., droughts and floods) Import tariffs on certain types of cheese, unprocessed tobacco, and processed fruits and vegetables Australia Wheat Board Near-monopoly for Australian wheat exports AWB currently exports 96% of Australian wheat Created in 1939 Served as model for Canadian Wheat Board Government-controlled until 1999 Privatized in 1999 (owned by active wheat growers) Publicly traded in Australian Stock Exchange since 2001 THE END