Trade Regulations and Industrial Policies PowerPoint slides prepared by: Andreea Chiritescu Eastern Illinois University © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 1 U.S. Tariff Policies Before 1930 • The revenue argument • Dominant motive behind the early tariff laws of the United States • First tariff law, 1789 • Followed by 12 more tariff laws by 1812 • Today, tariffs collected by the federal government = 1% of total federal revenues © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 2 U.S. Tariff Policies Before 1930 • The protective argument • 1791, Alexander Hamilton, “Report on Manufacturers” • Young industries of the United States be granted import protection until they could grow and prosper • The infant industry argument • By the 1820s protectionist sentiments in the United States were well established © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 3 U.S. Tariff Policies Before 1930 • The protective argument • 1828 , Tariff of Abominations, 45% duties • Provoked the South - wanted low duties for its imported manufactured goods • Compromise Tariff of 1833 • Downsizing of the tariff protection afforded U.S. manufacturers © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 4 U.S. Tariff Policies Before 1930 • 1840s and 1850s, U.S. government • Excess of tax receipts over expenditures • Walker tariffs, 23% • To eliminate the budget surplus • Further tariff cuts, 1857, 16% • Civil War era • Morill Tariffs of 1861, 1862, and 1864 • Means of paying for the Civil War © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 5 U.S. Tariff Policies Before 1930 • Late 1800s, cheap foreign labor argument • McKinley and Dingley Tariffs • 1897, tariffs of 46% • Payne-Aldrich Tariff of 1909 • Turning point against rising protectionism • Underwood Tariff of 1913 • Reduced duties to 27% © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 6 U.S. Tariff Policies Before 1930 • World War I • Protectionist pressures built up • Early 1920s, scientific tariff concept • 1922, Fordney-McCumber Tariff • Tariff rates 38% © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 7 TABLE 6.1 U.S. tariff history: average tariff rates © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 8 Smoot-Hawley Act • Smoot-Hawley Act, 1930 • Average tariffs of 53% • Tried to divert national demand away from imports and toward domestically produced goods • Retaliation by 25 trading partners of the U.S. • Several nations tried to run a trade surplus by reducing imports • Breakdown of the international trading system © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 9 Smoot-Hawley Act • Smoot-Hawley Act, 1930 • 1932, U.S. exports decreased by nearly twothirds • President Hoover, protectionist trap • Refused to veto the Smoot-Hawley Act • Compelled to honor the 1928 Republican platform • Tariffs to aid the weakened farm economy • Bound to tradition • Bound to the platform of the Republican Part © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 10 FIGURE 6.1 Smoot-Hawley protectionism and world trade, 1929–1933 (millions of dollars) The figure shows the pattern of world trade from 1929 to 1933. Following the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930, which raised U.S. tariffs to an average level of 53 percent, other nations retaliated by increasing their own import restrictions, and the volume of world trade decreased as the global economy fell into the Great Depression © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 11 Smoot-Hawley Act • President Roosevelt, 1932 • Democrats dismantled the Smoot-Hawley legislation • Reciprocal trade agreements • Trade liberalization © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 12 Reciprocal Trade Agreements Act • 1934, Reciprocal Trade Agreements Act • Transferred authority from the Congress • Generally favored domestic import-competing producers • To the president • Consider the national interest when forming trade policy • Lower tariffs and a wave of trade liberalization © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 13 Reciprocal Trade Agreements Act • Negotiating authority • The president • Unprecedented authority to negotiate bilateral tariff-reduction agreements with foreign governments • Without congressional approval • Lower tariffs by up to 50% of existing level • 1934 to 1947, 32 bilateral tariff agreements • Average level of tariffs - about half of the 1934 levels © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 14 Reciprocal Trade Agreements Act • Generalized reductions • Most favored nation (MFN) clause • Agreement between two nations to apply tariffs to each other at rates as low as those applied to any other nation having MFN status • Tariff reductions being made on a nondiscriminatory basis • 1998, U.S. government replaced the term most favored nation with normal trade relations © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 15 General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade • GATT, 1947 • General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade • Agreement among the member nations • To decrease trade barriers • To place all nations on an equal footing in trading relations • Never intended to become an organization • 1995, GATT - transformed into the World Trade Organization (WTO) © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 16 General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade • WTO • Main provisions of GATT • Include a mechanism intended to improve GATT’s process for resolving trade disputes among member nations © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 17 General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade • Major principles of GATT system • Trade without discrimination • MFN principle (normal trade relations) • National treatment principle • Promoting freer trade • Improved the dispute-resolution process • Use tariffs rather than quotas • Binding and transparency • Multilateral trade negotiations © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 18 TABLE 6.2 U.S. tariffs on imports from nations granted, and not granted, normal trade relation status: selected examples © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 19 TABLE 6.3 GATT negotiating rounds © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 20 TABLE 6.4 Uruguay Round tariff reductions on industrial products by selected countries © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 21 World Trade Organization • January 1, 1995, GATT transformed into WTO • Membership organization • Governing the conduct of trade relations among its members • WTO members adhere • To GATT rules • To the broad range of trade pacts that have been negotiated under GATT auspices in recent decades © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 22 World Trade Organization • WTO • 153 nations, 97% of world trade • International organization, headquartered in Geneva, Switzerland • Multilateral trading system • Trade in services, intellectual property, and investment • Administers a unified package of agreements to which all members are committed © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 23 World Trade Organization • WTO • Reverses policies of protection in certain “sensitive” areas • Settling trade disputes • Is not a government • Individual nations - free to set their own appropriate levels of environment, labor, health, and safety protections • Various councils and committees © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 24 World Trade Organization • WTO • Administers • Agreements contained in the Uruguay Round • Agreements on government procurement and civil aircraft • Oversees • Implementation of the tariff cuts • Reduction of nontariff measures • Watchdog of international trade • Database - trade measures and statistics © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 25 World Trade Organization • WTO Reduce National Sovereignty? • Yes – because of WTO disputes settlement • No – because findings of a WTO disputesettlement panel cannot force the United States to change its laws • Retaliatory tariffs for WTO enforcement? • Small country impose retaliatory tariffs • Relatively more costly to initiate • No favorable movements in its terms of trade © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 26 World Trade Organization • Trade liberalization - harm the environment? • “Race to the bottom” in environmental standards • Social preferences • Trade liberalization • Enhances productivity and growth • Puts downward pressure on inflation • Increasing competition • Creates jobs © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 27 World Trade Organization • Trade liberalization - improve the environment • Trade stimulates economic growth • Key factors in societies’ demand for a cleaner environment • Tougher environmental laws • Trade and growth • Development and dissemination of environment friendly production techniques © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 28 TRADE CONFLICTS Burning rubber: Obama’s tire tariff ignites Chinese officials • New tariff on tires from China, 2009 • In response to a complaint by the USW • In addition to the existing tariff • Applied to low-price tires ($50 - $60 apiece) • 35% in the first year • 30% in the second year • 25% in the third year • Cut off about 17% of all tires sold in U.S. • Boost U.S. industry sales and prices – increased profitability © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 29 Burning rubber: Obama’s tire tariff ignites Chinese officials TRADE CONFLICTS • Critics • USW petition for the tariff increase • Not supported by American tire companies • Already abandoned making low cost tires in U.S. • Manufacture low-cost tires in China • Costly and complicated to revamp factory lines • Chinese tires - replaced by low-wage manufacturers in other countries • Takes time • Shortages of low-end tires in the U.S. market • Prices increasing by 20-30% © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 30 From Doha To Hong Kong: Failed Trade Negotiations • 1999, Seattle, Washington • Disagreements among developing nations and industrial nations • Doha Round, Doha, Qatar • “Doha development agenda” • Poor developing countries – trade liberalization • Countries disowned major portions of the agenda • Complaining about earlier trade rounds • Little interest in compromise © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 31 Trade Promotion Authority • Trade promotion authority, 1974 • Fast-track authority • The president - formally notify Congress of his/her intent to enter trade negotiations with another country • Congress - 60 legislative days to permit or deny “fast-track” authority © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 32 Trade Promotion Authority • Trade promotion authority, 1974 • The president - limited time period in which to complete the trade negotiations • Outcome – subject to a straight up-or-down vote • Both houses of Congress • Within 90 legislative days of submission • The president - consult actively with Congress and the private sector throughout the negotiation © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 33 Safeguards: Emergency Protection From Imports • Trade remedy laws • Designed to produce a fair trading environment for all parties engaging in international trade • Escape clause (safeguard relief) • Countervailing duties • Antidumping duties • Unfair trading practices © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 34 TABLE 6.5 Trade remedy law provisions Statute Focus Criteria for Action Response Fair trade (escape clause) Increasing imports Increasing imports are substantial cause of injury Duties, quotas, tariff-rate quotas, orderly marketing arrangements, adjustment assistance Subsidized imports (countervailing duty) Manufacturing production, or export subsidies Material injury or threat of material injury Duties Dumped imports (antidumping duty) Imports sold below cost of production or below foreign market price Material injury or threat of material injury Duties Unfair trade (Section 301) Foreign practices violating a trade agreement or injurious to U.S. trade Unjustifiable, unreasonable, or discriminatory practices, burdensome to U.S. Commerce All appropriate and feasible action © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 35 TABLE 6.6 Safeguard relief granted under the escape clause: selected examples Product Type of Relief Porcelain-on-steel cooking ware Additional duties imposed for four years of 20 cents, 20 cents, 15 cents, and 10 cents per pound in the first, second, third, and fourth years, respectively Prepared or preserved mushrooms Additional duties imposed for three years of 20%, 15%, and 10% ad valorem in the first, second, and third years, respectively High-carbon ferrochromium Temporary duty increase Color TV receivers Orderly marketing agreements with Taiwan and Korea Orderly marketing agreements with Taiwan and Korea Footwear © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 36 Safeguards: Emergency Protection From Imports • Arguments for safeguards • Political necessity for the formation of agreements to liberalize trade • Safety net to protect domestic producers • Practical political argument • Appease domestic producers – strong lobbying power • Voting constituents © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 37 Countervailing Duties: Protection Against Foreign Export Subsidies • Countervailing duties • Export subsidies = unfair competition • Importing countries can retaliate by levying a countervailing duty • Limited to the amount of the foreign export subsidy • To increase the price of the imported good to its fair market value © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 38 Countervailing Duties: Protection Against Foreign Export Subsidies • Countervailing duties • Canadian lumber exports - subsidized • U.S. trade restrictions • 14.7 billion board feet of Canadian lumber - duty free • Next 0.65 billion board feet - tariff of $50 per thousand board feet • Canadian lumber exports to U.S. fell 14% • Price of lumber increased 20-35% • Cost of the average new home increased $800 $1,300 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 39 Antidumping Duties: Protection Against Foreign Dumping • Objective of U.S. antidumping policy • To offset two unfair trading practices by foreign nations • Export sales in the United States at prices below the average total cost of production • Price discrimination • Foreign firms sell in U.S. at a price less than that charged in the exporter’s home market © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 40 Antidumping Duties: Protection Against Foreign Dumping • Antidumping investigations • Evidence of dumping • Evidence of material injury • A link between the dumped imports and the alleged injury • Antidumping duty (tariff) • Equal to the margin of dumping • Increase the price of imported goods • Decrease consumer welfare © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 41 FIGURE 6.2 Effects of dumped and subsidized imports and their remedies Dumped or subsidized imports provide benefits to consumers if imports are finished goods and to consuming producers that use the imports as intermediate inputs into their own production; they inflict costs on import-competing domestic producers, their workers, and other domestic producers selling intermediate inputs to import-competing producers. An antidumping or countervailing duty inflicts costs on consumers if imports are finished goods and on consuming producers that use the imports as intermediate inputs into their own production; benefits are provided to import-competing domestic producers, their workers, and other domestic producers selling intermediate inputs to the protected industry. © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 42 Antidumping Duties: Protection Against Foreign Dumping • Antidumping duty or countervailing duty • Decrease in the consumer surplus more than offsets the increase in the producer surplus • Successful petitioning industries – benefit • Higher prices • Higher output and employment • Costs to the rest of the economy - far greater • Net welfare loss of $1.59 billion • Costs on consumers • Cost on downstream industries • Cost on the economy as a whole © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 43 Section 301: Protection Against Unfair Trading Practices • Section 301 • U.S. trade representative (USTR) • Means to respond to unfair trading practices by foreign nations • Foreign-trade restrictions that hinder U.S. exports • Foreign subsidies that hinder U.S. exports to thirdcountry markets • USTR empowered to • Impose tariffs or other import restrictions on products and services • Deny the foreign country the benefits of tradeagreement concessions © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 44 TABLE 6.7 Section 301 investigations of unfair trading practices: selected examples U.S. Petitioner Product Unfair Trading Practice Heilman Brewing Co. Beer Canadian import restrictions Amtech Co. Electronics Norwegian government procurement code Great Western Sugar Co. Sugar European Union subsidies National Soybean Producers Assoc. Soybeans Brazilian subsidies Association of American Vintners Wine South Korean import restrictions © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 45 Protection of Intellectual Property Rights • Intellectual property rights (IPRs) violations • Pirates • Counterfeiters • Other infringers • Intellectual property • An invention, idea, product, or process • Registered with the government • Awards the inventor (or author) exclusive rights to use the invention for a given time period © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 46 Protection of Intellectual Property Rights • Copyrights • To protect works of original authorship • For the remainder of the author’s life plus 50 years • Trademarks • To manufacturers • Exclusive rights to a distinguishing name or symbol • Patents • Inventor - for a term (15 years or more) - exclusive right to make, use, or sell the invention © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 47 TABLE 6.8 Examples of intellectual property right violations in China Affected Firm Violation in China Epson Copying machines and ink cartridges are counterfeited. Microsoft Counterfeiting of Windows and Windows NT, with packaging virtually indistinguishable from the real product and sold in authorized outlets. Yamaha Five of every six JYM150-A motorcycles and ZY125 scooters bearing Yamaha’s name are fake in China. Some state-owned factories manufacture copies four months following the introduction of a new model. Gillette Up to one-fourth of its Parker pens, Duracell batteries, and Gillette razors sold in China are pirated. Anheuser-Busch Some 640 million bottles of fake Budweiser beer are sold annually in China. Bestfoods Bogus versions of Knorr bouillon and Skippy Peanut Butter lead to tens of millions of dollars in forgone sales each year. © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 48 Trade Adjustment Assistance • U.S. trade adjustment assistance program • Assists domestic workers displaced by foreign trade and increased imports • Extended income support beyond normal unemployment insurance benefits • Job training • Allowances for job search and relocation © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 49 Trade Adjustment Assistance • U.S. trade adjustment assistance program • Assists businesses and communities • Technical aid in moving into new lines of production • Market research assistance • Low-interest loans © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 50 Will Wage and Health Insurance Make Free Trade More Acceptable to Workers? • Trade adjustment assistance program • Expanded to include wage and health insurance • Protect workers • Restricting imports • Losses for the overall economy • Provide wage and health insurance © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 51 Will Wage and Health Insurance Make Free Trade More Acceptable to Workers? • Wage insurance • Encourages workers to find a new job quickly • Yields benefits for both younger workers and older workers • Easier for younger workers to acquire new skills • Older workers - retirement with the same standard of living • Reducing worker anxiety • Reduce worker opposition to trade liberalization © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 52 Will Wage and Health Insurance Make Free Trade More Acceptable to Workers? • 2002, President George Bush • Expanded the trade adjustment assistance program • Wage insurance for trade-displaced workers • Over 50 years old • Earn less than $50,000 a year • Employed fulltime at the firm from which they were separated • Government pays half the difference between the old and new wage for two years, up to a maximum of $10,000 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 53 Will Wage and Health Insurance Make Free Trade More Acceptable to Workers? • 2002, President George Bush • Health Coverage Tax Credit program • Federal income tax credit • Pays 65% of qualified health plan premiums for eligible trade-displaced workers © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 54 Industrial Policies of the United States • Industrial policies • To enhance the competitiveness of domestic producers • Tax incentives • Loan guarantees • Low interest loans © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 55 Industrial Policies of the United States • U.S. industrial policies • Agricultural policy • Support for shipping, shipbuilding, and energy industries • Defense spending • Manufacturing industry © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 56 Industrial Policies of the United States • Export promotion • Marketing information and technical assistance • Trade missions • Sponsoring exhibits of U.S. goods at international trade fairs • Establish overseas trade centers • Export trade associations • Export trading companies • Export subsidies: low-cost credit © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 57 Industrial Policies of the United States • Export-Import Bank (Eximbank) • Independent agency of the U.S. government • Guarantees of working capital loans for U.S. exporters to cover pre-export costs • Export credit insurance that protects U.S. exporters or their lenders against commercial or political risks of nonpayment by foreign buyers • Guarantees of commercial loans to creditworthy foreign buyers of U.S. goods and services © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 58 Industrial Policies of the United States • Export-Import Bank (Eximbank) • Direct loans to these foreign buyers when private financing is unavailable • Special programs to promote U.S. exports of environmentally beneficial goods and services • Asset-based financing for large commercial aircraft and other appropriate exports • Project financing to support U.S. exports to international infrastructure projects © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 59 TABLE 6.9 Examples of loans provided by Eximbank of the U.S. (millions of dollars) © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 60 Industrial Policies of the United States • Commodity Credit Corporation (CCC) • Officially supports lending for U.S. exports • Government-owned corporation • Administered by the U.S. Department of Agriculture • Export credit financing for eligible agricultural commodities • Interest rates - slightly lower © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 61 Industrial Policies of Japan • Japanese industrial policy • From the 1950s to the early 1970s • Strong control over the nation’s resources and the direction of the economy’s growth • Since the mid-1970s, • Modest and subtle industrial policy © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 62 Industrial Policies of Japan • Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) • Facilitate the shifting of resources into hightech industries • Targets specific industries for support • Assisted by consultants from leading corporations, trade unions, banks, and universities • Increase domestic R&D, investment, and production © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 63 Industrial Policies of Japan • METI • Facilitate the shifting of resources into hightech industries • Targets specific industries for support • Assisted by consultants from leading corporations, trade unions, banks, and universities • Increase domestic R&D, investment, and production © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 64 Industrial Policies of Japan • METI • • • • • Trade protection Allocations of foreign exchange R&D subsidies Loans at below market interest rates Loans that must be repaid only if a firm becomes profitable • Favorable tax treatment • Joint government-industry research projects • To develop promising technologies © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 65 Strategic Trade Policy • Strategic trade policy • Government - help domestic companies to capture economic profits from foreign competitors • Support for certain “strategic” industries • Important to future domestic economic growth • Provide widespread benefits (externalities) to society • Imperfect competition • Potential to attain long-term economic profits © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 66 FIGURE 6.3 Effects of a European subsidy granted to Airbus According to the theory of strategic trade policy, government subsidies can assist domestic firms in capturing economic profits from foreign competitors. © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 67 Strategic Trade Policy • Critics of strategic trade policy • Political perspective • Special-interest groups may dictate who will receive government support • Worldwide cycle of activist trade-policy retaliation and counter retaliation • All nations worse off • Governments lack the information to intervene intelligently in the marketplace • Minor miscalculations - home economy worse off © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 68 Strategic Trade Policy • Critics of strategic trade policy • Existence of imperfect competition • No guarantee for a strategic opportunity to be pursued • Need for a continuing source of economic profits • With no potential competition © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 69 Economic Sanctions • Economic sanctions • Government-mandated limitations placed on customary trade or financial relations among nations • Protect the domestic economy • Reduce nuclear proliferation • Set compensation for property expropriated by foreign governments • Combat international terrorism • Preserve national security • Protect human rights © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 70 Economic Sanctions • Imposing nation • Nation initiating the economic sanctions • Trade sanctions • Boycotts on imposing-nation exports • Quotas on imposing-nation imports from the target nation • Financial sanctions • Limitations on official lending or aid © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 71 TABLE 6.10 Selected economic sanctions of the U.S. © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 72 Economic Sanctions • Target nation • • • • • Unused production capacity Inward shift of production possibilities curve Economic inefficiencies Hardship on the population and government Reduced growth rate © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 73 FIGURE 6.4 Effects of economic sanctions Economic sanctions placed against a target country have the effect of forcing it to operate inside its production possibilities curve. Economic sanctions can also result in an inward shift in the target nation’s production possibilities curve. © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 74 Economic Sanctions • Factors influencing the success of sanctions • Number of nations imposing sanctions • Degree to which the target nation has economic and political ties to the imposing nation(s) • Extent of political opposition in the target nation • Cultural factors in the target nation © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 75 GLOBALIZATION Do automaker subsidies weaken the WTO? • 2008–2009, turmoil in financial markets, economic downturn • Substantial financial stress to the automobile industry • Autoworkers, auto suppliers, stock and bondholders, dealers, and certain states • The Big Three (Ford, General Motors, and Chrysler) • Financial assistance, “too big to fail” © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 76 GLOBALIZATION Do automaker subsidies weaken the WTO? • December 2008, U.S. government allocated $36 billion • Bridge loans to Chrysler and GM. • $4 billion to Chrysler and $13.4 billion to GM • Submit restructuring plans in 2009 • France • $7.7 billion to its failing automakers • United Kingdom • $3.2 billion in governmental loan guarantees © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 77 GLOBALIZATION Do automaker subsidies weaken the WTO? • WTO rules, illegal government assistance if • A financial contribution – made to a particular firm, not to a wide spectrum of firms • Must provide the firm an advantage that would not occur under normal market conditions • Subsidy must cause serious injury, or threat of serious injury, to imports from foreign firms • Auto bailouts - adhered to the WTO definition of illegal subsidies © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password‐protected website for classroom use 78