Haat Business Services Concept Note – Working Draft Introduction Agricultural produce, as identified in various research reports, reach consumers through a complex web of buying and selling, sometimes involving multiple intermediaries.i Broadly speaking, there are 4 types of agricultural markets where agricultural produce is traded: assembly markets, village retail markets, urban retail and wholesale markets (“bazaars”), and terminal markets. Generally, the structure and linkages of the marketing channels for agricultural produce is product specific, i.e. the marketing channel for potato and rice paddy might be different even though the roles of the traders are the same.ii The Haat Business Services (HBS) team has so far been looking to identify and address market failures and inefficiencies1 specific to haats. The following strategies are currently being pursued: Building the Haats as a Platform for Service Delivery The haats, through capacity building of associations and linkages with private sector partners, will have controlled governance/monitoring to ensure transparency, accountability and persistent development facilitating traders to procure more merchandise, and for farmers/producers to liquidate goods more efficiently. On implementing this strategy, HBS team, through baseline and post baseline surveys, will be able to answer the question2 “Can Haats be a platform for service and information delivery to its users and the wider rural community within the Haat catchment area?” Scaling Up the Haats by Leveraging with K inter and intra Component activities By analyzing and coordinating with K Component A and B activities and delivering some of their interventions through the haats, we can help to establish it as a one stop shop for producers to go to in order to look for solutions. Through development of specific value chains (paddy, vegetable, poultry) as well as capacity building of the associations at the haats (HMC, UMMC, MMMC), the HBS team plans to answer- “How can better functioning Haats lead to the betterment of farmers/producers?” The HBS team is looking to develop strategies to further intervene in the agri distribution system of Bangladesh. The aforementioned strategies will serve to develop, link and scale-up the markets with the help of the private and public sector For this concept note, market “failure” or “inefficiency” in the marketing and distribution chain for agricultural produce will be broadly defined as: any market situation where prevailing prices of goods and services do not reflect the true value, cost, and assumption of risk in producing, offering, or consuming them to the detriment of the business environment and society. In short, any situation when the forces of demand and supply do not meet at a “fair” or commercially sustainable price that optimizes benefits for buyers, sellers, and society as a whole. 2 Refers to the questions sent to Manish Pandey and Peter Roggekamp on December 17, 2007 titled“Questions K is looking to answer by executing the pilot interventions at the Haats”. 1 1 and aid in its development. The next strategy being considered is to develop the market information collection and dissemination of the government and the stakeholders of the distribution chain of agricultural produce. Research Findings A report prepared for DFID by International Development Enterprises (IDE) states that market irregularities empower a few large rice traders and millers, in Bangladesh, to take majority of the benefitsiii. The report mentions lack of easy market linkages of producers with large urban markets, few appropriate and affordable processing facilities, underdeveloped market infrastructure (storage facilities, sheds etc.) and the absence of collaboration amongst farmers and traders as agents adding to the irregularities in the markets. These issues are identified as constraints in almost all secondary sources reviewed. Popular national dailies, discussing the pricing of agricultural produce, tend to demonize middlemen and suspected syndicates for pricing failures resulting in higher prices of essentials and profiteering3 by businesses.iv A Centre for Policy Dialogue (CPD) report delves further into this issue and shows that such profiteering happens in the case of some specific agricultural produce such as: paddy price mark-up by millers (22.9%) and retailers (12.2%); onion price mark-up by retailers (21.05%).v Chairman of the Regulatory Reforms Commission (RRC), Akbar Ali Khan, attributes the price hike of essentials to profiteering by certain agents in the supply chain and advocates setting up separate market monitoring and consumers’ rights protection agenciesvi. Other reports such as The Daily Star’s monthly publication, Forum, does not consider this to be a bad thing and refers to ‘profiteering’ as profit maximization by businesses in the agricultural sector.vii However, without terming ‘profiteering’ as good or bad, it is one of the variables leading to inefficiencies in the market. It is an indication that the distribution channel is unfairly allocating too much power to some of the stakeholders, especially those in closer proximity to the end consumer, while denying the weaker, and in most cases, poorer stakeholders (farmers and producers) a fairer price for their produce. An article by the Economist, titled Food Prices Cheap No More, ascribes the global increases in food prices to factors such as: increased demand for essentials, especially meat and poultry products, stemming from increased income levels in developing countries; and higher usage of grains for bio-fuel (e.g. ethanol) production. The article highlights how this is happening at a time not of scarcity but of abundance as 2007 saw the largest global cereals crop on record (1.66B tonnes) viii. The increased international prices coupled with natural calamities have contributed heavily to the increase in agri commodity prices in Bangladesh. In light of the global and local increased prices of commodities, a more efficient distribution network has the potential to enable the poor farmers and producers of agri goods in Bangladesh to generate more revenue. Profiteering is broadly defined here as making “excessive” or “supernormal” profits on essential goods that are in short supply, i.e., prices that are not justified by the corresponding costs, valueaddition, or assumption of risk, or prices that are inflated through unethical or anticompetitive means such as creating artificial supply shortages through hoarding or creating barriers to entry for competitors. 3 2 Reports by CPD and the Power and Participation Research Center (PPRC)ix identifies lack of government policy support (e.g., anti-hoarding policies, proper allocation of fertilizer & seeds, and price of diesel, kerosene), and low market information availability, as constraints leading to market inefficiencies.x A report by the Palli Karma Sahayak Foundation (PKSF) largely concurs with this view, but adds infrastructural shortcomings and lack of access to finance of farmers/producers and traders as further constraints. Government Solutions The Government of Bangladesh (GoB) plans to intervene in the distribution system of agri produce to reduce the price of essentials by increasing supply to the market and setting up price monitoring and control mechanisms. However, the GoB’s plan to import large quantities of ricexi and carry out open market sales (OMS) at a fixed pricexii sends negative price signals to traders. Such government influences could lead middlemen in the distribution chain to decrease their purchases and may eventually result in the price of paddy to fall. An article in the Economist, titled “The End of Cheap Food”xiii and another by the Agriculture and Rural Development Department of The World Bankxiv states that even though dearer food prices hurt consumers, in the long run it increases the income of the poor. The Economist article makes the case that heavy handed government interventions, such as price controls, eventually discourage producers and “almost certainly fail”. In Bangladesh, if the price of paddy is kept artificially low, farmers will get lower prices for their produce making them switch to other high margin crops like vegetables. This may cause the supply of paddy/rice to fall and increase the demand for fertilizer, as vegetable requires relatively higher quantities. Deviation from the cropping pattern used by the government to supply fertilizer and seeds to the poor farmers could hurt productivity and aid to the woes of the poor as well as increase government subsidy spending. Recent shortages of fertilizer after 2007 floods and Hurricane Sidr gives us a snapshot of what may happen in the long run if subsidies and price control measures are put in place indefinitely. In order to send positive signals to the market, the HBS team feels that the GoB has to tackle the market failures on multiple fronts. Developing a system of market information collection and dissemination (as public goods i.e. freely available) would be key to reduce abuse of market powers (e.g. by enacting antitrust policies, price controls, etc.) and externalities (such as subsidies and fines). Figure 1 shows how non-existent, uncoordinated, inaccessible and unreliable information leads to problems in policy making, intervention design, and imperfect competition, which in turn Figure 1 Market Failures Stemming from Information Failure accentuates the market failures. 3 The GoB has a system of information gathering and research called the National Agricultural Research System (NARS) of Bangladeshxv. NARS consists of ten research institutes under the umbrella of Bangladesh Agricultural Research Council (BARC). The institutes are depicted in Figure Figure 2 National Agricultural Research System (NARS) 2. According to the information on the institutes’ websites, they are mostly autonomous with set mandates and management. Increasing coordination and partnerships between these institutes has the potential to widen and deepen their impact on the rural farmers and producers. Possible Strategies In order to address market inefficiencies/failures, the Haat Development Services (HDS) team is looking to develop the agri market information collection and dissemination by both public and private sector stakeholders of the distribution chain by facilitating the creation of a centrally managed source of regularly updated agro market information database. This strategy involves coordinating government agencies like Department of Agriculture Marketing (DoA), Ministry of Agriculture (MoA), Soil Resource Development Institute (SRDI) etc., to effectively collect relevant market information so as to develop accurate cropping patterns and models. Accurate plans will facilitate the government to: better allocate subsidized inputs (fertilizer & seeds); develop policies to address key areas of failures in the distribution chain; develop contingency plans in case of natural calamities; and identify areas to deliver training to increase productivity. Linking the public organizations (SRDI, DAM etc.) with private sector modelers (IRRI, public and private universities, etc.) will enable the government to develop better forecasts and cropping patterns and better recover from and deal with system shocks. In addition, linking the agro market information database with a commodity exchange, set up through private public partnerships, can help the distribution and marketing channel evolve into a modern trading platform. It can also provide the platform to make the information collection and dissemination sustainable for private sector entrepreneurs. Such an exchange is currently being promoted and set up in Ethiopia, jointly by the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) and Ethiopian Development Research Institutexvi. Their aim is to modernize the marketing channels of agriculture produce, and increase transparency and competition among the market stakeholders. 4 Possible Areas for Intervention: Facilitate in the development of interlinked data warehouses for consolidated agro market information and disseminate to public and private sources, creating better links between them, thereby streamlining allocation of inputs to maximize agricultural productivity. This can be done by coordinating with government agencies like Department of Agriculture Marketing (DoA), Ministry of Agriculture (MoA), Soil Resource Development Institute (SRDI) with private (Universities, telecoms, multinational agri input producers, etc.) and not for profit institutions such as the Bangladesh Economical Research Institute (BERI) to effectively collect and examine relevant market information Such an initiative has been undertaken by Soil Resources Development Institute (SRDI) in collaboration with CEGIS, a not-for-profit Geographical Information System (GIS) based research organization. It is developing a two gigabyte (2GB) database that stores soil data using primary information from Upazila Nirdeshika (Upazila Manual). The system is called 'The Soil and Land Resource Information System' or SOLARIS. A customized GIS software SOLARIS-GIS is also being developed to map soil data based on classification (soil texture, land type, landform, drainage, slope, and surface water recession) and condition (crop suitability, land zoning, nutrient status and fertilizer recommendation). The system can analyze data at the upazila, district, and national level. xvii Facilitating the development of more databases and linking them together, would further the aim of reducing market failures and inefficiencies. Possible Entry Points for K: I. Build capacity of trainers for Government Agencies and Agricultural Information System (AIS) personnel II. Develop awareness of the importance of Market Information through partners such as BERI III. Facilitate the collection and development of data warehouses on total Upazila wise cultivatable land (acreage) by coordinating Upazila Market Management Committee (UMMC), Government bodies such as SRDI, BARI, BERI etc. IV. Facilitate the collection of information on Upazila wise cropping pattern and total input requirement per pattern by coordinating UMMC and Department of Agriculture Marketing (DAM) V. Facilitate the development of a forecasting method for contingencies in case of calamities and building capacity of UMMC/ Municipality Market Management Committee (MMMC) in association with, Ministry of Agriculture (MoA) and Flood Forecasting & Warning Center (FFWC) 5 Possible Interventions 1. Access to Market and Competition: Due to unsystematic forward integration and asymmetric information most farmers fail to know the demand and potential of their product beyond their vicinities therefore ends selling at a non-competitive price. Probable Intervention Area: Establish information centers at structured assembly markets Entry Point: I. Identify the potential assembly markets in association with UMMC/HMC II. Develop and Train Content Providers and Information Disseminators in association with DAM, HMC and Private Sector e.g. GP CIC, Cellbazaar, Ghat, Alokitogram III. Promote contents and create linkage among remote markets 2. Access to Technology: Due to unavailability of inputs and inadequate knowledge of production technologies, farmers fail to make best use of their resources and often end up generating negative externalities. Probable Intervention Area: Develop content on production know-how based on UMMC based cropping patterns and disseminate them through workshops and FGDs Entry Point: I. Identify major crops and develop contents in association with SRDI, MoA and Private Sector II. Develop III. Conduct workshops and FGDs in association with UMMC, SRDI, IRRI, BRRI and NGOs e.g. BRAC, ASHA, GAF 3. Access to Market Info: Market info refers to price of inputs and outputs, supplier information and cost of transportation etc. The DAM database currently collects market price information on 15 different commodities from 42 districts and uploads those to the database everyday. But that’s not sufficient. Farmers often end up selling at lower price due to unavailability of updated information. Probable Intervention Area: a. Establish info booth or price table at assembly markets to help the farmers understand the trading pattern in association with UMMC, DAM and Private Sector. b. Capacity building of AIS personnel as professional media-men to deliberate information in mass media and the community. 6 4. Access to Contingency Plan: Due to absence of proper AIS and Climate change information, farmers get little chance to take pre-cautions on natural shocks. Again due to inadequate contingency plan, they find it even difficult to recover or re-invest in harvest after any disaster. Probable Intervention Area: Establish back-up inventory of inputs at District Level in association with MoA, Disaster Management Bureau, Ministry of Food and Disaster Management etc. List of Potential Consultants: 1. S.M. Shahiduddin Iskander Lecturer Institute of Health Economics University of Dhaka 2. John Tracey-White Marketing and Rural Finance Service (AGSF) Agricultural Support Systems Division (AGS) FAO 7 Bibliography i Challenges of Balancing Producer Incentive and Consumer Satisfaction: Exploring Market Dynamics of Essentials Through A Triangular Study of Producers, Traders, and Consumers, Power and Participation Research Center (PPRC), July 2007. pp. 16, 27 Price of Daily Essentials: A Diagnostic Study of Recent Trends, Centre for Policy Dialogue (CPD), May 2007. p. 5 Value Chain Analysis of Vegetable Production and Marketing System with Special Focus on Dhaka City Markets, Palli Karma Sahayak Foundation (PKSF), July 2007. p. 10 ii PPRC, p. 16 iii Subsector Analysis and Market Assessment: FINE AND AROMATIC RICE SUBSECTOR, International Development Enterprises, DFID Bangladesh, September 2002. pp. 19-22 Available at http://www.value-chains.org/dyn/bds/docs/detail/261/1 iv BBC Bangladesh Sanglap: CONCERN OVER SPIRALLING PRICES OF ESSENTIALS, The Daily Star, July 29, 2007, Available at: http://www.thedailystar.net/2007/07/29/d70729060175.htm v Price of Daily Essentials: A Diagnostic Study of Recent Trends, Centre for Policy Dialogue (CPD), May 2007. p. 7 vi Akbar Ali calls for public stand against profiteering, The Independent Bangladesh, January 23, 2008, Available at: http://www.independent-bangladesh.com/20080123760/country/akbar-ali-calls-forpublic-stand-against-profiteering.html vii On agflation, Rahman, Jyoti, Forum, The Daily Star, November 2007, Available at: http://www.thedailystar.net/forum/2007/november/agflation.htm viii Food Prices- Cheap No More, ,The Economist, , Available at: http://www.economist.com/displaystory.cfm?story_id=10250420 ix Ibid. p. 27 x CPD, pp. 27-43 xi 48,000 tonnes rice import okayed, The Daily Star, August 08, 2008, Available at: http://www.thedailystar.net/story.php?nid=408 xii Text of CA's address to the nation, The Daily Star, January 13, 2008, Available at: http://www.thedailystar.net/story.php?nid=19054 xiii The end of cheap food, The Economist, December 6, 2007, Available at: http://www.economist.com/opinion/displaystory.cfm?story_id=10252015 xiv Do Price Increases for Staple Foods Help or Hurt the Rural Poor?, Ravallion, Martin, Agriculture and Rural Development Department, The World Bank, 1989 xv The Ministry of Agriculture, Available at: http://www.bangladesh.gov.bd/moa/moa.html#Agriculture%20Research%20System xvi The Ethiopian Commodity Exchange (ECEX):Making the market work for all, Gabre-Madhin, Eleni, United Nations Conference On Trade And Development, Available at: http://www.unctad.org/Templates/Download.asp?docid=8982&lang=1&intItemID=4333 xvii e-Governance and the Agriculture Sector of Bangladesh, Morshed, KAM, Issue 2, Volume 1, 21 September 2007, UNDP, Available at: http://www.undp.org.bd/library/newsletter/e%20%20Focus_Vol_1_Issue_2.pdf 8