Housing Test Examiners Mark Scheme 1) Define the following terms (3 marks each) (i) Housing supply Quantity of housing available for sale in the market at a given price in a given time period (2 marks) Affected by rate of new house-building (1 mark) Also by number of existing homes put on market (1 mark) Housing supply often inelastic in the short run (1 mark) Max of 2 if no mention is made of supply being linked to price Max of 2 if no mention is made of time period (ii) Real interest rates Real interest rate is the money (or nominal) rate of interest adjusted for inflation I.e. real cost of borrowing money Or real return on saving Candidate may use an example – credit if accurate (e.g. nominal interest = 6%, inflation = 4%, real r = +2% Max of 1 if no mention is made of the inflation adjustment 2) Using the information in chart (1), explain how changes in house prices can affect the level of employment in the construction industry (4 marks) Chart 1: Employment in Construction and UK House Prices 200000 180000 180000 160000 160000 140000 140000 120000 120000 100000 100000 Person (millions) 80000 80000 2.25 2.25 2.20 2.20 2.15 2.15 2.10 2.10 2.05 2.05 2.00 2.00 1.95 1.95 1.90 millions GBP Employment (millions) and average UK house prices (£s) 200000 1.90 Q1 Q3 02 Q1 Q3 03 Q1 Q3 04 Q1 Q3 05 Q1 Q3 06 Q1 From 2002-2007, house prices rose by approx 50% and, over the same time period, employment in construction increased by around 250,000 (or 15%). This suggests a positive relationship between house prices and employment. Most students will use the concept of derived demand i.e. as demand for housing increases and prices rise, we expect to see an expansion of housing supply. This increases the demand for factor inputs used in construction including labour – causing a rising demand for labour. Q3 07 08 Source: Reuters EcoWin Max of 2 if no use is made of the data from the chart Max of 2 if the answer refers to employment in the whole economy rather than focusing on construction 3) As chart 2 shows, in recent years, the real cost of renting a property has increased. With the help of a supply and demand diagram, explain why this might have happened (6 marks) Rising real cost of rents might have been due to demand and/or supply-side factors Reward an accurate and relevant explanation using either approach Max of 3 if there is no supporting supply and demand diagram Most answers will show Chart 2: Inflation in Housing Rents Annual percentage change 4.0 4.0 3.5 3.5 % change in cost of renting Percent Outward shift of demand for rented property With upward-sloping supply / inelastic supply, this will drive equilibrium level of rents up 3.0 3.0 2.5 2.5 2.0 2.0 % change in consumer prices 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 Jan May Sep 03 Jan May Sep 04 Jan May Sep 05 Jan May Sep 06 Jan May Sep Jan 07 08 Source: Reuters EcoWin Might also have been due to an inward shift in the supply of rented property Or demand for rented properties increasing faster than demand. Explanations: (up to 3 marks for a coherent and valid explanation) e.g. students might discuss how rising house prices has affected affordability causing fewer people to be in the market for owner occupied homes, rented property is a substitute. 4) Evaluate the view that all government controls on new house building should be removed (14 marks) Lots of responses are valid to this question. But candidates might include the following: New houses are built: (implied) cheaper housing, particularly for younger households; production of negative externalities; infrastructure costs; loss of leisure facilities; and the loss of external benefits such as the visual amenity of a more natural landscape. Good answers should discuss how government controls may affect the private and the external benefits and costs of house building. Examples include the benefits to construction firms and to industries allowed to locate on what was previously green belt land, a possible acceleration of urban decline in inner-city low cost housing areas, and the effect on neighbouring communities. To achieve more than 7 marks, candidates will need to make plausible judgements about the issues posed by the question. Good answers may display candidates’ knowledge of, and ability to analyse and evaluate the consequences of the difference between external and private costs and benefits. The issues identified below are intended to provide an indication of some of the areas which might be discussed. Candidates can only be expected to consider a few of these issues in the time available. Identification of private costs and benefits in the context of the question; Identification of external costs and benefits in the context of the question; Explanation of how unregulated markets may generate market failure(s); The possibility of government failure resulting from controls on house building; Discussion of different types of government control